Newspoll state leaders and coronavirus polling

Persistent high ratings all round for state Premiers and the Prime Minister amid the coronavirus crisis, but signs the current Victorian outbreak may have cost Daniel Andrews some shine.

Courtesy of The Australian, Newspoll offers a repeat of an exercise conducted two months ago in which a large national sample is polled to produce state-level results on the popularity of premiers as well as the Prime Minister, both generally and in their dealings with the coronavirus. While the results are positive all round, they find Daniel Andrews falling from a top tier that continues to include Peter Gutwein, Mark McGowan and Steven Marshall, bringing him about level with Gladys Berejiklian but still clear of Annastacia Palaszczuk.

Andrews was down eight on approval to 67% and up ten on disapproval to 27%, while Berejiklian was down one to 68% and up three to 26%. Allowing for small sample sizes in the smaller states, Peter Gutwein took the lead (up six on approval to 90% and down three on disapproval to 8%) from Mark McGowan (down one to 88% and up three on 9%). Despite continuing to trail the pack, Palaszczuk recorded the best improvement with a four point increase in approval to 59% and a four point drop on disapproval to 35%.

However, Palaszczuk remains the only Premier with a weaker net approval rating in their state than Scott Morrison, who according to the poll has strengthened in Queensland (by five on approval to 72%, and down four on disapproval to 24%) but weakened everywhere else (approval down six to 61% and disapproval up five to 35% in New South Wales; down seven to 65% and up four to 30% in Victoria; down three to 67% and up two to 29% in South Australia; down three to 70% and up three to 26% in Western Australia; down four to 60% and up six to 37% in Tasmania).

Andrews’ deterioration on approval is more than matched on the question of handling of coronavirus, on which he now trails out of the Premiers with 72% for well (down 13 points) and 25% for badly (up 14). This pushes him behind Berejiklian (up two to 79% and down two to 16%), Palaszczuk (up four to 76% and down one to 22%) and Marshall (up five to 87% and down two to 9%). Still clear of the field are McGowan and Gutwein, who are tied at 93% well (down one for McGowan, up four for Gutwein) and 5% badly (up one and down three). Scott Morrison’s ratings on this score are little changed, and remarkably consistent from state to state — Queensland and South Australia are his best with 84% well and 14% poorly apiece, but his weakest result, in New South Wales, is still 79% well and 18% badly.

The poll was conducted from a national sample of 2949, ranging from 526 in Victoria to 309 in Tasmania.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,085 comments on “Newspoll state leaders and coronavirus polling”

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  1. Mavis

    I would have thought sex with a cigarette lighter would better suit your Bohemian life style
    ————-
    Are people having sex with cigarette lighters now?

    Nothing surprises me.

  2. Zerlo says:
    Wednesday, July 1, 2020 at 9:07 pm
    I am not whatever the fuck that person is Lars Von Trash.
    _________________________________
    Perhaps your not – the anger you display reminds me of ……………………

  3. C@tmomma @ #998 Wednesday, July 1st, 2020 – 9:08 pm

    Lars Von Trier @ #992 Wednesday, July 1st, 2020 – 9:00 pm

    Its a disaster for Albo c@t, he’s mismanaged expectations around E-M, looks like its loose-loose.

    Let’s just wait and see, shall we? We all know already that you want Labor to lose.

    Plus, if Labor DO lose, and my fervent hope is that they do not, considering the venal federal government of Scott Morrison, what it will be a function of is Scott Morrison using all the levers of power and a shedload of taxpayers’ money to buy the seat.

    It will give you, nath and mundo gloating rights though. What an achievement to be proud of.

    Spelling is the loser, Lars!

  4. I’m actually hoping Labor wins EM.

    Got word on Shorten mounting a comeback if EM falls or something, nath? 😉

  5. Here is a tip Lars, double your money in less than a week on Sportsbet.. then you’ll be crowing..

    Eden-Monaro By-Election

    Kristy McBain (ALP) 1.70
    Fiona Kotvojs (Liberal) 2.10
    Trevor Hicks (Nationals) 15.00

  6. I just donated $5 to Kristy’s campaign so they can run some more fb and Twitter ads. 🙂

    That is because I am the last of the big donors left giving money to the ALP. 😉

  7. sprocket_ says:

    Wednesday, July 1, 2020 at 9:22 pm

    [‘Lars is a looser, nath is a loser, mundo is a lser…. all lost’]

    Have you considered an early night(?).

  8. Good for you Bob sprocket, lesser hacks would have given the prediction game away after your 3 out of 10 in the Last Federal election, but you’ve gotten back on the prediction horse – Bully for you!!!

  9. I don’t have this “impersonation”, William Bowe.

    (BECAUSE I AM Zerlo, not this other mystery person you call Zoidlord).

  10. “boerwarsays:
    Wednesday, July 1, 2020 at 9:23 pm
    Blobbit
    Thanks for response on what is engineering construction.
    11% fall is not good.
    Worse to come?”

    Yep. 8% down from the same time last year, not 11%, for the private sector. Definitely worse to come as that was pre Covid.

    Government spending will be needed to pull it up.

  11. Eamon Javers@EamonJavers
    ·
    42m
    More bad news for President Trump on our new CNBC/Change Research battleground States of Play poll our this morning: Joe Biden leads by 6 points in the 6 battleground states (50 to 44), up 3 points over the past two weeks. Biden has a lead in all six battleground states now.

  12. Monsieur Sproquet,

    Lars is a looser, nath is a loser, mundo is a lser…. all lost

    Don’t forget ME. I’m a loser too!

