Candidate nominations unveiled

More candidates in the House, fewer in the Senate, and some luck for the Liberals and One Nation on the ballot paper draw.

Yesterday was the day on which candidate nominations declared and ballot paper draws conducted. The electorate pages in the Poll Bludger election guide now feature full lists of candidates in ballot paper order, though the job is still half finished for the Senate guide. House of Representatives nominations are up, with the average number per electorate being almost exactly seven, compared with 6.6 in 2016. However, there are fewer Senate nominations, presumably because a half-Senate election offers small players less prospect for success than a double dissolution.

To my eye, the two points worth noting about the ballot paper draws is that the Liberals and One Nation have both enjoyed good fortune in the Senate (I don’t think the fabled “donkey vote” in the House of Representatives worth dwelling on, as it really doesn’t amount to very much). The Liberals (taken to include the Liberal National Party in Queensland) has drawn a more leftward column than the Liberal Democrats in all six states, reducing their chances of voters confusing the two. One Nation have drawn second column in Queensland and the first column in Western Australia, although the advantage in the former case is diminished by the fact that the United Australia Party, who would seem to me to be fighting over the same turf, are right next to them in the third column.

Over the fold are presentations of House of Representatives candidate numbers for each party; the number of groups and candidates in the Senate; and how they have changed from 2016.

House of Representatives nominations

Senate nominations

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

750 thoughts on “Candidate nominations unveiled”

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  2. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    According to Niki Savva Morrison should share his plans, not just prayers. She says voters need to hear more from the Prime Minister about his plans if elected, other than a perfunctory collection of three-word slogans. You’ll have to Google trick this one.
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/morrison-should-share-his-plans-not-just-prayers/news-story/87e5cb0fb6582423184b74258af14524
    Underwhelmed by the election campaigns so far John Hewson provides another snappy insight.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/far-from-a-contest-of-ideas-this-campaign-withers-to-irrelevance-20190424-p51gr0.html
    Greg Jericho says that the economy is struggling, and the election campaign needs to start facing up to it. There are a several worrying indicators in the article.
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/2019/apr/24/the-economy-is-struggling-and-the-election-campaign-needs-to-start-facing-up-to-it
    Jess Irvine on the cyclical outbreaks of pork barrelling.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/you-get-a-car-park-australian-politics-goes-full-oprah-20190424-p51gwv.html
    Elizabeth Knight says it was a sharp increase in the cost of vegetables, medical expenses, cars and education that saved the March quarter inflation rate from moving into negative territory. But that’s cold comfort for consumers.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/vegie-price-increase-is-more-bitter-news-for-consumers-to-stomach-20190424-p51gw7.html
    Discussion of case for interest rate cuts is likely to dominate the next meeting of the Reserve Bank’s board says Jess Irvine.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/weak-inflation-report-the-case-for-an-interest-rate-cut-20190424-p51gxx.html
    Michael Pascoe says that the fixation with auction clearance levels overshadows other important aspects of residential real estate markets. Rather than the disastrous ‘crashing’ housing story pushed by the usual headline-seeking doom-and-gloom brigade, the picture that’s emerging is actually of a healthier housing market.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/money/property/2019/04/24/housing-auction-clearance-fixation/
    Australia’s top union leader has hedged on whether the Adani coal mine should be approved, putting her at odds with Queensland workers campaigning for the controversial project to go ahead.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/sally-mcmanus-refuses-to-back-adani-coal-mine-20190424-p51gsh.html
    Independent Australia’s media editor Lee Duffield reports from the reputed “mad-lands” of Right-wing backwoods politics in North Queensland, asking if the vote really might turn on provincial passions and demands of the coal lobby.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/election-2019-sorting-out-balderdash,12606
    Do clubs really return their pokies millions to the community? The ABC’s 7.30 Report ran a good story this week about the contributions to the community by the Victorian RSL. There is some merit to the club lobby claims but the truth lies in the numbers. A michaelwest.com.au investigation of clubs in NSW and their opening hours shows the community rhetoric is greatly exaggerated.
    https://www.michaelwest.com.au/dracula-time-new-pokies-stats-show-community-benefits-are-a-mirage/
    A veteran who assaulted a police officer and choked an RSPCA inspector in 2015 is the lead Senate candidate for Fraser Anning’s Conservative National Party in the ACT. Natural attraction?
    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6088977/fraser-annings-candidates-criminal-history-revealed/?cs=14329
    This Liberal candidate is SO easy to intensely dislike.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/private-schools-are-far-superior-liberal-candidate-claims-20190423-p51gbm.html
    A #watergate update from Nicole Hasham.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/water-buyback-criticism-a-joke-says-company-at-centre-of-scandal-20190424-p51gu1.html
    More from Anne Davies as she tells us that new questions have arisen over the calculations of the volume of water bought by the federal government for $80m from Eastern Australia Agriculture as the department of agriculture and water used data which ended in 1995 and failed to take account of climate change.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/apr/25/new-questions-raised-over-calculations-behind-80m-water-buyback
    Tuesday saw yet another record broken by the Trump White House: the longest run without an official news media briefing. At 43 days and counting, this information drought supplants the previous record of 42 days without a briefing, set in March – which broke the 41-day record set in January.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/meet-the-press-don-t-bother-white-house-sets-a-new-record-20190425-p51h06.html
    The AFR says that with interest rates stuck at historic lows, investors are being tempted by high-yielding but more risky bonds.
    https://www.outline.com/5VVb8J
    Nicola Sturgeon’s pledge of a new Scotland independence vote by 2021 underlines how Brexit is fraying the United Kingdom from within.
    https://www.outline.com/NJk9AF
    The ubiquitous Rod Culleton is in trouble again. Pauline can really pick ‘em!
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/disqualified-once-rod-culleton-referred-to-police-over-false-declaration-for-senate-20190424-p51gwz.html
    Trump suggested yesterday that he would ask the Supreme Court to intervene if Democrats move to impeach him – a notion that legal experts said showed a misunderstanding of the Constitution.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/trump-says-he-would-ask-supreme-court-to-intervene-if-democrats-move-to-impeach-him-20190425-p51h08.html
    This US professor of law writes that Donald Trump is no Nixon – he’s worse!
    https://www.outline.com/3mGjTA
    The crimes of an Adelaide sex tourist are the most serious case of sex offending in Australia, a court has heard.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/apr/24/adelaide-tourist-committed-most-serious-child-sex-crimes-in-australian-history
    Today’s nomination for “Arsehole of the Week” goes to . . .
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/trump-says-he-would-ask-supreme-court-to-intervene-if-democrats-move-to-impeach-him-20190425-p51h08.html

