With regard to the American presidential horse race, Adrian Beaumont offers all the latest in the post below. Closer to hand:
• Tom McIlroy of the Financial Review ($) reports Labor is credited with a statistically insignificant lead in poll of Eden-Monaro conducted by the Australia Institute. Based on response options that listed only party names, the poll reportedly had Labor leading 51.1-48.8 based on preference flows from 2019. No primary votes are provided in the report, but I expect to have that and other detail for you later today. A question on the most importat issue drew modest responses for both coronavirus (7.3%) and bushfire recovery (8.6%), with the agenda dominated by the economy (28.9%), climate change (23.4%) and health (14.0%). UPDATE: After exclusion of the 9.0% undecided, the primary votes are Labor 39.8%, Liberal 34.3%, Nationals 7.3%, Greens 6.7% and One Nation 6.5%. The polling was conducted by uComms.
• The Lowy Institute has a poll on the strategic implications of coronavirus, which records a general expectation that the crisis will tilt the international balance to China (37% more powerful, 36% just as powerful, 27% less powerful) at the expense of the United States (6% more powerful, 41% just as powerful, 53% less powerful) and Europe (5%, 46% and 48%). Respondents were asked if Australia and various other countries had handled the crisis well and poorly, and with the qualification that the uncommitted responses seem implausibly low, Australians consider their own country’s response (43% good, 50% fairly good, 6% fairly bad, 1% very bad) to have been well superior even to that of Singapore (23%, 56%, 15% and 3%), never mind China (6%, 25%, 25% and 44%), the United Kingdom (3%, 27%, 49% and 21%), Italy (2%, 13%, 44% and 40%) or, God forbid, the United States (2%, 8%, 27% and 63%). Respondents were slightly less favourable to the concept of globalisation than they were in a similar survey a year ago, with 70% rating it mostly good for Australia (down two) and 29% mostly bad (up five). The survey was conducted online and by telephone from April 14 to 27, from a sample of 3036.
• The results of a Greens internal referendum on giving the party membership a way in electing party leaders landed in the awkward zone between clear majority support and the two-thirds super-majority required for change. Members were presented with three head-to-head questions between each combination of two out of three options: the status quo of decision by the party room; the “one member, one vote” approach of having the matter determined entirely by the membership; and a Labor-style model where members provided half the vote and the party room the other half. The two questions inclusive of the status quo produced very similar results, with 62.0% favouring one-member one vote (3721 to 2281) and 62.6% favouring the Labor model (3510 to 2101). The Labor model recorded a narrow 3014 (50.95%) to 2902 (49.05%) win over one-member one-vote, but this would only have been operative if the favoured model recorded two-thirds support in head-to-head comparison with the status quo. According to Rob Harris of the Age/Herald, the response rate was 46% out of the party’s 13,143 eligible members.
C@tmomma
Oh they have the thorns alright. I still remember with a 🙂 and a 🙁 the contortions and effort I went through picking enough for mum to make a batch of jam. There was of course the eternal problem of the ratio of eating to keeping 🙂
C@t, no pain no gain.
Bushfire Bill @ #1088 Sunday, May 17th, 2020 – 1:03 pm
FFS, BB! Get a life.
Also, learn something about the JobSeeker and JobKeeper payments and how they are being applied in the case of employees affected by Covid-19. Employees who found themselves without work due to Coronavirus were encouraged to apply for both and then let the government work out which one they are eligible for. Which is exactly what we have done.
So, let me see – we could take the advice of Federal Government, the Treasurer, Centrelink, the ATO, our local MP, and our accountant – all of which told us to do what we have done … or we could take the advice of an offensive bloviating windbag on PB who loves to pretend to know all about a subject they clearly have no clue about, because they once successfully got a payment out of Centrelink.
Difficult choice.
The really amusing part is that every time BB posts, he doesn’t seem to realize that he is actually agreeing with my original assertion that Centrelink is broken. He is too busy trying to score points by insunuating that our business must be dodgy or suspect. Sad.
One cute feature of the US First Amendment, is that opinion is not considered defamation. So any old shit can be invented, and if it’s your opinion….
“Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances.”
I’m no masochist. 🙂
I can just buy a jar of the stuff from the lady down the road who makes home made jams. I’m supporting a local business!
Hola Bludgers
This chap was one of my teachers for four very long years.
He was a rather brutal sadist as well as a pedo.
How he only got months instead of years is a bit beyond me.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-05-15/catholic-brother-nicknamed-the-rat-sentenced-to-jail-for-sex/12252922
The biggest tools ARE the Trumps. Though it sounds as though Don Jr has inherited a teeny weeny one, just like daddy’s. 😀
I think Jobkeeper was through the tax department, and job seeker through center link. Can’t blame center link for both.
