Newspoll state leadership polling and Essential Research coronavirus latest

State-level polling finds the coronavirus tide lifting all boats — but none so far as Mark McGowan in WA, whose numbers may be without precedent.

The Australian ($) today provides Newspoll findings on state leaders’ handling of the coronavirus, from samples of around 520 for each mainland state plus 309 for Tasmania. The poll finds all concerned riding high, including three who strongly outperformed Scott Morrison’s ballyhooed 68% approval and 28% disapproval on the weekend. These are WA Labor Premier Mark McGowan, at 89% approval and 6% disapproval; Tasmanian Liberal Premier Peter Gutwein, at 84% approval and 11% disapproval after three months in the job; and Victorian Labor Premier Daniel Andrews, at 75% approval and 17% disapproval.

Morrison was also matched on approval and bettered on net approval by NSW Liberal Premier Gladys Berejiklian (69% approval and 23% disapproval) and SA Liberal Premier Steven Marshall (68% approval and 21% disapproval). Only Queensland Labor Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk, who faces an election in October, was below the prime ministerial par (55% approval and 39% disapproval). With due allowance for small samples, I believe McGowan’s ratings may be a record for Newspoll, or indeed for any other Australian pollster, and that Gutwein’s might have been too if not for McGowan’s.

The leaders record even stronger ratings on the specific question of handling the coronavirus outbreak: 77% rate Berejiklian as having done well, compared with 18% for badly; Andrews is at 85% and 11%; Palaszczuk is at 72% and 23%; McGowan is at 94% and 4%; Marshall is at 82% and 11%; and Gutwein is at 89% and 8%. Equivalent results are also provided for the Prime Minister, and here too Western Australians are most positive, at 73% approval and 23% disapproval, with 85% rating Morrison had handled coronavirus well compared with 14% for badly. In New South Wales, Morrison scored 67% approval and 30% disapproval, and 82% well and 16% badly for coronavirus; in Victoria, 72% approval and 26% disapproval, 83% well and 14% badly; in Queensland, 67% approval and 28% disapproval, 81% well and 17% badly; in South Australia, 70% approval and 27% disapproval, 83% well and 15% badly; and in Tasmania, 64% approval and 31% disapproval, 81% well and 18% badly.

As reported in The Guardian, the weekly Essential Research coronavirus poll provides us with a third set of small-sample findings on mainland state governments’ handling of the crisis, ranging from about 80 respondents in South Australia to 320 in New South Wales. The latest results produce combined very good and good ratings of 77% for the Victorian and South Australian governments, 76% for Western Australia, 67% for Queensland and 63% for New South Wales. The table below records the progress of this series over its three weeks, together with an averaged result which again shows Western Australia highest at 77%, followed by 74% for Victoria, 72% for South Australia, 61% for Queensland and 60% for New South Wales.

Essential Research also finds confidence in the federal government’s handling of the crisis continuing to rise, with 70% rating it good or very good, a measure that earlier progressed from 45% in late March to 65% last week. Seventy-three per cent now say they consider themselves unlikely to catch the virus, compared with 57% at the peak of concern at the end of March. In response to a list of options for budget repair, 64% supported preventing companies in offshore tax havens from receiving goverment support, but only 32% favoured removing franking credits and negative gearing, and 18% supported death duties.

On the COVIDSafe app, the weekend’s Newspoll found 21% saying they would definitely take it up, 33% that they would probably do so, 21% that they would probably not, and 18% that they would definitely not. Apart from the lower uncommitted rating, this is broadly in line with an Australia Institute poll of 1011 respondents on Thursday and Friday which had 45% saying they would and 28% that they wouldn’t. Essential Research also weighed in on the question, and found 53% saying it would limit the spread of the virus, and 46% that it would speed removal of distancing restrictions. A full set of results from Essential Research should be with us later today.

UPDATE: Full Essential Research report here.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,040 comments on “Newspoll state leadership polling and Essential Research coronavirus latest”

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  1. Mavis says:
    Saturday, May 2, 2020 at 7:40 pm

    At the trailer park soiree tonight, most surprisingly, dear moderator was mentioned apropos of an article he recently wrote – he couldn’t recall which. Anyway, he had the temerity to suggest that Dear William might be a closet Tory. I corrected him accordingly?
    _______________
    2 members of a Trailer Park aware of William? Only in the Double Bay Trailer Park. Mavis you might like to paint yourself as a trailer park resident for your own amusement but I am not so sure.