    Cartoon Corner

    David Pope and an Anzac Day truce.

    Cathy Wilcox on Palmer’s return.

    Andrew Dyson also features Palmer.

    Matt Davison’s summary of the campaigns.

    Jon Kudelka and modern campaigning.
    https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/3cd7546cb26bee06073368098649b7a3?width=1024

    From the US





  4. BK

    That candidate you mention in today’s DP is running for the seat of Macnamara and is not a very nice person … a typical Liberal born to rule type.

    Almost on par in terms of performance with the Liberal candidate for Chisholm Gladys Liu who appears still MIA

  5. Replaying the battle of Villers-Bretonneux like a Call of Duty video game may be a good way to engage the kids, but it is certainly a poor cousin to real commemoration.
    Beware then of War memorial chief and ex-Liberal leader Brendan Nelson’s $500 million revamp of the Australian War Memorial in Canberra, which looks set to take the Disneyfication of the Anzac story to even greater heights.

    The graves out front of the Sir John Monash centre say so much more and deserve better than a commemorative arms race in hokey nationalism.

    The dinkum blokes lying there with their cobbers would know a furphy when they see one.

    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2019/04/23/anzac-push-nation-forgets/

  8. If Mr Morrison makes a deal with Mr Palmer he will also own the issue of the workers at the nickel refinery that he ripped off.

    This month he vowed to pay the workers. He claims he will do that after the election.

    For the Labor Party, the danger is that if it wins, the return of a bloc of Mr Palmer’s senators scuttles negative gearing reforms and dividend imputation credits.

    Now, there are some who argue this could be a blessing.

    Why does that matter? The tax increases are how Bill Shorten is funding key election promises on health and education.

    Back in 2013, when Mr Palmer burst onto the political stage, he was a King Kong left to run rampage in the Senate, blocking the Abbott government agenda to cut the debt and deficit.

    The danger for the “winners” on election night is they could face the same challenge.

    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/election-2019/2019/04/24/clive-palmer-pauline-hanson/

  9. BK

    Niki Savva gets it right – and “What is the point of this government?” is a question being asked not just by Coalition MPs but by the general public.

    Morrison projects no vision because he has no vision – has he ever had an original policy idea?

    He truly is an ad-man – just seeking the next sound-bite to get him through. This is why he essentially stopped Parliament sitting after his cleverly orchestrated coup to become Prime Minister eight months ago – there was no agenda to push, no policy to roll out, just ads.

  11. The RW Press setting the agenda in Herbert.

    ASKING AROUND HERE is like searching for a phantom army, “real people” as voters, drowned out by the din kicked up by a Right wing trying to set all the agendas.

