Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor

A crash in Scott Morrison’s standing finds Labor edging ahead on voting intention, and Anthony Albanese taking the lead on preferred prime minister.

The first Newspoll for the year, and the third under the new YouGov online polling regime, finds Labor opening up a 51-49 lead, after they trailed 52-48 in the poll in early December. On the primary vote, the Coalition is down two to 40%, Labor up three to 36%, the Greens up one to 12% and One Nation down one to 4%. Perhaps more remarkably, Scott Morrison now trails Anthony Albanese as preferred prime minister by 43-39, after leading him 48-34 in the previous poll. The damage on Morrison’s personal ratings amounts to an eight point drop on approval to 37% and an eleven point rise on disapproval to 59%. Conversely, Albanese is up six on approval to 46% and down four on disapproval to 37%. The Australian’s report is here; the poll was conducted from Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1505.

UPDATE (Essential Research): The Guardian has numbers from the first Essential Research poll of the year, but they disappointingly offer nothing on voting intention. What they do provide is corroboration for Newspoll’s finding that Anthony Albanese has taken the lead over Scott Morrison as preferred prime minister, in this case at 39-36, which compares with a 44-28 lead to Morrison when Essential last asked the question in early November. We are told that Scott Morrison is up nine on disapproval to 52% and that Anthony Albanese is up four on approval to 43% – their respective approval and disapproval ratings will have to wait for the full Essential report, which will presumably be with us later today or tomorrow. UPDATE: Morrison is down five on approval to 40%, Albanese is up two on disapproval to 30%. Full report here.

Despite everything, the poll finds 32% approving of Morrison’s handling of the bushfire crisis, which may be related to the fact that his approval rating was down only three among Coalition voters. The Guardian tells us only that 36% strongly disapproved of Morrison’s performance, to which the less strong measure of disapproval will need to be added to produce an equivalent figure for the 32% approval. Fifty-two per cent disagreed that Australia had always had bushfires like those just experienced, and 78% believe the government had been unprepared for them. Efforts to shift blame to the states do not appear to have borne fruit: Gladys Berejiklian’s handling of the bushfires scored 55% approval among New South Wales respondents, while Daniel Andrews was on 58% (these numbers would have come from small sub-samples of around 300 to 400 respondents).

The poll also offers a timely addition to the pollster’s leaders attributes series. The findings for the various attributes in this serious invariably move en bloc with the leaders’ general standing, and Morrison is accordingly down across the board. However, a clear standout is his collapse from 51% to 32% for “good in a crisis”, on which he was up 10% the last time the question was posed in October. Other unfavourable movements related in The Guardian range from a six-point increase in “out of touch with ordinary Australians“ to 62% to a 12 point drop on “visionary” to 30%.

More on all this when the full report is published. The poll was conducted online from Tuesday to Sunday from a sample of 1081.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,417 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor”

Comments Page 3 of 49
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  1. Simon @ #15 Sunday, January 12th, 2020 – 7:13 pm

    Well the good news for Morrison is that this disaster has only put him behind 49-51.

    The bad news is a lot of people now have him pegged as useless.

    The worse news is these things take time to wash through, and this has weeks to run. There has yet to be mainstream coverage of the trickery around payments to volunteers working on the crisis or Centrelink standard treatment that those who’ve lost it all and are entitled to disaster payments are already copping. When that kicks in and washes through Morrison is going to look at this poll result fondly.

  2. Bushfire Bill @ #66 Sunday, January 12th, 2020 – 8:01 pm

    Unless Mother Nature has something more to say about it next Summer.

    Let us sincerely hope not. I mean it.

    I hope so, and I mean it. Most of the areas affected are solid L/NP, let them have a dose of what they’ve spent generations voting for, and without Labor to save them from themselves. No Liberal voter, and rarely a farmer, has ever given a unionist or Labor person a break. Let them have a dose of what they’ve cheered on being done to others for generations.

  3. Unless Mother Nature has something more to say about it next Summer.
    —————
    It’s not the fault of poor, single Mum, “Mother Nature”.

    Global warming and its effects are actually caused by human actions!

