Poll respondents with attitudes

New poll results from around the place on attitudes towards climate change, Australia Day and things-in-general.

An off week in the fortnightly cycles for both Newspoll and Essential Research, but we do have three fairly detailed sets of attitudinal polling doing the rounds:

• Ipsos has results from its monthly Issues Monitor series, which records a dramatic escalation in concern about the environment. Asked to pick the three most salient out of 19 listed issues, 41% chose the environment, more than any other. This was up ten on last month’s survey, and compares with single digit results that were not uncommonly recorded as recently as 2015. Cost of living and health care tied for second on 31%, respectively down three and up six on last month. The economy was up one to 25%, and crime down one to 21%. On “party most capable to manage environmental issues across the generations”, generations up to and including X gave the highest rating to the Greens, towards whom the “boomer” and “builder” generations showed their usual hostility. The poll was conducted online from a sample of 1000.

• A poll by YouGov for the Australian Institute finds 79% expressing concern about climate change, up five since a similar poll in July. This includes 47% who were very concerned, up ten. Among those aged 18 to 34, only around 10% expressed a lack of concern. Fifty-seven per cent said Australia was experiencing “a lot” of climate change impact, up 14%; 67% said climate change was making bushfires worse, with 26% disagreeing; and only 33% felt the Coalition had done a good job “managing the climate crisis” (a potentially problematic turn of phrase for those who did not allow that there was one), compared with 53% who took the contrary view. The poll was conducted January 8 to 12 from a sample of 1200; considerable further detail is available through the full report.

• The Institute of Public Affairs has a poll on Australia Day and political correctness from Dynata, which has also done polling on the other side of the ideological aisle for the aforesaid Australia Institute. This finds 71% agreeing that “Australia Day should be celebrated on January 26” (55% strongly, 16% somewhat), and 68% agreeing Australia had become too politically correct (42% strongly, 26% somewhat). Disagreement with both propositions was at just 11%. A very substantial age effect was evident here, but not for the two further questions relating to pride in Australia, which received enthusiastic responses across the board. I have my doubts about opening the batting on this particular set of questions by asking if respondents were “proud to be an Australian”, which brings Yes Minister to mind. Perhaps the most interesting thing about the poll is the demographic detail on the respondents, who were presumably drawn from an online panel. This shows women were greatly over-represented in the younger cohorts, while the opposite was true among the old; and that the sample included rather too many middle-aged people on low incomes. The results would have been weighted to correct for this, but some of these weightings were doing some fairly heavy lifting (so to speak).

Elsewhere, if you’re a Crikey subscriber you can enjoy my searing expose on the electoral impact of Bridget McKenzie’s sports sports. I particularly hope you appreciate the following line, as it was the fruit of about two days’ work:

When polling booth and sport grants data are aggregated into 2288 local regions designated by the Australian Bureau of Statistics, there turns out to be no correlation whatsoever between the amount of funding they received and how much they swung to or against the Coalition.

I worked this out by identifying the approximate target locations of 518 grants, building a dataset recording grant funding and booth-level election swings for each of the ABS’s Statistical Local Area 2 regions, and using linear regression to calculate how much impact the grants had on the Coalition vote. The verdict: absolutely none whatsoever.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,074 comments on “Poll respondents with attitudes”

Comments Page 38 of 42
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  1. Rex wants Greens to be accountable for their emissions.
    Quite right, too.
    Which is why Rex supports Di Natale’s ‘Real Greens New Deal Pledge’ whereby Rex and every other Greens supporter, member and voter agrees to go on a CO2 emissions strike. Such a strike isn’t like your nominal extinction rebellion, your nominal climate strike or your nominal bushfire strike.
    Nope. It is the real thing. Given that we are in a climate emergency, Rex will:

    1. Reduce personal housing footprint to the world average.
    2. Refuse to fly except in emergencies.
    3. Sell car.
    4. Eat low miles, low storage, low refined food, low irrigated foods and low storage energy foods.
    5. Eat no dairy and no beef products.
    6. Wear the same clothes and shoes until they wear out.

  2. Boerwar @ #1849 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 3:26 pm

    Hmm… the tentacles go deeper and deeper. We are now into the Liberal Party organisational wing. And just who were the ‘party strategists’?

    Not forgetting that, once the sports rorts finally reach dry well status politically, there are other grants programs that the Senate might find an interest in pursuing.

    As i said earlier, the allocation of the funds was all about the election and Morrison was the person driving that matter. Mckenzie just delievered what she was told to deliver. She may be a lackey. But, she didn’t have the authority or push to come up with this perversion of a process by herself.

