The fortnightly Essential Research release is the second since the election to encompass the monthly leadership ratings. These offer positive signs for Anthony Albanese, who is up four from his debut on approval to 39% and down one on disapproval to 24%, while Scott Morrison is slightly improved in net terms, with approval steady on 48% and disapproval down two to 34%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is effectively unchanged, shifting from 43-25 to 44-26. The poll also features a series of questions on the ban on tourists climbing Uluru, which 44% support and 30% oppose, and 69% professing awareness of the issue.
Of particular interest in this release is the revelation that Essential is inquiring about respondents’ income, which appears to be a new development. The only detail provided in the polling results is that Morrison has 59% approval among higher income earners, but the appendices go to the trouble of telling us that Essential has set three income cohorts for its surveys: low (below $52,000), high (above $104,000) and medium (in between).
I suspect this means Essential’s response to the pollster failure will be to start using income to weight its results. This is a departure from the Australian industry norm of weighting only by geography, gender and age, and would also seem to be a bit unusual internationally. An American pollster noted last year the practice had fallen out of favour there due to the high non-response rate to questions on personal income. The preference is to instead weight to other factors which themselves correlate with income, notably education and, particularly in Britain, social class.
The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1091. In the Guardian report accompanying the poll, the elephant in the room was addressed thus:
There has been controversy post-election about the reliability of opinion polling because none of the major surveys – Newspoll, Ipsos, Galaxy or Essential – correctly predicted a Coalition win on 18 May, projecting Labor in front on a two-party preferred vote of 51-49 and 52-48. The lack of precision in the polling has prompted public reflection at Essential, as has been flagged by its executive director, Peter Lewis. Guardian Australia is not currently publishing measurements of primary votes or a two-party preferred calculation, but is continuing to publish survey results of responses to questions about the leaders and policy issues.
Also in The Guardian today are results from a separate Essential Research poll, this one for Digital Rights Watch concerning recent police raids on journalists. In response to a question noting raids on “the offices and homes of News Corp and ABC journalists who reported on national security issues”, 40% said they were very concerned, 34% slightly concerned and 26% not concerned. Similar results were produced on questions relating to metadata and police powers to break into online communications systems. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Sunday from a sample of 1089.
Sounds like New Labor to me:
Mr Fowles is a member of the wealthy Fowles family, which founded and owns the successful auctioneer, the Fowles Auction Group.
Mr Fowles was last month accused by Victorian Liberal MP James Newbury of failing to pay workers’ entitlements when his former Queensland pub went into receivership in 2015.
He has also worked in communications, and was best known for nabbing a seat on the exclusive Melbourne Cricket Club committee, as the MCC’s youngest committee member in history.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/victorian-labor-mp-will-fowles-questioned-over-hotel-disturbance-20190725-p52akt.html
Thanks (I think) BK for the ✔ Dawn Patrol. ✔
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-07-25/australian-company-sending-weapons-systems-directly-to-uae/11322974
lizzie says:
Thursday, July 25, 2019 at 10:44 am
But with global warming, it will be nice sleeping outside¿
https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/state/vic/2019/07/25/victorian-labor-mp-will-fowles-questioned-over-hotel-disturbance/
Off to anger-management classes for Fowles.
The door does look like it’s little more than a facade. 🙂
But, what an idiot to do such a thing, no matter his own personal justifications.
‘Scott Morrison reels off a list of Labor appointments dating back to Don Russell in the Keating era.’
I’m always chuffed when the Liberals do something like this. They’re admitting they have no moral compass of their own and have to look at what Labor does to work out whether something they’re doing is right or wrong.
Yeah. But also, who ever heard of a hotel not letting you collect your bags?
a r
There must be more to the story.
Re. Fowles:
[‘The ACT police have released this statement:
At about 7.50am today ACT Policing received a report of a disturbance at a hotel in Kingston.
Officers on patrol nearby attended and the matter was resolved.
At this time, no charges have been laid. Police are investigating the circumstances surrounding the incident in consultation with the business owners.
For privacy reasons, ACT Policing cannot comment on whether a particular individual is under investigation or not.’]
Prima facie a case of wilful damage.
I don’t think the automatic text generator is working too well. Generating nonsense.
Re NSW Labor….
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/labor-had-scheme-to-evade-electoral-funding-laws-20190724-p52age.html
Nah, lizzie!
That’s how Morrison usually speaks.
How many unemployed have been caught by this money-making scheme?
The item pictured above is part of a “concealed in plain sight” plan to rescue the Parliamentary Cleaners from their Satanic Suffering in the “hellpits of despair” in which they labour.
A crack team of ex would be special forces layabouts and barroom lawyers are currently being fitted with special stealth coating and camouflage outfits to deny the Masters of the Universe whose function it is to bring misery and destruction to those considered unworthy or untreatable in a planned forced “Back to God for the Silent Australians” program.
Captured in a jovial mood while planning their courageous rescue are these citizens already in their disguises.
The “platoon” as they are self describing have armed themselves with stout cudgels and sticks and … the leader stands out in his disguise as a “washer woman.”
Expecting total victory and unconditional surrender from the well fed and chubby cheeked adversaries (see picture posted by Lizzie ) the following copy has been sent to partner News Organs where, concealed among the daily drivel the vision will be announced to a grateful world.
Should anybody watch Parliament Question Time and,yes, I know how unlikely that would be, expect a great hulloo of shouting and rage later today.
😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍
Many thanks to the memory of Kenneth Graham whose book has given me so much pleasure over the years.
The G – Medevac repeal:
It will pass the House. Then it heads to the Senate, where, as we’ve been reporting since earlier this month, it will do nothing for at least a couple of months. The bill is in committee, which is not due to report back until October. The Senate won’t sit again until November. So there is a bit of time for both sides to make their cases to Jacqui Lambie.
“The Senate won’t sit again until November.”
The Senate _is_ sitting between now and November; November is probably the next sitting after the report has been released in October.
J
“November is probably the next sitting after the report has been released in October”
That’s how I am reading it.
Barney in Makassar @ #109 Thursday, July 25th, 2019 – 11:02 am
As opposed to the justification of others.
adrian says:
Thursday, July 25, 2019 at 11:34 am
Just emphasising something that’s becoming far too common, so that even someone such as yourself may understand the point.
https://www.crikey.com.au/2019/07/25/temporary-exclusion-orders-whistleblowers/
On Victoria’s Bill Fowles Door incident.
We want Labor to fight and show some spine. Just not like that.
See, guytaur – we can never satisfy you!
zoomster
🙂
PJ.Caz
@PJC_Raiders
·
22m
#Maddow breaks news that immediately within 8 minutes of the completion of the 2nd hearing, Trump sought an emergency petition to block the obtaining of his tax returns. Interesting.
“immediately within 8 minutes”
…?
sprocket_ says: Wednesday, July 24, 2019 at 7:45 pm
Slightly off topic, but I was just reading some Psychology Today to brush up on nath’s frustrated desire, and came across this…
“Diogenes the Cynic, who was a contemporary of Plato in Ancient Athens, taught by living example that wisdom and happiness belong to the person who is independent of society.
————————–
It seems to be Nath Against the World this morning, so to lighten the mood, I’ll wander with Sprocket from the previous thread, off-topic for a bit.
“Oh, Diogenes” was a great, but lesser-known song from the brilliant 1938 Rodgers and Hart score of “The Boys From Syracuse.” Larry Hart’s lyric neatly encapsulated the career of the cynical philosopher
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hM9hCwOV3W0
VERSE
There was an old zany who lived in a tub;
He had so many fleabites
He didn’t know where to rub.
He kept looking for an honest man.
Said, “I’m gonna find him if I can.”
If I could meet Diogenes today,
This is what I’d say:
“Rub-a-dub-dub,
Hop out of your tub,
Diogenes!”
REFRAIN
Oh, Diogenes!
Find a man who’s honest.
Oh, Diogenes!
Wrap him up for me.
Oh, Diogenes!
Find a man who’s stolid-solid!
Hook that fish if he’s in the sea.
Hunt him! Trail him!
Catch him! Nail him!
If he is free.
Have you got your stick?
Have you got your lantern?
Can vou do the trick
And produce him, please!
Catch that fellow!
Ring that bell,
Oh. Diogenes!
I’d acknowledge the current copyright owner, except after his death, control of Hart’s royalties, some allege, were in effect stolen from Hart’s family by Dick Rodgers, the Hammerstein organization and Hart’s accountant who was appointed by Rodgers.
It must have taken quite some persistence to trash the door as much as that. Perhaps he hadn’t settled his bill and that’s why they were hanging on to his bags.
Musicals are the lowest form of art.
How is this guy not a Liberal:
Mr Fowles is a member of the wealthy Fowles family, which founded and owns the successful auctioneer, the Fowles Auction Group.
Mr Fowles was last month accused by Victorian Liberal MP James Newbury of failing to pay workers’ entitlements when his former Queensland pub went into receivership in 2015.
He has also worked in communications, and was best known for nabbing a seat on the exclusive Melbourne Cricket Club committee, as the MCC’s youngest committee member in history.
Diogenes @ #132 Thursday, July 25th, 2019 – 10:25 am
That was my first thought.
On Fowles:
Fair is foul, and foul is fair!
Fowles had no business joining the ALP given his background. But if he really did it to trash their reputation as an infiltrator, then all the more praise to him!
Barney in Makassar @ #124 Thursday, July 25th, 2019 – 11:44 am
Someone such as yourself should understand tautology.
Clive Palmer admonished by trial judge again
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-07-25/clive-palmer-admonished-by-trial-judge-again-queensland-nickel/11337926
Musicals give gainful employment to actors who can’t sing and singers who can’t act.
It must have taken quite some persistence to trash the door as much as that. Perhaps he hadn’t settled his bill and that’s why they were hanging on to his bags.
Yeah? To me it look like he just didn’t realise it was a sliding door.
What a pillock.
Jaeger @ #138 Thursday, July 25th, 2019 – 12:52 pm
If you can call any of that an admonishment, I guess. Seems like he’s going to come away with nothing significant. And the workers he screwed over will get about the same. 🙁
https://www.michaelwest.com.au/mayday-two-shadowy-chinese-corporations-behind-virgins-plan-to-control-australian-airbase/
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/new-abc-boss-turns-down-pay-rise-amid-budget-squeeze-20190725-p52an4.html?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1564022623
:sigh:
Oh noes, first we discover , thanks to Clive, Chinese plans to take over Perth with an invasion launched from a ‘secret’ Chinese air base in the Wild West and now we find they are readying an invasion of the East Coast. 🙂 .
I think we NSW are more concerned with dodgy buildings in NSW
Did Fowles await the arrival of police?