    The focus is on the electorate of Herbert based in Townsville, where the same kind of thing happened in the State Election 18 months ago.

    Mass media then bought lines from the Right wing that inflated the admittedly strong potential of the fringe like “Hanson”, “Katter” or “Palmer”.

    So much commentary was about these restless elements – colourful, blustering and prone to conflict – it missed the most likely and eventual outcome: Labor members won the city’s three seats.
    …
    The Left-wing side is not exactly starved of media in all this commotion but does not match the engineered noise on the Right.
    …
    Stage two of their project was getting federal environmental approval of the Adani project brought forward before the poll. The little-known Melissa Price delivered a signature, getting herself labelled “puppet” Environment Minister and a fresh female target of bully-boys in the Coalition party rooms.

    So the yarn was set up with help from News Corp’s multiple full-page coverage and other contributions like a table of prospective jobs worked up by the mining industry.

    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/election-2019-sorting-out-balderdash,12606

  12. Morning all, thanks BK for today’s reading and viewing.

    Savva would be right except the Morrison don’t have any plans. That’s what happens when your party doesn’t do any policy development for over a decade.

    Meanwhile I’m about to watch our local dawn service being livestreamed over the internet for the first time. I’ve never been because it’s a logistical nightmare to attend in person, but this way is much more accessible. Plus you don’t have to brave the elements.

  13. Greg Jericho
    ‏
    Verified account

    @GrogsGamut
    9h9 hours ago

    This is completely garbage.

    Transgender kids kill themselves because shit like this makes them petrified to be open.

    This is why people hate the media and all who work in it

    :large

    Greg Jericho @GrogsGamut
    9h9 hours ago

    And yeah, climate change is real fuckers. But hey, let’s worry about balance while the planet burns. Let’s scratch our chins and say “hmmm yeah, Bradfield Scheme… better give that some credence, sounds legit”

    FFS. Do your job, call out shit for what it is.

  15. BK

    He has a long Twitter thread abusing the media for not doing their ‘proper job’ and for ‘making stuff up’.
    Of course, the Daily Tele is a leader with the muck.

    I was also disturbed to see Ellen Fanning on The Drum last night announce ‘Nobody likes Bill Shorten.’
    She has deduced this from the PPM figures, apparently. I thought she was a better journo than that, but is kowtowing to her bosses, I suppose.

  16. From Dawn Patrol.

    “According to Niki Savva Morrison should share his plans, not just prayers. She says voters need to hear more from the Prime Minister about his plans if elected, other than a perfunctory collection of three-word slogans.”

    The Government does have plans, but they would be ballot box poison, so can’t be disclosed before the election. They’re the usual stuff Coalition Governments do – see the IPA site for details. More cuts, more privatisations, eventual dismantlement of Medicare, replacing welfare with cashless cards and ‘mutual obligation’, the modern equivalent of the workhouse, more lucrative contracts to mates, a determination to resist taking any effective action on climate change…

  17. Steve777

    According to Madonna King, ScoMo is a good bloke, just like us, because he wears baseball caps, has a beer, and goes to church.

  20. The media is discrediting itself for sure, Murdoch seems to have decided to burn the Australian in an attempt to get the Liberals reelected. The daily telegraph above, god all mighty what crap.

    It is a problem, we have seen what takes it’s place and it is not good.

  22. lizzie @ #17 Thursday, April 25th, 2019 – 7:50 am

    Steve777

    According to Madonna King, ScoMo is a good bloke, just like us, because he wears baseball caps, has a beer, and goes to church.

    Well then, every man, in every suburb in Australia who is like that is well-qualified to be Prime Minister.

    Except that’s not what should qualify you at all.

  27. Steve777 – true, imagine if like that ?Jim Carrey film that for one day Morrison and his senior ministers found themselves unable to say anything but the truth concerning what they really wanted to do in Australia!

  28. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/apr/25/new-questions-raised-over-calculations-behind-80m-water-buyback

    Reid’s methodology produced an average figure of 14,190 megalitres for the Kia Ora property, which at $2,775 a megalitre gave a price of $38m.

    But an independent assessment of the purchase by NCEconomics, commissioned by the department and also released to the Senate, compares the 14,190ML figure for 1922-1995 to a long-term average yield of 12,983ML between 1985 and 2009.

    If the department had used these figures instead, the amount of water purchased would be reduced by 1,207ML or 8.5%. The purchase would have been $3,313,215 cheaper.

    The department also did not take account of the CSIRO’s modelling on the impacts of climate change on expected overland flows in the Condamine-Balonne Region.
    …
    The Queensland minister for water, Anthony Lynham, also strongly denied his government had backed EAA’s sale of overland flows, as Joyce claimed.