  4. grimace says:
    I hope so, and I mean it. Most of the areas affected are solid L/NP, let them have a dose of what they’ve spent generations voting for, and without Labor to save them from themselves. No Liberal voter, and rarely a farmer, has ever given a unionist or Labor person a break. Let them have a dose of what they’ve cheered on being done to others for generations.
    —————————————
    Kangaroo Island is in Mayo usually Lib but Sharkie is a safe indi.
    Mt Buffalo and Corrryong are in Indi again usually Lib but currently safe Indi.
    South coast of NSW is in Gilmore and Edan Monaro both held by the ALP.
    Blue Mountains is split between ALP Macquarie and marginal Liberal Lindsay.

    The only really safe Liberal area with sizable fires are Gippsland and Hume but several LNP electorates in northern NSW were impacted in earlier fires.

  5. Well that’s nice. 🙂 Early indications that the Australian voter is, in general, not quite as stupid as i thought.

    I reckon the worrying thing for the Libs is the massive drop in “uncommitted” on the Morrison satisfaction question. People who were fence sitting or disengaged who are saying “fwark him, he’s a twat”. They may be hard to win back.

  6. “There’s still plenty of murky waters ahead for LNP. Likely recession? Failure to reach surplus?”

    Mainly concur, but actually, i think the bushfires as a priority will probably neutralise the surplus thing.

    The REALLY damaging thing would be for them to spend big on bushfire recovery and cut $ to services (which LOTS of people will be using and appreciating more) at the same time, now that Smoko has ruled out any “levy”. Will all be paid out of deficit spending. Not a good place for the Libs to be. Recession, i think is coming (here already actually) but will get minimized in the numbers due to “recovery spending”. All that insurance claim $ getting spent.

  7. Two things are startling: the positive response for A Albanese who’s been as quiet as the proverbial mouse; and, the very slight change in the Greens’ vote.

  8. The REALLY damaging thing would be for them to spend big on bushfire recovery and cut $ to services (which LOTS of people will be using and appreciating more) at the same time

    The really damaging thing should be:

    1. The fires happened; and
    2. They were unprecedentedly catastrophic due to climate-change induced aspects; and
    3. Morrison and his government still oppose any meaningful action on climate-change.

    That should easily trump the Coalition’s de rigueur economic bastardization. They’re happy to literally sit back and invite MORE and INCREASINGLY SEVERE fires.

  9. I’ve updated the BludgerTrack leadership trends, which you can see on the sidebar or in greater detail on the link below. The fact that Newspoll is the only data point in a month mutes its effect a little, so Morrison is still credited with a slight lead on PPM. Nonetheless, the changes are pretty striking, and will become even more pronounced if this result is backed up by Essential.

    https://www.pollbludger.net/bludgertrack2022/leaders.htm

  10. Crowe tells us how clever Morrison is with words: a nuance here, a hint there, very Howardesque we’re assured.

    So we MIGHT get Climate Change policy reform… or we mightn’t. No point worrying about that now, Crowey tells us. Let’s wait ’til the next election.

    The overwhelming impression is that Crowe seems in awe of the PM’s ability to do a 30 minute in-depth interview without saying one fucking thing in plain English. We need the Crowes of this world to interpret for us. The best he can come up with is a “maybe, maybe not”. That’s why they pay him the big bucks, I guess. But, even granted his large salary, Crowe can’t come up with a better description for Morrison-speak than “smoke signals”.

    Meanwhile ScoMo can get on with the governing, while the rest lump in for the grubby politics, presumably.

    The undiscussed alternative of course is that Morrison just quits the double talk and the ambiguous hinting, the spiv patter and the goose-stepping toy soldiering and actually does something about the biggest fires in modern history (possibly in all human history) anywhere on the planet. Instead of playing word games and setting himself up for future arse-covering excuses, he could, y’know, act.

    But then tossers and court jesters like David would be out of a job.

    And wouldn’t that be a shame?

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/reading-the-smoke-signals-from-morrison-on-climate-change-20200112-p53qt9.html

  11. Mr D’Art De Pends (aka Alda Pends) thinks to himself as he wakes early on Monday morning, looks around the airbnb overlooking the harbour and says to no-one in particular “how good is this”
    Regretting, (a little) the extra six pack of crownies he knocked off after the hen and kids went to bed, his gut screaming for a couple of Angus burgers from maccas, he left the residuals on the grass near the verandah and thinks again “how good is this”.
    Alda looks at his phone, busting its gut with messages, probably congratulating him on the interview yesterday where he put that commie ABC bloke in his place and thought to himself “how good is that”.
    Alda smirked as he saw his face on the silent TV.
    “how good is this”.
    “this” is surprisingly tolerant awarding Alda something near 50% with conditions attached.
    ” how good is this” he thinks one last time as he thinks of Gunnamatta Bay and the Audi in the garage.