  13. But statues are being bullied, so fark the economy.

    Sorry, think I’ve picked up a bit of Mundo-itis, or I’m just over the culture war crap.

  14. Zerlo
    Slang for ZERO used by Ricky in trailer park boys.
    Ricky : Our chances of pulling this thing of are pretty much fucking zerlo Julian.
    Julian : I know Ricky but it will be bigger than this big dirty.

  15. The Shovel
    @TheShovel
    YEAR 12 MATHS QUESTION: A man with $270 billion is worried that the world is getting poorer. Should he:
    a)Use the $270 billion to fix the poverty
    b)Buy a missile

    Sorry, too good not to repost.

  16. Rational Leftist says:
    Wednesday, July 1, 2020 at 9:21 pm

    I’m actually hoping Labor wins EM.

    Got word on Shorten mounting a comeback if EM falls or something, nath?
    ________________________
    Indeed. Tempting as it is to let Shorten deliver his third concession speech. Good to see Albo finally make a spending commitment. He will be a good PM. It’s a shame his front bench is so awful. Still, it’s not his fault for that.

  17. ‘Blobbit says:
    Wednesday, July 1, 2020 at 9:31 pm

    But statues are being bullied, so fark the economy.

    Sorry, think I’ve picked up a bit of Mundo-itis, or I’m just over the culture war crap.’

    FWIW, without wanting to contumacious, you seem to have set up a false binary.

    There have been masses of suggestions from the left culture warriors, very broadly defined, on what to do about the economy during the Virus. Lots of these involve generating economic activity by engineering works that improve productivity. They also tend to focus on propping up the demand side whereas the Morrison Government is focusing on the supply side. Some economists say that that is fine. Others say that focusing on the supply side when the demand side is busted is foolish. I’m a bit in the middle on that one… I reckon that a mix and match of both might be the best way to go.

  18. Bushfire Bill:

    Wednesday, July 1, 2020 at 9:30 pm

    [‘Lars is a looser, nath is a loser, mundo is a lser…. all lost

    Don’t forget ME. I’m a loser too!’]

    You’re no loser; you’re just boorish, in sync with anor – was it lunch?

  19. “FWIW, without wanting to contumacious, you seem to have set up a false binary.”

    Boerwar – it ain’t the left culture warriors I have an issue with.

    It’s the ones on the right who only get worked up about the poor statues who shit me to tears.

    At least the ones on the left are worried about humans.

  20. VP

    Mavis is Jim Lahey from trailer park boys
    Who’s Randy ?

    Clearly, it’s whoever’s holding the cigarette lighter…

  21. bandit1a
    workingclasshistory:
    “On this day, 30 June 1960, Congo achieved independence from Belgium following decades of brutal colonial rule which killed 8-10 million people – half its population.
    Belgian authorities used men for forced labour in the rubber…

    On this day, 30 June 1960, Congo achieved independence from Belgium following decades of brutal colonial rule which killed 8-10 million people – half its population.
    Belgian authorities used men for forced labour in the rubber industry, having the wives and children of workers who didn’t meet their daily quotas dismembered, killed and even eaten.
    Following independence, Belgium and other Western powers continued to maintain power and rob the country’s rich natural resources. The first democratically elected Prime Minister, socialist Patrice Lumumba was arrested, tortured and murdered on the instructions of Belgium and the CIA, who then installed a brutal dictator.
    This book gives a detailed history of colonialism in Congo: https://shop.workingclasshistory.com/collections/books/products/lord-leverhulme-s-ghosts-colonial-exploitation-in-the-congo-jules-marchal

    Pictured: A Congolese worker called Nsala with the severed hand and foot of his five-year-old daughter, Boali. His daughter and wife were killed and eaten by the militia of the Anglo-Belgian India Rubber Company as he hadn’t met his rubber quota for the day. https://www.facebook.com/workingclasshistory/photos/a.296224173896073/1463723333812812/?type=3

  22. As to what economic stimulus is needed – it’s pretty much going to need to be everything. I’d prefer it to have an emphasis on “stuff” that will have a more positive environmental outcome.

    And spend some money on other stuff as well. Doesn’t just have to be building stuff.

  23. Blobbit says:
    Wednesday, July 1, 2020 at 8:43 pm
    “Hey Buce, any thoughts on the fall in engineering construction of 8% compared to the same time last year?”

    None whatsoever because neither the AFR, The Australian or the ABC appear to have current stories on it – what is it?

  24. “Eventually, growing scrutiny of Leopold’s regime led to a popular campaign movement, centred in the United Kingdom and the United States, to force Leopold to renounce his ownership of the Congo. In many cases, the campaigns based their information on reports from British and Swedish missionaries working in the Congo.”

  25. “Bucephalussays:
    Wednesday, July 1, 2020 at 10:22 pm
    Economic activity is falling. Who knew? Why isn’t this leading every news bulletin?”

    Buce – this is before Covid. Jan to March.

    More fun to talk about statues I guess.

  26. It would appear a reasonable proposition that if you can’t lock down a hotel then you are unlikely to be able to lock down a suburb let alone ten postcodes. Professional footballers whose current livelihood depends on successful limited contacts are even ignoring the Victorian rules and no I won’t cut him some slack because he’s from Collingwood.

    Good luck with that.

  27. “It would appear a reasonable proposition that if you can’t lock down a hotel then you are unlikely to be able to lock down a suburb let alone ten postcodes”

    Look over there.

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