Newspoll has turned in a result for its three-weekly federal poll which, if nothing else, shows it’s not letting the May election result prevent it from publishing optimistic-looking numbers for Labor. As related in The Australian ($), the latest poll has the major parties tied on two-party preferred, after four successive results of 51-49 in favour of the Coalition.
The Coalition is down two on the primary vote to 40%, with Labor up two to 35%, the Greens down one to 12% and One Nation up one to 7%. Anthony Albanese enjoys some encouraging movement on personal ratings, with approval up five to 42% and disapproval down seven to 37%. However, Scott Morrison’s ratings are little changed, with approval down one to 46% and disapproval down two to 43%, and his lead as preferred prime minister narrows only marginally, from 47-32 to 46-32.
The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1682.
lizzie @ #50 Monday, November 11th, 2019 – 4:12 am
#ETTD.
DP….the Norwegians are keen to take ownership of Australian resources too….
The SWF is an exchange rate/ capital flow device….keeps the exchange rate down…
***
Bernard Keane was just asked to comment on this on ABC Sydney radio. He said climate is a national security issue, so Dutton will be excited to hear that. He also said the Liberals don’t have a climate policy when Berejiklian is tabling an emissions-increasing bill this week.
QED
RI @ #52 Monday, November 11th, 2019 – 4:23 am
And no doubt Australia will gladly sell it to them.
Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
Catastrophic fire danger conditions have been announced for Greater Sydney for the first time ever. Does this say anything?
https://www.smh.com.au/national/rfs-raises-sydney-fire-warning-to-catastrophic-20191110-p5397q.html
Peter Hannam reports that moisture levels of trees and shrubs around Sydney are lower than during the Black Christmas fires of 2001.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/sydney-region-now-drier-than-before-the-2001-black-christmas-fires-20191110-p53964.html
Former international oil, gas and coal industry executive Ian Dunlop passionately writes that a local mayor can see we face a climate emergency and he asks why the PM can’t. (Clue: Because he won’t)
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/a-local-mayor-can-see-we-face-a-climate-emergency-why-can-t-the-pm-20191110-p5393b.html
From a highly relevant background Greg Mullins says that things are not normal and he explains this using the mega-fires that are currently burning.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/this-is-not-normal-what-s-different-about-the-nsw-mega-fires-20191110-p5395e.html
Read this contribution from Ross Gittins and weep! Highly recommended.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/confessions-of-a-pet-shop-galah-a-lot-of-reform-backfired-20191107-p538gr.html
Labor was warned it was failing to gain an edge on the Coalition at key points during the federal election campaign, a secret analysis that identifies a fatal blow to the party from voters on lower incomes and without a tertiary education says.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-failed-to-heed-warnings-that-election-was-on-knife-edge-says-secret-report-20191110-p53968.html
Shane Wright explains how Labor is set to accuse the government of a ‘cancer of complacency’ on the economy.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-to-accuse-government-of-a-cancer-of-complacency-on-economy-20191108-p538wj.html
Sean Kelly says that it feels like Albanese is beginning to settle into his role and that maybe, just maybe, Labor is ready to return to the fight.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/six-months-from-crushing-defeat-labor-may-be-ready-to-get-back-in-the-ring-20191108-p538wx.html
“What did Albo know and when did he know it?” asks Sam Maiden.
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2019/11/10/albanese-at-centre-of-labor-rift/
Putting on his historian hat Peter FitzSimons explains how November 11 has forged our national identity.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/how-november-11-has-forged-our-national-identity-20191110-p5395d.html
David Scutt reveals how a sharp rebound in mortgage lending risks leaving Australia more vulnerable to economic shocks and could see regulators considers the reintroduction of macroprudential measures to keep debt levels in check.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/economists-warn-on-debt-risks-as-mortgage-lending-heats-up-20191108-p538ux.html
Australia is set to receive another black mark for its lax anti-money laundering laws, putting renewed pressure on the federal government to force real estate agents to report suspicious sales.
https://www.afr.com/property/residential/dirty-money-spotlight-on-estate-agents-20191107-p538ay
Militant union officials could start being drummed out of the construction industry within weeks, Industrial Relations Minister Christian Porter says as it seems his bill is likely to be passed by the Senate.
https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/deal-to-disqualify-union-bullies-on-verge-of-passing-senate-20191110-p53954
Due mainly to political tensions Australian food exporters are facing regulatory roadblocks in China.
