Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor

Labor slightly widens the lead it opened in the previous Newspoll, and Anthony Albanese maintains his ascendancy as preferred prime minister despite a slight fall in his personal ratings.

The Australian reports the latest Newspoll has Labor’s two-party lead widening from 51-49 to 52-48 since the previous poll three weeks ago. Both major parties are down on the primary vote, the Coalition by two to 38% and Labor by one to 35%, while the Greens are up one to 13% (equalling their best result since 2011) and One Nation is steady at 4%. Scott Morrison’s personal ratings are unchanged after the hit he suffered in the previous poll, at 37% approval and 59% disapproval, while a spike in Anthony Albanese’s ratings last time has failed to completely stick, with his approval down three to 43% and disapproval up three to 40% (compared with 40% and 41% in the poll before). However, Albanese maintains the lead on preferred prime minister he opened up in the last poll, which is out slightly from 43-39 to 43-38. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1510.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

831 comments on “Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor”

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  1. From the Black Wiggle himself.

    “It’s a decision for the party room. There are 10 people, it’s not a difficult decision when you only have 10 people.”

    😆

  2. Rex Douglas
    says:
    Monday, February 3, 2020 at 12:07 pm
    Bill Shorten could learn a bit from RDN’s exit.
    ____________________
    Littlefinger will have to be blasted out and his fingernails will be clawing at the walls to hang on. He knows he is unemployable outside factional politics.

  3. I’m hoping SHY will become leader. I find her very warm and funny and think she will do a good job. Bandt is a little bit too straight I think.

  4. That is, if Siewart can’t do it.
    Pity they got rid of that NSW Greens Senator.
    She had guts.
    Who’s Deputy Wally ATM?
    Even more invisible that Wally #1.

  5. I think Waters would be the best option of the current Greens.

    She’s a Queenslander and the voters up there will at least listen to her.

  6. Confessionssays:
    Monday, February 3, 2020 at 12:08 pm
    “From the Black Wiggle himself.

    “It’s a decision for the party room. There are 10 people, it’s not a difficult decision when you only have 10 people.”

    It does seem odd that it is only a party room decision. Not very inclusive or democratic.

  7. “Di Natale has done this so well. Instead of hanging around like a jaded cop seeking his pension he quits when he loses the fire in his belly. He doesn’t just hang around until the next election either but gives it all up gracefully. A senator for 10 years and a leader for 5. That’s a good contribution without keeping your head in the trough.”

    ***

    Well said. He’s like a great athlete who retires when they know the time is right, not one who hangs on too long and ruins their legacy. He leaves us in an undeniably stronger position than when he took the job.

    The Greens vote in the House of Reps has grown by a whooping 366,005* under the leadership of RDN.

    The Greens vote in the Senate has grown by the gargantuan amount of 328,839* under the leadership of RDN.

    You know, I’ve always liked that word, gargantuan, and I so rarely have an opportunity to use it in a sentence.

    *2019 primary vote – 2013 primary vote (what the numbers still were in 2015 when RDN took the leadership)

    https://results.aec.gov.au/24310/Website/SenateStateFirstPrefsByGroup-24310-NAT.htm

    https://results.aec.gov.au/17496/Website/HouseStateFirstPrefsByParty-17496-NAT.htm

  8. PaulTu
    says:

    It does seem odd that it is only a party room decision. Not very inclusive or democratic.
    ___________________________
    It is standard Westminister practice. The Labor party only introduced some level of member participation because they had a guy called Shorten running around stabbing leaders in the back. Shorten subsequently lost the membership vote in 2013 but still got elected leader because of his factional deals. How democratic is that?

  9. Surely the Progressive Party could find at least one competent female future prime minister?
    Or will they go ahead and pick another boy?
    Same old, same old?

  10. Greens members will no doubt be looking forward for the opportunity to vote for their preferred generalissimo.
    Or do they have to take what they are given?

  11. “ Kansas City was the epicentre of post-WWII developments in jazz. It’s actually quite a groovy place.”

    Also, the Kansas City Mob play important – if largely ‘off screen’ – roles in the plot of each season of the TV Series Fargo.

  12. Mehreen Faruqi@MehreenFaruqi
    .
    I have consistently supported Greens members having a democratic say in our party leadership and called for co-leaders.

    Selecting our new leader is a great opportunity to democratically involve members in the process. The party should be doing just that for this ballot.

  13. Firefox @ #261 Monday, February 3rd, 2020 – 9:22 am


    Well said. He’s like a great athlete who retires when they know the time is right, not one who hangs on too long and ruins their legacy. He leaves us in an undeniably stronger position than when he took the job.

    More like the good athlete who finally realises they’re going nowhere.

  14. Andrew_Earlwood
    says:

    Also, the Kansas City Mob play important – if largely ‘off screen’ – roles in the plot of each season of the TV Series Fargo.
    _______________________
    And also a small but hilarious part in Scorsese’s Casino.

  15. This apologetic drivel on behalf of The Greens:

    nath @ #263 Monday, February 3rd, 2020 – 12:22 pm

    PaulTu
    says:

    It does seem odd that it is only a party room decision. Not very inclusive or democratic.
    ___________________________
    It is standard Westminister practice. The Labor party only introduced some level of member participation because they had a guy called Shorten running around stabbing leaders in the back. Shorten subsequently lost the membership vote in 2013 but still got elected leader because of his factional deals. How democratic is that?

    Or this sensible contribution from a Greens Senator:

    Confessions @ #271 Monday, February 3rd, 2020 – 12:27 pm

    Mehreen Faruqi@MehreenFaruqi
    .
    I have consistently supported Greens members having a democratic say in our party leadership and called for co-leaders.

