Despite the onset of the election campaign, there is only one new data point to add to BludgerTrack this week, which is a status quo 52-48 result from Newspoll that has duly little effect on the national vote trends. Such movement as there is is away from One Nation and towards the Coalition on the primary vote, with next to no impact on two-party preferred or the seat projection, where the Coalition makes a single gain in Victoria.
Since there is no new state-level data this week, the breakdowns continue to record an unnatural looking lurch to the Coalition in New South Wales, which I would want to see corroborated by more data. The leadership trends are interesting in that an upswing in Scott Morrison’s net approval has returned him, just barely, to net positive territory. The effect on preferred prime minister is more modest, but there appears to be a slight trend in his favour there too.
However, the biggest news in BludgerTrack this week as far as I’m concerned is that a helpful reader has told me how to fix the bug that was preventing the state breakdown tabs from working much of the time. If this was causing you grief before, there is a very good chance it will not be doing so if you try again now, which you can do through the link below.
I think there is more important matters than who has been here the longest or who saw what..
Our country is at stake.
EGW @ #1399 Friday, April 19th, 2019 – 7:17 pm
Well Mundo has at least maintained a consistent screen name, hasn’t been banned and tried to crawl back here under a sock puppet. That’s certainly a plus in my book. Are you able to put hand on heart and say the same when it comes to your own presence here?
Guardian Australia
Verified account @GuardianAus
24h24 hours ago
Extinction Rebellion climate blockades – day three in pictures
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/gallery/2019/apr/17/extinction-rebellion-climate-blockades-day-three-in-pictures?utm_term=Autofeed&CMP=soc_568&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1555586666
Confessions @ #1402 Friday, April 19th, 2019 – 9:22 pm
I have only seen mundo recently. I have been lurking for a long time and have a fair idea of how long many of those here have been around.
Confessions @ #1399 Friday, April 19th, 2019 – 9:14 pm
We are only 1.1% behind the Liberals here. So our seat is getting a lot of love! 🙂
Kevin Beaumont
♀️
Verified account @GossiTheDog
21h21 hours ago
Pretty big story emerging for cyber warfare people – somebody has apparently pwned Iran state sponsored APT group, wiped assets and is publicly posting their code, online assets and doxxing agents
https://www.zdnet.com/article/source-code-of-iranian-cyber-espionage-tools-leaked-on-telegram/
“Well all I know is that a spiffy van came around to my house tonight and it was filled with extra large candidate posters for our candidate, about 3 metres by 1.5 metres and now I have one outside my house for everyone to see! The Liberals around here are going to be spewing! ”
My new next door neighbours who just moved in a couple of weeks ago recently erected a poster for Michael Lyon (Greens candidate for Richmond). I haven’t met them yet but I like them already! It goes very well with my “Vote 1 Greens” sign that I’ve put up for the last two elections (NSW and fed 16). They definitely moved to the right town! The votes at my local booth in the NSW election were Greens: 878, Labor: 628, Nats: 440 We’re a very progressive bunch here. Love seeing Greens posters all over town.
Any universal health scheme in Australia which excluded private practice could come up against the provision in the Constitution which prohibits “civil conscription” in respect of a whole host of social benefits including madical benefits. This provision was inserted in 1946 and the “civil conscription” bit was specifically meant, I understand, to protect medical practitioners’ right of private practice.
Introduction of something like the Canadian scheme may be impossible without a change in the constitution.
Some people would………
Molly McKew
@MollyMcKew
Assange lied and spread conspiracies to cover for Russian intelligence.
Or I guess what some people call “journalism”
Mueller Report: Assange Smeared Rich to Cover for Russians
Julian Assange repeatedly blamed Seth Rich, the murdered DNC staffer, for Russia’s leaks. The Mueller report shows that Assange was lying from the start.
thedailybeast.com
Phil Stefans
@PhilStefans
2h2 hours ago
Replying to @TheKouk
Someone put $80mil on the LNP
simon holmes à court
@simonahac
11h11 hours ago
somehow @GChristensenMP can run his #dawson electorate from an iPad in manila, but @Barnaby_Joyce is “out of range” when a major story concerning him breaks on @theprojecttv?
i don’t buy it.
⚖️
Shorten planning the W.A campaign.
So why the instinctive, bemused-style vitriol towards a commenter you’d only just encountered?
If you were a genuine lurker, first time commenter you’d have parked the entitlement vitriol and gone in with much greater politeness. We know this because we see it all the time here with legitimate first time commenters.
Vic:
The Daily Beast article on Assange being found out by Mueller’s investigation should signal the death of his cultism among his cult followers.
The Mueller report vidicates Wikileaks, no proof DNC was hacked, and explicitly states wikileaks could not have committed a crime unless they participated in hacking. The conspiracy theory pushed by the proagandists has failed.
https://angelof-truth.com/2019/04/18/barr-exonerates-wikileaks-in-press-conference-regarding-mueller-report/
Confessions @ #1413 Friday, April 19th, 2019 – 9:34 pm
Mundo is simply depressing with his negativity and contributes nothing.