  12. PaulTu says:
    Monday, January 13, 2020 at 12:29 am

    “frednksays:
    Sunday, January 12, 2020 at 10:36 pm
    doyley says:
    Sunday, January 12, 2020 at 10:33 pm

    ….

    I very much doubt that any opinion poll is “random”, but rather “stratified” – and even after this often “adjustments” are made.

    Very much agree with you. Unfortunately accuracy numbers assume random samples. That is not what we have.

    The trend is interesting, the actual result, not so much.

  13. How good is it to get a poll (some posters go a little quiet as their focus on posting is diminished, majority of them are absent – surprise surprise).

    I like others can not believe that 49% of Australians could still vote LNP – although I should not be as self interest is what it usually is about (franking credits, looking after my super, ‘death taxes’ etc)

    Hope Albanese goes a bit stronger against Morrison over the coming weeks………Murdoch will be going hard to polish Morrison up. Morrison will talk the talk with confidence the question is will the populace actually start to see through it

  14. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/12/world/australia/fires-bushfires-scott-morrison-interview.html

    SYDNEY, Australia — Prime Minister Scott Morrison of Australia said on Sunday that he would call for a high-level government inquiry into the response to the country’s devastating bushfires. But he did not signal a significant shift in policies to curb carbon emissions, as many had hoped.

    This fire season has been the worst in Australia’s recorded history, burning millions of acres of land and at least 3,000 homes. The number of wild animals killed because of the fires has been estimated at over half a billion and rising. At one point, Navy ships were dispatched to rescue people stranded on beaches after flames and deadly smoke blocked escape routes.

    On Sunday, Mr. Morrison said Australia’s “new normal” was a changing climate that would require the country to adopt better policies for disaster management and relief.

    “It isn’t just restricted to bush fires,” he said. “It deals with floods. It deals with cyclones. It deals with the drought, which is affected by these broader issues. Adaptation and resilience is key to that. Building dams is key to that. Native vegetation management is key to that. Land clearing is key to that. Where you can build homes is key to that.”

    “And that is as much a climate change response as emissions reduction,” he said

    Also from The New York Times ⏬⏬

    A really good article – Part horror, part allegory, the supernaturally tinged murder mystery asks: Where do we turn when logic fails?

    https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/09/arts/television/the-outsider-stephen-king-hbo.html

    On balance, being an admirer and long time reader of Stephen King’s books – I think this new material will have the edge on Mr. S. Morrison’s venture into the horror genre. The story being circulated via social media the he intends to remove his left hand from his trouser pocket is being taken as a “believe it when I see it” item.

    Good morning. ☕

  15. Cat
    “ hey will assume they have two years and the media to let it all be forgotten by the next election.

    Unless Mother Nature has something more to say about it next Summer”

    Part of the nature of climate change is that weather patterns are less consistent so hard to say. This summer event is a warming trend coinciding with the Indian Ocean dipole event that would normally be one in every 6 or 7th year.

  16. grimace
    says:
    Monday, January 13, 2020 at 12:47 am
    Bushfire Bill @ #66 Sunday, January 12th, 2020 – 8:01 pm
    Unless Mother Nature has something more to say about it next Summer.
    Let us sincerely hope not. I mean it.
    I hope so, and I mean it. Most of the areas affected are solid L/NP, let them have a dose of what they’ve spent generations voting for, and without Labor to save them from themselves. No Liberal voter, and rarely a farmer, has ever given a unionist or Labor person a break. Let them have a dose of what they’ve cheered on being done to others for generations.
    _________________________________
    Wow. Until now I haven’t come across anyone hoping for more devastation and loss of life. Of course I should have suspected it would come from a party fanatic.

  17. Trees are bad. Toilet paper and copy paper is good.

    Of 104 parks managed by Parks Victoria, 34 were entirely burnt out including the Alfred National Park in Cann River and the Lind National Park between Cann River and Orbost.

    Leading conservation biologist Professor David Lindenmayersaid it would take more than 100 years for wet and damp forests to recover from the ferocity of this season’s fires.

    “A lot of these areas won’t even have started to recover from the last fire before they get smashed again by another fire, and they won’t go back to what they were,” Professor Lindenmayer said.

    “They just collapse into something different.”