    Selecting our new leader is a great opportunity to democratically involve members in the process. The party should be doing just that for this ballot.

  16. Good on the ALP for finally picking up on this one.
    Keep kicking at these programs.
    Perfect timing as Parliment resumes.
    There were a lot of sports clubs who also got a lot of cash through this trough.
    Just look through Jason Wood or Michael Sukkars Facebook feeds to see how much cash they got to splash.
    The Liberal Held marginals in particular got the code blue sticker.
    _____________________________________
    A regional infrastructure grants program administered by the Deputy Prime Minister awarded 94 per cent of its grants to electorates held or targeted by the Coalition in the months leading up to the election.

    A day after Bridget McKenzie resigned over a $100 million sports grants saga, Labor’s Infrastructure spokeswoman Catherine King has asked the Auditor-General to “take a thorough look” at Building Better Regions Fund Infrastructure grants program administered by Michael McCormack.

    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/another-government-rort-infrastructure-grants-program-awarded-94-percent-of-cash-to-coalition-marginal-seats-20200203-p53x7s.html

  17. Bandt would be the first Leader of the Greens to sit in the HoR.

    I assume the Speaker would no longer refer to him as ‘member for Melbourne’, but rather ‘Leader of the Greens’ …?

  18. wow – undexected Greens leader to resign, Bridget gone…

    And:

    Jeff Campbell

    @joxer
    ·
    3h
    Sources within the @The_Nationals
    say Barnaby Joyce has the numbers to replace Michael McCormack, with a spill of both leadership positions almost a certainty, regardless of what McCormack said earlier today. https://abc.net.au/news/2020-02-03/barnaby-joyce-seeking-to-replace-michael-mccormack-nats-leader/11922848 #NatSpill #Auspol

    (Greens still in complete denial).

  19. OK, so it’s my age showing, but I DO NOT WANT a parade of politicians’ bare flesh. Constant replays of Scomo’s saggy back view are quite enough.

    Because 2020 has seemingly decided that it wants to rival 2019 for bizarre and unnecessary actions, Joe Hockey is topless on instagram, giving an update on the Iowa caucus from an Australian beach.

  20. Alpha Zero,
    Labor should also get the Auditor General to take a look at the Grants that were supposed to go to Womens Sporting Groups to actually fund Change Rooms.

    Plus, I’d be asking the Auditor General to review the grant to Foxtel to play more Womens Sport on TV, and the $444 Million to the Great Barrier Reef Foundation to see whether they are actually doing anything for the Reef.

  21. C@tmomma @ #244 Monday, February 3rd, 2020 – 11:04 am

    Conferences behind closed doors.
    Leadership ballots behind closed doors only involving the privileged few.

    Remind me again how many rank-and-file Labor members got to vote for/against Albanese’s leadership when Shorten resigned? Because I’m pretty sure it was zero.

    Awful lot of pot-kettling going on, if so.

  22. “ Sources within the @The_Nationals say Barnaby Joyce has the numbers to replace Michael McCormack”

    OK – scratch what I said before. How about MickMac to lead the Greens?

  23. The Greens are, naturally enough, defensive about a select few choosing their #1.
    Rightly so.
    It is NOT the progressive way for a cabal to pick someone behind closed doors.

  24. a r @ #284 Monday, February 3rd, 2020 – 12:36 pm

    C@tmomma @ #244 Monday, February 3rd, 2020 – 11:04 am

    Conferences behind closed doors.
    Leadership ballots behind closed doors only involving the privileged few.

    Remind me again how many rank-and-file Labor members got to vote for/against Albanese’s leadership when Shorten resigned? Because I’m pretty sure it was zero.

    Awful lot of pot-kettling going on, if so.

    Awful lot of false equivalence there. I thought you were better than that. You should have known that, if there had been a contest between >1 candidate, it would have gone to the membership to have their say.

  25. Labor members get a say.
    Greens members get what they are given.
    If the Greens really want to be woke, the next leader just has to be a woman.
    Sievert, SHY, Faruqi…

  26. Firefox says:
    Monday, February 3, 2020 at 12:40 pm
    “Or do they have to take what they are given?”

    ***

    Better that than to be given what they did not vote for…

    _________________________________________

    Stupid and ignorant comment – and you know it! Shame on you.

  27. Remind me again how many rank-and-file Labor members got to vote for/against Albanese’s leadership when Shorten resigned? Because I’m pretty sure it was zero.

    We didn’t get to vote because there was nothing to vote for. Only one candidate who was elected leader unopposed.

  28. Firefox @ #293 Monday, February 3rd, 2020 – 9:40 am

    “Or do they have to take what they are given?”

    ***

    Better that than to be given what they did not vote for…

    ” rel=”nofollow”>

    Actually a significant percentage did vote for him, otherwise his Parliamentary support could not have turned the ballot in his favour.

  29. I doubt the Liberals will be real happy with Joyce making a return….. ScoMo won’t be able to leave the country with Joyce as Deputy PM. That was the whole problem with the Hawaii trip…. they couldn’t just announce it like normal as nobody trusts MickMack. Joyce is generally viewed by the urban masses as just as crazy.

  30. The Austrian Greens have got into bed with a Far Right Racist Party.
    Make no mistake.
    Di Natale was mumbling about doing the same in Australia.

  31. Richard Di Natale
    1,532 Tweets
    Trending in Australia
    Greens
    11.7K Tweets
    Trending in Australia
    McCormack
    2,735 Tweets
    Trending in Australia
    Barnaby
    8,665 Tweets

    HAHAHAHA.

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