    “What we had supported in 2015 was completely different,” he said. Queensland proposed the Commonwealth buy both of EAA’s farms and all its water, including river water rights, he said.

    A desktop review had put the price at $123m, and would have yielded 57,000ML of water including more secure water rights, he said.

    Instead Joyce proceeded to buy half the volume of a less reliable type of water entitlement for $80m.

  30. The right wing agenda of austerity resulting in confidence does not attract any comment – despite the savaging of the economy with the latest indicator of impact being the inflation figure of zero and the data resulting in that figure including the increases in health care and education costs

    As Bowen very correctly addressed, the danger to our well being is the sheer size of our home mortgage debt and where the 10 Year Bond Yield is

    And as Lowe from the RBA correctly addresses the danger to our well being is the absence of wages growth

    These are data based concerns

    The next meaningful plank of data will be the quarterly GDP, last at 0.2% being negative

    The lead indicators of retail sales, collapse of media organisations and falling house prices have once again proven a correct lead indicator of the malaise of an economy

    And never be fooled that any increase in the registration of ABN’s is the remedy – it is an indicator of employment prospects and subsistence survival not of job creation

  32. @MikeCarlton01
    35m35 minutes ago

    I was on the Walkley Board for 3 years,helping judge the best in Australian journalism. I think now we need an Anti-Walkleys, judging the worst. The Biggest Lie, Sleaziest Beat-Up, Stupidest Editorial, Dirtiest Smear, Most Racist Cartoon, etc.

  33. The West’s Lanai Scarr is one of those hosting the first leaders’ debate in Perth. Here’s some stellar reporting by her, a ‘scoop’ of which everyone else who has been watching the campaign cottoned onto ages ago.

    Kristina Keneally is being touted as the “ultimate headkicker” and a huge asset in the fight for Labor to win government at the May 18 election.

    The former NSW premier has been drafted by Bill Shorten to play a key role in the election campaign.

    Senator Keneally is providing the Opposition Leader counsel and is out on the hustings launching her colleague’s campaigns and fronting press conferences.

    The West Australian understands Senator Keneally was drafted as “Bill bus captain” months before the election was called 13 days ago and insiders say she is the “ultimate headkicker”.

    https://thewest.com.au/politics/federal-election-2019/federal-election-2019-bill-shorten-calls-in-the-ultimate-headkicker-kristina-keneally-ng-b881178373z

  37. @Terry Australis

    My Dad is dead now. No thanks to Centrelink who cut off his pension 6weeks ago as they “lost” paperwork he had correctly submitted about income. A very sick 87 year old spent 6 hours on the phone getting their computer mistake fixed. 6 hours @Centrelink robbed from him #auspol 

  38. Morning all

    Fess

    I see Adam Schiff is a guest on Real time this week.

    He hasn’t nominated as candidate for president. But he is by far the most suitable person. He is calm and considered. And gives a real sense of understanding.

  40. KayJay @ #23 Thursday, April 25th, 2019 – 8:05 am

    C@tmomma

    Did you sort out the picture posting from you camera ❓ ☕

    I’ve been trying, KayJay. I must admit that I had to go out for 6 hours the other night just as I was about to figure it out with the helpful advice of your good self and Firefox, so had to abandon the plan, to the extent that all I remembered by last night when I had some spare time to give it a go was…something, something image hosting site. So imgur was the only one I knew and I went there and promptly got lost in the thicket of drag and drop images and copy and paste…something, something. In the end I managed to post one image which ended up on the last thread about 10pm last night. I honestly don’t know how I did it though. Magic? 😆

  42. Victoria:

    True but he has important work to do in the House. I’m looking forward to hearing what he has to say on impeachment, plus the fact that Mnuchin continues to stall with releasing Trump’s tax returns.

  43. Baseball caps are fashion accessories not sun protection. They’re cheaper than cochineal for lack of virtue signaling on the back of one’s neck.

  44. I listened to Sam Dastyari, Joe Hildebrande and another person (whose name escapes me) podcast.

    Dastyari stated wtte that he has spoken to those within department regarding watergate.
    He said that this waterbuyback is just the tip of the iceberg.
    He suggests to those in the department to do the right thing and tell the public what has been going 0n.

  46. What has been going on is that grubby Coalition politicians and their mates in Agribusiness and business in general, have been selling what nature provides so that all of us may survive.

  48. Someone should call the vet
    The blue green dog on the moon has lost it. Frantically spinning, chasing it’s tail, yapping Bill, Bill, Bill.

  50. Well, Palmer made good on his promise to nominate candidates in every seat. Should add a fairy whack to his unpaid wages bill.

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