  3. Morrison must thinks people are stupid if he thinks they will buy his claim that he had no involvement with the idea of using sports grants for political purposes. It was too blatant during the campaign with countless Liberal MP’s including ministers promoting sports grants in their electorates.

  4. People propsing major social changes really do themselves no favours by running and publishing these sorts of polls as evidence of overwhelming support for thier pet proposal. It’s clearly a self selecting vox pop without any crdeibility. It might tell you something about the profile of people who read the particular journal. But, otherwise it’s rubbish.

    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2020/01/24/australia-day-debate-results/

  5. Boerwar @ #1849 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 3:30 pm

    Rex wants Greens to be accountable for their emissions.
    Quite right, too.
    Which is why Rex supports Di Natale’s ‘Real Greens New Deal Pledge’ whereby Rex and every other Greens supporter, member and voter agrees to go on a CO2 emissions strike. Such a strike isn’t like your nominal extinction rebellion, your nominal climate strike or your nominal bushfire strike.
    Nope. It is the real thing. Given that we are in a climate emergency, Rex will:

    1. Reduce personal housing footprint to the world average.
    2. Refuse to fly except in emergencies.
    3. Sell car.
    4. Eat low miles, low storage, low refined food, low irrigated foods and low storage energy foods.
    5. Eat no dairy and no beef products.
    6. Wear the same clothes and shoes until they wear out.

    Must you reduce the climate change issue to Trump-like absurdities ..?

    OF COURSE YOU MUST !!

    There’s just no other way to rationally win the debate ….is there ??

  6. Boerwar @ #1833 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 2:33 pm

    A long standing friend of ours was talking about her total frustration with the NDIS yesterday.
    Because of her condition, her spending has to be approved on a case by case basis by some worthy inside the NDIS.
    But neither she nor her immediate carer can contact the person who is supposed to be approving the expenditure.

    A classic “Locked Room” mystery.

    Whether a feature or bug – an intolerable piece of bastardry.

    For your entertainment/despair —🔽🔽🔽

  7. The first people who need to swear this are the members of the LNP cabinet. Until then, no way.

    Tanya Plibersek
    @tanya_plibersek
    · 2h
    The pledge:

    From this time forward, I pledge my loyalty to Australia and its people, whose democratic beliefs I share, whose rights and liberties I respect, and whose laws I will uphold and obey.

  8. After seeing Albo and Plibersek’s interventions today (Albo with his comments on the Australia day debate that nobody outside RWNJ land is having and Plibersek with ‘I think all children should take a pledge of alleigance’), I’m leaning to the view that The Australian should be banned from Labor minister’s offices. Clearly too many people in Labor parliamentary circles are struggling with the concept that nobody whos a swinging voter cares about RWNJ causes, so they are busily currying favour with people who will never vote for them while annoying people who do (with idiotic irrelevance if nothing else)

  10. lizzie @ #1855 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 3:58 pm

    The first people who need to swear this are the members of the LNP cabinet. Until then, no way.

    Tanya Plibersek
    @tanya_plibersek
    · 2h
    The pledge:

    From this time forward, I pledge my loyalty to Australia and its people, whose democratic beliefs I share, whose rights and liberties I respect, and whose laws I will uphold and obey.

    USA! USA! USA!

    😆

  12. Mexicanbeemer

    Wedging ? So Labor are so pathetic they are reduced to “wedging” on that bullshit ? Not to mention , like “the economy” , the Coals will eat them for breakfast on ‘patriotism’ , faux or any other form.

  13. Manu RajuVerified account@mkraju
    58m58 minutes ago
    Senate GOP and WH sources say tonight they are confident that they will defeat a motion next week calling for a subpoena of witnesses and documents, saying they believe their conference is in line after the Democrats’ opening arguments.

    Manu RajuVerified account@mkraju
    57m57 minutes ago
    They are likely to lose two votes initially, but it’s less certain they lose Murkowksi given her comments in recent days critical of Dems. Lamar Alexander continues to play coy, as do others like Shelley Moore Capito. But GOP leaders confident they won’t lose more than three

    Four is the magic number for Republicans to lose the vote on subpoenaing witnesses and keeping the trial going.

  14. Tanya Plibersek
    @tanya_plibersek
    · 2h
    The pledge:
    From this time forward, I pledge my loyalty to Australia and its people, whose democratic beliefs I share, whose rights and liberties I respect, and whose laws I will uphold and obey.
    ______________________
    WTF.

