The fortnightly Essential Research poll focuses, naturally enough, on coronavirus, with 45% rating the federal government’s response good or very good, and 29% poor or very poor. According to The Guardian’s report, it would seem the latter tend to be those most worried about the virus, as measured by a question on whether respondents felt the situation was being overblown, with which “one third” agreed while 28% thought the opposite.
Over the course of three fortnightly polls, the proportion rating themselves very concerned has escalated from 25% to 27% to 39%, while the results for quite concerned have gone from 43% to 36% and back again. The Guardian’s report does not relate the latest results for “not that concerned” and “not at all concerned”, which were actually up in the last poll, from 26% to 28% and 6% to 9% respectively. Further questions relate to trust in various sources of information, notably the government and the media, but we will have to wait for the publication of the full report later today to get a clear handle on them. Suffice to say that Essential still has nothing to tell us on voting intention.
In other findings, 49% said they wanted the opposition to fall in behind the government’s decisions while 33% preferred that it review and challenge them, and 42% now consider themselves likely to catch the virus, up from 31% on a fortnight ago. Seventy-two per cent reported washing their hands more often, 60% said they were avoiding social gatherings, and 33% reported stocking up on groceries.
We also have a Roy Morgan SMS survey of 723 respondents, which was both conducted and published yesterday, showing 79% support for the government’s decision to allow those in financial difficulty to access $20,000 of their superannuation. As noted in the previous post, an earlier such poll of 974 respondents from Wednesday and Thursday recorded levels of trust in various Australian politicians (plus Jacinda Ardern, who fared best of all); a further set of results from the same poll finds Dick Smith, Mike Cannon-Brookes, Andrew Forrest and Alan Joyce rating best out of designated list of business leaders, with Rupert Murdoch, Clive Palmer, Gina Rinehart and Gerry Harvey performed worst. We are yet to receive hard numbers from either set of questions, but they are apparently forthcoming.
UPDATE: Full report from Essential Research here.
CC, I find exponential curves on log scales easier to understand. Exponential curves on a linear scale all look much the same. But, for you I’ll have a go. For now, please accept the graph below. 🙂
Shellbell
These are the data I am working with.
DATE&TIME Count Increase
2020-03-22 17:00 1,315 214
2020-03-23 17:00 1,709 394
2020-03-24 17:00 2,136 427
2020-03-25 17:00 2,423 287
2020-03-26 17:00 2,799 376
Noosa is a northern satellite suburb of Victoria.
All the Sails restaurant cases clearly should be added to Vic
Late Riser I’d be reluctant to read too much into that just yet. Statistically significant? Possibly. Give it 2 or 3 more days.
If there is a reduction in the exponent then its got everything to do with the community response that started happening early last week and little to do with what the government has done more recently.
BTW – how do you get images on here again 🙂
I’ll put my WA plot up, on the off chance anyone is interested
Dandy Murray @ #2393 Thursday, March 26th, 2020 – 5:10 pm
OK
lizzie @ #2393 Thursday, March 26th, 2020 – 6:12 pm
Please Labor, please.
Just this once.
Stick something as PJK would say ‘like shit to a blanket’
Don’t shit up about it.
Not like the NBN.
Not like ‘wheat for weapons’
Not like all those other die in ditch issues you went to water on.
You
Have
Nothing
To
Lose.
Well, I threw out the marley and Mundo swam right in.
Edit: burley (sp?)
“It is estimated there are currently 7000 Australian travellers in Indonesia, including 4700 in the holiday hotspot of Bali, though this number is a big drop from the usual figure of around 30,000 in Indonesia.”
I’m surprised there are still that many people there.
Right on Mundo,
The ALP should make a really big thing of this. Have plenty of their members, socially distanced, fly to Canberra and protest. Talk about Churchill and the war etc.
But they won’t. They are fairy floss.
Kambah Mick @ #2398 Thursday, March 26th, 2020 – 6:12 pm
Despising governments does not make you racist. It makes you normal 🙂
Classic quote from that video I just posted at 8:27
Think about it.
