Newspoll state leadership polling and Essential Research coronavirus latest

State-level polling finds the coronavirus tide lifting all boats — but none so far as Mark McGowan in WA, whose numbers may be without precedent.

The Australian ($) today provides Newspoll findings on state leaders’ handling of the coronavirus, from samples of around 520 for each mainland state plus 309 for Tasmania. The poll finds all concerned riding high, including three who strongly outperformed Scott Morrison’s ballyhooed 68% approval and 28% disapproval on the weekend. These are WA Labor Premier Mark McGowan, at 89% approval and 6% disapproval; Tasmanian Liberal Premier Peter Gutwein, at 84% approval and 11% disapproval after three months in the job; and Victorian Labor Premier Daniel Andrews, at 75% approval and 17% disapproval.

Morrison was also matched on approval and bettered on net approval by NSW Liberal Premier Gladys Berejiklian (69% approval and 23% disapproval) and SA Liberal Premier Steven Marshall (68% approval and 21% disapproval). Only Queensland Labor Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk, who faces an election in October, was below the prime ministerial par (55% approval and 39% disapproval). With due allowance for small samples, I believe McGowan’s ratings may be a record for Newspoll, or indeed for any other Australian pollster, and that Gutwein’s might have been too if not for McGowan’s.

The leaders record even stronger ratings on the specific question of handling the coronavirus outbreak: 77% rate Berejiklian as having done well, compared with 18% for badly; Andrews is at 85% and 11%; Palaszczuk is at 72% and 23%; McGowan is at 94% and 4%; Marshall is at 82% and 11%; and Gutwein is at 89% and 8%. Equivalent results are also provided for the Prime Minister, and here too Western Australians are most positive, at 73% approval and 23% disapproval, with 85% rating Morrison had handled coronavirus well compared with 14% for badly. In New South Wales, Morrison scored 67% approval and 30% disapproval, and 82% well and 16% badly for coronavirus; in Victoria, 72% approval and 26% disapproval, 83% well and 14% badly; in Queensland, 67% approval and 28% disapproval, 81% well and 17% badly; in South Australia, 70% approval and 27% disapproval, 83% well and 15% badly; and in Tasmania, 64% approval and 31% disapproval, 81% well and 18% badly.

As reported in The Guardian, the weekly Essential Research coronavirus poll provides us with a third set of small-sample findings on mainland state governments’ handling of the crisis, ranging from about 80 respondents in South Australia to 320 in New South Wales. The latest results produce combined very good and good ratings of 77% for the Victorian and South Australian governments, 76% for Western Australia, 67% for Queensland and 63% for New South Wales. The table below records the progress of this series over its three weeks, together with an averaged result which again shows Western Australia highest at 77%, followed by 74% for Victoria, 72% for South Australia, 61% for Queensland and 60% for New South Wales.

Essential Research also finds confidence in the federal government’s handling of the crisis continuing to rise, with 70% rating it good or very good, a measure that earlier progressed from 45% in late March to 65% last week. Seventy-three per cent now say they consider themselves unlikely to catch the virus, compared with 57% at the peak of concern at the end of March. In response to a list of options for budget repair, 64% supported preventing companies in offshore tax havens from receiving goverment support, but only 32% favoured removing franking credits and negative gearing, and 18% supported death duties.

On the COVIDSafe app, the weekend’s Newspoll found 21% saying they would definitely take it up, 33% that they would probably do so, 21% that they would probably not, and 18% that they would definitely not. Apart from the lower uncommitted rating, this is broadly in line with an Australia Institute poll of 1011 respondents on Thursday and Friday which had 45% saying they would and 28% that they wouldn’t. Essential Research also weighed in on the question, and found 53% saying it would limit the spread of the virus, and 46% that it would speed removal of distancing restrictions. A full set of results from Essential Research should be with us later today.

