BludgerTrack: 51.7-48.3 to Labor

New state-level data finds a narrowing in Labor’s advantage, but also suggests the Coalition’s recovery has been too little, too late.

Since last week’s post dedicated to the current reading of BludgerTrack (which is being updated with new polling data as it becomes available), its measure of the situation is that Labor’s two-party preferred lead is effectively unchanged, but that it has gone backwards on the seat projection due to the distribution of the swing between the states. As ever, this reflects the intense electoral sensitivity of Queensland, which punches well above its weight in terms of marginal seats.

Last time I sounded a note of caution about its reading that Labor stood to gain eight seats there, which was quite out of line with the expectations of both major parties. Since then, we have had two pieces of state-level data that have taken the edge off – the Queensland-only poll by YouGov Galaxy for the Courier-Mail last week, which showed the Coalition leading 51-49, and the Newspoll state breakdowns that had the Queensland result at 50-50. This has moderated the situation to the extent that Labor is now credited with only five gains in the state. Nonetheless, this is almost single-handedly sufficient to get them to a majority.

The encouragement for Labor doesn’t end there, because the Newspoll numbers have further boosted their reading in Victoria, where they are now projected to gain three seats from the Coalition, together with the electoral gift of the new seat of Fraser in their western Melbourne heartland. However, BludgerTrack is now showing a remarkable recovery for the Coalition in New South Wales, where they are actually projected to pick up a swing on two-party preferred, though without gaining any new seats. This is a little more favourable for them than the general impression, which is that they are likely to lose Gilmore and Reid while perhaps gaining Lindsay.

BludgerTrack also suggests the worst danger for the Coalition has passed in Western Australia, where they are now projected to lose only one seat. It also suggests the Liberals should be able to maintain the status quo in South Australia – or arguably slightly improve it, given it is Labor who will be wearing the cut in the state’s representation from 11 seats to 10. This notion was further encouraged by yesterday’s YouGov Galaxy poll showing the Liberals maintaining a lead in Boothby, which is state’s strongest prospect of a gain for Labor.

However, it must be acknowledged here that there are a few holes in the BludgerTrack methodology, specifically relating to Tasmania and the territories, and non-major party contests. State-level data is only available for the five mainland states, so BludgerTrack has nothing to offer on the much-touted prospect of the Liberals gaining either or both of Bass and Braddon in the state’s north, where it is simply assumed that the swing will be in line with the overall national result. The same goes for the Darwin-based seat of Solomon, which has been the subject of optimistic noises from the Coalition throughout the campaign. Whether such noises are justified remains anyone’s guess.

As for minor parties and independents, BludgerTrack simply assumes a status quo result, with Wentworth and Clark (formerly Denison) to remain with their independent incumbents, Indi to go from one independent to another, and Melbourne, Kennedy and Mayo to respectively remain with the Greens, Katter’s Australian Party and the Centre Alliance. I had hoped that media-commissioned seat polling might offer guidance here, but only in the case of Mayo has such a poll emerged. The consensus seems to be that Wentworth will return to the Liberals, that Indi could either stay independent or go with one or other Coalition party, and that the other seats should remain as they are.

The full BludgerTrack results at state-level, together with leadership rating trends and a database of poll results, can be found through the following link:

Not featured in BludgerTrack is the Roy Morgan series, which I decided came to party too late for its form to be properly calibrated. However, its latest weekly result is interesting in being the first national poll of the campaign period to record a move in Labor’s favour on two-party preferred. The poll now has Labor leading 52-48, up from 51-49 last week, from primary votes of Coalition 38.5% (steady), Labor 35.5% (up 1.5%), Greens 10% (down one), One Nation 4% (steady) and the United Australia Party 3.5% (steady). The poll was conducted face-to-face on Saturday and Sunday from a sample of 1265, which is larger than its other recent polls, which have been around the 700 to 800 mark.

Also today: Seat du jour, covering the Queensland seat of Forde.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,540 comments on “BludgerTrack: 51.7-48.3 to Labor”

  1. If Labor ends up with 79 seats after the washup on Saturday, I will be very happy! Although it could make for a tense few days early next week as postal and absent votes get counted…. I am hoping that with the rise of pre-poll voting, there will be some reduction in the numbers of postals and absents. It will be interesting once all counting is finished in a couple of weeks’ time to see the overall pattern of voting types compared with other past elections.