And just for some balance, here is what Trump is retweeting today…
https://mobile.twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/1261747580666552320
600,000 jobs lost in Australia. That is a lot.
Unemployment rate goes from 5.3 to 6.2.
2 things…
1. Wouldnt a loss of 600,000 jobs show a much larger increase in unemployment rate (even allowing for a drop in participation)?
2. Why are so many people losing their jobs? Isnt Job Keeper, the wonderful thing that “will keep Australian workers connected with their employer and provide hope and certainty”, working? Could it be a lot of employers dont give a rats about the connection with their workers?
frednk @ #1108 Sunday, May 17th, 2020 – 2:19 pm
On this issue, they have announced that they are sharing information to make sure people get the correct payment. If you apply for both, they will approve at most one.
SK
The percentage is worked off the participation rate.
Jobkeeper was never intended to save all jobs.
Simon Katich @ #1100 Sunday, May 17th, 2020 – 2:09 pm
How Muskian of you.
The only time pedophile is funny…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fTaKDnSIb4c
sprocket_ @ #1109 Sunday, May 17th, 2020 – 12:19 pm
Holy shit the guy is just nuts!
I didnt say it was. 600,000 is a huge amount of jobs lost in a very short period considering the jobkeeper incentive.
I am not bagging the policy. I have shown general support for the idea in the past and I know many people and businesses that have kept their jobs and business alive because of it.
I do wonder if a lot of executives have used the pandemic to make morally questionable business decisions.
Nath, it’s many years of dealing with bloody-minded bureaucrats that counts.
Their job is to give out government money, properly and honestly applied for. But if you ask such a public servant “Can I do {insert thing you want to do}?”, their natural inclination is to say “No” outright, or “Yes, but…” when you get one in a good mood.
From, as a first-night cabbie, asking a copper (whose car is parked in a No Standing zone at a hamburger stand) whether you can park right behind him (in the same No Standing zone) and hearing him reply, “What does the sign say?”, to trying to convince a Centrelink auditor that the 14 documents and financial statements you’ve supplied them in support of your application disclose a life lived simply, and not a highly-structured method of possibly hiding or preserving assets, the strategy is the same: they win.
And the sooner you accept that, the sooner you can get started on beating them at their own game.
There are plenty more instances like that, involving state, federal and corporate bureaucrats.
If getting what you want involves a small serving of humble pie, then you need to make a decision: how much do you really want what they have to give you?
If not a lot, shrug your shoulders, tighten your belt, and go on your way, leaner and wiser for next time.
If you’re desperate (remember: Centrelink is for those who have little pride left, so there’s nothing left to lose), you’ll do whatever is necessary.
Either way, “They” (be it the copper or the Centrelink auditor) don’t care what you do.
In other words, once you realise you’re a cog in their machine, and you use that machine to get what you want, the quicker you can put the little misunderstanding of your application behind you both.
Pulling rank by quoting your MP’s opinion, or playing the call centre off against the desk assessor will only upset people you can’t afford to upset.
I don’t know for sure what the obstacle is in P1’s case, but it’s probably something she hasn’t revealed here about her circumstances, rather than something she has.
C@t
In a competition, a couple of my heritage roses would beat your little blackberry thorns in a canter. 🙂
Oh, and on blackberries’ ability to spread, they grow from roots as well as seeds, which is why the tiniest piece of root left in the ground may grow (a lesson impatient male gardeners fail to acknowledge!!).
Your an argumentative fellow BB,
First the health department, now Centrelink.
Whom do you have cordial relations with ?
Simon Katich
?? They need an excuse ? All business as usual. The Plague represents a yuge opportunity for even more “morally questionable” from them.
Confessions @ #1115 Sunday, May 17th, 2020 – 2:29 pm
I didn’t want to give him the benefit of the clicks, but it sounds as though I better.
I remember people who knew where blackberries grew wild in the Cotter area west of Canberra. Very nice to eat except you had to watch out for the “blackberries have been sprayed” signs.
My wife’s friend gave her a small blackberry bush a few months ago. It’s now in a large pot beside a climbing frame and under surveillance for any attempt to escape.
I dont think it is that. There wasnt a huge drop in participation. It is partly the headline. 600,000 jobs lost but not 600,000 full time equivalent jobs. I still question the 1% rise is too small taking into account the 220,500 fewer full-time jobs, and 373,800 fewer part-time jobs and minor drop in participation…. but it is Sunday, I have a hangover and I cant be bothered doing the maths.