UPDATE: Full Essential Research report here.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,040 comments on “Newspoll state leadership polling and Essential Research coronavirus latest”

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  1. The Biden – Tara Reade is all over the news on TV in Australia now. Biden is going to have to release the Uni Senate Records because Trump won’t stop until he does.
    An IBD/TIPP poll have Biden Trump neck and neck on 43 and IBD/TPP has Trump Job Approval at Approve 44 and Disapprove 44 which I find hard to believe but I am no expert on US politics.

  2. PhRed, alright.

    I dont feel any patriotism towards Cook. I have never really understood it and dont understand the reaction to a tweet about him like it somehow denigrated the country as a whole. Goodness me.

    As far as our country is concerned… he was an Englishman who made maps of the east coast of what is now known as Australia.

    However, as a leader, seaman, navigator, hydrographer/cartographer, explorer, scientist – across the pacific… he is worth learning about and studying. Truly awe inspiring achievements by him and his crew. He was not alone, there were others…. Magellan, Da Gama, Ross….

  3. The Corona situation has been around long enough for histories to start being written. We’ll find that Labor responses were tardy, extravagant & heavy handed. Debts will be excessive & a burden on future generations. Liberal responses will be considered & appropriate. Debts will only be mentioned as an excuse for tax cuts & “industrial relations reform”. Some things don’t change.

  4. Bucephalus:

    My unit was deployed in that and it was under a DACC request which is the legally correct process.

    It is very much a good thing that the Aus military takes great care to comply with the law, and in fact the Aus military institutionally is a world leader in this (notwithstanding the apparent crimes in Afghanistan – think about how this has come out)

    The “government” is (or at least assumed to be) in charge however, and it has more flexibility (it can change the law, for example). Moreover, in times of crisis, people expect it to act. There is a very deep question as to what “it” (the government) is. Whilst extirpating the states would certainly simplify answering this question, it would also inevitably alter the answer.

  5. Re Captain Cook:

    1. The ‘Treachery’ began in 1770 – the ‘Genocide’ began in 1788

    2. Dharawal elder recounts Captain Cook’s arrival in Australia 250 years ago – video

    3. Commemorating Captain James Cook’s arrival, Australia should not omit his role in the suffering that followed

    4. Captain James Cook’s landing and the Indigenous first words contested by Aboriginal leaders

  6. As Biden explained in his interview with Mika Brezinski today, the UoD archives don’t have personnel records in them, they’re all speeches and cabinet-in-confidence stuff. However, if it will lay to rest the Trump jackals, then he should say, ‘go for it’.

  7. beguiledagain @ #2835 Saturday, May 2nd, 2020 – 5:19 pm

    Cud Chewer says:
    Saturday, May 2, 2020 at 4:47 pm
    Those large (not the giant one the kid is holding) Toblerone bars are routinely sold for between $10 and $15 in airport duty free stores. A couple of weeks ago the local Aldi had a pile of the milk chocolate bars selling for $3.79. Go figure.
    I prefer the dark chocolate version but they are not as available as the milk chocolate.

    Anyhow I grew up with Hoadleys Violet Crumble Bar which has more less disappeared. Maybe I’ll ask KJ, he’s older than me I suspect. In the good old days when Easter Show bags were free and contained samples, the Hoadleys bag was most sought after.

    And weren’t they called Sample bags, which is what they were?

  8. ‘More important than ever’: Victoria backs China’s infrastructure push

    Victoria will tap into the Chinese Communist Party’s $1.5 trillion Belt and Road Initiative to boost the local economy, declaring the infrastructure network crucial to rebuilding after the coronavirus crisis.

    The state’s determination to stick with the program is set to spark division between Victoria, NSW and the federal government, which is sceptical of China’s building initiative amid the global fallout over the origins of the pandemic.