https://www.afr.com/companies/agriculture/australian-food-exporters-face-regulatory-roadblocks-in-china-20191029-p535e2
According to the SMH hundreds of buildings throughout NSW are potentially covered in flammable material, and the government refuses to tell us which ones.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/we-need-more-resources-frontline-firefighters-diverted-to-cladding-crisis-20191108-p538sd.html
Adam Morton goes inside Market Forces, the small climate group Scott Morrison wants to put out of business.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/nov/11/inside-market-forces-the-small-climate-group-scott-morrison-wants-to-put-out-of-business
The Berejiklian government will pause new approvals for mining under Sydney’s catchment until well into 2020 as it considers an advisory panel’s report that environment groups say was too lenient as water supplies dwindle.
https://www.smh.com.au/environment/sustainability/new-coal-projects-in-sydney-s-catchment-on-hold-after-panel-s-reports-20191109-p538ys.html
A Senate inquiry into Newstart heard first-hand accounts of what life is like for some of Australia’s most vulnerable people. Luke Henriques-Gomes writes about some of them.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/nov/11/please-listen-to-us-the-newstart-recipients-trying-to-convince-scott-morrison-hes-wrong
Kirsten Lawson writes that Jacqui Lambie has called for an independent media regulator to put the brakes on what she sees as media abuse of its power and invasions of privacy.
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6482526/lambie-calls-for-curb-on-media-power/?cs=14350
Sarah Martin tells us about some of the ammunition the Auditor-General has given to Labor over the Coalition’s regional grants scheme.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/nov/11/tasmanian-cafe-and-victorian-bike-path-breach-coalitions-regional-grant-scheme
Michaela Whitbourn reports that a coalition of more than 60 legal organisations has urged the federal government to abandon a plan to scrap the Family Court as a stand-alone entity, warning that a proposed courts merger risks the safety of child and adult victims of family violence.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/safety-must-come-first-in-family-law-legal-groups-reject-merger-plan-20191110-p5395q.html
Laws that aim to protect businesses from environmental protests need “very careful” drafting to avoid a being struck down by the High Court, one of Australia’s top constitutional lawyers says.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/anti-protest-laws-vulnerable-to-high-court-challenge-20191108-p538sl.html
Rob Harris tells us that foreign-based online casinos, which often falsely attached themselves to Australian brands to lure in customers, will be blocked by internet service providers.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/illegal-offshore-gambling-websites-to-be-blocked-by-australian-internet-providers-20191110-p53963.html
Smart tech systems can cut congestion for a fraction of what new roads cost explains Professor Hussain Dia.
https://theconversation.com/smart-tech-systems-cut-congestion-for-a-fraction-of-what-new-roads-cost-125718
So the big-headed Jim Molan is coming back to the Senate – via the backing of Morrison and Howard.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/jim-molan-to-return-to-senate-after-morrison-howard-backing-20191110-p5396t.html
The RSL in Victoria is captured by the pokies lobby and Tabcorp. As we remember the fallen on Remembrance Day, don’t forget the dubious deals and scandals besetting the RSL, writes journalist and anti-gaming campaigner Stephen Mayne.
https://www.michaelwest.com.au/tabcorps-welfare-payment-from-rsl-veterans-fund-keeps-pokie-losses-ticking/
Amanda Vanstone predicts that none of the medevaced refugees will go back to Nauru.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/medevac-we-ve-been-duped-by-ridiculous-ruse-20191108-p538w3.html
But The Independent Australia says the Government’s traditional scare campaign has failed to work, because Medevac transfers haven’t re-started the “people smuggler” boats.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/medevac-law-should-not-be-repealed-it-saves-lives,13300
Billionaires fear Warren and Sanders – but they should fear us all writes Robert Reich who explains the five ways to accumulate a billion dollars.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/nov/10/billionaires-warren-sanders-wealth-tax-bezos-dimon-cohen
Cartoon Corner
From David Rowe. What can you say?
Mark David is in great form.
Pat Campbell and the fires.
Peter Broelman gets to the point.
From Matt Golding
Jim Pavlidis and what’s facing Albo.
Johannes Leak is now lead cartoonist for The Australian. I wonder why?
https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/3256f6673b93612e73d71e25fefe0b39?width=1024
From the US
An ex treasurer of Australia and a Prime Minister have often been photographed with what could be described as a “smug” expression. Could this be an indicator of a “*Narcissistic personality disorder” ❓
*Narcissistic personality disorder (NPD) involves a pattern of self-centered, arrogant thinking and behavior, a lack of empathy and consideration for other people, and an excessive need for admiration. Others often describe people with NPD as cocky, manipulative, selfish, patronizing, and demanding.
P.S. Remember – this is not the time to talk about “Global Warming”.
McCormack going full Joh Bjelke-Petersen on ABC RN, deriding ‘inner-city maniacs’ and questioning the motives of the group of firefighter chiefs that have been seeking an urgent meeting with Littleproud and Taylor since before the election.
Morning all
Much thanks BK
Bellwether
Questioning motives of
fire chiefs. Seriously?
Morning all, thanks BK. Thoughts are with those PBers impacted by either bushfires or catastrophic fire conditions this week.