    79 seats provides a workable majority, which will keep the whips happy. It provides a buffer of a couple of seats in the event of unavoidable absences, and with another 2 or 3 friendly faces on the cross bench, there’s no real risk of surprise losses on the floor of the Parliament.

    Given the circumstances that Labor faced in 2013, any win is a good win. I would be happier if Labor ended up with more than 80 seats, and that is definitely within the realms of possibility, but it does look like Labor should land somewhere between 75 and 80 seats. I believe the chances of the coalition getting more than 71 or 72 seats are very remote, meaning a Labor win is near certain (which is reflected in the betting markets – Betfair still offering $1.18 on Labor and $6.20 on the coalition, though that has come in a bit over the past few days).

    The other thing that will be most interesting to see is how Bludgertrack’s predictions compare with the final polling numbers from the major pollsters as they get released later this week. Presumably Newspolls, ER and Ipsos will all release a final poll. My money is on Bludgertrack getting closest to the actual result, which I therefore now predict to be 51.7% to Labor!! (48.3% to the coalition).

  2. Just voted in Buenos Aires.
    Lab and Lib HTV info available – a copy of the Lab version left conspicuously close to the returning officer (aka the receptionist). I doubt that she could see it.

  3. In the “I can’t believe they actually said that” category, here is a quote from Tony Abbott in an SMH article by Peter Hartcher:

    The quote, when Hartcher points out to Abbott that Zali Stegall says she will support the Coalition if there is a minority government:

    “She’s not said that in writing or with any degree of conviction,” Abbott counters in an interview at Hemingway’s Manly cafe.

    “I don’t believe her, given that she’s said her biggest issue by far is climate change and Labor has a much better climate change policy than the Coalition.”

    The broader context:
    This is the nub of his campaign – a vote for Zali Steggall is a vote for Bill Shorten.

    But hold on, Tony. That’s not what Steggall says at all. She says that, if elected to the crossbench in a hung Parliament and has to decide which party to support to form government, she would favour the Coalition. Not Labor.

    “She’s not said that in writing or with any degree of conviction,” Abbott counters in an interview at Hemingway’s Manly cafe.

    “I don’t believe her, given that she’s said her biggest issue by far is climate change and Labor has a much better climate change policy than the Coalition.”

    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/we-had-a-good-chat-tony-abbott-has-been-giving-his-mobile-number-in-fight-for-warringah-20190514-p51nco.html

  4. To reiterate, re: the above post, Tony Abbott is quoted as saying

    “Labor has a much better climate change policy than the Coalition”

    Did I miss something?

    Re-reading, I think Abbott was quoting Zali Steggal as saying “Labor has a much better climate change policy than the Coalition”, but that was not how I parsed it the first time I read it.

  5. A bit relieved that this is the worst the Oz has to throw on the front page on the last day it can use its from page as an advertisement for the Federal election.

    Mind you, I have not yet found the Tele front page.

  6. Hi D&M
    Why the question on Cromwell
    On my first visit to London I went to the HofC and outside the enterance they have put a statue of Cromwell!
    Mother of the Divine! Do the Germans have a statue of Hitler outside the Bundestag?

  7. Shorten ignites unholy war

    Well at least no muslims will be killed then, but that alone is bound to once again disappoint ‘the Australian’… leading to a new article…

    Shorten doesn’t kill any muslims

  8. The Daily ToiletPaper wearing its heart on its sleeve, but a shadow of the parodies of the past. Where is the clown hat? Where is the Nazi uniform? Where is the zombie rising from the grave?

  9. Hi OC

    Why the question on Cromwell
    On my first visit to London I went to the HofC and outside the enterance they have put a statue of Cromwell!
    Mother of the Divine! Do the Germans have a statue of Hitler outside the Bundestag?

    I was being cheeky. Some historical figures are real trigger for differentiating people’s beliefs and backgrounds. Nath’s purported strong dislike of Napoleon is a position that was often strongly held by the Protestant ascendancy in Eire. On the other hand, they loved Cromwell.

