Newspoll: 52-48 to Coalition

Little change on three weeks ago in the latest Newspoll, although the Coalition’s headline lead narrows slightly.

Courtesy of The Australian, the latest Newspoll has the Coalition’s two-party lead down to 52-48 from 53-47 three weeks ago, from primary votes of Coalition 43% (down one), Labor 33% (doen one), Greens 11% (up one) and One Nation 4% (steady). Scott Morrison is steady at 68% approval and up two on disapproval to 29%, while Anthony Albanese is respectively steady at 41% and down two to 38%. Morrison’s lead as prime minister has nonetheless widened very slightly, from 59-26 to 60-25. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1509.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

698 comments on “Newspoll: 52-48 to Coalition”

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  2. Come On – fellow Poll Bludgers ……

    Don’t respond to WA’s most notorious TROLL :

    Bucephalus …….aka DuntroonLoon ………. aka BayonetBoy ………..aka CockWombleCrank …..

    A RELEVANCE DEPRIVATION DISORDER NUTTER who feeds off knowing he is upsetting others … who gets his jollies knowing he has got you on the hook …..

    The best way to deal with trolls is to IGNORE THEM !!!!!! When you ignore a troll, he doesn’t get the attention and satisfaction of creating an escalated conflict and upsetting you ….

  3. lizzie:

    Perhaps Albo should take singing lessons.

    It probably wouldn’t be a bad idea, you know! I’ve never taken singing lessons myself, but it would teach him about having good breath support, phrasing and projection, which can be applied to speaking, too. A singing teacher could also get him to focus on his diction.

    Songs of praise with Albo.

  4. Oh, the Greensboro Groveller speaks! Just for your personal benefit, I have always supported Labor, in fact I have never cast a vote for any other party. Not so sure about you though. I never had a problem with any of our recent leaders other than Gillard, who was massive disappointment and Beazley for the same reasons that I have outlined about Albo.

  5. Player One @ #445 Monday, August 10th, 2020 – 4:15 pm

    clem attlee @ #427 Monday, August 10th, 2020 – 3:45 pm

    I’ll preface my general comments by making the following declaration, that I would have preferred Albo to win the ballot against Shorten. However I have come to the conclusion that Albanese will not not be PM of this country, so long as his arse points to the ground. He doesn’t look the part, he doesn’t sound the part and any fight he had, seems to be well dissipated. The man is a charisma free zone and he has zero cut through. Now before anybody protests by pointing at Sooty Morrison, remember that he became PM by way of a party room ballot.

    Some on here, support Albanese because they think he is of the left. He is not! He abandoned the left years ago and has embraced neo liberalism. This has created one of his biggest problems. What does Albanese really stand for? Not much, just increased infra structure spending, particularly fast rail. He is floundering to a lay a glove on the Tories, because rather than fighting them, he is emulating them.

    Yep. This is pretty much how I feel about Albo. Except I would add that this is not Albo’s fault – he was clearly intended only as a placeholder until Labor could come up with someone better. He once said himself WTTE that he wasn’t leadership material.

    Trouble is, they haven’t been able to come up with anyone better, and we are only 12 months away from the next election.

    The clock is ticking, Labor!

    People think I’m trolling when I say Ged should be the leader, but I’m serious.

    She has the experience, the connections, the ideology, the engagement and communication skills to do a far better job than anyone else in the party room.

  6. Bucephalus @ #444 Monday, August 10th, 2020 – 2:16 pm

    I look forward to future ALP PMs briefing the media in full on all their private family holiday plans including all security assessments and arrangements and having this posted on all major social media platforms. Should they include a TikTok video?

    A media release is sufficient, as has been the practice in the past, stating who will be the acting PM.

  10. Kavalas just allowed Tudge to dodge the question about whether he supports the call for investment in sustainable energy. I have met this fuck wit and he is a climate change denier, But she lets him sale through. The arsehole is putting the boot into state Labor and she has a been a bit better on that, but allowed him to defer on the basis that Aged Care is not his portfolio. It’s their ABC.

