Essential Research: coronavirus restrictions and conspiracy theories

A poll suggests a significant proportion of the population believes coronavirus was engineered in a Chinese laboratory, but other conspiracy theories remain consigned to the fringe.

Courtesy of The Guardian, some headline results of another weekly Essential Research poll on coronavirus, the full report of which should be published later today. This includes regular questions on federal and state governments’ handling with the crisis, of which we are only told that respondents remain highly positive, and on easing restrictions, for which we are told only 25% now consider it too soon, which is down two on last time and has been consistently declining over five surveys.

Beyond that, the survey gauged response to a number of what might be described as conspiracy theories concerning the virus. By far the most popular was the notion that the virus “was engineered and released from a Chinese laboratory in Wuhan”, which has received a certain amount of encouragement from the Daily Telegraph but is starkly at odds with the scientific consensus. Agreement and disagreement with this proposition was tied on 39%.

Thirteen per cent subscribed to a theory that Bill Gates was involved in the creation and spread of the virus, with 71% disagreeing; 13% agreed the virus was not dangerous and was being used to force people to get vaccines, with 79% disagreeing; 12% thought the 5G network was being used to spread the virus, with 75% disagreeing; and 20% agreed the number of deaths was being exaggerated, with “more than 70%” disagreeing. The poll also found 77% agreed that the outbreak in China was worse than the official statistics showed.

The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1073.

UPDATE: Full report here.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,318 thoughts on “Essential Research: coronavirus restrictions and conspiracy theories”

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  1. Oakeshott Country

    Way back in the 80’s or 90’s ,I think during one of the recessions, there were a lot of calls in WA to not let so many kiwis in, usual ‘terk er jerbs’. Anyway I remember it got knocked on the head when the mining association boss came out and said WA mines would close the next day if they went home 🙂 Conditions weren’t so ‘club med’ back then so locals were not queuing up like they would these days.

  2. Sprocket

    You know Ron Hoenig is leading the parliamentary pack on getting ICAC to exonerate Michael Gallacher?

    At some stage, the NSW ALP is going to have to produce and promote some young winners otherwise Dom will be swimming in beer

  3. Until this week NSW were performing both an oropharangeal and nasopharyngeal swab. The protocol was changed a few days ago to use the same swab but sample orally first then nasally.
    NSW has been reporting people swabbed rather than number of swabs. But this is not the same for all jurisdictions, making comparisons difficult.

  4. sprocket_
    Without the sport ‘rivers of gold’ Rupert will indeed be bleeding badly. He needs plenty of profitable stuff to payroll his loss making ‘msm’ political protection rackets around the world. :sniff: So sad.

  5. Assantdj @ #3196 Saturday, May 23rd, 2020 – 4:32 pm

    One of the groups of people I’d like to see tested are transit staff. The nature of their work means that if any increase in positive cases was occurring staff linked to rail infrastructure being tested might be instructive.

    Maybe they should be dressed in canary yellow.

    But you are right, they should be tested frequently.

  6. Barney in Tanjung Bunga
    Canary yellow would work. How about “social distancing suits” ?

    or to keep everyone reminded “viral suits”

  7. poroti says:
    Saturday, May 23, 2020 at 6:44 pm

    sprocket_
    Without the sport ‘rivers of gold’ Rupert will indeed be bleeding badly. He needs plenty of profitable stuff to payroll his loss making ‘msm’ political protection rackets around the world. :sniff: So sad.
    ___________
    let’s hope so. He came close to losing everything in the recession of the early 90s. I wonder how much better the world would have been if that had eventuated.

  8. poroti (Block)
    Saturday, May 23rd, 2020 – 4:58 pm
    Comment #3205

    You’d definitely need eye protection.

  9. Assantdj

    “One of the groups of people I’d like to see tested are transit staff. The nature of their work means that if any increase in positive cases was occurring staff linked to rail infrastructure being tested might be instructive.”

    That could possibly be a good thing and it would be easy for the state to implement. As a general principle I think the two groups of (assumed healthy) people that should be tested are first of all the people who travel between cities and secondly anyone whose job puts them in close quarters indoors.

    Bar staff, meat workers, hairdressers and so on..