The outcome we get has everything to do with the actions of individual people. The more they understand the threat and the more they take it seriously and do simple things like wash their hands and stay at home, the better the outcome.
And the problem I’ve had from the very beginning is the way the government has screwed up the messaging. So much so that we have a large part of our society just acting like there’s nothing to worry about. That’s self correcting eventually (as the bodies pile up), but it shouldn’t be that way.
Shellbell @ #2350 Thursday, March 26th, 2020 – 4:29 pm
So many inconsistencies.
Capricornia is in central Queensland, centred around Rockhampton.
Far north Queensland is usually considered north of Cairns, 1,000 km north of Rockhampton.
North Queensland is considered Mackay to north of Townsville.
Culturally the north is just north of Noosa and the west is west of Ipswich.
lizzie @ #2358 Thursday, March 26th, 2020 – 4:34 pm
Well aren’t they still FIFO from interstate into the Pilbara?
For those discussing exponential growth, etc
Re-posting a link I provided this morning….it has clear explanations, including wwhat is exponential growth…. presenting graphical info……..linear….logarithmic scale.
————
What we can learn from the countries winning the coronavirus fight
See how coronavirus is spreading around the world — and what lessons we can take from the countries beating the virus.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-03-26/coronavirus-covid19-global-spread-data-explained/12089028
Listening to the debates on the TV, I get the idea that there are two different strategies being discussed. One might be characterised as do the maximum and hope you are wrong, and other as do the minimum and hope you are right. ??
CC…soon.
Let’s start a petition asking for his request to be met and made permanent.
Kanbah Mick
“I am a racist! An unapologising racist of the worst kind.
I despise the Chinese government for its anti democratic, violent suppression of Tibetans and Uighers and other minorities it sadly has power over.
I despise the Iranian government for its despotic behaviour against its people and its support for terrorism across the world.
I despise the Saudi Arabian government for its despotic behaviour against its people and its support for terrorism around the world.
I despise the Brazilian government for itshuman rights violations and political use of murder for the sake of power.
I despise the Indian government for its formenting religious violence as a tool for political power.
I despise the Burmese government for its corruption and for formenting religious violence as a tool for political power.
I despise the Cambodian government ditto.
And ditto several other governments for ditto reasons.”
Well, congratulations I guess, but this isn’t truly racist.
You see you have successfully avoided labeling whole countries/racial groups and have focused on the individuals (the Governments) at fault.
You could make your argument MORE clear, by just saying ‘I despise Governments that do X’
That would be absolutely non-racist AND has greater clarity as people will not be confused by long lists of countries.
Queensland border restrictions
https://www.qld.gov.au/about/newsroom/queensland-border-restrictions
Includes all other exemptions and details re closure of border.
For CC
Hope this is whhat you had in mind.
..
citizen @ #2392 Thursday, March 26th, 2020 – 5:09 pm
But there’ll be no one to cover the nanna nap period!
Investors bracing for fresh euro zone debt crisis
Karen MaleyColumnist
Mar 26, 2020 – 5.15pm
Mario Draghi has gone as the head of the European Central Bank, and most of the key political players have changed, the obvious exception being German chancellor Angela Merkel.
Angela Merkel, Germany’s Chancellor, is the only EU leader from the European debt crisis a decade ago to stick around for the coronavirus crisis. AP
But as the euro zone lurches ever closer to a fresh debt crisis, the central question remains the same: will the fiscally prudent northern states – especially Germany and the Netherlands – be prepared to backstop the borrowings of countries like Italy and Spain.
As always, there are the interminable meetings that fail to reach agreement. On Tuesday night, a meeting of European Union finance ministers failed to come up with ways to tackle the economic devastation caused by the coronavirus pandemic.
Few hold out any hopes for a break-through. Although the euro zone has agreed to suspend its strict rules on budget deficits in order to allow billions of euros in extra spending to mitigate the devastation of the coronavirus, key countries – including France, Italy and Spain – believe that a lot more needs to be done.
https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/investors-bracing-for-fresh-euro-zone-debt-crisis-20200326-p54e3c
Queensland miners fear Fifo workers could pose a threat during coronavirus pandemic
Local workers and their families are concerned that thousands of fly-in, fly-out workers continue to cycle through mine sites
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2020/mar/25/queensland-miners-fear-fifo-workers-could-pose-a-threat-during-coronavirus-pandemic
Davidwh @ #2395 Thursday, March 26th, 2020 – 5:11 pm
They’re already dropping grenades from the bridge lightpoles.
