After an extended period stuck at 51-49, The Australian reports a solid shift in the latest Newspoll, with the Coalition out to 53-47 from 51-49 three weeks ago. The primary vote shifts are a little more modest, with the Coalition on 44% (up two), Labor on 34% (down one), the Greens on 10% (down one) and One Nation on 4% (up one). There is little change on personal ratings, with Scott Morrison steady on 68% approval and 27% disapproval, Anthony Albanese down one to 41% and steady on 40%, and Morrison’s preferred prime minister lead out from 58-26 to 59-26. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1850, which is rather more than the usual 1500 to 1600.
steve davis @ #1098 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 7:12 pm
I’m sure nath and his cohort of imbecility will be along shortly to disabuse you of such notions.
Is ‘greed’ an ideology?
It is but it’s normally called something else, like ”neoliberalism”, ”free markets”, etc.
Greensborough Growler:
[‘Cue, women should not be working while pregnant?’]
What a heap of crap, with sexist overtones. You really don’t get it, cobber. Most women, unless there are complications, can work until their water breaks. I have, for instance, a great-niece, in the trailer park, who was delivered of child two weeks ago, working to the day before giving birth. Similarly, so did her mother. Giving birth is not a malady!
SNIP
Poor GG, mansplaining doesn’t work like it used to for you.
Every case of covid is one case too many.
However to keep things in perspective, the latest Florida tally (pop 21.5m compared with Victoria 6.6m) is 12,478 new cases and 87 new deaths on Sunday US time.
The British Parliament has put out an extensive report on Russian meddling…
“The security threat posed by Russia is difficult for the West to manage as, in our view and that of many others, it appears fundamentally nihilistic. Russia seems to see foreign policy as a zero-sum game: any actions it can take which damage the West are fundamentally good for Russia. It is also seemingly fed by paranoia, believing that Western institutions such as NATO and the EU have a far more aggressive posture towards it than they do in reality. There is also a sense that Russia believes that an undemocratic ‘might is right’ world order plays to its strengths, which leads it to seek to undermine the Rules Based International Order – whilst nonetheless benefitting from its membership of international political and economic institutions. 5. Russia’s substantive aims, however, are relatively limited: it wishes to be seen as a resurgent ‘great power’ – in particular, dominating the countries of the former USSR – and to ensure that the privileged position of its leadership clique is not damaged.”
https://www.scribd.com/document/469886680/Russia-Report#download&from_embed
GG,
Yawn.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=68MKLkNSMN4
This has got to be the most outrageous highlight reel for any small forward in the AFL. Eddy Betts is an absolute champion of the AFL. Just watch and enjoy!
https://twitter.com/i/status/1285473392473194497
A sound bite from Barilaro on news late today:
– Any outbreaks in NSW are Victoria’s fault.
– Opposes ACT government idea of a “Canberra region bubble” (towns within commuting distance of Canberra) since NSW has virus under control.
ACT has reason to worry about NSW infections as 80 people from Canberra are facing mandatory isolation, having been in the Batemans Bay RSL when two infected people from Sydney visited.
GG:
[Is it sweet or dry Sherry tonight?’]
Dear GG, though dry’s my preference, you’ve not addressed the substantive question, WB having ticked me off before. I refuse to accuse you of being a B.A. Santamaria acolyte.
Now watching bods on 7.30 “exposing” the Victorian government’s allegedly lacklustre management of hotel lockdown. Both security guards and internees giving testimony.
The actual situation is that we mostly all thought we had beaten the virus. Cases were negligible. Governments were chanting about re-opening the economy. Party-goers were itching to party. Night after night we were told how awful lockdown was for everybody… grannies, grandkids, pubsters, joggers, barristas, personal trainers et al… and how pointless (as COVID-19 didn’t apply to Australia, not really).
Well, we’ve found out it DOES apply to Australia. Every pandemic has its “second wave” (if you can call the leaky tap of 0.04% we are experiencing at the moment a “wave”). “Second Waves” come about because we survive the initial barrage, dust ourselves off, think we’re invulnerable, have a glance over the parapet… and then get our heads blown off.
So really? Nothing to see here. We’re still learning. Or rather, RE-learning the lesson learnt 100 years ago with the Spanish Flu: the virus does not care about our petty obsessions.
Lars Von Trier:
Tuesday, July 21, 2020 at 7:29 pm
[‘Poor GG, mansplaining doesn’t work like it used to for you.’]
Lars, please stop being so ungrateful.
I get those after 2 or 6 pints of Coopers Pale Ale. I gave them up because they seemed to be doing the opposite of what you say.
Mavis @ #1109 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 7:47 pm
Any Port in a storm of bullshit.
If you actually looked at what I posted instead of stumble uncontrollably in to a post of gotcha stupidity, you might look at Puffy’s response and just take a breath.
I know you want to engage. But, really being the blog Rumpole is not going to cut it comrade.
But, do carry on!
How massive a seawall do these people at Wamberal want?
Then they’ll just have to offer better pay and working conditions that are slightly less intolerable, won’t they? Too hard, I guess?