Meanwhile, these maps from the Virginia special elections show the influence Trump has on voters. I just hope this turnout by Democrats and independents continues into 2020.
So climate change is a lefty invention?
McCormack’s and Berejiklian’s reactions this morning just illustrate my point yesterday that the coalition parties cannot be shamed into acting on AGW.
Thanks BK for an interesting Dawn Patrol. ☮☕
From the BK Files.
Read this contribution from Ross Gittins and weep! Highly recommended.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/confessions-of-a-pet-shop-galah-a-lot-of-reform-backfired-20191107-p538gr.html
And so on. My main take is that the stuffups have impoverished the less well off and enriched the usual
arseholessuspects and may have been the intended outcome (that is if anybody would believe that Governments have workable plans).Note – late news. Climate change is a means of creating a warm water port for Russia. This makes no sense whatever to me and therefore should be a mainstay of Gummint oratory. 😇
Newspoll will be back to Labor 51 LNP 49 in a month or two right through to the 2022 election, the government will once again spend the next 3 years being useless and incompetent, and then…..boom. Groundhog Day.
Fess
The fibs are fiddling whilst NSW burns.
Confessions @ #62 Monday, November 11th, 2019 – 7:59 am
And need absolutely no encouragement to approve new coal mines.
C@t
And of course, the Greens who frequent this blog, will continue to focus on team Labor.
As night follows day.
A Premier declines to engage in ‘politics’…by definition, this is simple avoidance of an issue for political reasons…
KJ. Peeps I know (that dont vote ALP) are plenty aware of the dodgyness of privatisation. I heard a couple of tradies and Mitre10 staff openly whinging about it wrt electricity. There was a ‘big end of town’ element to this. CFS peeps also. Even a Liberal Party member who is lining up for Mayo.
I have no doubt Russia are pro climate change. It is disruptive for one. And there will be benefits for them (as well as challenges).
McCorkmack needs to be heard and seen more.
Victoria @ #68 Monday, November 11th, 2019 – 5:07 am
They do so to bait other commenters and get a rise out of people.
Amy isn’t going down without a fight!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/klobuchar-says-a-woman-with-buttigiegs-experience-would-not-make-it-to-debate-stage-because-of-different-standard/2019/11/10/cf191e00-03e1-11ea-8292-c46ee8cb3dce_story.html
Bellwether @ #65 Monday, November 11th, 2019 – 8:03 am
LNP HQ brainiacs working on the campaign already. Tying Labor HQ brainiacs in knots.
Tories know you win elections in the last 2 weeks of a campaign the rest doesn’t matter.
Victoria @ #68 Monday, November 11th, 2019 – 8:07 am
Well, they’ve developed the convenient mantra, otherwise known as an excuse for their actions, that the Coalition are beyond hope so they don’t bother with them.
Yet it is exactly the Coalition VOTERS that The Greens should be trying to assist Labor in prising them off the Coalition, and what better issue to do it with than Global Overheating and Climate Change?
Who knows, it might actually be a path to winning 1 or 2 of The Greens’ much sought after funky inner city seats, and Labor will thank them for their preferences and may win another 1 or 2 of them off the Liberals as well. I mean, that’s the way it’s looking like going after all.
But no, it’s all just, keep poking Labor in the ribs, which as I said yesterday, suits the Coalition just fine. The Coalition get on with their dirty venal business, while The Greens squabble pointlessly with Labor.
mundo says:
Monday, November 11, 2019 at 8:24 am
Bellwether @ #65 Monday, November 11th, 2019 – 8:03 am
Tories know you win elections in the last 2 weeks of a campaign the rest doesn’t matter.
Of course, this is pure bollocks. Every day matters in politics, some more than others. The Liberals run eternal campaigns.
Simon Katich @ #70 Monday, November 11th, 2019 – 8:10 am
In a quick search for Michael McCormack – Dickhead as one would do normally – I came across this item.
Of course – I don’t know Mr. McCormack and really have no idea as to his thinking, philosophy or ability to stage a first class Elvis impersonation. He may be sincere, talented and kind to old ladies and native fauna.
I can’t go on. Sorry – I must away to water my pot plants. 🌺🚿
Amy Klobuchar is an insipid candidate. Whether she is a male or a female the same would apply.
Pete Buttigieg is a transformational candidate who is setting the Dem primaries on fire like President Obama did.
RI @ #75 Monday, November 11th, 2019 – 8:28 am
Exactly. It’s why they are already back to advertising themselves on prime time TV.
Nah. They lay the foundations every single minute. From power consolidation, dogwhistling to mud flinging. Then they turn on the Eloi siren in the campaign.
And people say Vlad hasn’t had the odd cosmetic touch-up here and there…
“Catastrophic fire danger conditions have been announced for Greater Sydney for the first time ever. Does this say anything?”