Others, such as Nath, who cop a lot of flak, are at least witty and entertaining even if I don’t agree with them.
BTW, neither I, nor any other person on PB are answerable to you, despite your apparent delusions to the contrary.
Thanks Zoomster, I do all four. Especially two.
Confessions
New voices are welcome.
It helps William’s revenue especially if the are donating through Patreon as provided at the top of the page.
It’s been good to see challenges to the same old rubbish.
I hope we get a few more Green and Liberal posters.
Having the majority it’s Labor or the highway view challenged is refreshing.
“The Daily Beast article on Assange being found out by Mueller’s investigation should signal the death of his cultism among his cult followers.”
There’s no doubt he’s done some highly questionable things. Not sure I’d trust what the Americans have to say about him though. May be true, may be false. I’m not the biggest fan of him to say the least. However, Assange did expose war crimes and for that he deserves protection. The Americans can’t be allowed to have their way with him for exposing their criminal behaviour.
guytaur:
It’s bemusing that you think EGW is a ‘new voice’.
bug1:
Assange and wikileaks have been damned in Mueller’s report.
guytaur @ #1418 Friday, April 19th, 2019 – 9:40 pm
I am rusted on Labor, unlike some pretenders here.
I will argue with Greens.
I accept their right to be here and state their case, misguided as it is.
I am sometimes embarrassed by the antics of some so-called Labor members and supporters here.
@guytaur
“Having the majority it’s Labor or the highway view challenged is refreshing.”
I think you find that’s Greens view, Since they are demanding to come to the table, rather than going behind the scenes and start negotiating.
Firefox
says:
However, Assange did expose war crimes and for that he deserves protection.
_____________________________
He hurt Hilary and for the centrists on here, that’s bad enough for him to spend the rest of his life in a dark hole. For reasonable people, not so much.
bug1
What fess said
Mueller report uses weazel words to avoid openly admitting there is no proof.
“Unit 26165 officers appear to have stolen thousands of emails and attachments, which were later released by WikiLeaks in July 2016,” Mueller’s report reads.
He says ‘APPEARS to have stolen’ means he doesnt have proof, propagandists have their reputation ivnested in their lies so are still trying to spin it.
e.g.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/mueller-says-russias-gru-stole-clinton-dnc-emails-and-gave-them-to-wikileaks
nath @ #1424 Friday, April 19th, 2019 – 9:47 pm
Not so much hurting Hilary that is a problem. It is giving the US and the world President Trump.
Guardian Australia
Verified account @GuardianAus
2m2 minutes ago
‘It’s just America’: Columbine’s former principal on gun control and trauma
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/apr/18/columbine-principal-20th-anniversary-frank-deangelis?utm_term=Autofeed&CMP=soc_568&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1555674246
bug1 @ #1417 Friday, April 19th, 2019 – 9:38 pm
The Mueller report categorically stated that Julian Assange/Wikileaks tried to make out that Seth Rich, who was subsequently and conveniently for Assange, murdered in Washington DC, was the source of the hacked Democratic Party emails, so as to cover for the fact that he received that information from the Russians.
And you, and the ‘Angel of Truth’ are happy with that fact and have bent whatever else was in the Mueller report out of shape to give aid and comfort to Julian Assange, and are happy with that also!?!
Nuckin’ futs!
EGW
says:
Not so much hurting Hilary that is a problem. It is giving the US and the world President Trump.
___________________________________
Doesn’t that honour really belong to Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin?
bug1 @ #1426 Friday, April 19th, 2019 – 7:53 pm
Assange smeared and hung out to dry a murder victim in order to advance his personal standing as an asset with the Russians so he could curry favour with the GOP. I’m trying to imagine how this can be used to spin FREE PRESS HERO, but am coming up blank.
The claim that the Commonwealth Constitution would prevent 100 percent single payer health care is bogus:
http://www.ianmcauley.com/academic/confs/weirdhealthcare.pdf
(from page 11)
C@t
Julian Assange is most definitely not worthy of any empathy or consideration.
I am certain that In order to get himself out of his current predicament , he will willingly and loudly make any deal.
Just like Trumpists, people cant see the wood for the trees where Assange is concerned.
EGW
Neither Greens or Labor represent my views.
Combined they come close.
Its why I am glad the day in day out attacks on reality are challenged.
Labor has built up this myth about the Greens being too pure to compromise.
The Greens have built one that both the major parties are the same.
Both are wrong.
They are myths.
Its just on this sight the Labor one dominates because that’s the numbers.
You just have to see BW ignoring the Greens in the ACT as one example of this reality denial.
