Newspoll state leadership polling and Essential Research coronavirus latest

State-level polling finds the coronavirus tide lifting all boats — but none so far as Mark McGowan in WA, whose numbers may be without precedent.

The Australian ($) today provides Newspoll findings on state leaders’ handling of the coronavirus, from samples of around 520 for each mainland state plus 309 for Tasmania. The poll finds all concerned riding high, including three who strongly outperformed Scott Morrison’s ballyhooed 68% approval and 28% disapproval on the weekend. These are WA Labor Premier Mark McGowan, at 89% approval and 6% disapproval; Tasmanian Liberal Premier Peter Gutwein, at 84% approval and 11% disapproval after three months in the job; and Victorian Labor Premier Daniel Andrews, at 75% approval and 17% disapproval.

Morrison was also matched on approval and bettered on net approval by NSW Liberal Premier Gladys Berejiklian (69% approval and 23% disapproval) and SA Liberal Premier Steven Marshall (68% approval and 21% disapproval). Only Queensland Labor Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk, who faces an election in October, was below the prime ministerial par (55% approval and 39% disapproval). With due allowance for small samples, I believe McGowan’s ratings may be a record for Newspoll, or indeed for any other Australian pollster, and that Gutwein’s might have been too if not for McGowan’s.

The leaders record even stronger ratings on the specific question of handling the coronavirus outbreak: 77% rate Berejiklian as having done well, compared with 18% for badly; Andrews is at 85% and 11%; Palaszczuk is at 72% and 23%; McGowan is at 94% and 4%; Marshall is at 82% and 11%; and Gutwein is at 89% and 8%. Equivalent results are also provided for the Prime Minister, and here too Western Australians are most positive, at 73% approval and 23% disapproval, with 85% rating Morrison had handled coronavirus well compared with 14% for badly. In New South Wales, Morrison scored 67% approval and 30% disapproval, and 82% well and 16% badly for coronavirus; in Victoria, 72% approval and 26% disapproval, 83% well and 14% badly; in Queensland, 67% approval and 28% disapproval, 81% well and 17% badly; in South Australia, 70% approval and 27% disapproval, 83% well and 15% badly; and in Tasmania, 64% approval and 31% disapproval, 81% well and 18% badly.

As reported in The Guardian, the weekly Essential Research coronavirus poll provides us with a third set of small-sample findings on mainland state governments’ handling of the crisis, ranging from about 80 respondents in South Australia to 320 in New South Wales. The latest results produce combined very good and good ratings of 77% for the Victorian and South Australian governments, 76% for Western Australia, 67% for Queensland and 63% for New South Wales. The table below records the progress of this series over its three weeks, together with an averaged result which again shows Western Australia highest at 77%, followed by 74% for Victoria, 72% for South Australia, 61% for Queensland and 60% for New South Wales.

Essential Research also finds confidence in the federal government’s handling of the crisis continuing to rise, with 70% rating it good or very good, a measure that earlier progressed from 45% in late March to 65% last week. Seventy-three per cent now say they consider themselves unlikely to catch the virus, compared with 57% at the peak of concern at the end of March. In response to a list of options for budget repair, 64% supported preventing companies in offshore tax havens from receiving goverment support, but only 32% favoured removing franking credits and negative gearing, and 18% supported death duties.

On the COVIDSafe app, the weekend’s Newspoll found 21% saying they would definitely take it up, 33% that they would probably do so, 21% that they would probably not, and 18% that they would definitely not. Apart from the lower uncommitted rating, this is broadly in line with an Australia Institute poll of 1011 respondents on Thursday and Friday which had 45% saying they would and 28% that they wouldn’t. Essential Research also weighed in on the question, and found 53% saying it would limit the spread of the virus, and 46% that it would speed removal of distancing restrictions. A full set of results from Essential Research should be with us later today.