    Professor Lindenmayer said the report showed the urgent need to halt both industrial and salvage logging in old-growth forests in Victoria if threatened species had any hope of surviving.

    He described calls by the forestry industry to open up native forests for logging this week as “crass” and “revolting”, and urged the state government to move to protect the severely damaged habitats of some of the state’s most vulnerable plants and animals.

    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/leaked-report-lays-bare-environmental-devastation-of-victorian-fires-20200110-p53qep.html

  18. There will not be a reprise of the Coalition’s First Great Global Warming Fires next summer. The reason is that we have just had the biggest fuel reduction burn in our recorded history.

    Plus, next year everyone will be ready like they should have been for these fires.

    The Coalition’s First Great Global Warming Drought might still be on, although the current omens are that it might be breaking as well.

  19. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    David Crowe makes an attempt to decode the smoke signals from Morrison’s interview yesterday.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/reading-the-smoke-signals-from-morrison-on-climate-change-20200112-p53qt9.html
    The SMH editorial sees what Morrison said as a long overdue move to take climate change seriously. We shall see just what he did mean before very long I suspect.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/long-overdue-move-to-take-climate-change-seriously-20200112-p53qt6.html
    Sarah Martin reckons Morrison is looking for wriggle room.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/jan/12/scott-morrison-looks-for-wriggle-room-on-climate-as-he-detects-the-whiff-of-backlash
    Chris Zappone writes that these bushfires gave us the moment when Australia came to terms with the reality of digital disinformation.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/oceania/australia-s-bushfires-show-why-democracy-requires-shared-truths-20200110-p53qf1.html
    And Emily Bell says that Facebook’s refusal to fact-check political ads is reckless.
    https://www.theguardian.com/media/commentisfree/2020/jan/12/facebook-us-election-2020-news-lies-campaigns-fact-check
    Australia has been flung into the global disinformation spotlight with bushfires, bots and arson claims.
    https://theconversation.com/bushfires-bots-and-arson-claims-australia-flung-in-the-global-disinformation-spotlight-129556
    The Canberra Times praises the clear and direct communication from Shane Fitzsimmons.
    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6575583/fitzsimmons-clear-communication-on-fires-is-a-welcome-balm/?cs=14258
    Graham Readfearn goes into detail on the underlying causes of Australia’s shocking bushfire season.
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/jan/13/explainer-what-are-the-underlying-causes-of-australias-shocking-bushfire-season
    The government will commit $50m for wildlife affected by bushfires as green groups call for action.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/jan/13/government-to-commit-50m-for-wildlife-affected-by-bushfires-as-green-groups-call-for-action
    Peter Hannam reports that Inflows into Sydney’s dams have plunged to levels far below the previous worst drought but demand barely budged last year, slashing storage levels by almost a third.
    https://www.smh.com.au/environment/sustainability/sydney-s-water-demand-drops-as-reservoir-inflows-dwindle-to-a-trickle-20200112-p53qrc.html
    David Crowe and Nick Bonyhady explain how many small businesses will be severely affected by the fires and their economic aftermath.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/fire-hit-small-businesses-call-for-federal-help-20200112-p53qs8.html
    A climate disaster levy could provide the best mechanism to address significant environmental costs, writes Edward Treloar.
    https://independentaustralia.net/environment/environment-display/a-climate-disaster-levy-might-just-be-a-good-idea,13478
    Australia’s ferocious bushfires have taken a devastating toll on wildlife, with an estimated 1.25 billion killed and experts now warning that some species may be pushed to extinction writes Isabelle Lane.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/life/science/environment/2020/01/12/bushfires-wildlife-rescue-extinction/
    Climate risk expert Professor Ross Bradstock welcomes Morrison to his trial by fire. He makes some important points on what a national inquiry should address and how its findings should be managed.
    https://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/welcome-prime-minister-to-your-trial-by-fire-20200112-p53qt1.html
    John Curtin Research Centre’s Nick Dyrenfurth says Morrison should be careful of what he prays for. Not a bad article this one.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/morrison-s-lesson-be-careful-what-you-pray-for-20200110-p53qeb.html
    The Department of Human Services has apologised for an error that led to bushfire victims being denied emergency payments. Stuart Robert you are a champ! And a wonderful Pentecostal.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/government-apologises-for-bushfire-payment-bungle-20200112-p53qs5.html
    Fergus Hunter reports that the federal government will put $76 million into emergency mental health services for bushfire-affected communities, with Morrison pointing to the widespread trauma caused by the unprecedented crisis.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/government-announces-mental-health-funding-to-tackle-bushfire-trauma-20200111-p53qna.html
    Some of Australia’s most extreme Christian-right parties have withdrawn from politics, claiming the election of Prime Minister Scott Morrison had rendered them redundant. Say no more!
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/christian-right-groups-say-pm-scott-morrison-stole-their-thunder-20200110-p53qgw.html
    According to Nick Toscano ageing infrastructure, extreme weather and a policy vacuum have generated a blame game as Australia transitions to a new energy era.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/perfect-storm-the-energy-industry-struggles-to-keep-the-lights-on-20200110-p53qie.html
    Dominic Powell tells us that a leading executive at Coles says Australian supermarkets could be checkout-free in 10 years as innovation in retail technology and an increasing focus on costs quickly make the traditional purchasing experience redundant.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/customers-will-just-walk-out-coles-exec-flags-checkout-free-stores-within-10-years-20200110-p53qbd.html
    With the NBN roll out due to be completed by June this year Jennifer Duke looks at how it will stack up against future needs.
    https://www.theage.com.au/business/companies/the-biggest-issue-for-the-nbn-in-2020-isn-t-writedowns-it-s-upgrades-20200103-p53oho.html
    Tony Walker is of the opinion that thanks to Trump the world faces the terrible possibility of a nuclear arms race in the world’s most volatile region with all the risks that would be inherent in proliferation on this sort of scale. Turkey, Egypt and Saudi Arabia would be among those joining the race.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/middle-east/iran-is-now-almost-certain-to-accelerate-its-nuclear-program-20200110-p53qds.html
    Nicole Hemmer wonders if Trump is willing to risk war with Iran in order to cling to office.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/is-trump-willing-to-risk-war-with-iran-to-cling-to-office-20200112-p53qrl.html
    Bloomberg contributor Therese Raphael looks at the road ahead for Boris Johnson and his Brexit negotiations with the EU.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/brexit-enters-its-harry-and-meghan-phase-20200113-p53qw4.html
    For today’s nomination for “Arsehole of the Week” we have this creature.
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/lamborghini-driving-drug-accused-fights-afp-for-return-of-assets-20191222-p53m87.html