Today it’s ignoring the fact not all Senators are up for election and it’s in Labor’s interest to have a Greens Senator instead of a One Nation one.
Instead it’s the whole vote for the left you get the right trope.
Anyone interested enough in politics to read this blog should recognize the importance of reading between the lines, and not just blindly accepting what they are told.
“Always remember that the story constantly alters for those who lie, but if you’re telling the truth then nothing changes, and the real story will eventually come out.” – Terry Hicks
You can see mainstream media trying to twist the story again, and some still cant see the lies, its just sad.
Some went so far as claiming Trump was a Russian agent.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/here-are-18-reasons-why-trump-could-be-a-russian-asset/2019/01/13/45b1b250-174f-11e9-88fe-f9f77a3bcb6c_story.html
It doesnt matter how much you like or dont like someone, no good person should diminish themselves by participating in lies to avoid admitting they where wrong.
Confessions @ #1214 Friday, April 19th, 2019 – 4:45 pm
Who is that strange person walking behind Trump in a floral outfit, and long dark hair?
nath @ #1430 Friday, April 19th, 2019 – 9:59 pm
Under the influence of a dishonest campaign.
Interesting that your Green values support Trump and the way he ‘won’ the election.
“I’ve been saying it here for a while but get lulled back into the safe cocoon of PB Land where Bill is a dead cert ”
No mundo, that’s delusional indulgence. Bill is not a dead cert, just favorite in this race. Coalition could win, but on the available data likely not too.
And yup, ALP are running a good campaign. Not a signal of a “dead cert”, but nonetheless a good campaign.
Stop being a whiny tosspot.
bug1
Have you read the Mueller report?
It confirms everything that was suspected with Russian interference, Trump and his cronies seeking benefit etc.
In fact, it revealed more than was generally known.
The G’s represent an institutionalised split in the traditional Labor plurality. They are an instrument that serves to disable Labor wherever they have the strength to do so. The sooner they are electorally gutted and dissolve themselves the better for egalitarian goals in this country.
For a long while I have been a Greens voter, although not a supporter as such and would vote Labor if they were advocating the sort of platform Bernie Sanders, Jeremy Corbyn and Alexandria Ocasio Cortez are arguing for.
At this election I am voting 1 for the Greens, along with preferencing Labor ahead of the Coalition and far-right parties.
“Assange smeared and hung out to dry a murder victim in order to advance his personal standing as an asset with the Russians so he could curry favour with the GOP”
Confessions, it is a well known THEORY that Seth Rich was the leaker, there is no proof either way, yet you claim not know for sure, and even know the motives involved.
How can anyone take your seriously when you have nothing.
guytaur says:
Friday, April 19, 2019 at 10:02 pm
Labor has built up this myth about the Greens being too pure to compromise.
The Gs do not refuse to compromise from ‘purity’, but from their implacable desire to defeat Labor. They place this ahead of everything.
imacca @ #1438 Friday, April 19th, 2019 – 10:04 pm
Well said.
If mundo genuinely cared, he would be telling us all about his campaigning efforts, like the genuine Labor members and supporters here do. But no, all he does is hang around here and whinge.
EGW
says:
Friday, April 19, 2019 at 10:03 pm
nath @ #1430 Friday, April 19th, 2019 – 9:59 pm
EGW
says:
Not so much hurting Hilary that is a problem. It is giving the US and the world President Trump.
___________________________________
Doesn’t that honour really belong to Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin?
Under the influence of a dishonest campaign.
Interesting that your Green values support Trump and the way he ‘won’ the election.
_________________________________
I’ll admit to being fairly indifferent to U.S politics. They are so far to the right that Hilary Clinton is considered by some to be of the ‘left’. Just this week we have reports of a 26 year old man who ‘aged out’ of his mothers health care plan, and died because he could not afford insulin. The less we have to do with that insane joint the better we will be.
Victoria, i have looked at parts of it that relate to Wikileaks/Assange, dont really care about trump either way.
It doesnt advance the case against Assage/Wikileaks at all from my understanding.
Tristo @ #1441 Friday, April 19th, 2019 – 10:06 pm
Labor will always advocate a platform calibrated to appeal to a majority of the electorate.
It is not a Kamikaze party or a boutique minority party.
The Greens have never been in Government outside of the mickey mouse city state of Canberra. In the ACT the government is certainly a Labor government with some appendages.
Today is good Friday and someone’s interpretation of the good part is contorted.
Nothing has happened during the campaign to suggest that the expectation that the Morrison government won’t survive an election has altered despite the best efforts of the “addman” and an awful hog-tied MSM have been able to change.
puffy
caption “…first lady…”
nath @ #1445 Friday, April 19th, 2019 – 10:10 pm
On that I agree.
The US can not lay a genuine claim to being a democracy whilst ever it maintains gerrymandered boundaries and allows voter suppression.
At best it is a weird pseudo-democracy.