  11. Does anyone know how recovered/recovering alcoholics are coping with using hand sanitiser? I smell like a brewery at the moment.

  18. lizzie,

    Stuttering is not my area of expertise, but yes, people who stutter (PWS) tend to be fluent when singing, taking on a character voice (until they get too used to that), talking to a pet, when speaking in unison with another speaker, or when the speaker cannot hear their own voice or it is presented to them with an auditory delay. Why, exactly, we don’t know for certain, but it’s (from very sketchy memory) thought to be due in part to how the brain processes the sound of our own voice, and makes adjustments to our speech musculature as a result of this feedback (i.e. a feedback loop). So, when you sing, speak with an accent or character voice, or speak in unison with someone else, you disrupt the feedback loop that results in their stutter – albeit temporarily.

  19. Yes lizzie. The tone is always ‘friendly’ and she always throws in a token toughie, but allows them to squirm away. For Labor guests…not so much!

  20. clem attlee @ #452 Monday, August 10th, 2020 – 4:26 pm

    Oh, the Greensboro Groveller speaks! Just for your personal benefit, I have always suppurated labor, in fact I have never cast a vote for any other party. Not so sure about you though. I never had a problem with any of our recent leaders other than Gillard, who was massive disappointment and Beazley for the same reasons that I have outlined about Albo.

    Sure Clem. Streams of bile against Labor and it ‘s people is the perfect way to prove your undying devotion to the cause. You’re a crank of no particular relevance to anyone much.

  21. Ha, the Grouper calls me a crank. Does your carer know that you have been let loose on the internet? Constructive observation is not bile. You right wingers never learn do you?

  24. Mr Newbie,

    Yeah, AAC can be a bit of a niche area but fun! The results you can get can be really heartening but often take time.

  25. Rex Douglas @ #455 Monday, August 10th, 2020 – 4:27 pm

    People think I’m trolling when I say Ged should be the leader, but I’m serious.

    She has the experience, the connections, the ideology, the engagement and communication skills to do a far better job than anyone else in the party room.

    Yes, either go with Ged or parachute Sally McManus into parliament. They probably still wouldn’t win, but they would at least be seen as a party looking to the future, not living in a past that has gone and is never coming back.

  26. What about, it’s elderly people’s lives you are dealing with, doesn’t Gladys berejiklian understand!?!

    Evidence at the Aged Care RC today has outlined how Gladys Berejiklian,the NSW Premier, refused to allow elderly residents of Newmarch House to go to Public Hospitals when their Aged Care facility had COVID-19 raging through, because, and get this, ‘she didn’t want to set a precedent’!

    She must be from the ‘elderly lives are dispensible’ faction of the Liberal Party.

  27. The problem for federal Labor is that many of the contenders have some of needed prerequisites for the leadership, but none of them have all of them.

  28. Mr Newbie @ #468 Monday, August 10th, 2020 – 4:37 pm

    lizzie,

    Stuttering is not my area of expertise, but yes, people who stutter (PWS) tend to be fluent when singing, taking on a character voice (until they get too used to that), talking to a pet, when speaking in unison with another speaker, or when the speaker cannot hear their own voice or it is presented to them with an auditory delay. Why, exactly, we don’t know for certain, but it’s (from very sketchy memory) thought to be due in part to how the brain processes the sound of our own voice, and makes adjustments to our speech musculature as a result of this feedback (i.e. a feedback loop). So, when you sing, speak with an accent or character voice, or speak in unison with someone else, you disrupt the feedback loop that results in their stutter – albeit temporarily.

    Fascinating. I have a very dear friend who has Down’s Syndrome. He has a terrible stutter which doesn’t seem to be improving (he’s now 26).

    But he’s extremely theatrical, loves to mimic voices, and spends a lot of time wandering around the street acting out multiple-character scenarios. Also loves to sing (terrible singer).