    Cartoon Corner

    Matt Golding


    Andrew Dyson

    Mark David

    Johannes Leak really is a piece of work!
    https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/bee3711875afeac9e08978b0084e1496?width=1024

    From the US


  20. The putative lessons:

    1. All the extinction rebellion and climate revolt and all the bushfire protest astroturfing, and all the diligent and pernicious attacks by the Greens on Labor’s non existent emissions policy, have got them a mere mouse squeak of movement within the MOE. If the two worst environmental catastrophic events (the drought and the fires) couldn’t trigger a massive rise in the Greens Party vote, what could? Di Natale’s leadership must now be in very serious question.

    2. Albo’s quiet and steady and rational is resonating.

    3. The average per capita increase in wealth of $10,000 in the September quarter is what matters to the bulk of Coalition supporters.

    4. (Apparently) Labor has yet to make substantial inroads in the 34 large state rural and regional seats.

    5. Sleazy from Marketing cannot sell an empty human pocket.

  21. Trump demands Justice Roberts dismiss ‘phony’ impeachment that ‘should not even be allowed to proceed’

    President Donald Trump on Sunday suggested that Justice John Roberts should declare that impeachment charges against him are unconstitutional.

    In an appearance on Fox News over the weekend, Trump attorney Rudy Giuliani first made the suggestion that Roberts could kick off the president’s impeachment trial by dismissing it.

    “Great idea,” Trump wrote Sunday morning as he tweeted out video of Giuliani’s appearance. “This phony Impeachment Hoax should not even be allowed to proceed. Did NOTHING wrong. Just a partisan vote. Zero Republicans. Never happened before!”

    https://www.rawstory.com/2020/01/trump-demands-justice-roberts-dismiss-phony-impeachment-that-should-not-even-be-allowed-to-proceed/

  22. Rick Wilson drops the hammer on the Trump kids in a brutal column warning of a ‘Trumpian’ political dynasty

    In his typically blunt fashion, Republican consultant Rick Wilson claims the U.S. will never be rid of the Trump family if the president survives his impeachment trial and is re-elected in 2020.