    Eire has played paid the price for Cromwell almost until this day. And I worry the eijits in the HoC are going to bring it all back.

  10. @_SJPEACE_

    Last night, in Baytown, Texas Unarmed Black Woman Yells ‘I’m Pregnant!’ Before Being Shot, Killed by Police

    “Why are you harassing me? I’m pregnant!”

    Pamela Shantay Turner, 45 was shot 5 times!

    THIS IS WHY WE KNEEL!!!!

    DEMAND JUSTICE!

    Retweet

  11. “Fast trains for Sydney” says the jolly fat man* from Queensland, fully intending to never deliver on any of it…

    * actually a sick fat c**t

  12. @mark do Stefano

    Tommy Robinson has been ordered to face fresh contempt of court charges this afternoon.

    Outside the Old Bailey – which is currently being streamed on YouTube – Robinson is pointing out “fake news journalists” in the crowd.

    Robinson: “Every one of you are the media. Share it far, share it wide, that girls across our country are being raped at unbelievable, industrial scale numbers by Muslim pedophiles”

  13. Thanks as always William.

    Have you already adjusted the final seat count of 79 predicted by Bludger Track, accounting for the Tasmania, NT and independents factors you’ve mentioned? If not it sounds as if there’s a possibility Labor could fall just short of a majority – seems surprising on a TPP of 51.7

    Thanks!

  14. Kevin Bonham
    ‏@kevinbonham

    Ten #Galaxy seat polls will be published on Thursday, one per hour from 10 am

    Not paywalled!

    https://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/national/federal-election/election-2019-opinion-polls-in-ten-crucial-electorates-to-reveal-likely-election-winner/news-story/e42b7b35ca2e3a9a3af7dd2aaf381566

    Newspoll have usually done a tracking poll of about thirty marginals in the past – seems to be missing this time around.

    Just noticed the end of that article

    At this stage, the latest Newspoll shows the Coalition is on track to pick up marginal seats in NSW and Queensland on Saturday but Labor remains likely to win government.

    Which means Labor would have to pick up even more seats – of course not mentioned! The way it is written makes it sound as if a Labor government with a healthy majority will lose some seats in Qld and NSW but still win. Lol.

  15. From the front pages, nothing from newscorp about policy.
    The DT now just a advertising throwaway and the Oz the junta’s propaganda manifesto.

  16. I’ve been very impressed by the Nine Newspapers this campaign, they’ve managed to stay relatively above the whole scare campaign garbage most days of the week.

    I do note that they haven’t endorsed anyone though. Would that have anything to do with the record number of negative letters to the editor and death threats they reported after endorsing the Libs in NSW?

  17. That Peter Hartcher article about Abbott is full of so many false premises, non sequiturs and lamearse metaphors about his flock coming back to the good shepherd Tony, that that alone is enough of a reason to bin him!

    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/we-had-a-good-chat-tony-abbott-has-been-giving-his-mobile-number-in-fight-for-warringah-20190514-p51nco.html

    Notice he didn’t disabuse the old checkout lady from Balgowlah that Labor are going to take her car away. Mendacious munt that he is.

  18. An interesting suggestion was made on Twitter that Clive Palmer’s deal with the Liberals, should they lose the election, involves him folding the UAP into the LNP and Liberal Party after the election because the party is so broke and they need Clive’s ill-gotten gains to survive.

