Newspoll state leaders and coronavirus polling

Persistent high ratings all round for state Premiers and the Prime Minister amid the coronavirus crisis, but signs the current Victorian outbreak may have cost Daniel Andrews some shine.

Courtesy of The Australian, Newspoll offers a repeat of an exercise conducted two months ago in which a large national sample is polled to produce state-level results on the popularity of premiers as well as the Prime Minister, both generally and in their dealings with the coronavirus. While the results are positive all round, they find Daniel Andrews falling from a top tier that continues to include Peter Gutwein, Mark McGowan and Steven Marshall, bringing him about level with Gladys Berejiklian but still clear of Annastacia Palaszczuk.

Andrews was down eight on approval to 67% and up ten on disapproval to 27%, while Berejiklian was down one to 68% and up three to 26%. Allowing for small sample sizes in the smaller states, Peter Gutwein took the lead (up six on approval to 90% and down three on disapproval to 8%) from Mark McGowan (down one to 88% and up three on 9%). Despite continuing to trail the pack, Palaszczuk recorded the best improvement with a four point increase in approval to 59% and a four point drop on disapproval to 35%.

However, Palaszczuk remains the only Premier with a weaker net approval rating in their state than Scott Morrison, who according to the poll has strengthened in Queensland (by five on approval to 72%, and down four on disapproval to 24%) but weakened everywhere else (approval down six to 61% and disapproval up five to 35% in New South Wales; down seven to 65% and up four to 30% in Victoria; down three to 67% and up two to 29% in South Australia; down three to 70% and up three to 26% in Western Australia; down four to 60% and up six to 37% in Tasmania).

Andrews’ deterioration on approval is more than matched on the question of handling of coronavirus, on which he now trails out of the Premiers with 72% for well (down 13 points) and 25% for badly (up 14). This pushes him behind Berejiklian (up two to 79% and down two to 16%), Palaszczuk (up four to 76% and down one to 22%) and Marshall (up five to 87% and down two to 9%). Still clear of the field are McGowan and Gutwein, who are tied at 93% well (down one for McGowan, up four for Gutwein) and 5% badly (up one and down three). Scott Morrison’s ratings on this score are little changed, and remarkably consistent from state to state — Queensland and South Australia are his best with 84% well and 14% poorly apiece, but his weakest result, in New South Wales, is still 79% well and 18% badly.

The poll was conducted from a national sample of 2949, ranging from 526 in Victoria to 309 in Tasmania.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,085 comments on “Newspoll state leaders and coronavirus polling”

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  1. Rakali says:
    Wednesday, July 1, 2020 at 3:22 pm

    The 2011 census recorded the population of England as 53.0 million, Scotland as 5.3 million, Wales as 3.1 million, and Northern Ireland as 1.8 million.

    Given the relative sizes and history exactly what do you think the relationships should be?

  2. WeWantPaul says:
    Wednesday, July 1, 2020 at 3:31 pm

    I saw that and it turns out it’s a load of BS. The people just have to apply for visas. No big deal.

  3. The England part of the UK is a huge contributor to the poorer parts of the UK i.e. Scotland, Wales and Ulster.

    Any of those parts who go independent would have a huge financial downturn.

  4. meher baba says:
    Wednesday, July 1, 2020 at 3:36 pm

    One might have thought that given the circumstances a curious Premier getting a briefing from his staff on the break down in the Quarantine would have asked which companies supplied the Security Guards but apparently the question never entered his mind nor how the companies were awarded their contracts. Fortunately a retired Judge might ask them. Maybe.

  5. Holdenhillbilly @ #805 Wednesday, July 1st, 2020 – 1:50 pm

    The England part of the UK is a huge contributor to the poorer parts of the UK i.e. Scotland, Wales and Ulster.

    Any of those parts who go independent would have a huge financial downturn.

    It will be interesting to see how those bits of England perform in a post brexit post covid start (I’m not sure we’ll see an end).

  6. ‘shellbell says:
    Wednesday, July 1, 2020 at 2:19 pm

    BW

    [Was Morrison on the money with his frenzied urging to open schools?]

    Yes and it wasn’t frenzied. We are now months into return to school and there has been ample time for the accumulation of evidence (here and abroad) to say it was contraindicated. Has not happened.

    Been a huge and beneficial outcome (as a father of three school age children).’

    Yeah, nah. Morrison has been flogging one size fits all, as long as that size is HIS size.

  7. The Disunited Kingdom?

    The questions are why the poor bits are poor, and would that stay the same post British train wreck.
    London sucks the juice out of everyone else and everything else.
    Some gets sent back out to keep the proles (many in NI, Scotland and Wales but many also in parts of England, ‘happy’.
    The sixty four billion quid question is whether the EU will succeed in mainlanding the City.
    They will certainly try.
    The other big question is how they intend to dismember the offshore island bits of their myriad supply chains.
    Nuff Nuff Boris?