Childhood – Menzies
Young Adult – Fraser
Middle Age – Howard
Old Age – Morrison
All four PM’s had a youth generation that was seen as being progressive minded yet each of these PM’s was more reactionary than the previous one.
lizzie @ #1118 Sunday, May 17th, 2020 – 2:34 pm
I have a full range of roses in my garden, only one of each because I’m an equal opportunity rose grower, from the tiniest ornamentals to the biggest climbers, and I can tell you that at least the roses have gaps between the thorns you can put a finger gingerly into in order to hold it while you cut a flower to bring inside to release its heavenly aroma, Blackberries have no such redeeming features! Their thorns are all along the stem and they don’t even compensate with a perfume when they are flowering!
C@t:
I’m of the mind that it’s meant to be a parody but Trump believes it’s complimentary.
This impatient male gardener will agree and disagree with you.
My Lorraine Lee rose is far worse than blackberry. And I swear it moves to catch you as you go by.
Blackberry wont regrow well from just a little bit of root. If you get the crown you have pretty much got it. Anything that does grow in the year or two later will be weak and easily removed in a second weed/spray through.
If the ground is damp and will be quickly replanted with natives, I slash and pull/dig out the crown. If it is hard ground or wont be planted out for a while I trample and spray. Although I am starting to worry about weedkiller and using it less and less.
Simon Katich
I suspect that there are patches on my land where there is a spreading “tree” of blackberry roots in the heavy soil. Very sneaky.
It should be no surprise that a workers party isnt in power as much as a party that toadies to the highest bidders in a democracy based on the sanctity of an irrepressible media.
Seems you know all there is to know about Centrelink, it’s philosophy and it’s operations, P1. From high government policy to the intricacies of the existential zeitgeist (as it relates to coronavirus).
So how come I’m laughing, and you’re squealing?
Next time you visit your local Centrelink office tell them you believe their entire organization is broken and that, in your opinion, they’re out to destroy you and your family. Take along a couple of ScoMo press releases, maybe some Guardian editorials too (if you think they’ll help). Show them to Alice at the Centrelink office. See how far any of it gets you.
I say all this in the expectation that you have actually visited the local Centrelink office, and not just relied on your on-line application.
The second rule of Centrelink is that if you’re not prepared to sit in the waiting room with the rest of the Great Unwashed, you’re not even in any real queue that they can send you to the back of.
Not to embarrassed to show up in person, are you P1?
sprocket_ @ #1106 Sunday, May 17th, 2020 – 12:15 pm
An accusation of being paedophile is hardly an opinion.
It can only be established by the production of evidence.
So the question is, what evidence did he base his accusation on?
Ivy and holly certainly do this. Their root system is something to behold. I have an earthmover mate… he will be bringing in the big guns to help me with one patch that is too far gone.
Belief?
Simon Katich
I have a small clay slope which was covered with ivy, and in one of Beth Chatto’s books I read that her gardener took many weeks to dig out a large ivy bank and “roll” it away, leaving no roots.
While I was still fit enough, I tried this technique in order to create a new rockery slope, and it’s worked beautifully. Unfortunately I’ve had to stop halfway down the slope and no one I know has the patience to finish it!!
Tim’s not getting a lot of love for his childish behaviour.
There is no evidence. He’s trying to draw a conclusion that Biden’s somewhat leery behaviour around women points to sexual abuse of children. It’s the Trumps. You don’t need to have any evidence to insinuate someone is something, so long as it benefits Daddy Dearest.
Bushfire Bill @ #1117 Sunday, May 17th, 2020 – 2:31 pm
Christ, I honestly hope no-one here is stupid enough to take your miserable and misguided advice.
Perhaps you would like me to send all my documentation to you, so that you can review Centrelink’s decision and tell us what we did wrong? Sure thing – just post your email address here and I will be happy to oblige. Oh, and just disregard all those transfers between our Swiss bank account and our Cayman’s Island account – I’m sure they had nothing to do with Centrelink’s decision.
Barney in Tanjung Bunga @ #1131 Sunday, May 17th, 2020 – 2:53 pm
It’s a long bow but Biden was accused of being creepy etc when he commented to a couple of boys who brought their teenage sister to a rope line, wtte, you better keep the guys away from that pretty young girl. There was also one other incident that people point to. Ergo, the insinuation is that he has eyes for the young ones.
I just don’t think it comes anywhere even near the ballpark of Donald Trump walking into a room full of naked and half-naked Miss Teen USA pageant contestants or expressing the desire to hit on his own daughter.
lizzie @ #1135 Sunday, May 17th, 2020 – 3:02 pm
Can you believe the Victorian Liberal Pre-selection panel chose him over Mary Wooldridge!?!