  15. ‘Rex Douglas says:
    Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 3:41 pm

    Boerwar @ #1849 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 3:30 pm

    Rex wants Greens to be accountable for their emissions.
    Quite right, too.
    Which is why Rex supports Di Natale’s ‘Real Greens New Deal Pledge’ whereby Rex and every other Greens supporter, member and voter agrees to go on a CO2 emissions strike. Such a strike isn’t like your nominal extinction rebellion, your nominal climate strike or your nominal bushfire strike.
    Nope. It is the real thing. Given that we are in a climate emergency, Rex will:

    1. Reduce personal housing footprint to the world average.
    2. Refuse to fly except in emergencies.
    3. Sell car.
    4. Eat low miles, low storage, low refined food, low irrigated foods and low storage energy foods.
    5. Eat no dairy and no beef products.
    6. Wear the same clothes and shoes until they wear out.

    Must you reduce the climate change issue to Trump-like absurdities ..?

    OF COURSE YOU MUST !!

    There’s just no other way to rationally win the debate ….is there ??’

    There is nothing irrational about a direct action CO2 emissions strike. Except if you are a Greens and you are intent on dodging accountability for CO2 emissions.
    It is far easier to bang on about a coal cartel and to insist that others suffer so that the Greens’ amenity is maintained.
    As for Wally demanding that the Greens actually DO something in the real world… well, Wally can forget about that! Rex says no way.

  16. Tanya Plibersek
    @tanya_plibersek
    Patriotism, like mateship, is about solidarity. It’s about what we owe each other as citizens.
    ____________________
    I’m afraid that when a politician talks about patriotism and mateship they really don’t have anything else to contribute.

  17. George Megalogenis
    For those skittish about an article on migration and history, this isn’t only about Melbourne.

    Scott Morrison’s conservative government did not need Melbourne to win the 2019 federal election. The Liberals held just eight of the 25 seats in the city’s metropolitan area, and none in the western or northern suburbs.

    But the Melbourne deficit was cancelled by a super majority in Queensland, where the Coalition prevailed in Brisbane and also won 17 of the 19 seats outside the capital. That, in the end, proved to be the difference between a narrow win and the fall of the government.

    Pollster and Liberal Party strategist Mark Textor says Melbourne would need to treble in size to 15 million in a national population of 35 million before it could move the political centre south, and leftward. If the city’s values were more aligned with those of the rest of the country, its effect would already be felt at the ballot box. But he thinks Melbourne will remain culturally walled off for the foreseeable future.

    Melbourne has been out of step politically since the election of John Howard’s conservative government in 1996. That year, the city gave a majority of seats to Labor, placing it at odds with the rest of the country which delivered a landslide to the Coalition.

    In 1999 Melbourne was again an outlier, with 17 out of its 20 electorates voting yes at the republic referendum when 55 per cent of Australians voted to retain the monarchy.

    The pattern repeated into the 21st century. Melbourne has voted Labor at every federal election from 2001 to 2019 but the Coalition secured government in five of those seven contests. The only occasion when Melbourne and Queensland were aligned was in 2007, when the Queenslander Kevin Rudd led Labor to federal victory.
    …
    Textor notes that the Liberal Party has not been led by a Melburnian since Andrew Peacock in 1990. He recalls federal election campaigns later in the 1990s when he and Liberal Party colleagues would visit Victoria and feel as if they had entered another country.

    “We used to joke that we had to bring our passports with us to get them stamped at the border,” he says. One of the things that sets Melbourne apart, he explains, is its strong support for multiculturalism.
    …
    Here is the most interesting identity shock that is coming in the 2020s. The official projections show the Indigenous population will cross one million before the end of the decade due to relatively high birth rates and more people identifying as Indigenous.

    As Melbourne passes Queensland, and then Sydney, and as the Indians and Chinese rise to first and second place among the migrant communities, history will be made at the core of our identity. Indigenous Australians will outnumber the English-born for the first time since the 1820s. At that point we can stop pretending we are just a white nation.

    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/melbourne-is-set-to-become-the-country-s-most-populous-city-by-2026-with-vast-ramifications-20191128-p53f29.html

  18. Back in the days of Howard, Tampa and children overboard, Scummo was in NSW Liberal Admin telling little JH to suppress information so the truth stayed buried for as long as possible.
    Will never change his spots. Lies by omission are still lies.
    Put the L/NP last on every ballot paper you ever complete and encourage young friends and relatives to do the same.