  8. ‘shellbell says:
    Wednesday, July 1, 2020 at 3:25 pm

    NSW first reported no cases on 12 May.

    Since then there have been 1,002 cases recorded Oz wide of which Vic has reported 778.

    Given that NSW has a high percentage of returning quarantine cases (and most WA cases in the period were a visiting commercial ship), Victoria dominates the community transmissions.

    A broad inquiry by the to be named judge is warranted.’

    Dyson has time on his hands. Guaranteed result.

  9. lizzie @ #809 Wednesday, July 1st, 2020 – 2:03 pm

    ” rel=”nofollow”>

    Australia DITCHES its iconic kangaroo as a national brand symbol.
    How good is marketing?

    That is a little abstract, a marketing tool that would need a marketing campaign to make sense in 90% of the world. I assume it is predominantly for redneck bogans here in the Au land.

  10. If dropped from space the initial velocity (akin to “muzzle velocity”) before such a projectile exited a vacuum and entered the atmosphere would be pretty high.

    510m/s sounds quite a bit slow in that scenario. I think the air density given would have been at sea level, but as we all know the atmosphere things out pretty quick as you get higher.

  11. Karvelas: If the government wins EM it will be the first time in 100 years…Albanese: the first time since a pandemic.PK: If you lose, will you take responsibility?Albanese: I don't know what that means.— Paul Karp (@Paul_Karp) July 1, 2020

    Wow !

  12. ‘Blobbit says:
    Wednesday, July 1, 2020 at 4:11 pm

    No one concerned about an 8% fall in Engineering construction since this time last year?

    And that has before Covid?’

    I am. That, and 20% drop in hours worked. That, and the general disappearance of income for self-funded superannuants – many of whom will go on the pension. That, and the decline of house prices. That, and the fall in share prices. That, and the forthcoming drop in wages.

    That and the general sense that Scotty from Marketing is not going to take any time off from doing Scotty from Marketing.

  13. I’m sure half of them think the Glorious Empire will return as soon as Brexit takes effect! That’ll be at the end of the year. ?

    At least they will be out of the EUs Dog’s Breakfast!.

  14. WeWantPaul

    She can be quite reasonable some days, and then she’ll suddenly turn feral. Always insisting she doesn’t play favourites. 😉

  15. 1934pc @ #829 Wednesday, July 1st, 2020 – 2:24 pm

    I’m sure half of them think the Glorious Empire will return as soon as Brexit takes effect! That’ll be at the end of the year. ?

    At least they will be out of the EUs Dog’s Breakfast!.

    I don’t know if I had to choose to spend the rest of my life without even a day off, in either the EU or what is left of the United Kingdom, the decision would take less than a second and I’d never ever set foot in England or the UK ever again.

  16. The G

    Meanwhile,the opposition leader Anthony Albanese is on ABC24 and arguing with Patricia Karvelas about a post made by the Queensland Labor party about Queensland being “flooded” by Victorians.
    :::

    Karvelas: “Is that an appropriate language use?”

    Albanese: “Well, of course, the Queensland opposition, a bit like the Victorian opposition, have continued to try to play politics with this issue … ”

    Karvelas: “No, no, hang on a minute. I’ve got to stop you here. This is Labor playing politics, ‘flooding Victorians’ in Queensland. That’s not appropriate language, is it, about your fellow Australians?”

    Albanese: “No, the Queensland LNP have throughout this period attacked the Palaszczuk government… [Queensland opposition leader] Deb Frecklington has played politics the whole way through.”

    Karvelas: “Does that mean Labor should play politics, too?”

    Albanese: “Well, I’m answerable for my own actions.”

    Karvelas: “No, no, it is the Labor party. It is your brand?”

    Albanese: “Well, I haven’t seen it, Patricia, and with respect, if you are going to raise something with me, I expect to be given some notice and to be able to check from it.”

    I believe I speak for all of us when I say: UGH.

  17. Bucephalus

    Given the relative sizes and history exactly what do you think the relationships should be?
    ————-
    As far as Scotland goes it’s very simple. The withdrawal from the 1707 Treaty. 🙂

  18. ‘1934pc says:
    Wednesday, July 1, 2020 at 4:24 pm

    I’m sure half of them think the Glorious Empire will return as soon as Brexit takes effect! That’ll be at the end of the year. ?

    At least they will be out of the EUs Dog’s Breakfast!.’