The fact that both major parties at State and Federal level have created Local Planning laws that have led to massive land value increases meaning a family requires both parents to work in order to pay rent or a mortgage is Australia’s greatest political failing. We live in a Continent with one of the lowest population densities in the world and certainly the developed world and yet have some of the highest average land and house prices in the world. It’s is logical that in the older developed areas that land and house values will rise due to rising demand for a fixed stock but in new areas the market prices should allow one income earner to be able afford a home and support a family.
Bucephalus @ #1116 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 7:58 pm
Are you prepared to recoil from your outrageous post earlier today?
citizen @ #1114 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 7:58 pm
It’s all Dan Andrew’s fault!
I feel sorry for the people at Wamberal. It must be incredibly distressing for them.
No doubt they bought a house built on sand (or built one) but some compassion for people in terrifying circumstances is not unreasonable.
Bushfire Bill says:
Tuesday, July 21, 2020 at 7:48 pm
We haven’t had any waves – just ripples.
Sweden Daily New Deaths – 7-Day moving average =3
What laws in particular?
I have found it odd that land prices have increased substantially in Adelaide (still far more affordable than elsewhere) yet the population has not increased. New land has been made available, both in the outer and inner suburbs, apartments and the Hills.
I often wonder WTF is going on. All I have are politically biased suspicions.
I used to surf near there.
I dont feel sorry for them. This hasnt come without plenty of warning. Decades of warning.
Simon Katich says:
Tuesday, July 21, 2020 at 8:04 pm
I feel sorry for the people at Wamberal. It must be incredibly distressing for them.
I used to surf near there.
I dont feel sorry for them. This hasnt come without plenty of warning. Decades of warning.
______________________________
Good for you Simon.
The truth housing on sand is perfectly safe – its the fact of the freak waves eroding the sand which caused it. After all the freak waves are a 1-40 year event.
But because these people fit a convenient narrative – beach loving tories they must of course suffer and be left penniless by the destruction of their homes.
L’arse writes:
They built or bought properties right on the beach (by definition the most vulnerable of topographies), on the edge of the biggest, most storm-prone ocean on the planet, presumably because they thought living even one street back was terribly plebian. And anyway… what a view!
Hard to have sympathy. You get what you paid for, including the ocean.
Wamberal? I thought they were lefties.
They bought housing right on the edge of forests and national parks on the South Coast of New South Wales which had a history of bush fires, some compassion for people in terrifying circumstances (bushfires) is not unreasonable.
“I feel sorry for the people at Wamberal. It must be incredibly distressing for them.
No doubt they bought a house built on sand (or built one) but some compassion for people in terrifying circumstances is not unreasonable.”
No way, typical property greedies who are now calling for the State Government to fund new works (before it was the council). Coastal property owners have been on notice about climate risk for at least 20 years. It is now up to them to do the fix, not the taxpayer.
Greensborough Growler:
Tuesday, July 21, 2020 at 7:55 pm
Yes, I think most of the female posters seem to have congruence – the alpha male?.
Bushfire Bill @ #1125 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 8:08 pm
ESJ has never had much regard for taking personal responsibility for decisions made whether they be personal or political. Mouthing off is all they have.
Tucker the …….. graphic content warning of Murdoch’s cesspool.
“Two women filed a lawsuit against Fox News in a New York federal court Monday, alleging rape and sexual harassment at the hands of some of the network’s top talent, including the recently fired Ed Henry and primetime stars Sean Hannity and Tucker Carlson.
Jennifer Eckhart, a former associate producer at Fox Business, accuses Henry, the former co-anchor of “America’s Newsroom,” of rape and other forms of sexual violence. Her co-plaintiff, Cathy Areu, a regular guest on the network, filed sexual harassment claims against Henry, as well as Hannity, Carlson and the “Media Buzz” host Howard Kurtz. The four men have also been sued in their individual capacities.
Michael J. Willemin, an attorney who represents the women along with veteran sexual misconduct litigator Doug Wigdor, told Salon that Fox News had been informed of Areu’s allegations against Carlson on July 9, four days before the host announced that he would be taking a “pre-planned vacation.”
A Fox News spokesperson confirmed in an email that the network had learned about Areu’s claims against Carlson on July 9 — and “promptly investigated them.”
“Tucker is still employed, and this has zero to do with his vacation, which was legit and pre-planned,” the spokesperson added.
https://www.salon.com/2020/07/20/lawsuit-accuses-former-fox-news-anchor-ed-henry-of-rape-and-current-top-talent-of-sexual-harassment/
The real estate market is dysfunctional. It mixes buyers looking for somewhere to live, buyers wanting to by a property to rent out to earn income and “investors” looking for tax-advantaged capital gains following from endless price escalation. Australia’s housing market is a crime against the young, robbing them of their savings.
Mavis @ #1129 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 8:16 pm
Have you ever had a congruence? Did you enjoy it?
