The fortnightly Essential Research poll focuses, naturally enough, on coronavirus, with 45% rating the federal government’s response good or very good, and 29% poor or very poor. According to The Guardian’s report, it would seem the latter tend to be those most worried about the virus, as measured by a question on whether respondents felt the situation was being overblown, with which “one third” agreed while 28% thought the opposite.
Over the course of three fortnightly polls, the proportion rating themselves very concerned has escalated from 25% to 27% to 39%, while the results for quite concerned have gone from 43% to 36% and back again. The Guardian’s report does not relate the latest results for “not that concerned” and “not at all concerned”, which were actually up in the last poll, from 26% to 28% and 6% to 9% respectively. Further questions relate to trust in various sources of information, notably the government and the media, but we will have to wait for the publication of the full report later today to get a clear handle on them. Suffice to say that Essential still has nothing to tell us on voting intention.
In other findings, 49% said they wanted the opposition to fall in behind the government’s decisions while 33% preferred that it review and challenge them, and 42% now consider themselves likely to catch the virus, up from 31% on a fortnight ago. Seventy-two per cent reported washing their hands more often, 60% said they were avoiding social gatherings, and 33% reported stocking up on groceries.
We also have a Roy Morgan SMS survey of 723 respondents, which was both conducted and published yesterday, showing 79% support for the government’s decision to allow those in financial difficulty to access $20,000 of their superannuation. As noted in the previous post, an earlier such poll of 974 respondents from Wednesday and Thursday recorded levels of trust in various Australian politicians (plus Jacinda Ardern, who fared best of all); a further set of results from the same poll finds Dick Smith, Mike Cannon-Brookes, Andrew Forrest and Alan Joyce rating best out of designated list of business leaders, with Rupert Murdoch, Clive Palmer, Gina Rinehart and Gerry Harvey performed worst. We are yet to receive hard numbers from either set of questions, but they are apparently forthcoming.
UPDATE: Full report from Essential Research here.
Player One @ #4782 Sunday, March 29th, 2020 – 6:33 pm
People have had to put up with the Lib-Lab muppet show for 10 yrs.
How do you think they will take to taking orders from said muppets to completely lock down ..?
Doesn’t seem like there are more restrictions being announced, unless he’s doing that after running through all the tech people can get support and info through.
BB should hold a party for 1.
Scout @ #4723 Sunday, March 29th, 2020 – 5:36 pm
Have you read any of the John Sandford books, detective thrillers with the main protagonist, Lucas Davenport set in the twin cities Minneapolis St Paul ?
Sandford grew up in Iowa, writes very well IMO, more in a British style then American and was a journo until he was about 40.
Grap one of his books if you come across them. Has written close to 50 books in under 30 years but his main character is davenport.
Boerwar @ #4790 Sunday, March 29th, 2020 – 6:36 pm
I was right. You’re doing the trolling.
Nope spoke too soon 🙁
Oh for fucks sake you lot stop fucking fighting over who is the most racist cVnt on this blog.
It is getting bloody boring. It sounds like you all need to take up pencils and colouring-in books.
south
I walked away from the TV when he came on. All it does is annoy.
Holy shit max 2 people allowed in a gathering inside or outside!
Puffytmd @ #4807 Sunday, March 29th, 2020 – 6:38 pm
How’s that lettuce going, Puffy?
Confessions
All the reasonably well informed people figured this out 2 weeks ago. More would have, had Scomo and his fuckwit CMO not confused the messaging.
Rex Douglas @ #4801 Sunday, March 29th, 2020 – 6:37 pm
Your first para answers your second.
Doubling in Australia
Again this is two days’ late.
https://coronavirusgraphs.com/?c=h&y=log&t=line&f=0&ct=&co=21
Good luck with that.
Labor will be happy about it.
@Confessions
How does that work for shopping and working?
CCh
Given my expectations of the most corrupt prime minister and the most corrupt government since Federation, it is practically impossible for them to disappoint me.
Morrison does not just lack the mental furniture to figure out policy dilemmas.
He lacks the mental house. Third rater. Cometh the hour and goeth the man.
Hunt is sleazing around with his look-at -moi feel good announceables while his clients are dying.
Dutton is in purdah.
Robert is a born-again slackarse.
Taylor is dodging his dues.
McCormack gets up and announces that Morrison has insisted all along that none of this is about politics. Fucking liars. Both of them.
Further bans on outside gatherings:
In addition, in public areas public playgrounds, outside gyms and skateparks will be closed as from tomorrow and boot camps will be reduced to two, which doesn’t really make it a boot camp, that makes it a private session with your trainer for those who are accessing those services.
Puffytmd @ #4807 Sunday, March 29th, 2020 – 6:38 pm
If those responsible would stop bringing it back up each and every bloody day … 🙁
Boerwar @ #4775 Sunday, March 29th, 2020 – 5:29 pm
Hmm. I don’t know. I’m just reading a number off a graph, from the easiest obtainable data, to create a very rough gauge of the progress of this thing.
GG
It is not as limp as some around here today.
shellbell yep it says we’re now only doubling once every 4.6 days. So we’ll get to 45,000 cases and run out of ICU beds in 16 days rather than 10.
