Two national polls this evening, one being a second Newspoll result in successive weeks, showing Labor’s two-party lead unchanged on last week at 51-49. There is also next to no movement on the primary votes, with the Coalition at 38% (steady), Labor at 36% (down one), the Greens at 9% (unchanged), One Nation at 5% (up one) and United Australia Party at 4% (down one). As was the case last week, this might well have come out at 52-48 before Newspoll adopted its United Australia Party preference split of 60-40 in favour of the Coalition.
There is, however, a significant negative movement for Bill Shorten’s approval rating, which at 35% is down four points on last week’s result (which itself was a two point improvement on a fortnight before). His disapproval rating is at 53%, up two. Scott Morrison was down a point on both approval and disapproval, to 44% and 45% respectively. His lead as preferred prime minister is 46-35, out from 45-37 last time. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 2003.
In the ex-Fairfax papers, Ipsos has Labor’s lead at 52-48, down from 53-47 at its last such poll between the budget and the election announcement. This holds for both Ipsos’s respondent-allocated and previous election preference measures.
The primary votes are such as to exacerbate Ipsos’s peculiarity of having low numbers for the major parties and high ones for the Greens: both major parties are down a point on the primary vote, the Coalition to 36% and Labor to 33%, while the Greens are up one to 14%. Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party, which has been rather inconsistent in its poll readings, comes in at only 3% in its debut result from Ipsos, while One Nation is unchanged at 5%.
Ipsos’s personal ratings record very different movement from Newspoll’s, which can only be partly explained by the fact that the previous Ipsos was four weeks ago and the previous Newspoll was last week. The movements are entirely to the advantage of Labor, with Bill Shorten up four on approval to 40% and steady on disapproval at 51%; Scott Morrison down one on approval to 47% and up five on disapproval to 44%; and Morrison’s lead on preferred prime minister narrowing from 46-35 to 45-40. The Ipsos poll was conducted Wednesday to Saturday from a sample of 1207.
If Liberal Leigh was genuine, she would pull up Scotty every time he starts to slag and bag Labor’s policies, by saying “We are here to talk about YOUR policies…”
Let’s see
Thanks Boerwar. So good to see Bluey back!
Henry
I visited the Ford factory in London Ontario several decades ago. The Pintos were being made there right in the middle of the furore.
Leigh ‘the PM will join me shortly’
sprocket:
LOL.
Rational Leftist @ #1146 Monday, May 6th, 2019 – 7:26 pm
Once they launch they don’t get funded. So libs are doing another week on the Public Dime.
Confessions says:
Monday, May 6, 2019 at 7:25 pm
Shorten should offer to return next week with some of the shadow cabinet.
‘Mundo, I’m sure the Alp will have more to say and do on the nbn after the election.’
Really? From opposition they’ll have more to say. Great.
Oh, and Adrian, not even cute really because it was obviously a predictive faux pas….a cheap shot from someone I would expect better from….
For the record, Appalling waste of time and money.
730 is giving Labor a lot of minutes. I’m guessing to give Morrison room to talk.
The intro for Scotty is a wrap of Labor’s campaign launch yesterday.
Great stuff Bk.
First question to scomo should be, “will Malcolm Turnbull and tony Abbott be at your campaign launch”.
Now a video ad from the Indies – it appears the same/same major parties is another angle to peel off Labor votes
The interesting thing will be how many questions Morrison allows Sales to ask.
Mundo, relax. Alp has this election in the bag.
Yep! Recorded earlier. – Scotty is not wanting real-time scruitiny
Starts off with high tremor in his voice, talking a lot
Now it’s Scotty. And not live, how unsurprisement.
Morrison doing modulated sotto voce.
Someone must have told him that Shouty McShoutface was turning people off.
Scomo talks so fast he trips over his own tongue.
On the 730 Report you can hear the quotes around the term “The Independents”. It’s interesting too that the unifying idea is Climate Change. Does this threaten the Greens or are they wasting their time pretending to be right wing Greens? (hmm, rhetorical)
Boerwar
:
Even Tingle in her wrap of Labor’s campaign noted that Morrison had been the shouty one so far.
Scotty is going to Clown Mode a bit early…
Sales is taking him to task over his ‘we’re delivering a surplus next year’ comments.
Increasing from sotto voce to faster and louder.
If you can talk over the interviewer, you must be winning..
Trips over his own feet.
What if there is a black swan event over the next 12 months?
sprocket,
How many of those independents would be a danger to labor ?
I would think most, would be giving the libs or nats sleepless nights rather than labor.
Back to full Ad Man.
Morrison could talk under water.
Labor is going to spend 30 times more than the Government.
LIE.
Ok, here comes the BIG LIEs. Spending in infrastructure has fallen
Very pleased that Sales is mentioning the likely RBA interest rate cut which cuts across his ‘rosy budget scenario’ he’s put to voters.
Boerwar @ #1178 Monday, May 6th, 2019 – 7:45 pm
Only, others have the steak knives!
Starts an answer back with modulation and sotto voce but rapidly goes back to the Ad Man rattle.
Not pleased she let the increased taxes of $387b go. It isn’t a tax increase!!
Why did you have to dump the Prime Minister?
Good to see.
Maybe it wasn’t just me sending messages to the ABC on this point. 🙂
Leigh still holding a torch for Malcolm
‘Sales is taking him to task over his ‘we’re delivering a surplus next year’ comments.’
You mean just like Labor did?…oh, wait…..
Fuck me dead, they must have put new batteries in him before the show started.
It’s the Scomo Wall Of Sound.
We know there’ll be no more recessions because Treasury said so.
Pink Batts! Boats?
Answer the question Scotty – no good flipping to Mr Rude
mundo @ #1184 Monday, May 6th, 2019 – 5:48 pm
In both debates, Shorten did.
Is Leigh going to lose it with Scott?
Pre-recorded 7-30
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rg1oBhsZ6Uk
Sales forces Morrison to admit that carbon emissions have gone up.
Leigh seems cowed, Scotty’s aggression is beating her down
Sales needs to find her inner Karvelas.
Just give up Leigh, let him finish what he wants to say – your interruptions are too weak
Ffs Leigh you didn’t mind interrupting bill.