  19. Boerwar @ #1863 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 4:21 pm

    ‘Rex Douglas says:
    Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 3:41 pm

    Boerwar @ #1849 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 3:30 pm

    Rex wants Greens to be accountable for their emissions.
    Quite right, too.
    Which is why Rex supports Di Natale’s ‘Real Greens New Deal Pledge’ whereby Rex and every other Greens supporter, member and voter agrees to go on a CO2 emissions strike. Such a strike isn’t like your nominal extinction rebellion, your nominal climate strike or your nominal bushfire strike.
    Nope. It is the real thing. Given that we are in a climate emergency, Rex will:

    1. Reduce personal housing footprint to the world average.
    2. Refuse to fly except in emergencies.
    3. Sell car.
    4. Eat low miles, low storage, low refined food, low irrigated foods and low storage energy foods.
    5. Eat no dairy and no beef products.
    6. Wear the same clothes and shoes until they wear out.

    Must you reduce the climate change issue to Trump-like absurdities ..?

    OF COURSE YOU MUST !!

    There’s just no other way to rationally win the debate ….is there ??’

    There is nothing irrational about a direct action CO2 emissions strike. Except if you are a Greens and you are intent on dodging accountability for CO2 emissions.
    It is far easier to bang on about a coal cartel and to insist that others suffer so that the Greens’ amenity is maintained.
    As for Wally demanding that the Greens actually DO something in the real world… well, Wally can forget about that! Rex says no way.

    Here’s a crazy wacky thought.

    Just keep it to yourself ok.

    *whispers in Boerwars ear* .. I reckon most environmentalists act more environment friendly than anyone else.

    Now, how about those corrupted politicians on the LibNat and Labor benches eh ??

  20. Confessions says: Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 4:16 pm

    Four is the magic number for Republicans to lose the vote on subpoenaing witnesses and keeping the trial going.

    ************************************************************

    Unless the GOP senators suddenly find a spine they may as well front up tomorrow and vote their already publically stated/decided option as Trump innocent as the first order of the day and spare us all more days of their false BS ……

  22. nath @ #1864 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 4:23 pm

    Tanya Plibersek
    @tanya_plibersek
    Patriotism, like mateship, is about solidarity. It’s about what we owe each other as citizens.
    ____________________
    I’m afraid that when a politician talks about patriotism and mateship they really don’t have anything else to contribute.

    If that’s the best she’s got, it’s time to exit the stage.

  23. Rex Douglas says: Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 4:36 pm

    If that’s the best she’s got, it’s time to exit the stage.

    ************************************************************************

    …… and what say you on Bridget McKenzie ?????

  25. Yep that is very confusing from Plibersek, have always rated her and hoped she would be parliamentary leader.

    We do not need patriotism – the last refuge of the scoundrel

  28. …oh and phoenixRED, try me out as much as you like on the stupidity of both LibNats and Labor – I won’t hold back I promise !

  29. Confessions says: Saturday, January 25, 2020 at 4:40 pm

    phoenixRed:

    Yep it’s a farce.

    *******************************************************

    …….. and they have the temerity to call it a TRIAL ???? ………………………just another Trump directed SHOW …..

    ” And when you’re a star, they let you do it. You can do anything. Grab ’em by the pussy. You can do anything “

  30. GG:

    I don’t see who this is supposed to appeal to besides the sorts of right-wing culture warriors who wouldn’t go near the Labor party in a million years anyway.

  33. GG

    I suppose it’s an appeal to nationalism to counter One Nation and their friends.
    But it’s not Australian, more American. And why now?

  34. Greensborough Growler

    Do you really think Labor has even the tiniest chance of winning a “This is how much I love ‘Straya” race with the Coalition ? If this does help Labor electorally the Coalition will ramp it up and you will not like where it will end up.The race to see who is toughest on “boat people” is warning.

  35. I should clarify that I don’t think this is really going to have negative repercussions for Labor either. I think it’ll likely totally forgotten about along with everyone else with everything else related to Australia Day once everyone has gotten over their hangovers come Tuesday. I just generally hate this sort of pathetic jingoism, and everything that it encourages.

    I mean, a fucking pledge of allegiance? Many Australians have a strong nationalistic streak, but that tends to be accompanied by a pathological dislike of anything that feels too American.

  36. phoenixRed:

    Did you watch Real Time? New Rules was about how Trump is stalking Bill and how is using stand up techniques to communicate to voters.

  37. Asha Leu @ #1879 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 4:49 pm

    GG:

    I don’t see who this is supposed to appeal to besides the sorts of right-wing culture warriors who wouldn’t go near the Labor party in a million years anyway.