    The program has seen Beijing prop up infrastructure across Asia, Europe and South America. China is rolling out a “health silk road” to deliver medical equipment and tele-health services to developing countries as it comes under increasing pressure from advanced economies over its handling of the coronavirus.
    Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews has led several trade delegations to China but the state has yet to land a Belt and Road project despite becoming the only Australian state to sign a memorandum of understanding with China in 2019. The decision sparked backlash from federal authorities, warning it risked undermining security measures the government had taken by banning Chinese telecommunications provider Huawei and introducing foreign interference laws.
    As the states pursue their own agendas, tensions between the federal government and the Chinese Communist Party are expected to come to a head in a fortnight when Australia backs a European Union proposal at the World Health Assembly.

  9. Kit Denton wrote the story of Breaker Morant, one of many colonials shafted by the British.

    Yet we still tug our forelock to them

  10. lizzie (quoting Mark Hoofnagle a Washington Trauma/Critical Care/Acute Care Surgeon):

    I am truly sorry to say, Remdesivir is probably worthless, and we are seeing some fascinating drug company shenanigans, a thread.


    Absolute genius. You have to salute them. On the day a negative trial of their drug is reported, based on a press release they took over the news cycle, and with some midstream edits to their endpoints their now “positive” trial wins them FDA approval and a halted trial.
    It’s an infusion, once symptomatic, you need an admission, a test, etc., really even symptoms are probably too late a goal for such a therapy to work. Prophylaxis (like Gilead’s Truvada/PreP would be better – but unworkable in its current form.
    Either way, a big win for Gilead, but I’m unimpressed with any if the evidence presented so far that this is a game changer.

    The view that anti-virals should be used earlier (e.g as prophylaxis) seems wide-spread and is presumably soundly based.

    So Dr. Hoofnagle is asked why Remdesivir can’t be used in such a way, and his answer is:
    – too hard to administer safely outside hospitals, given it’s IV
    – not enough of the drug has been made

    Clearly he’s talking about the US situation, and their case numbers.

    My question is whether the constraints apply in Australia/NZ, given:
    – apparently very successful use of HITH (which can do IV)
    – low case numbers

    For example – there are probably a few hundred total HITH patients in AUS, could they all be included in a trial? (some of the HITH patients appear to have been previously in patients, and so are recovering in HITH, they would be excluded)

    Of course, there is also the issue that now that Remdesivir is approved, Gilead may not want to do a trial

  11. ‘sprocket_ says:
    Saturday, May 2, 2020 at 6:11 pm

    Kit Denton wrote the story of Breaker Morant, one of many colonials shafted by the British.

    Yet we still tug our forelock to them’

    Uh…. Morant was a cold blooded murderer.

  12. mundo @ #2869 Saturday, May 2nd, 2020 – 6:05 pm

    ItzaDream @ #2851 Saturday, May 2nd, 2020 – 5:39 pm

    Kakuru @ #2701 Saturday, May 2nd, 2020 – 2:46 pm

    “Thankfully the Capt Cook brouhaha has passed me by.”

    I’m reminded of that question posed by Kit Denton: “Who discovered Captain Cook, and why?”

    Lovely to see Kit Denton’s name pop up.

    First time Mundo ate a dill pickle was at Kit Denton’s house in Wentworth falls…early 70s…

    And before the Mountains, Longueville iirc. One of my sisters worked with him at the ABC, in the heady days of Joyce Belfrage, and the infamous Typewriter Incident of William Street.

  13. BW

    Morant was following orders, he argued. Which is always a hard task in the fog of war, and the British had their scapegoat. Though you probably know more detail than I do.

  14. The Donald has taken that final step into the Kingdom of Utter Madness. How long will it be before some psycho Trumpite decides that bullets will solve everything? The Orange Looney will no doubt use his now infamous, “I take no responsibility.” and try to go onto bigger and madder things and hope it all goes away.