UPDATE: Full Essential Research report here.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

3,040 comments on “Newspoll state leadership polling and Essential Research coronavirus latest”

Comments Page 57 of 61
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  1. Simon Katich says: Saturday, May 2, 2020 at 4:33 pm

    OK. Bradman tho…. That guy was over-rated.

    ****************************************************************

    Really Simon – can you please explain = the Don – widely acknowledged as the greatest batsman of all time. Bradman’s career Test batting average of 99.94 has been cited as the greatest achievement by any sportsman in any major sport.

    Am I missing something ?????

  3. Cud Chewer

    Tasmania posted zero yesterday. The first day every state and territory posted zero cases – except NSW and Vic.
    —————-

    It’s possible we will have the situation whereby Australia is divided into two parts/provinces, like Germania in the Roman Empire.

    A virus free Australia Superior (WA, SA, NT, Vic, Qld) and a virus suppressed Australia Inferior (NSW), not sure which province Tas will join! 🙂

  5. Pegasus: “meher baba if you are about…..
    Welcome to Victoria, the Doomsday State
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/welcome-to-victoria-the-doomsday-state-20200501-p54p49.html”

    Interesting article. But I think it focused on the wrong issues. I reckon Andrews is an effective leader, but I also think that the Victorian response has been rather inconsistent. But Andrews is such a self-confident guy that people trust him even though his message – and particularly that of Sutton – has been a bit confusing at times (eg, people should move around as little as possible, but it’s ok to go to your holiday house; bonking ban is on, then it’s off; case numbers are coming down, but we’re likely to move to a stage 4 lockdown soon,etc.)

    The article seems to want to portray Andrews as a bit of a megalomaniac. Which is garbage. And it also wants to portray Andrews as being a bit quixotic in trying to hold to home schooling until term 3: an issue on which I reckon he is 100% correct

  6. Am I missing something ?????

    Yes. So did beguiledagain.
    But thats ok.

    FWIW, I have been to London, once, for a few short hours between flights. Just enough time to grab a waaaay overpriced breakfast catching up with a mate who was working there and make it to Greenwich.

  7. meher baba,
    Do you have sexual hangups!?! You keep mentioning the ‘bonking ban’ when, in reality, it lasted all of two ups in Victoria.

    Which case should actually be seen as a positive for Dan Andrews, not a negative. He listened to expert advice and quickly reversed direction on it. Still, when you don’t have much to hang your hat on when it comes to criticism of the guy I guess any old port in a storm will do.

  8. Confessions @ #2732 Saturday, May 2nd, 2020 – 3:14 pm

    Dan Andrews’ performance has been criticised by a few people here (for reasons unknown), but it would seem those people are the exception rather than the rule. This article shows exactly why Andrews has enjoyed strong support.

    I agree with you about Dan Andrews, but it hasn’t stopped the tories from trying to rewrite events, even this early, eg the following AFR article on 30 April…wtte about questions ‘remaining’ –

    The Victorian Premier’s popularity has never been higher but questions remain over his more interventionist approach and the lasting debt post COVID-19.

    Patrick Durkin

    Apr 30, 2020 – 12.05am

    Morrison on Wednesday also sought to play down any rift with Andrews who has only gone as far as to call the PM “a good bloke”.

    “We are working together,” the PM says. ” That doesn’t mean we don’t from time to time have a different view about particular issues. It would be extraordinary if we didn’t. But the fact is, when we do work through these issues, we do it in a very co-operative and respectful way.”

    Pallas says it’s only natural Andrews has taken a leadership role in the national cabinet as the longest serving leader – he will clock up 10 years as Labor leader in December, including four as opposition leader and six as premier.

    Critics such as former Victorian Premier Jeff Kennett warn Andrews’ highly interventionist approach will come at a high cost: record levels of debt and spending including a $24.5 billion funding lifeline,

    Critics warn the Premier’s position is closely aligned with the teachers’ union and point to old wounds over Andrews proudly leading an Australian Council Trade Union rally in the lead-up to his landslide 2018 election win, while his government faced a fight to keep public sector wages in hand.