    Getting right to the point in his Daily Beast column, Wilson writes, “Eight years of Trump sucks, right? It’s terrible, isn’t it? I mean, it can’t get worse, right? Right? Oh, you cockeyed optimists.”

    Adding, “If he wins in 2020, we’re never getting rid of these dolts,” Wilson said the re-election of Trump will guarantee, “the rise of the Imperial Trumps, a family cult built on the remains of the moldering corpse of the GOP, featuring all the warmth of North Korea’s Kim dynasty and a kind of Hapsburg-jawed je ne sais dumbf*ck rien.”

    “Get ready for Donald Trump Jr., a man who speaks the fluent assh*le dialogue of the own-the-libs Trump Party, to rise to the top of the 2024 GOP primary ranks. The dynastic talk that was once treated as a joke (even by me) is already growing around both Don Jr. and Ivanka. Poor Eric is left out, but then again, he always has been,” he continued.

    MORE : https://www.rawstory.com/2020/01/rick-wilson-drops-the-hammer-on-the-trump-kids-in-a-brutal-column-warning-of-a-trumpian-political-dynasty/

  23. Thanks BK for the Dawn Patrol.

    Although the news is continuing to add data to the theory that the
    Arrow of time flows only to the future.
    otherwise
    the multi Arsehole of the Week winners would be vanishing at a steady rate as future populations track down the causes of a dying planet.

    A little hyperbole for emphasis. 😇

  24. Boerwar

    $50 million is nothing, and yet it is also the “solution”. I agree with you.

    Sunrise
    @sunriseon7
    · 27m
    The Federal Government has committed $50 million to rehabilitate animals injured by bushfires and support groups working on habitat restoration.

    ***

    Kerry Glover
    @TheRealKerryG
    ·
    16m
    Perspective: this is about the same amount the Govt has spent so far to lockup and deport the #Biloela toddlers. It’s also the same amount Rupert took as pay last year.

  25. I dread to think how many of these arrogant, narrow-minded young men will become movers and shakers in the future. Not necessarily as MPs.

    Michael Pascoe @MichaelPascoe01
    ·
    16m
    Unless you’re a coalition minister, would you hire anyone who had “Young Liberal ” on their CV?

  26. I notice Clive Palmer, the man most responsible for the lies and bullshit from last year’s election seems to be very quite. Anyone heard anything from Clive (aka Palmer the Hutt) recently?

  27. Stephen Koukoulas @TheKouk
    ·
    19m
    After such a horrendous month for the Coalition, they will be thrilled with a 49% 2PP vote. Could have been 40% so pathetic they have been. Suggests Labor have a huge task, especially outside climate issues, to win in 2022.

  28. Goll @ #115 Monday, January 13th, 2020 – 5:38 am

    Mr D’Art De Pends (aka Alda Pends) thinks to himself as he wakes early on Monday morning, looks around the airbnb overlooking the harbour and says to no-one in particular “how good is this”
    Regretting, (a little) the extra six pack of crownies he knocked off after the hen and kids went to bed, his gut screaming for a couple of Angus burgers from maccas, he left the residuals on the grass near the verandah and thinks again “how good is this”.
    Alda looks at his phone, busting its gut with messages, probably congratulating him on the interview yesterday where he put that commie ABC bloke in his place and thought to himself “how good is that”.
    Alda smirked as he saw his face on the silent TV.
    “how good is this”.
    “this” is surprisingly tolerant awarding Alda something near 50% with conditions attached.
    ” how good is this” he thinks one last time as he thinks of Gunnamatta Bay and the Audi in the garage.

    Enjoyable.
    Reminds me of Bob Ellis’s wonderful Worst Government serial documenting the Abbott disaster….you should make it a regular post…..

  29. What on earth does Littleproud mean by this?

    grace pettigrew
    @broomstick33
    ·
    8m
    #RNBreakfast Tilley asks Littleproud if $50M is enough for #wildlife given a billion have already died? Littleproud says we need bang for our bucks .. can’t even #auspol #CC #bushfires #ecocide

  30. grimace @ #99 Monday, January 13th, 2020 – 12:37 am

    Danama Papers @ #13 Sunday, January 12th, 2020 – 7:12 pm

    Remember how Murdoch’s orcs always made a big deal out of PPM when Labor were ahead in the 2pp?

    Guess they can’t do that anymore.

    Got to get with the times Danama Papers, PPM isn’t relevant because we don’t elect the PM.