    Believe it or not, the people that did not vote for Labor are not all right wing culture warriors. Labor is looking for ways to talk to mainstream Australians in a way they want to be talked to. If you can’t see that then stiff. Labor aren’t beholden to the wrath of the Twitter Warriors and they will do what they think they need to do to win office.

  38. I’d agree with this.

    Dr James Farrow
    @jmfarrow
    ·
    53m
    I was just asked if @tanya_plibersek is an LNP sleeper. Seems a reasonable question in the face of this jingoistic crapfest of an idea. #auspol

  39. poroti @ #1883 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 4:52 pm

    Greensborough Growler

    Do you really think Labor has even the tiniest chance of winning a “This is how much I love ‘Straya” race with the Coalition ? If this does help Labor electorally the Coalition will ramp it up and you will not like where it will end up.The race to see who is toughest on “boat people” is warning.

    Are you fretting again about Labor has other agendas to yours. Get over yourself.

  40. Player One @ #1880 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 4:49 pm

    Asha Leu @ #1870 Saturday, January 25th, 2020 – 4:35 pm

    I usually have a lot of time for Plibersek, but what the actual fuck?

    Indeed. This is an extremely tone-deaf initiative. Australians generally don’t respond well to this kind of patriotic bullshit, and those few that do wouldn’t dream of ever supporting Labor.

    I’m delighted to see you are, once again, off side with labor’s initiatives and intentions.

    It makes the effort all worthwhile.

  41. Professor Nareen Young
    @nareenyoung
    ·
    49m
    As I understand the white working class progressive Labor tradition that I was raised in, it absolutely and utterly rejects this type of nationalism. I am gobsmacked and appalled.

  42. GG

    I’m sure you’ll turn out to be right in the end, but I don’t like it. Next thing we’ll all be copying the Yanks with our hands on our hearts.

  43. I’m not opposed to progressives talking about love of country, problem is it often sounds contrived. IMO it should be about a connection to place & quiet love of one’s home, knowing its flaws, hoping it reaches the potential we see, opposing boisterous, defensive overcompensation— Oz (@redrabbleroz) January 25, 2020

  44. GG:

    Believe it or not, every so often I put down my soy latte and ride my bike
    out of my inner-city lair to engage with these fabled “mainstream Australians” you speak of.

    Either it works, in which the Coalition go full jingo to compete with Labor, which of course they’ll do with triumphant success. More likely, actually nationalistic types will just roll their eyes at this inner-city lefty trying to evoke US-style patriotism in a tone-deaf effort to prove how much of a true-blue ‘strayan she is.

  45. All that is needed now is a few hyperventilating greens senators to cry out how stupid Tanya P. and labor are and Albanese and Tanya will be very happy with the outcome.

  46. As a child I was forced to pledge that I would: “I honour the flag, I will serve the Queen, I will cheerfully obey my parents, teachers and the law”. None of which I ever really succeeded in doing.

  48. GG and his cabal are just party hacks. If Albo came out against any pledge tomorrow he will be here musing how great that is. These people are useful idiots for politicians to use to get themselves re-elected. They don’t have an original thought in their brain.

  49. Plibersek in 2011 – My oath, citizens should know it, says minister:

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/my-oath-citizens-should-know-it-says-minister-20110927-1kvib.html

    EVERY child should take a citizenship pledge at school, and all Australians should know the pledge by heart, the Social Inclusion Minister, Tanya Plibersek, said last night in a speech aimed at reopening debate about national identity and patriotism.

    ”American kids pledge allegiance to the flag of the United States and all that it represents; so should Australian children know and understand our nation’s citizenship pledge,” she said during an address to The Sydney Institute.

    Ms Plibersek said people should adopt the pledge taken by new immigrants, in which they pledge fidelity to Australia and its people.
    :::
    Ms Plibersek said expressions of patriotism should not be seen as ”boorish and aggressive”, but patriotism should be inclusive, not exclusive: ”To help do this we should more openly recognise our diversity as a key strength.”

    Australians should clearly and constantly re-state their commitment to the values of egalitarianism, a fair go, social inclusion and mateship, the minister added.
    :::
    Ms Plibersek also said she made ”no apology” for the income management program the Labor government has imposed on some families deemed at risk of neglecting their children.

    ”Standing by and allowing people to blow their money instead of feeding their kids or paying the rent is not doing anyone any favours,” she said.

  50. Rex has two crazy thoughts: that he is not accountable for his emissions and that the Greens should not lead a CO2 emissions strike.

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