  2. The fact that the Rev murdered in cold blood by Britisher Morant was a german mattered muchly because the Boer War had already ramped up tensions between Britain and Germany.

    Inter alia, British warships were intercepting german freighters carrying supplies for the boers.

    The British Empire had already lost a fair bit of reputational skin in the non anglo world.

    And the Kaiser took a personal interest.

  3. Also, Lizzie, if you are still around, loathe as I am to start (or restart) partisan warfare on PB, like you I have noticed that even the mildest disagreement with Pegasus or criticism of her is seen by her as “trying to drive her off the blog”.

    Also, like you, when Pegasus does make a good point, I try to engage and discuss. But, as you say, to no avail. Pegasus does not engage with anyone who she does not think is politically pure, and this obviously includes me.

    Also, C@tMomma, I should say that for the same reasons of not wanting to stir up shit, I sometimes do not come to your defence, but I do note the gratuitous ad hominem stuff that is thrown your way by people who are unable to engage in an argument with both stridency and facts – yes, peeps, you can actually do both.

  4. Arvo tea with mother-in-law and dinner with mum who tried to add 6 year out of date balsamic vinaigrette to the meal only to find it had solidified in the bottle.

  5. I have made a solemn vow to enjoy Cocoa or Chocalate in some way every day until Climate Change makes it extinct. 😀

  6. shellbell @ #2956 Saturday, May 2nd, 2020 – 8:41 pm

    Arvo tea with mother-in-law and dinner with mum who tried to add 6 year out of date balsamic vinaigrette to the meal only to find it had solidified in the bottle.

    Stands to reason:

    Balsam is the resinous exudate (or sap) which forms on certain kinds of trees and shrubs. Balsam (from Latin balsamum “gum of the balsam tree”, ultimately from Semitic, Aramaic busma, Arabic balsam and Hebrew basam, “spice”, “perfume”) owes its name to the biblical Balm of Gilead. 🙂

  7. It is rumoured that Kitchener refused to open the war memorial in Bathurst until Peter Hancock’s name had been scratched off. Kit said he had visited the memorial and saw where it was scratched off, but had been added to the memorial again after Kitchener had left.

    Others say it was never there to be scratched off, but was added with a a number of other names in 1963.

    Next time I’m in Bathurst, I will check out the memorial to see which story is correct.

  8. “Arvo tea with mother-in-law and dinner with mum who tried to add 6 year out of date balsamic vinaigrette to the meal only to find it had solidified in the bottle.”

    One should also never use anything that doesn’t have an internet address on the label.

  9. Boerwar,

    “Kelly was another cold blooded murderer.”

    It could be said that at Stringeybark Creek, Ned Kelly rightly came to the conclusion they weren’t going to take him alive. So, it could rightly be claimed he was acting in self-defence.

    I don’t know much about Breaker Morant, but Ned Kelly cannot be understood in Australian history outside of the Irish struggle for independence from Britain. He could be said to be directly in the line of freedom fighters from the insurgents against the Tudor invaders, the 1798 United Irishmen rebellions, the 1848 Young Irelanders, and the 1867 Fenian Rebellion.

    There is evidence that Ned Kelly felt driven to contribute to this militant stream of Irish nationhood that culminated later on to the War of independence (1919-1921).

  10. D&M

    Your comment is noted. Very disappointing.

    I didn’t see Lizzie’s comment today as an attempt by her to drive me off the blog but another opportunity to highlight the blatant double standards that are applied by the dominant group.

    There have been many attempts over the years to make this place unpleasant for me and others who don’t partake in the group think and 24/7 rants about the Coalition, etc. To deny otherwise is laughable. The difference is I have not departed. Many others have to the detriment of this blog.

    *Your* tribalism is showing in this regard, not mine.

    In the past I made attempts to partake in the banter but when it became apparent I was a Greens supporter, then a member, it was all downhill.