  19. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    Here we go! Linked by Paul Zanetti of all people.
    https://www.michaelsmithnews.com/2019/05/joint-statement-from-peter-faris-qc-and-alleged-bill-shorten-rape-victim-.html?fbclid=IwAR3DfGGrC0GcOq-o0ZNKPyEQd0PmEdXZYRZZ56zbvHUv9dqe5utsvtb0VHE
    Paul Bongiorno writes that the Liberal Party has been all but invisible. He says Scott Morrison has just a few days to shrug off the baggage that is the party he leads.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/state/nsw/2019/05/13/liberal-party-scott-morrison/
    According to Alexandra Smith it looks like Kerryn Phelps’ run in parliament is over.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/faithful-are-back-liberals-preparing-for-victory-in-wentworth-20190514-p51n2p.html
    Peter Hartcher tells us how Abbott is now giving out his phone number in a last ditch effort to keep his seat.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/we-had-a-good-chat-tony-abbott-has-been-giving-his-mobile-number-in-fight-for-warringah-20190514-p51nco.html
    And Jim Molan isn’t helping Abbott much.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/jim-molan-s-rogue-campaign-labelled-sabbottage-as-it-poaches-volunteers-from-tony-abbott-s-team-20190514-p51n3f.html
    The New Daily has obtained audio of John Alexander – the Member for Bennelong – at a pre-poll booth openly urging a voter to support Senator Molan, in a clear contravention of the Coalition’s official Senate ticket.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/state/nsw/2019/05/14/nsw-coalition-civil-war-molan/
    David Crowe on the breakout of religious war in the election campaign.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/govern-for-all-shorten-takes-aim-at-morrison-over-gays-going-to-hell-20190514-p51n3k.html
    And Crowe writes that Bob Hawke will urge Australians to consider Bill Shorten’s union background as proof he can unite the country under a Labor government, fending off attacks on the Opposition Leader in the frantic final days of the election campaign.
    https://www.theage.com.au/federal-election-2019/hawke-backs-shorten-as-consensus-leader-in-new-open-letter-20190514-p51nbm.html
    Ross Gittins looks at the stark differences between the major parties this time around.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/a-politician-always-wins-but-this-time-the-choice-really-matters-20190514-p51n2r.html
    The AFR reports that Labor will ramp up its pay push today and at the same time exploit the Liberal Party’s preference deal with Clive Palmer and his refusal to pay his workers.
    https://www.outline.com/cT5Cep
    As does Katharine Murphy who adds that Shorten says that Palmer will turn up in Canberra with “a political IOU almost as big as his ego” if voters lodge a protest vote with the United Australia party on 18 May.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/may/15/australia-cant-afford-three-years-of-clive-palmer-calling-the-shots-shorten-says
    Tony Wright says there’s a reason why the major parties are looking to the past.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/the-reason-why-the-major-parties-are-looking-to-the-past-20190514-p51n7u.html
    An analysis of the political content in one of media mogul Rupert Murdoch’s major outlets has demonstrated anti-Labor commentary is seven times more likely on the news service than negative rhetoric about the Coalition. Surprise surprrise!
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/election-2019/2019/05/14/andrew-bolt-sky-news-labor/
    Anna Patty explains how Christian Schools Australia has taken the unprecedented step of urging parents with children at its schools around the country to vote according to their religious values. Grrrr!
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/christian-schools-urge-parents-to-vote-for-religious-freedom-on-saturday-20190514-p51n6c.html
    The Guardian has a detailed look at the fight going on in Dutton’s seat of Dickson.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/may/15/we-all-know-peter-dickson-decides-election-fate-of-australias-most-divisive-minister
    Shane Wright says that borrowing the difference between a 5 and 20 per cent deposit will bite new home owners and result in a major windfall for Australia’s banks.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/first-home-buyers-using-government-deposit-scheme-to-pay-thousands-in-extra-interest-20190514-p51n5i.html
    The Coalition is still pretending you can help people become owner-occupiers without hurting anyone. Labor isn’t. The Grattan Institute explains why the best way to help first-home buyers is to let prices fall.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/the-best-way-to-help-first-home-buyers-let-prices-fall-20190514-p51n4h.html
    Sam Maiden says Scott Morrison’s claim that renters face huge increases as a result of Labor’s negative gearing policy changes has been undermined by the author of the contentious report the Prime Minister cited as proof for his claim.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/election-2019/2019/05/14/negative-gearing-rents-morrison/
    Mungo MacCallum writes that Newspoll’s 49% may be the epitaph for the Coalition.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/mungo-maccallum-newspolls-49-may-be-the-epitaph-for-the-coalition,12673
    The saga of #Watergate – the $80 million water buyback fiasco – has now been widely canvassed. However, questions surrounding further mysterious parts of the issue still remain, especially concerning the long and very close relationship between two of the key figures in the story — Angus Taylor and Dr Tony Reid. Jommy Tee and Ronni Salt investigate.