***
It says many things, not least of which that Labor and the Coalition need to take climate change seriously.
The large out of control fire ~25km away from me has now burnt through most of the top of the mountain. So far it has stayed up there and hasn’t ventured down. It must be torture for the people who live in the towns surrounding and on the sides of it though. It’s been back and forth between ’emergency’ and ‘watch and act’ for the last couple of days.
Where this fire is burning is Greens heartland. One of the large Stop Adani rallies was held in the town of Mullumbimby, which is at the foot of the mountain where the fire is. These people know who is responsible for their suffering. Morrison, Berejiklian and Premier Adani Palaszczuk can shove their crocodile tears because we aren’t being fooled.
RI @ #76 Monday, November 11th, 2019 – 8:28 am
Of course, this too may be bollocks.
The average voter is completely disengaged form day to day politics and would not have the slightest idea about what is topical politically speaking.
The average punter couldn’t name the deputy prime minister if you put it to them. Day to day politics? I don’t think so. Retiree tax. Now that sounds interesting………Death tax! Now you got ’em……
Fess/c@t
I dont bother with the Greens ranting. Just hot air, signifying nothing.
And of course, achieving sweet f@@k all
Apologies for repetition. Trump will not be a viable candidate in 2020, and if the GOP continue to support him, especially after more damning bombshells come to light, they too are doomed.
Simon Katich @ #80 Monday, November 11th, 2019 – 8:32 am
You make a good point.
They’re raison d’etre is to keep Labor off the government benches.
Dio
Re RC into veterans’ suicides…. one of the spearheads, Julie-Ann Finney, was interviewed, 6/11/2019, on ABC RN Drive about this and her meeting with Morrison:
https://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/drive/plea-to-pm-for-royal-commission-into-veterans-suicide/11678984
I daresay the polls maybe reflecting that the punters did not get what they wanted in their tax returns this year. Whatayoudo
Gladys sticking to her script. Climate change must not be mentioned.
Morrison and co need to answer as to why they did not convene a meeting with emergency personnel as per their requests.
I still find it incredible that Jim Molan has been returned to the Senate. What does it take to achieve generational change and greater diversity within the Liberal party?
lizzie @ #89 Monday, November 11th, 2019 – 8:48 am
It’s NEVER the ‘right time’ for these toadies to the Mining industry!
As I said yesterday, this is just the NRA gun massacre script transposed to thermal coal mining as the progenitor of Global Overheating (screw calling it the milder Global Warming, or even Global Heating, we are well past that now).
Victoria @ #90 Monday, November 11th, 2019 – 8:50 am
Because the emergency services personnel are noisy, latte-sipping leaners who live in an inner-city bubble? I’m guessing.
Victoria
Right now would be another opportunity. Yesterday he was still insisting there was no emergency and everything was tickety-boo.
Confessions @ #92 Monday, November 11th, 2019 – 8:52 am
James Patterson?
Good Morning
I see Victoria is continuing the division instead of looking for unity.
Anything to defend Labor when the Greens have been proven right. Note I am responding not initiating a Labor Green war comment.
At a time when climate change and the impact of coal is crystal clear as the cartoonists make clear the Labor partisans here have to make it about the Greens being impotent or full of hot air as the science comes home to roost for the deniers
I guess this must be part of the bipartisanship required to excuse the climate deniers in government
Firefox says:
Monday, November 11, 2019 at 8:36 am
“Catastrophic fire danger conditions have been announced for Greater Sydney for the first time ever. Does this say anything?”
***
It says many things, not least of which that Labor and the Coalition need to take climate change seriously.
…….One of the large Stop Adani rallies was held in the town of Mullumbimby, which is at the foot of the mountain where the fire is. These people know who is responsible for their suffering. Morrison, Berejiklian and Premier Adani Palaszczuk can shove their crocodile tears because we aren’t being fooled.
Yeah. And no-one is fooled by the Greens either. The Adani sham has simply widened the wedge between working people and the Greens, who have disgraced themselves in the minds of most voters. Everything is now more difficult than it needed to be. The environment is the loser. If the Greens did not exist the Liberals would invent them.
These are only the visible victims.
Confessions @ #91 Monday, November 11th, 2019 – 8:52 am
Strong women and the men that support them.
I only see that obnoxious woman, Teena McQueen, who deposed Karina Okotel, plus a lot of young conservative fogies. Hardly the picture of diversity.
@JTCabot tweets
@murpharoo @YaThinkN @AmyRemeikis @mpbowers EXCUSE me Katharine you will refer to me as an ‘inner city, Lefty, Commo-pinko, Greeny, Latte sipping, pot smoking, Long Haired, ‘Draft’ dodging-Hippy’ …