    This is a political blog. I do not regard it as a social forum or a place for informal chats amongst cyber buddies. Some do, that’s fine. For me life is too short to treat PB as such.

    No discussion will be entered into.

  11. shellbell @ #2956 Saturday, May 2nd, 2020 – 6:41 pm

    Arvo tea with mother-in-law and dinner with mum who tried to add 6 year out of date balsamic vinaigrette to the meal only to find it had solidified in the bottle.

    I was astonished to discover recently that a bottle of red wine vinegar in our pantry had gone off. And before anyone asks, yes, I could tell!

  12. shellbell says:
    Saturday, May 2, 2020 at 5:39 pm

    The Bradman catholic emnity always felt a little overblown particularly because Jack Fingleton was a serious hater.

    I remember seeing the champions on this great day

    ————————————————————————

    Jack’s son is a kind of nephew of mine. He is married to my half-niece, (my half-sister’s daughter) if that doesn’t blow my anonymity. I’ll have to ask him next time I see him about the religious side of the Bradman relationship.

    As I remember it, Jack’s mother-in-law was the prominent women’s activist Jessie Street who came from a prominent Sydney Protestant family. Jessie, the daughter-in-law of a NSW Chief Justice, the wife of a Chief Justice and the mother of a Chief Justice, was a bit upset at the Catholics for opposing birth control. She was not too enthusiastic when Catholic Jack wanted to marry her daughter Philippa and Jack wanted Philippa to convert to Catholicism.

    She did and they married in 1942. Jack, who came from an eastern suburbs political family of modest background, was able to fit in with the wealthy, progressive Street family. His father-in-law Philip and brother-in-law Laurence were both Chief Justices of the NSW Supreme Court. Laurence, who also was Lieutenant Governor of NSW, succeeded a certain Sir John Kerr as Chief Justice of NSW.

    Although members of the Sydney establishment, the Streets were progressive and Jessie was known as “red Jessie” by the right-wing media on account of her left wing views. She started out as a suffragette in England, was a delegate at the founding conference of the United Nations and worked with Eleanor Roosevelt to ensure that gender had no place in the charter of the UN. She worked on aboriginal issues culminating in the removal of constitutional discrimination in 1967.

  13. nath:

    [‘Mavis you might like to paint yourself as a trailer park resident for your own amusement but I am not so sure.’]

    FFS, nath, I do verily live in a trailer park. To prove my bona fides, do you want its location? As a I said before, until I fell on bad times – I was a shit lawyer – I lived the life of Riley now, however, accepting my adjustment to my maladjustment?

  14. poroti

    Thank you . That article about The treaty dividing “the world” between Spain and Portugal initiated by the Pope to stop conflict, i understood, related just to the Americas. I was unaware it effected our neck of the woods.

    It said, erroneously, the Spanish/Portuguese thought the world was flat. I mean, Columbus travelled west to the Indies because they knew it was round.

    There was another later treaty of zaragosa where they divided the western Pacific along the 142 parallel.

    Certainly the Dutch and English would not have felt bound by it though that article says the Dutch did because they were fighting to free the Spanish Netherlands. And the Dutch did claim New Holland to the 142 meridian.

    Subsequently Captain Cook claimed the land east of the 142 meridian as New South Wales.

    It was the Portuguese explorer, working for Spain, Pedro Fernandes de Queirós, who called the southern land “la Australia del Spiritu Santo”.

    Which could have meant Austria of the Holy Spirit (the Spanish King being an Austrian Habsburg)…… or South (land) of the Holy Spirit. In 1606 He thought the Island in Vanuatu which he named Spiritu Santo wWas part of that land.

  15. Poroti, not a bad hero.

    I am friends of a nephew of the most decorated commonwealth soldier of the First World War – Mad Harry.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harry_Murray

    I asked why he was so successful and he said his uncle was utterly fearless. This allowed him to think under combat. That with luck saw him service the war. It was an interesting quality to have, an absolute absence of fear.

  16. beguiledagain

    Thank you for that information.

    One of the Street descendants was my godfather and another shares a residential boundary with me.