    https://www.michaelwest.com.au/watergate-ducking-and-dodging-more-questions-from-jommy-tee-and-ronni-salt/
    Public school funding grew by just $155 a student over the decade after accounting for student numbers and teacher wage growth, while private school students each received $1429, an analysis of Productivity Commission data by the Grattan Institute has found. How can this be?
    https://www.theage.com.au/education/private-school-funding-growth-outstrips-public-schools-despite-gonski-20190514-p51naa.html
    Richard Dennis laments that regardless of who wins on Saturday the Liberal party’s rank opportunism spells danger for Australian energy policy.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/may/14/the-liberal-partys-rank-opportunism-spells-danger-for-australian-energy-policy
    And Bill McKibben says, “We’ve run out of elections to waste – this is the last chance to make a difference on climate change”.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/may/14/weve-run-out-of-elections-to-waste-this-is-the-last-chance-to-make-a-difference-on-climate-change
    With 12 coal power stations in Australia closed since 2013, a full transition out of coal is coming. Around the world, governments and stakeholders are considering how to implement a “just transition” from coal to clean energy – a transition that’s fair for local workers and communities in coal regions.
    https://theconversation.com/how-to-transition-from-coal-4-lessons-for-australia-from-around-the-world-115558
    Glyn Wittwer writes that South Australia’s experience contradicts Coalition emissions scare campaign.
    https://theconversation.com/south-australias-experience-contradicts-coalition-emissions-scare-campaign-117079
    The Government’s attitude to climate change can be gathered by the cloak of invisibility that hangs heavily over Federal Environment Minister Melissa Price. Has Price has become the retainer for mining interests?
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/melissa-price-and-the-coalitions-climate-change-denying-non-environmental-policy,12671
    Infrastructure expert Phillip Davies writes that Labor’s election promise to use $1 billion to protect a corridor between Melbourne and Brisbane for a future bullet train has put high-speed rail firmly back on the political agenda. He says the new Western Sydney International airport could become the key interchange in NSW between air and high-speed rail travel.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/the-tweak-that-could-make-high-speed-rail-to-sydney-a-reality-20190512-p51mkz.html
    Elizabeth Knight reports that in just two weeks Foxtel needs to repay additional borrowings of $200 million. Whether Murdoch will come to the rescue again remains to be seen.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/murdoch-pulls-foxtel-out-of-the-financial-fire-20190514-p51n9u.html
    in a related article Roy Masters says Australian sport’s TV gravy train is heading to the end of the tracks.
    https://www.smh.com.au/sport/australian-sport-s-tv-gravy-train-heading-to-the-end-of-the-tracks-20190514-p51nbq.html
    Investors have been given a few reasons to think more carefully about “set and forget” investments in the big four banks’ shares, writes Clancy Yeates.
    https://www.smh.com.au/money/investing/soft-results-show-bank-dividends-aren-t-bulletproof-20190508-p51lcw.html
    Jacinda Ardern is attempting to build a multilateral coalition to pressure the big social media companies to act on violent content at a meeting of digital ministers from G7 countries in Paris today.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/jacinda-ardern-s-paris-pitch-a-sign-of-tech-giants-power-20190514-p51n7b.html
    In echoes of the Iraq war the White House is reviewing plan to send 120,000 troops to Iran. Bolton’s right in the middle of it of course.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/white-house-reviews-plan-to-send-120-000-troops-to-iran-in-echoes-of-iraq-war-20190515-p51ne1.html
    Stephen Bartholomeusz writes that Trump’s in love with the US-China trade war, but the markets feel differently.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/markets/trump-s-in-love-with-the-us-china-trade-war-but-markets-feel-differently-20190514-p51n4m.html
    The SMH editorial says that with so many other problems around the world, including a trade war in China and a nuclear stand-off with North Korea, it is hard to understand why the US has chosen this moment to talk up the prospects of a war with its old enemy Iran.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/middle-east/talk-of-war-only-makes-it-harder-to-contain-iran-20190514-p51n5k.html
    Anna Isaac looks ahead to see what the world could be like if these trade talks fall apart. It’s not a pretty picture!
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/doomsday-scenario-how-the-world-will-look-if-trade-talks-fall-apart-20190514-p51n0m.html
    Three unions representing aviation safety inspectors said in a sharply worded report months before the Boeing’s 737 Max was approved for use that the planemaker was given too much authority to oversee itself and that the new jet had safety flaws.
    https://www.theage.com.au/business/companies/boeing-was-told-737-max-had-safety-flaws-in-2017-say-unions-20190515-p51neb.html
    Woolworths is offering up to 50 per cent off the price of more than 1000 food and grocery products, but there’s a catch: you can only buy them online.
    https://www.outline.com/TJEKa4
    This awful woman has earned nomination for “Arsehole of the Week”.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/victoria/expensive-clothes-overseas-trips-belle-gibson-s-expenses-in-the-spotlight-20190514-p51nau.html