    Chanel 7 tell us now the important figure is the primary.
    If Labor ends up leading that as well presumably they’ll have to resort to which one is taller?

  31. Adam Spence
    @AdamSpenceAU
    ·
    8h
    So before you all cheer, a) does anyone take polls seriously anymore, and b) recall that despite his negligence, this still makes Morrison more popular than Gillard in 2011, who was actually doing a decent job in tough political circumstances. #auspol #newspoll

  32. Well, we all know how useless Josh was when considering anything about environmental matters.

    Josh Frydenberg @JoshFrydenberg
    · 47m
    Up now on @TheTodayShow. The Govt’s initial $50m investment to protect wildlife following the #bushfires is critical in creating a viable future for animals that have survived.

  33. lizzie @ #138 Monday, January 13th, 2020 – 7:49 am

    What on earth does Littleproud mean by this?

    grace pettigrew
    @broomstick33
    ·
    8m
    #RNBreakfast Tilley asks Littleproud if $50M is enough for #wildlife given a billion have already died? Littleproud says we need bang for our bucks .. can’t even #auspol #CC #bushfires #ecocide

    He means, in Coalition code, that they need their Surplus to get the bang they are after next election.

  34. “If the Greens could join in attacking tge climate vandals in power that would also be a great help.”

    ***

    As I have been for MONTHS while the ancient rainforest up on Mt Nardi has been burning. Months. You know, while Albo was off on his Queensland coal tour and Morrison was about to jet off to Hawaii. While Labor was sucking up to the coal industry large parts of the country were already on fire. Where was Labor months ago when The Greens were calling out the Coalition? Where was Labor when the deputy PM was calling The Greens “inner-city raving lunatics” for daring to make the link between the fires and climate change? Oh I remember now, Labor supporters were also regurgitating far right attack lines too and calling us the “inner urb Greens”.

  35. As the smoke lingers here for yet another day, I can fully understand why Mr Hawaii Holiday is so unpopular and Albo is preferred PM.


  36. mundo says:
    Monday, January 13, 2020 at 7:50 am

    Chanel 7 tell us now the important figure is the primary.
    If Labor ends up leading that as well presumably they’ll have to resort to which one is taller?

    Unfortunately about 8% of the population believe voting for the Greens is something other than voting for a Liberal proxy that weakens Labor by removing government funding of Labors election campaign, something other than supporting a functioning environmental movement that can work with Labor to get good environmental outcomes. While this remains Labor will not beat the Liberals on primary votes. If Labor cannot work out a way to deal with this, Channel 7 are safe pushing primary figures.

  37. Wow, I never knew this (probably because they didn’t want us to know), but the Trump campaign had teams of facebook employees embedded in their campaign apparatus!

  38. The cashless Indue card is causing much grief.

    Jommy Tee – electric HiLux owner
    @jommy_tee
    ·
    Jan 11
    Well, well I knew they did a YouTube promoting the cashless debit card …. but looks like ads on Google and the Book of Faces were part of the mix as well.

    Explains why Minderoo Foundation registered with the Australian Electoral Commission as a political campaigner.

    ***

    Ammo, the company used by Minderoo to run Facebook ads, also worked on the Liberal Party ads in WA during the 2019 Federal election.
    Ammo Marketing is only a business trading name for a discretionary trading trust: “The Trustee for Running Buffalo”
    Back to the cashless debit card – a Twiggy (Minderoo) paternalistic device – wholeheartedly embraced by the LNP government.

    He seeks to impose restrictions for those on welfare, yet had no hesitation in giving a job to convicted insider trader, 3 months post his sentence ending.
    The insider trader (later turned ASIC witness to convict another insider trader) became and still is Twiggy’s COO at the Minderoo Fdn.
    And hence I’m concerned what Twiggy’s & Minderoo’s proposed $50M bushfire resilience blueprint will recommend and eventually deliver ……..and who wins and who loses from it.
    Twiggy is also encouraging people to donate to the bushfire rebuild, via the Mindaroo Fdn. Very generously not charging any administration fees.

    Why a charity sitting on $1.3B in assets wants you to do that at the expense of other charities…who knows.

  39. “ I noticed that Kevin Rudd is doing videos now and The Guardian is running them. That gets him out to a wider audience. I imagine he puts them on his facebook page as well as on Twitter. He’s a good Labor man at heart.”

    Warming up for ‘Kevin in 2027. The Quickening. There can be only one.’

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