A handy guide to compassion is to check the local booth whenever a natural disaster impacts on locals. If the booth has a positive ALP 2pp vote then sympathy can be expressed. If not. Then let them burn in hell. Grimace taught me this.
frednk @ #1015 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 2:40 pm
The problem is that a ‘positive’ requires a minimum time of exposure to a source less than a defined distance away. The phone bluetooth systems have NO reliable means of detecting the distance to a potential connection. There are multiple versions and classes of bluetooth transmitter/receivers fitted to phones, which can even be changed during a particular models market lifetime. This year’s model can literally be 20 times more sensitive than one 3 years old, and there are, of course, literally hundreds of brand/models in use, all of which are different.
The only way a receiver can tell the distance of a sender is by, in some way, assessing it from signal strength and type. Neither of these is, in any half way reliable manner, capable of being processed to provide that essential piece of information. As pointed out by Sven Mattisson, who invented Bluetooth, a signal from a phone could be attenuated 70db by travelling through a person (you with your phone in your top pocket, or handbag) 1 metre away, or through unoccupied space of 10 metres. “Exact numbers vary with objects, signal reflections etc., so it is hard to give anything but rough numbers.” Mattisson added.
Rough numbers, which can’t tell whether a phone is 0.5 metres or 20 metres away, are not ‘data’, they are meaningless noise, and they certainly cannot be turned into actionable information under any circumstances. I invite BB to try. The government will apparently give him a few million dollars, whether it works or not.
Here is an objective, interesting article, which is quite technical, that explains the problem pretty well, and clearly explains why Covid(Not)Safe does not work.
https://medium.com/personaldata-io/inferring-distance-from-bluetooth-signal-strength-a-deep-dive-fe7badc2bb6d
To give you an idea of the variability between and within phone models, here are plots of received bluetooth signal strength, in a test chamber, at 2 metres distance, for multiple brands and models. Note that -55 is 20 times -75.
nath, you can be an absolute mongrel bastard when you want to be.
My question is, Why would you want to be?
Or as some Christian sects have sung for centuries:
We are the pure and Chosen few
The rest of you be Damned
There’s room enough in Hell for you
We can’t have Heaven crammed.
Roger Sollenberger
@SollenbergerRC
·
10h
SCOOP: I can confirm that Fox News knew details of sexual harassment allegations against Tucker Carlson four days before he announced his “pre-planned vacation” last week. New in
@Salon
New lawsuit accuses top Fox News talent of rape and sexual harassment
Salon can report Fox knew of the harassment allegations days before Tucker Carlson announced his vacation last week
Steve777 @ #1132 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 8:18 pm
Anyone that bought an apartment off the plan in a mult-story deveopment for investment in the last 3 years is a bunny.
People that have bought multiple properties and don’t have tenants are going to feel the pain of being sold up.
With the various Government incentives, this is as good a time to buy for FHBs in decades.
Cobargo (surrounded by Wadbilliga National Park and Wallaga Lake National Park and surprisingly experience bushfire ) boo the Prime Minister – those poor people!
Wamberal (beachfront homes suffer freak waves – vote Liberal in Dobell) -serves them right , they should suffer in their jocks!
Such is the hypocrisy of some on Pollbludger!
Simon Katich @ #1121 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 8:04 pm
The most damaged house, this time, was built on the exact same spot (same block) as a house that fell onto that beach in 1978. None of those blocks should ever have been subdivided or built on. They are on the foredunes, between a lagoon and the ocean, on a south east facing beach. Utter stupidity.
Funnily enough, there is a veritable real estate boom in our sleepy little village up here on the Glorious Mid-North Coast of NSW.
Unfortunately most of the buyers are cashed-up Mexicans from Sydney looking for an escape from the pox-ridden slums of Leichhardt, Chippendale and Dee Why.
Bushfire Bill @ #1142 Tuesday, July 21st, 2020 – 8:37 pm
Land value!
Re GG @8:31.
You are no doubt right there. I don’t mind “investors” being burnt as prices crash in a deep recession. Speculation is supposed to be risky. Hopefully it will discourage others. The main problem is that it will affect lots of genuine homebuyers who brought in at the inflated prices of recent years.
Bushfire Bill says:
Unfortunately most of the buyers are cashed-up Mexicans from Sydney looking for an escape from the pox-ridden slums of Leichhardt, Chippendale and Dee Why.
______
You should see Greensborough!
Who is deserving and undeserving? nath is right Labor 2PP is a key determinant.
Should there be a deserving/ undeserving test for single mothers benefits?
Maybe a Pollbludger committee of GG, BB and BW can interview the women and make critical assessments of how it came to pass that they were single parents and assess what efforts they were making to re-partner?
To be fair to the cliff-dwellers of Wamberal, someone (Gosford City Council) approved the land for development, likely decades ago, and they bought in good faith. Even if the land were stable, development should not be allowed right on the waterfront like that.
Bushfire Bill
Funnily enough, there is a veritable real estate boom in our sleepy little village up here on the Glorious Mid-North Coast of NSW.
———-
Yes indeed!
I recently sold my house and wanting to stay in the Northern Rivers suddenly I find that any house I could afford just a few weeks ago has been bought up. One agent told me they are getting inquiries from Australians in the UK and USA who are buying without visiting!