    Cartoon Corner

    David Rowe and the effect of the trade stand-off.

    John Shakespeare and a desperate PM.

    A short story from Michael Leunig.

    From Matt Golding.





    Sean Leahy has three for us today.



    Cathy Wilcox and the entry of religion into the campaigns.

    Zanetti.

    Jon Kudelka on the dropout candidates.
    https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/65bda8aa3b6494b121acc6ac94f92102?width=1024

    From the US




  20. Douglas and Milko says:
    Wednesday, May 15, 2019 at 6:03 am
    The front page of The Australian today:

    ——————–

    Honestly they have to be the worlds idiotic people at news ltd , the more they defend Morrison and attack Shorten is going to backfire on them and the libs/nats

  21. Morning all. Thanks William for the bludgertrack update, which is excellent.

    On ScumMo and Liberal homophobia, can we be surprised? ScumMo is a less athletic version of Israel Folau wearing a baseball cap.

    Remember Tony Abbott making all those promises to put his religious beliefs to one side if he became prime minister? All lies. ScumMo is telling the same lies.

  22. The question is why is newsltd trying to bring religion into politics , majority of pro coalition hacks in newsltd were against SSM, Morrison did not support the SSM vote, hence why he refused to support it in Parliament

  23. @LesStoneHouse

    Alan Jones said that if Labor wins the election, he’ll retire from radio and all public appearances. Labor’s just won 10 more seats Tonight I’m thinking #auspol  #AusVotes2019 

  24. Regarding BludgerTrack and Independents, it’s not only that BludgerTrack makes assumptions about Independents holding their seats, it also doesn’t factor in potential Independent gains. That’s understandable for seats like Warringah and Farrer, but less so for Cowper where Oakeshott ran last time and the Nats got 54.6% TCP, but BludgerTrack sticks to the 63% TPP the Nats had over Labor.

    It feels pretty good for Oakeshott here, but he’s so hated by the Nats base that it’s hard to tell how many he can peel away. Certainly there would be no drama with him supporting Labor this time around – both his own voters and Nats would expect him to. The unsolicited endorsement from Russell Crowe won’t have done him any harm.

  25. Josh TaylorVerified account@joshgnosis
    5m5 minutes ago
    The pearl-clutching in certain sections of the media today makes it seem like it’s more offensive to ask someone if they think gays are going to hell than saying gays are going to hell.

    I have no idea where all this ‘gays are going to hell’ stuff has come from, but it is truly bizarre that this occupies our media rather than questions about #watergate.

  26. Scott @ #40 Wednesday, May 15th, 2019 – 7:01 am

    The question is why is newsltd trying to bring religion into politics , majority of pro coalition hacks in newsltd were against SSM, Morrison did not support the SSM vote, hence why he refused to support it in Parliament

    It’s an angle. And they are running out of them from which to attack Bill Shorten and Labor.

  27. Thank you for the excellent round up today BK – steady as she goes

    Btw, the Zanetti cartoon link has a comma before the jpg ending, not a dot

    And why the grubs at the LPDU use Michael Smith is that he is bankrupt, so pointless suing him

  28. Confessions @ #45 Wednesday, May 15th, 2019 – 7:06 am

    Josh TaylorVerified account@joshgnosis
    5m5 minutes ago
    The pearl-clutching in certain sections of the media today makes it seem like it’s more offensive to ask someone if they think gays are going to hell than saying gays are going to hell.

    I have no idea where all this ‘gays are going to hell’ stuff has come from, but it is truly bizarre that this occupies our media rather than questions about #watergate.

    It comes from a recent Israel Folau Insta post. He’s a Pentecostal, as is Morrison.

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