    Likewise, questions remain over how much Andrews has distanced himself from the militant CFMEU and their funding.

    Andrews and NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian led the lockdown charge back on March 22 when they announced a shutdown of “all non-essential activity” within 48 hours. Morrison issued a more detailed clarification later that Sunday night.

    Kennett says he had supported Andrews’ response until this latest $24.5 billion debt facility.

    “In one stroke of the pen, they have borrowed everything that we reduced,” Kennett says.

    CEO of the Victorian Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Paul Guerra, says: “People are forgetting there is no vaccine, we would rather see a more cautious approach to ensure once we start, we don’t suffer the risk of stopping, that will be more devastating than waiting an extra 10 days”.

    “The debt is always a concern but what’s the alternative? The truth is this wasn’t a financially driven crisis, it was a health crisis, so it was important government threw whatever they could at it to allow business to get to the other side”.

    Full article –
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/does-daniel-andrews-deserve-his-record-popularity-20200428-p54nw6

  11. Rakali

    That also has implications for the tourism industry. I can see the other states allowing unfettered air travel and thus tourism between themselves. Also this gives Victoria more leverage over NSW because of the value of Sydney-Melbourne air travel.

    Go one step further and you start to wonder about regional NSW – will they insist on health checks in and out of Sydney?

  14. If we were divided into regions, instead of states, it would be easier to separate one infection zone from another.

  15. Unfortunately, shortly before she died, Mrs Cook burned all the letters her husband Capt. Cook sent her while he was away on his voyages.. That is enough to make an historian weep.

  18. Critics such as former Victorian Premier Jeff Kennett warn Andrews’ highly interventionist approach will come at a high cost: record levels of debt and spending including a $24.5 billion funding lifeline

    *crickets* when it comes to opining about the ‘amount of debt racked up’ by the federal Coalition.

    Critics warn the Premier’s position is closely aligned with the teachers’ union and point to old wounds over Andrews proudly leading an Australian Council Trade Union rally in the lead-up to his landslide 2018 election win, while his government faced a fight to keep public sector wages in hand.

    Wages haven’t been kept ‘in hand’, they’ve been squashed flatter than a Corona curve by Andrews’ ‘critics’ (otherwise known as the Coalition, the IPA, the BCA and the AIG). I also note for the record, Executive salaries have definitely not been kept ‘in hand’, by way of distinction and an ‘up yours!’ to Andrews’ ‘critics’.

  19. poroti

    Nieuw Holland rides again
    ————

    It’s uncanny how the NT, SA, and WA could re-form as Nieuw Holland, the rest would re-form as the original New South Wales!

  20. Cud Chewer

    Go one step further and you start to wonder about regional NSW – will they insist on health checks in and out of Sydney?
    ———-

    Yes it’s not NSW, it’s just dirty Sydney! 🙂

  21. And if anyone brings me back one of those, slightly larger than normal 😉 Toblerones from Britain they will have a friend for life! 😆

  24. phoenixRED @ #2798 Saturday, May 2nd, 2020 – 4:37 pm

    Simon Katich says: Saturday, May 2, 2020 at 4:33 pm

    OK. Bradman tho…. That guy was over-rated.

    ****************************************************************

    Really Simon – can you please explain = the Don – widely acknowledged as the greatest batsman of all time. Bradman’s career Test batting average of 99.94 has been cited as the greatest achievement by any sportsman in any major sport.

    Am I missing something ?????

    Yes. The way you use the word ‘batsman’….???
    As though it’s a thing and not just some overgrown kid whacking something thrown – sorry ‘bowled’ – at him with a stick. Next you’ll tell me that a ‘run’ is some special measure of a persons worth.