    Whenever he’s singing or role-playing, there’s not even the slightest hint of a stutter.

  29. Labor fighting back now on ABC 24, Jones has been good. Laming refuses to acknowledge Queensland state government’s success. Tories aren’t even pretending to hide their politicking.

  31. Right the gloves should be off, Labor need to attack the Tories across the whole board of their crack pot responses to the virus.

  32. William Bowe says: Monday, August 10, 2020 at 4:33 pm

    Behave like an adult please, PhoenixRED.

    *****************************************

    Apologies William – I try to come to Poll Bludger every day with some informative/positive posts …..but that person I mentioned does the exact opposite …..

  34. Clem we are a little short of leadership contenders all round at present. No one in particular stands out. Mind you times are tough so it’s a bit hard to camouflage shortcomings.

  36. Laming now saying that the science says that you only need to keep borders closed for 14 days. he didn’t specify what science, probably his mum’s Ouija board.

  37. Davidwh @ #483 Monday, August 10th, 2020 – 4:50 pm

    Clem we are a little short of leadership contenders all round at present. No one in particular stands out. Mind you times are tough so it’s a bit hard to camouflage shortcomings.

    Labor hasn’t got a Leadership problem. It’s the Followship that is in the issue.

    Lot’s of Mundo Mondays today. No good to me!

  38. Spray she has done pretty well although she is just missing that something that would inspire people and take them along on the changes we will need to make post-virus.

    I can’t see her being a federal leader.

  39. Player One @ #477 Monday, August 10th, 2020 – 4:42 pm

    Rex Douglas @ #455 Monday, August 10th, 2020 – 4:27 pm

    People think I’m trolling when I say Ged should be the leader, but I’m serious.

    She has the experience, the connections, the ideology, the engagement and communication skills to do a far better job than anyone else in the party room.

    Yes, either go with Ged or parachute Sally McManus into parliament. They probably still wouldn’t win, but they would at least be seen as a party looking to the future, not living in a past that has gone and is never coming back.

    Some of the ol’ boys in Labor just wouldn’t have another woman as leader.

    Ok so she’s not as dynamic as say Jacinda, but she has the appearance of being genuine which is half the battle for a leader and top policy spokesperson.

  40. Davidwh @ #488 Monday, August 10th, 2020 – 4:55 pm

    Spray she has done pretty well although she is just missing that something that would inspire people and take them along on the changes we will need to make post-virus.

    I can’t see her being a federal leader.

    Agree. And I now realise you were talking about federal leadership in your previous post. But thanks.

  42. Spray:

    When I was a new grad, I saw a 12 year-old girl with Downs who also stuttered (that was the primary reason for their referral) – well out of my depth. One of the issues with working on fluency with people with Downs is that they tend to speak in short utterances, due to their language skills being significantly below the typical level for their chronological age. So, you don’t have a lot of language to work with to start e.g. targeting saying sentences fluently, etc. That being said, you could still target single words and short, high-frequency phrases. A very cursory search for articles on stuttering interventions for people with Down syndrome did not yield much, and none I can see (from a cursory look) evaluate groups – only one I found is a qualitative study of 14 adolescents, from which it doesn’t say much on the effectiveness of treatment.

  43. Mr. Newbie,

    I am finding your posts interesting. I have skin in the game, so to speak, as a life long stutterer.

    I have been to speech therapists , voice teachers etc etc etc and all to no avail. I am content now with my stutter and have accepted it is just part of who I am. I copped a lot growing up but as I got older I got bigger and more able to look after myself and as a result others left me alone.

    A question to you, if I may.

    Could there be a connection between stuttering and some emotional trauma experienced at a very young age ?

    Nothing too bad but something that may have had a effect on me. I have often wondered.

    Thanks in advance for any insight.

    Cheers.