The Guardian
A second man has died from Covid-19 in Western Australia, according to reports. This brings the number of deaths from the virus in Australia to 13. Four of those deaths, all of people in their 70s, were announced today.
Simon Katich
SA has been testing (almost) all respiratory swabs (sent to SA Pathology) for COVID-19, including those suspected of flu or whatever else. So the GP just had to decide whether to order a swab done (or do it, rather). I am not sure whether SA Pathology decided this as an internal decision, or whether it was publicised at the time. Nice work, I say!
BTW – how is traffic at the Kingscote collection point?
Dandy Murray @ #2393 Thursday, March 26th, 2020 – 5:10 pm
The CIs have landed. Thanks.
I still haven’t been able to figure out HOW a hairdresser cuts your hair whilst observing Social Distancing?
Meher,
If the doubling time is consistently shortening, you are seeing super-exponential growth.
My understanding of the biology is that can’t be explained by natural spread alone.
(My understanding of the biology is nothing special.)
It’s Time
They got that covered. Davidwh makes an excellent roadblock during the nananap period.
Let’s see if this works
Blobbit @ #2407 Thursday, March 26th, 2020 – 3:19 pm
I’m surprised anyone would want to travel to Australia. 🙂
C@tmomma @ #2427 Thursday, March 26th, 2020 – 5:38 pm
C@tmomma @ #2427 Thursday, March 26th, 2020 – 5:38 pm
Gloves, face mask, eye protection. It’s really not much more than they normally have to use when torturing hair.
C@tmomma
No problems if you go to Edward’s salon.
Pegasus
Perhaps the most interesting bit in that article you linked to..
It confirms to me two things.
Firstly, the real rate of infection in Australia is quite likely many times higher than the official number of diagnosed cases.
Secondly, mass testing, even of people without symptoms, works.
The single most galling thing I find about our response in Australia is the bullshit answers given to why we aren’t testing a lot more.
Its Time
I have never had someone cutting my hair wearing a mask and usually they don’t have gloves.
I’m going to get shaggy…
Vogon Poet
Getting in first. I………………..
Blobbit @ #2431 Thursday, March 26th, 2020 – 5:42 pm
There are some slight undulations.
Out of curiosity, if you plot the average daily temperature across the southeast corner of Australia (and then probably shift it rightwards 10-14 days) do the undulations inversely correlate with the temperature variations?
Late Riser: those dots look to me like the early part of a bell curve. Presumably you could model it that way.
“There are some slight undulations.”
Yes. Nothing to get excited about. There’s a strong trend in the last 3 days of WA data, going from a doubling period of about 4.5 days to a new one of around 5.5 days. I’d want to see that continue for a good few more days before I got too excited.
“Out of curiosity, if you plot the average daily temperature across the southeast corner of Australia (and then probably shift it rightwards 10-14 days) do the undulations inversely correlate with the temperature variations?””
Que? Not sure if that’s just a suggestion of GIGO? Or are you suggesting a correlation? I don’t really know what happens in the “eastern states”.
KMick …………….your rant against a stack of political systems has nothing to do with racism….just plain cynicism about the nature of politics world-wide…….
William Bowe, I am considering that. Something skew.
Cud Chewer @ #2437 Thursday, March 26th, 2020 – 5:47 pm
Never a colour or perm?
WB,
More likely a sigmoid (logistic growth). Same shape to start with.
William Bowe @ #2440 Thursday, March 26th, 2020 – 5:48 pm
I think you mean a sigmoid curve, being the integral of a bell curve.
Actually, looking at the last 3 days of WA data, the doubling period is more like 7 days, out from 4.5.
I need to be more careful with my curve fit 😉
Yes, that seems more likely.
Poroti
Winners are grinners
And you and dandy can do as you like
🙂