    And btw, you can get people who travel to get tested without it being legalised. You simply advertise widely that its what you should be doing and make it easy to get tested. In other words, bring social pressure to bear.

  10. Once upon a time I saw that guy in Pitt Street mall with a sign offering free hugs.

    I wonder what he thinks of all of this..

  11. Apparently, if you live in QLD, you can support the NSW economy if you have QLD number plates with the sticker and freely move to and fro QLD to NSW and back again with no virus testing – apparently this is a virus only NSW tourists contract along with their travel.
    Northern NSW will get a few tourists from June 1st while Anna does her thing for the QLD tourism economy.

  12. In northern rivers here, every second vehicle seems to have a big A on their windscreen. I gather it means they can cross the Qld border.

  13. Cud Chewer

    I just saw this:

    Rakali

    Did you see that video I posted of Vietnam?
    ————-

    Sorry, I did not see that Cud

  14. For the last 6 weeks Northern NSW Local Health District (Woolgoolga to the border) had 56 detected cases; 53 overseas acquired and 3 known contacts) There was an alleged local case in Ballina in the last few days but the total number is now down to 55 indicating some false positives. You are more likely to meet a contact in Brisbane than in Northern NSW but in both sites the number of contacts is low. The border issue looks more political than medical and the dynamics could well reverse.

  15. ‘The border issue looks more political than medical and the dynamics could well reverse.’

    Perhaps, but with two straw polls, I think Anna’s well placed.

  16. OS

    There was an alleged local case in Ballina in the last few days but the total number is now down to 55 indicating some false positives.
    ————
    Rumour is that Ballina is in his early 70s and cagey about his contacts! 🙂

  17. Mavis
    A well placed attack by the Queensland conservatives may well put Anna in a difficult situation. Pauline’s HC challenge would not have succeeded 6 weeks ago but might now if it ever sees court. In any case it gives the conservatives a talking point

  18. Oakeshott Country:

    ‘A well placed attack by the Queensland conservatives may well put Anna in a difficult situation.’

    I very much doubt it, Frecklington’s almost off the radar. I predict a narrow win for the rare and lovely Annastacia – in fact, I’d put my trailer on it.

  19. RE: Maoris…and a lot of aborigines also ‘ chose’ to identify as Maori as well, to escape the clutches of the Aboriginal Protection Boards!

  20. We’re expecting gnarly weather tomorrow night and through Monday and Tuesday. Today was beautiful though – autumn is my favourite time of the year here.

    A severe weather warning is in place for much of WA’s west coast as the remnants of ex-Tropical Cyclone Mangga brings in a “once-in-a-decade” storm.

    Ex-Tropical Cyclone Mangga was downgraded to a tropical low overnight as it moved south-west of the Cocos Keeling Islands and towards WA’s north-west coast.

    The storm is expected to produce destructive winds of up to 130 kilometres per hour, heavy rainfall and unusually high tides to over 1,000 kilometres of coastline as it travels south from Sunday morning until Monday.

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-05-23/ex-tropical-cyclone-mangga-brings-one-in-a-decade-storm-to-wa/12279544

  21. mundo says:
    Saturday, May 23, 2020 at 12:44 pm
    lizzie @ #2971 Saturday, May 23rd, 2020 – 12:03 pm

    Simon Katich

    Morrison is no leader. He’s a self serving manipulator.
    But he’s still going to be Prime minster after the next election.
    We desperately need an opposition to start firing.

    Instead of sulking about Labor, why don’t you do something useful and campaign against Labor’s opponents, the LibNats and the Libkin?

  22. ‘A well placed attack by the Queensland conservatives may well put Anna in a difficult situation.’

    She will have to switch positions in the next few weeks in order to protect the 4 FNQ marginal seats.

  23. Mavissays:
    Saturday, May 23, 2020 at 8:36 pm
    Continually Insufferable:

    I tend to think mundo’s a Tory in sheep clothing.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    I can’t work out whether Mundo is a chronically depressed progressive who has to find reasons to always wallow in defeat, or whether he’s a Menzies House troll.
    If he is the former, he may as well be the latter.

  24. Mavis….I think mundo holds a sub-contractors’ franchise in Rexology. Libkin. He’s never seen a Labor head he didn’t want to kick.