    It is a historic tragedy, IMO.
    The likely results are that the Tories will drag down environmental standards and workers standards in a race to the bottom. The possible benefits are that Ireland will become united and the Scots will be able to rid themselves of Borisbane.
    The EU will become, as Putin intended when he frigged around with the Brexit vote, less stable and more vulnerable.
    With a bit of luck the EU will manage to capture the City and its 50 billion quid a year in taxes.
    It will also pluck the Brit bits out of their supply chains, building the EU economy.
    The EU will refuse to import British goods and services that are ‘cheap’ because they are environment eaters and are built on screwing workers.
    All for what? The struggle between Corbyn – a chinless wonder – and Johnson – a witless wanker?

  19. AGM-158C Long Range Anti-Ship Missile average cost (currently)in Aussie is around $5,750,000 per missile. So $800,000,000 will buy about 100 – 120 with the rest as training (shouting, “Bang.” and “Whoosh.” and “Kaboom.” because they probably won’t let them live fire test because they cost money) and maintenance and other sundry tasks.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/jun/30/australia-to-acquire-long-range-missiles-as-pm-warns-of-dangerous-post-covid-19-world

  20. Rex Douglas @ #831 Wednesday, July 1st, 2020 – 2:26 pm

    WeWantPaul @ #825 Wednesday, July 1st, 2020 – 4:19 pm

    lizzie @ #822 Wednesday, July 1st, 2020 – 2:13 pm

    Karvelas and Albo going toe to toe without mercy on 24.

    It is time they gave Pat an LNP senate seat for services above and beyond

    Not sure why you’d say that …?

    You can take the media personality out of sky, but you can never take the sky out of the media personality, nor make them anything like a journo.

    Now we can argue about better ways Albo may have handled the bushfire and the pandemic, and all the neocon shitfuckery Morrison has done, but you can’t argue that essentially he has been sidelined and made irrelevant to the national discourse pretty much the whole year. Albo just isn’t a factor in the byelection. It is a referendum on the Govt. Maybe the ‘rally to the flag’ that media personalities all across Australia’s useless broken stupid media establishment have been cheerleaders for, get the LNP across the line, maybe the voters aren’t complete morons and #ScottyfromMarketing takes a hit for being overseas and lying about it in a crisis and then being a partisan fool full of shitfuckery during a pandemic. But whatever happens Pat from Sky News’ line of abuse of the opposition leader is very in line with the way the Australian media think and work and just complete useless, worse than useless shitfuckery for Murdoch.

  21. WeWantPaul @ #842 Wednesday, July 1st, 2020 – 4:36 pm

    Rex Douglas @ #831 Wednesday, July 1st, 2020 – 2:26 pm

    WeWantPaul @ #825 Wednesday, July 1st, 2020 – 4:19 pm

    lizzie @ #822 Wednesday, July 1st, 2020 – 2:13 pm

    Karvelas and Albo going toe to toe without mercy on 24.

    It is time they gave Pat an LNP senate seat for services above and beyond

    Not sure why you’d say that …?

    You can take the media personality out of sky, but you can never take the sky out of the media personality, nor make them anything like a journo.

    Now we can argue about better ways Albo may have handled the bushfire and the pandemic, and all the neocon shitfuckery Morrison has done, but you can’t argue that essentially he has been sidelined and made irrelevant to the national discourse pretty much the whole year. Albo just isn’t a factor in the byelection. It is a referendum on the Govt. Maybe the ‘rally to the flag’ that media personalities all across Australia’s useless broken stupid media establishment have been cheerleaders for, get the LNP across the line, maybe the voters aren’t complete morons and #ScottyfromMarketing takes a hit for being overseas and lying about it in a crisis and then being a partisan fool full of shitfuckery during a pandemic. But whatever happens Pat from Sky News’ line of abuse of the opposition leader is very in line with the way the Australian media think and work and just complete useless, worse than useless shitfuckery for Murdoch.

    I’ve seen PK tear apart hack politicians from all persuasions like no other political interviewer.

  22. Holdenhillbilly says:
    Wednesday, July 1, 2020 at 3:50 pm
    The England part of the UK is a huge contributor to the poorer parts of the UK i.e. Scotland, Wales and Ulster.

    Any of those parts who go independent would have a huge financial downturn.
    ————-
    What Westminster inspired nonsense.

    If Scotland was free from Westminster control it would be free to raise its living standards to its nearest neighbours: Denmark and Norway. Being controlled by London has held back Scottish development immensely.

    Has it ever crossed your mind to wonder why Westminster fights tooth and nail and very dirty to hold on to Scotland if its such a burden?

  23. And extra couple of hundred billion?
    Scotty from Marketing is quick on the pledge.
    Not quite so quick on picking up the tab.
    Revenue has fallen off a cliff.
    Something’s gotta give.
    Given the mental furniture, that would be Australia’s poor buggers.

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