  45. Jacinda is perceived as being real to voters, she relates to them, she is also considered to be genuine. Albanese is just seen as another middle aged bloke out of touch. That isn’t the reality, but it is the perception and politics is all about perception.

  46. Mr Newbie @ #447 Monday, August 10th, 2020 – 4:20 pm

    Bugler:

    Thanks My professional experience with Speech Pathology has more been around use of Augmentative and Alternative Communication so this is interesting! (Though I did receive speech therapy myself for a minor lisp at five years old in prep)

    I’m only really adding my $0.02. I am not, and don’t claim to be, an expert in all things relating to speech pathology (I don’t have much experience/expertise with augmenative and alternative communication, for example). My ‘lay’ impression of Albo’s speaking style, for example, is that he sounds like he’s chewing on a piece of steak when he talks, and that’s not particularly pleasant to listen to (but I’ve heard much worse). That doesn’t quite translate into a diagnosable problem, other than perhaps he has some issues with oral resonance (how the sound of the voice is modified by the shape/position of the tongue in the mouth, in relation to other oral structures), and maybe also some pharyngeal constriction (tightness of the throat muscles) when speaking that could be worked on.

    To me he sounds like he has a tongue tie. Not able to fully manipulate his tongue to fully articulate his sounds. As he grew up in impoverished circumstances it may have been the case that his mum couldn’t afford the operation to correct it. This is in the pre-Medibank era.

  47. C@tmomma @ #476 Monday, August 10th, 2020 – 2:43 pm

    What about, it’s elderly people’s lives you are dealing with, doesn’t Gladys berejiklian understand!?!

    Evidence at the Aged Care RC today has outlined how Gladys Berejiklian,the NSW Premier, refused to allow elderly residents of Newmarch House to go to Public Hospitals when their Aged Care facility had COVID-19 raging through, because, and get this, ‘she didn’t want to set a precedent’!

    She must be from the ‘elderly lives are dispensible’ faction of the Liberal Party.

    There is a classic case of ideology trumping policy.

    Won’t do the right thing because it’s something they are opposed to doing. 🙁

  48. clem attlee @ #494 Monday, August 10th, 2020 – 5:01 pm

    Jacinda is perceived as being real to voters, she relates to them, she is also considered to be genuine. Albanses is just sen as another middle aged bloke out of touch. That isn’t the reality, but it is the perception and politics is all about perception.

    Ardern fell in and has performed well. She was not a shoo in to win prior to the last Elections.

    It’s often about timing and opportunity.

  49. Mr Newbie @ #492 Monday, August 10th, 2020 – 4:59 pm

    Spray:

    When I was a new grad, I saw a 12 year-old girl with Downs who also stuttered (that was the primary reason for their referral) – well out of my depth. One of the issues with working on fluency with people with Downs is that they tend to speak in short utterances, due to their language skills being significantly below the typical level for their chronological age. So, you don’t have a lot of language to work with to start e.g. targeting saying sentences fluently, etc. That being said, you could still target single words and short, high-frequency phrases. A very cursory search for articles on stuttering interventions for people with Down syndrome did not yield much, and none I can see (from a cursory look) evaluate groups – only one I found is a qualitative study of 14 adolescents, from which it doesn’t say much on the effectiveness of treatment.

    Thanks for that. I know his parents have sought help for his stuttering over the years. And although they too are dear friends of ours, we have learned not to have too much to say on appropriate therapies for him!

  50. Greensborough Growler @ #501 Monday, August 10th, 2020 – 5:04 pm

    clem attlee @ #494 Monday, August 10th, 2020 – 5:01 pm

    Jacinda is perceived as being real to voters, she relates to them, she is also considered to be genuine. Albanses is just sen as another middle aged bloke out of touch. That isn’t the reality, but it is the perception and politics is all about perception.

    Ardern fell in and has performed well. She was not a shoo in to win prior to the last Elections.

    It’s often about timing and opportunity.

    …and in Jacinda’s case, class, skill, quality.

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