C@tmommasays: Sunday, May 17, 2020 at 3:09 pm
It’s a long bow but Biden was accused of being creepy etc when he commented to a couple of boys who brought their teenage sister to a rope line, wtte, you better keep the guys away from that pretty young girl. There was also one other incident that people point to. Ergo, the insinuation is that he has eyes for the young ones.
I just don’t think it comes anywhere even near the ballpark of Donald Trump walking into a room full of naked and half-naked Miss Teen USA pageant contestants or expressing the desire to hit on his own daughter.
*************************************************************
There is plenty of provocative material – from BOTH sides – on Don Jrs twitter account
but FAIR WARNING !!!!!! – its very unpleasant stuff – so don’t go there if easily offended by malicious claims all round
pic.twitter.com/gNLo75bL0g
https://twitter.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1261772088211357698/video/1
C@t
I suppose because he was an over-confident male. He’s certainly got a huge ego.
I guess the Trumpkins have got a leetle bit riled up over this from Joe Biden recently:
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/05/15/joe-biden-pledges-not-to-pardon-trump-260147
I still think Trump has been sucked in by someone taking the absolute mickey out of him and his cult fans.
Lars wrote:
It’s not a matter of “cordial relations”, Lars.
It’s a matter of beating them at their own game, in order to get what you want from them.
In the case of NSW Health we got over $300,000, plus two years at home. The money paid for our home renovations and living expenses. The time allowed us to complete them. All the bureaucrats who were upset by us got sacked or were pushed out. Her Inoors exited the building in the upright position at a time of her own choosing, having been completely exonerated.
I call that “a good result”.
Centrelink was child’s play compared to that, once we lucked onto a lovely lady who told us both the final, minor problem and how to fix it. And then she fixed it for us, before we got back to the house from seeing her. The phone was ringing with the good news from her as we walked in the door.
I call that “a good result”, too.
My wife used to cry in frustration at the way Health stuffed her around. She raged, she stormed, she whinged… all privately. Whenever we fronted them, or wrote, we were as nice as pie and professional to a “t”. We replied to every letter and email. Never missed an appointment. But as soon as we left a meeting with them we had a mantra we’d whisper from the other side of the closed door: “Argo fuck yourself!” (got that from the movie Argo, actually). Childish? Of course! But it let off steam. Our attitude was that We were already dead, so we had nothing to lose.
What we found was that they were mostly ignoramuses, who thought being a “Level 4 Health Manager” meant they were important people, but who merely needed guidance (which we supplied) in how to apply their own processes. Once her boss (who had started the whole unnecessary mess a year before) got sacked by The Octopus (our name for the Big Boss of the department) we knew we were on a winner. The second year was just marking time.
On paper, however, we were as humble as pie. They got some minor satisfaction from scaring us a couple if times, but we held our nerve and won the Big Bucks, a clean record, and even qualified for Long Service leave while on suspension!
The best thing is that they still probably sincerely believe that they won! That’s literally “win-Win” for all concerned.
As for Centrelink we wound up one company that hadn’t traded for two years and had no assets, and shut a savings account with $20 in it. Not much of abprice to pay, once they told us what the problem was.
It’s getting them to tell you that’s the difficult bit.
lizzie @ #1141 Sunday, May 17th, 2020 – 3:24 pm
Which is in inverse proportion to his talents it seems.
China confirmed on Friday that it had commanded unauthorised laboratories to destroy samples of the coronavirus in the early stage of the outbreak.
Liu Dengfeng, an official with the National Health Commission’s science and education department, said this was done at unauthorised labs to ”prevent the risk to laboratory biological safety and prevent secondary disasters caused by unidentified pathogens”.
According to him, when the pneumonia-like illness was first reported in Wuhan, ”national-level professional institutes” were working to identify the pathogen that was causing it.
”Based on comprehensive research and expert opinion, we decided to temporarily manage the pathogen causing the pneumonia as Class II, highly pathogenic and imposed biosafety requirements on sample collection, transport and experimental activities, as well as destroying the samples,” he said.
Those handling virus samples were ordered not to provide them to any institutions or labs without approval, as per a provincial health commission notice issued in February.
Confessions @ #1002 Sunday, May 17th, 2020 – 10:23 am
I still can’t stop laughing at this guy who put Trump’s stubby little thumbs bang smack in the middle of his toadying t-shirt. 😆
“‘All of humanity has been affected by a disease … that comes from our disrespectful relationship with nature.’ — Conservationist and explorer Dr. Enric Sala explains why preserving nature is critical to human health”
https://twitter.com/i/status/1261798080996757504
5m37s.
Goats love blackberries, the cost is decent fencing.
C@momma
Also what a redneck looks like