  17. Will they ever bring back White Knights or Cobbers (later named Mates)?

    Cobbers were Cobbers. Mates were Mates. The two were completely different.

    Mates were shit, and an utter fake-chocolate fraud.

    Cobbers were orally orgasmic. Real chocolate. Real caramel. My first true friend.

  18. “When the government doesn’t want to tell you something there’s usually a reason,” Bandt tweeted on Friday. “Today we’ve found out that the app’s tracking data will be kept by a US company. If there’s one person I trust less to keep our personal data safe than Peter Dutton, it’s Donald Trump.”

    Bandt continued: “Our unfair trade agreements with the US mean Australians’ personal data — who you’ve met, who you live with, who you’ve stayed with — could potentially be up for grabs by US law enforcement. This is a gross violation of privacy, and can’t be allowed to happen.”

    Greens deputy Nick McKim also won’t be downloading the app, calling it “a grave privacy risk” that “must be stopped”. You’ve got to admire the chutzpah of the Greens. When Strewth ran a quick hostingchecker.com search, we discovered that greens.org.au is hosted by none other than (drum roll, please) Amazon Technologies Inc.

    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/strewth/amazon-flows-for-the-greens-too/news-story/9c93ebfff914102dd9c993ac9a7efb2d

  19. BB

    Will they ever bring back White Knights or Cobbers (later named Mates)?
    ———
    I hadn’t heard of cobbers for years. They were a serious chew. 🙂

  20. The mystery of the origin of the 5G conspiracy theories. I’ve often wondered how this became a thing and why anyone would be anti 5G.

    A general practitioner in Belgium named Kris Van Kerckhoven baselessly told the newspaper Het Laatste Nieuws in a Jan. 22 story that 5G was life-threatening and linked to the coronavirus, as Wired reported.

    The newspaper quickly issued a correction and deleted the offending article from its website, but it was too late. Anti-5G groups began spreading the rumor, and some members of a frightened public, desperate for some sense of order, believed this deeply implausible lie.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2020/05/01/5g-conspiracy-theory-coronavirus-misinformation/

  21. Confessions @ #2974 Saturday, May 2nd, 2020 – 7:14 pm

    “When the government doesn’t want to tell you something there’s usually a reason,” Bandt tweeted on Friday. “Today we’ve found out that the app’s tracking data will be kept by a US company. If there’s one person I trust less to keep our personal data safe than Peter Dutton, it’s Donald Trump.”

    Bandt continued: “Our unfair trade agreements with the US mean Australians’ personal data — who you’ve met, who you live with, who you’ve stayed with — could potentially be up for grabs by US law enforcement. This is a gross violation of privacy, and can’t be allowed to happen.”

    Greens deputy Nick McKim also won’t be downloading the app, calling it “a grave privacy risk” that “must be stopped”. You’ve got to admire the chutzpah of the Greens. When Strewth ran a quick hostingchecker.com search, we discovered that greens.org.au is hosted by none other than (drum roll, please) Amazon Technologies Inc.

    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/strewth/amazon-flows-for-the-greens-too/news-story/9c93ebfff914102dd9c993ac9a7efb2d

    Talk about clutching at straws. There’s a huge difference between using Amazon as a website hosting service and allowing Amazon to have access to a lot of people’s personal data. Typical of the shit peddled by the Arsetralian and the rest of the Murdoch empire.

  22. Russia has posted another record jump in coronavirus cases, as the disease continues to overwhelm the country’s hospitals and infect top members of government.

    Russia posted a record increase of 9,623 new confirmed cases of coronavirus on Saturday, indicating the country has still not reached a plateau, with the national tally growing to 124,054. Russia is showing the second-highest rate of spread of the disease in the world behind the US, and the surge has vaulted Russia past Turkey to give it the seventh-largest caseload in the world.

  23. nath:

    [‘ok sorry mavis. I accept it.]

    Thanks, nath. Way back, you might recall, I said I like you. That still stands.

  24. Simon Katich says:
    Saturday, May 2, 2020 at 7:52 pm

    D&M
    yes, you can feel the history in Hobart. I was reading a book about Mawson last I was there. On a walk along the wharf to Mawsons hut/museum I passed Dick Smith. Whacko! I felt like I was surrounded by explorers.