DavidWH
That really sucks. My daughter and her son (my grandson) currently live with us, and we have all been working from home, including the young one, for more than a week.
But there is no chance of seeing the other 3 grandchildren.
Also, today daughter wanted to invite my 85 year old mother around for a roast. I reluctantly suggested it was a bad idea and she agreed. I am still going to mum’s place, luckily 10 mins walk, but I am reluctant to take anyone else with me.
I ring each day.
I didn’t realize that P1 was Rexie Darling’s lamprey…
… it just goes to show.
Anyhoo, in deference to William’s blood pressure and rules this is my last post on the general topic of Rexies’ trolling and P1’s lovely pick up of same.
BW and C@t
Thanks! I have a Carl Hiaasen I picked up in the states some years ago. I have not got around to reading it yet. I am frantically busy at the moment, but expect that in about 6 weeks time I will suddenly have. a lot of time on my hands, and will put this book near the top of my list.
CC
No
This table you deployed a few days says the doubling rate is slowing.
Scotty says the measures will be in place for the next 6 months. Or did I mishear that?
Boerwar @ #4815 Sunday, March 29th, 2020 – 6:45 pm
A typical Boerwar hit and run…
Cud Chewer @ #4820 Sunday, March 29th, 2020 – 3:44 pm
The PM just said the rate is slowing.
NSW Health announcement re Physios in ICU (positioning etc):
– https://www.health.nsw.gov.au/news/Pages/20200329_02.aspx
It might be the case the pts who can get themselves to prone (perhaps with physio guidance / assistance) instead of being moved (by nurses) do better, even independently of the implied better starting point.
NSW has shared the programme design with the other states (it’s part of the $700M COVID19 health package)
I seriously recommend to the people here to study this animated graph.
https://aatishb.com/covidtrends/
What it does is clearly separate out 4 kinds of country.
1. The US that is sailing off into catastrophe. Probably soon to be joined by Brazil, Russia etc.
2. Places like Italy, Spain etc whose policy to lock down and isolate are paying off to some extent. Italy in particular is now trending to linear (fixed number of new cases per day). But after having paid a heavy price and will now continue to see many new cases and more deaths stretching out until there is a vaccine in a year or so.
3. Countries like Singapore, South Korea, Japan that opted for early mass testing and surveillance without lock downs. These countries were early successes, but are also unstable successes and could easily see a second wave.
4. China. Pull out all stops. Isolate without exception. Tight lock down. Result, near eradication.
Which of these do you wish Australia to look like?
Perhaps he was referring to the moratorium on evictions.
Boerwar @ #4737 Sunday, March 29th, 2020 – 5:47 pm
Peter Bernstein in “Against the Gods” – the remarkable story of risk, tells the story of a Professor of Mathematics in WW2 Berlin (I think) who refused to go to bomb shelters during bombing raids etc.
He would tell them about the mathematical probability of being killed and point out how improbable the elephant in Berlin Zoo for example would be killed.
Then one night he appeared in the bomb shelter once the siren went and when asked why, said – last night they got the elephant.
dave
haha. Good one.
FFS, exponential curves don’t flatten. They just approach vertical less quickly.
Cud Chewer @ #4689 Sunday, March 29th, 2020 – 6:32 pm
A little is a lot with shows like that on Channel 9. 🙂
CC. Clearly number 4. To that end I also support the deployment of 500,000 soldiers of the Chinese P.L.A. I am also willing to personally round up anti-Chinese dissidents such as our own Bushfire Bill. Cheers.
Shellbell:
The doubling time is (probably) increasing. That is less bad, but not good if the process remains exponential.
I’d be a bit careful about using the term rate.
Confessions @ #4828 Sunday, March 29th, 2020 – 6:48 pm
It will do that unless and until they allow another cruise ship to dock, or another load of returning VIPs to evade quarantine 🙁
Confessions @ #4733 Sunday, March 29th, 2020 – 6:50 pm
I wonder though if that means that the landlord will be free to recoup his losses, say by a rent increase, when the extraordinary situation ends?
Clear as mud. This is how he rambles.
Dandy Murray @ #4834 Sunday, March 29th, 2020 – 6:52 pm
Inflection.
Dandy Murray:
Quite so – noting of course that the approach to vertical is as to the asymptote – never actually gets to vertical…
GG:
Infection Inflexion is the new Extinction Rebellion?
lizzie @ #4841 Sunday, March 29th, 2020 – 6:57 pm
It’s just unbelievable, isn’t it? 🙁
Morrison refusing to answer questions because he is ‘not interested in the politics’.
Unaccountable and corrupt liars abound.
No Evictions for 6 months….. Six months free rent!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Sucks to be a landlord at the moment. But at least they can negatively gear that.
GG.
Do keep up. They are talking about an inflection in the rate of acceleration.
This means the numbers are still growing by increasing amounts each day, just the rate at which the new case numbers are growing is slightly less than before.
Confessions @ #4825 Sunday, March 29th, 2020 – 5:48 pm
We’re still accelerating, just not as hard. We’re still speeding up.