  15. PuffyTMD says:
    Saturday, May 2, 2020 at 4:49 pm
    Unfortunately, shortly before she died, Mrs Cook burned all the letters her husband Capt. Cook sent her while he was away on his voyages.. That is enough to make an historian weep.
    I agree Puffy. It reminds me of the destruction of many writings and translated poetry by the 19th century Irish explorer of Arabia, Sir Richard Burton. His widow, being a devout Catholic, apparently thought they were too racy for the time and burned them after he died.
    Same as Jane Austen’s sister burning all of their letters after her sibling died. Why she did, no one seems to know.
    I can understand families wanting to keep secrets within their families, but OTOH I feel there is a wider need for society and posterity to know more about these people.

  16. Boerwar says:
    Saturday, May 2, 2020 at 6:27 pm

    Morant was a horse thief, a cold-blooded killer and a war criminal.
    Still, he probably had some bad qualities too.

  17. The movie is crap history.

    Morant was a serial murderer.

    The hospital patients whom he murdered he murdered because they threatened to inform the authorities that he had murdered a missionary in cold blood.

  18. BW, that may be the case – but like Ned Kelly, he is regarded as martyr to many.. especially with the Lord Kitchener ‘take no prisoners’ order to the irregulars.

    Upon its release in 1980, Beresford’s film both brought Morant’s life story to a worldwide audience and “hoisted the images of the accused officers to the level of Australian icons and martyrs.”[44] Many Australians now regard Lts. Morant and Handcock as scapegoats or even as the victims of judicial murder. Attempts continue, with widespread public support, to obtain them a posthumous pardon or even a new trial. In a 1999 interview, Beresford expressed a deep sense of regret that his film is widely viewed as a story “about poor Australians who were framed by the Brits.”[45]

  19. South Australians might be interested to know that Morant married Daisy Bates.

    Because he lied about his age the marriage was illegal. She quickly learned that he was a dud when he stole a saddle and a pig.

  20. spr
    Kelly was another cold blooded murderer.
    I am not sure why Australians choose to idolize cold blooded killers.

  21. Boerwar says:
    Saturday, May 2, 2020 at 6:34 pm

    Kelly was another cold blooded murderer.
    I am not sure why Australians choose to idolize cold blooded killers.
    You have obviously read little about the issue.

  22. Morant was a far more prolific killer than Kelly with twenty deaths to his name – all of them unarmed, all prisoners and some patients in a hospital.

    The notion that Morant is a hero and should be pardoned is a sign of sickness among the proponents who are nothing much more, IMO, than scoundrels reaching for the flag with which to cover their moral nakedness.

  23. India reported 2,293 new cases of the coronavirus on Friday, its biggest single-day increase yet, according to Health Ministry officials.

    The country has recorded 37,336 infections and more than 1,100 deaths from the coronavirus, a relatively low number for a country of 1.3 billion people. But in recent days, outbreaks have worsened in states like Maharashtra, where many cases have been traced to large, overcrowded neighborhoods in Mumbai, India’s business capital.

    For more than five weeks, Indian officials have stringently enforced a nationwide lockdown to stem the spread of the coronavirus, sealing state borders, halting transportation and shutting airspace and most businesses.

    India’s Home Ministry announced on Friday that the lockdown would continue until at least May 17, though restrictions on movement are scheduled to loosen next week in districts with few or no infections.

  24. sprocket_ says:
    Saturday, May 2, 2020 at 6:40 pm

    Ned Kelly was driven to his crimes by bastardisation of the Irish by the British (don’t @me)
    that’s right. His sister was molested by a policeman, a younger brother shot the policeman in the hand and the policeman blamed it on Ned rather than the younger brother. Ned was not even there. That is what started the whole affair. The police then attempted to kill Ned. Ned acted in self defense.

  25. I haven’t followed Ms Van Dieman’s critique of Captain Cook spreading disease.

    However the disdain many Australians feel for the tactics and legacy of British colonialism in all its forms, leads to an similar disdain to the current day forelock Tuggers like Abbott, and I suspect Morrison.

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