    As for davidwh’s hero, I once did a little research on Private John Leak VC (WW1). He is buried in the local cemetery where I was researching someone else (who was a hero in a smaller way – another time). The beauty of modern heros is you get to know a little more than just the razzle dazzle. Hero’s have failings, they are complex and multidimensional. Their great achievements have visible costs, on themselves and others, that are important for context. But they are worthy of note regardless. Scott is a very good example. When I read about him it seemed to me he was a fool. But people who know more than me explain he had qualities that should be remembered. Mawson too had failings. As does Dick Smith. But they are real people…. they, and us, are greater for learning about them.

    ———————————————————

    Mawson was pretty feisty and you got the impression he didn’t suffer fools gladly.

    This came across in a couple of letters he wrote to me in 1957, a year before he died at 76. I reported to him on what was happening in his old stamping ground McMurdo Sound where he lived with Shackleton in 1909-11. I told him that Ed Hillary had decided to put his New Zealand base on Ross Island and not on the Antarctic mainland as originally planned:

    ” We have just learned that Hillary’s party have decided to base at Pram Point,” Mawson wrote. “Had the New Zealanders asked me or Captain J.K. Davis, who knows the McMurdo Sound locality so well, the merits of a shore base anywhere near the sea end of the valley of the Ferrar Glacier, we could have told them to cut it out. When the sea is free of ice elsewhere, the coast on the west side of the Sound is usually menaced with pack ice.”

  25. Oakeshott Country says:
    Saturday, May 2, 2020 at 9:34 pm

    Beguiledagain
    The son of Jack Fingleton who lives in Port Macquarie?
    ————————————

    Yes. They moved down to Sydney a few years ago.

  26. It is a myth that Columbus was opposed by courtiers who thought that the world was flat.
    I use it to illustrate that what we were taught in school may not be that accurate!
    The educated knew it was round, and had a good idea of its size. They knew it was impossible for Columbus to reach the Indies in the time that his supplies would last.
    Columbus had a serious underestimate of the circumference of the globe. If he had not landed in the West Indies, his voyage would probably have ended in starvation.
    From Wikipedia
    “Columbus therefore would have estimated the distance from the Canary Islands west to Japan to be about 9,800 kilometres (5,300 nmi) or 3,700 kilometres (2,000 nmi), depending on which estimate he used for Eurasia’s longitudinal span. The true figure is now known to be vastly larger: about 20,000 kilometres (11,000 nmi).[41][c] No ship in the 15th century could have carried enough food and fresh water for such a long voyage, and the dangers involved in navigating through the uncharted ocean would have been formidable. Most European navigators reasonably concluded that a westward voyage from Europe to Asia was unfeasible. The Catholic Monarchs, however, having completed an expensive war in the Iberian Peninsula, were eager to obtain a competitive edge over other European countries in the quest for trade with the Indies. Columbus’s project, though far-fetched, held the promise of such an advantage.”

  27. I was friends with them when I lived there but haven’t seen them for a few years. He will certainly tell you a few stories about how much an arsehole Bradman was

  28. shellbell says:
    Saturday, May 2, 2020 at 9:14 pm

    beguiledagain

    Thank you for that information.

    One of the Street descendants was my godfather and another shares a residential boundary with me.-

    ———————————————————————-

    Yes Jessie was some kind of lady.

  29. I’m with The Greens’ leadership. Only fools rush in where angels fear to tread with that damn app. And it’s true, anything Scott Morrison fulsomely recommends, it pays to be suspicious of. At least until you have seen the whites of their eyes, aka, the legislation.

    Oh, and guess what? ‘Snap back’ is an American construction. I’ve just been listening to some American podcasts and it’s the slogan du jour over there too.

  30. An interesting observation:
    The police around here seem to have given up on handing out Social Distancing fines or policing vehicular traffic. We have almost as much traffic as Pre-Covid days around here again. I believe that people are being allowed to go about their legitimate every day business without question and only the obvious rule-breakers are being pinged. In fact, the Police around here have gone back to their old ways of hiding near the school zones to catch people ‘breaking the speed limit’ at 7.31 am. 😀

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