  25. I am truly sorry to say, Remdesivir is probably worthless, and we are seeing some fascinating drug company shenanigans, a thread.

    https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1256242036015063042.html

    Ends:

    Absolute genius. You have to salute them. On the day a negative trial of their drug is reported, based on a press release they took over the news cycle, and with some midstream edits to their endpoints their now “positive” trial wins them FDA approval and a halted trial.
    It’s an infusion, once symptomatic, you need an admission, a test, etc., really even symptoms are probably too late a goal for such a therapy to work. Prophylaxis (like Gilead’s Truvada/PreP would be better – but unworkable in its current form.
    Either way, a big win for Gilead, but I’m unimpressed with any if the evidence presented so far that this is a game changer.

  29. https://www.business-standard.com/article/international/uk-declines-to-use-apple-google-framework-for-covid-19-contact-tracing-app-120042901073_1.html

    The UK has decided not to use the framework proposed by tech giants Apple and Google for its National Health Service (NHS) coronavirus contact tracing app.

    NHSX, the digital arm of the country’s health organisation, is creating a centralised app that has been flagged for privacy and security issues, Mail Online reported on Tuesday.

    The framework proposed by Apple and Google is a decentralised one, meaning that the tracking information will not be stored in a central server.

    So the UK, like Australia, has decided not to use the Apple-Google framework, preferring to develop its own. This seems rather unfortunate, since the Apple-Google framework has several advantages when compared to Bluetrace/TraceTogether/COVIDSafe or any “App” (instead of OS based) approach. These advantages relate to:
    – the decentralised model
    – the involvement of the OS vendor

    Specifically:
    – the decentralised model keeps data on the phone. Nothing is uploaded unless and until the owner decides to do so. This provides strong privacy guarantees
    – the OS vendor can rapidly distribute the function to the majority of phone owners (who can then choose to opt in), thus maximising take up
    – restrictions that apply to Apps do not apply to OS modules. In particular an OS module is (more or less by definition) running all the time (once it’s enabled and unless it’s disabled). This avoids the problem with COVIDSafe etc that it must be running and can interfere with the use of a phones for calls and key functions
    – specialised power management can be applied so that the OS module does not rapidly drain the battery
    – as it happens, the framework includes a solution to the “fake infection report” problem in that one time keys supplied by a health authority is required in order for phone owners to report themselves as infected

    Supporting the function via the Apple-Google framework produces a superior result in terms of function, take-up and (if anyone cares) privacy. The question is why are governments refusing to use it? (and moreover, why have they published their intent not to use it?). As usual, incompetence (rather than malice) is the likely explanation.

    Development of the framework is moving quickly, see:
    – https://www.apple.com/covid19/contacttracing
    – FAQ https://covid19-static.cdn-apple.com/applications/covid19/current/static/contact-tracing/pdf/ExposureNotification-FAQv1.0.pdf

  35. Cud Chewer says:
    Saturday, May 2, 2020 at 4:47 pm
    Those large (not the giant one the kid is holding) Toblerone bars are routinely sold for between $10 and $15 in airport duty free stores. A couple of weeks ago the local Aldi had a pile of the milk chocolate bars selling for $3.79. Go figure.
    I prefer the dark chocolate version but they are not as available as the milk chocolate.

    Anyhow I grew up with Hoadleys Violet Crumble Bar which has more less disappeared. Maybe I’ll ask KJ, he’s older than me I suspect. In the good old days when Easter Show bags were free and contained samples, the Hoadleys bag was most sought after.

  36. GG

    And my friends in Singapore telling me atm Singapore is very very hot. So much for #Covid19 killed by hot weather

    Heat (sunlight) runs in one direction, air conditioning runs in the other.

    Apparently the use of air conditioning is quite a bit higher in the USA than in Europe; I guess we’ll see whether it makes a difference …

  38. A couple of sites are listing 2 new cases in the Northern Territory.
    But I cannot find mention of it on the official site or in the news.. Anyone know anything?

  50. You can still get Violet Crumble Bars, just not in bar form but in cube form in a multi cube packet. Also, I had some Dark Chocolate Toblerone this afternoon. I bought a packet of mini mixed Toblerones-milk, dark and white chocolate. I must say, it goes well with white chocolate!

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