  25. BK @ #3170 Saturday, May 23rd, 2020 – 6:04 pm

    The Washington Post reports that the coronavirus may still be spreading at epidemic rates in 24 states, particularly in the South and Midwest, according to new research that highlights the risk of a second wave of infections in places that reopen too quickly or without sufficient precautions.
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/study-estimates-24-states-still-have-uncontrolled-coronavirus-spread/2020/05/22/d3032470-9c43-11ea-ac72-3841fcc9b35f_story.html
    Trump’s playing a blinder!

    He isn’t even doing that. The stats are public, ffs, and the average daily infection rate for the U.S. has never dropped below 20k! That’s triple the number of cases Australia has had the entire outbreak. Every single day.

    How any part of the U.S. thinks it’s okay to start reopening now is beyond me, Trump’s gross incompetence, economic pandering, and self-serving machinations notwithstanding. It’s like mass delusion and mass stupidity are creating an alternate reality over there.

    They shouldn’t call anything a “second wave” when they never got the first wave under control. 🙁

  26. It is good to see one impact of what is extremely likely to be the first year in which Australia’s population has fallen since Federation: more affordable housing.

    We all know that the migration ponzi scheme ensures that housing supply lags housing demand and that this is the economic driver underpinning unaffordable housing.

    Both real and nominal rents are falling for the first time in decades as tens of thousands of dwellings in Australia lie empty.

    I am sure that the Greens, who are very loud in support of affordable housing, will click that the Green New Deal needs to include migration and population policies to be credible.

  27. davidwh says:
    Saturday, May 23, 2020 at 8:58 pm
    Mundo could also be frustrated because he believes blind loyalty to Labor probably won’t win elections.
    _________________________________

    I have no idea what Mundo is, other than tediously repetitious.

    As a parent, I know that the more I repeat a view, however valid, that is not being accepted the more difficult it is to be accepted.

  28. Cud Chewer

    The internet is New Zealand is thriving since they decided to build fibre
    ————
    In Australia we only get fibre in All Bran. 🙁


  29. davidwh says:
    Saturday, May 23, 2020 at 8:58 pm

    Whatever he is he is consistent.

    It is entertaining reading a post and guessing who posted. (Sad I know ). Mundo is no challenge.

  30. The Northern NSW health district has seen 55 cases of covid19
    Only one of those (March 18) was to an unidentified source
    Two were contacts of a confirmed case
    One in Ballina on April 14 was infected interstate

    Hunter New England shows 278 cases of covid19
    The majority from overseas but still an alarming number of “contact not identified” around Newcastle and the Hunter – at least earlier on.
    The last case of “contact not identified” was April 17 (Moree Plains)
    The last case of “contact not identified” in Newcastle was April 8
    The last case of “contact not identified” in Lake Macquarie was April 17

    And in the Central Coast the last case of local transmission (known source) was May 8
    And the last case of “contact not identified” was March 29

    The narrative is pretty clear. The further from Sydney you are, the safer you are.
    What’s also fairly clear is that the curtailment of travel is a part of the reason why Newcastle is virus free. So, why are we in a headlong rush to allow travel when there are still hidden carriers floating around Sydney?

    Also, this puts into perspective the arguments about cross border traffic between Queensland and the north of NSW. Brisbane is more of a threat to northern NSW than the other way around. But that’s an argument against NSW having kept the border open to Queensland.

    However, the north coast is threatened by people spreading the virus from Sydney with renewed travel and this in turn is a threat to Queensland. And Newcastle is under even greater threat.

  31. Sir Henry Parkes:

    To put at its best, I think dear mundo’s conflicted.

    Continually Insufferable:

    Yes, I think you’re right. He’s no Labor collaborator.

  32. Boris Johnson faced calls on Saturday to fire his chief aide after he allegedly flouted social distancing rules when he was ill with coronavirus symptoms.

    Dominic Cummings, Johnson’s chief adviser, visited his parents when he was ill with covid-19 symptoms, according to reports in the Guardian and Mirror newspapers, which were splashed across their front pages.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/05/23/coronavirus-update-us/#link-62HM77VVGNDJ7P37DNEROMUMOU

    What is it with these people?!

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