As reported by The Guardian, Essential Research has provided the third post-budget poll, and it concurs with Newspoll in having Labor leading 52-48, but in not in finding the Coalition’s improved, since 52-48 was where Essential already had it a fortnight ago. Both major parties are down a point, the Coalition to 38% and Labor to 35%, the Greens are up one to 11% and One Nation is down two to 5% – which means the residue is up fairly substantially, by three points to 10%.
The poll also agrees with Newspoll and Ipsos in finding a positive response to the budget, which was rated favourably by 51% and unfavourably by 27%. Respondents were presented with a list of budget measures and asked yea or nay, with unsurprising responses: strongly positive for infrastructure spending, tax relief measures aimed at those on low and middle incomes and the projection of a surplus, but much weaker on flattening tax scales. Also featured was an occasional question on best party to handle various issues, which does not appear to have thrown up anything unusual. Full detail on that will become available when the full report is published later today.
UPDATE: Full report from Essential Research here. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1069.
Backtracking a little to the weekend’s Newspoll numbers, I offer the following displays covering three of their measures in two charts, placing the results in the context of the post-budget polling that Newspoll has been conducting in consistent fashion since 1988. The first is a scatterplot for the questions on the budget’s anticipated impact on personal finances and the economy as a whole (net measures in both cases, so positive effect minus negative effect), with last week’s budget shown in red. Naturally enough, these measures are broadly correlated. However, respondents were, relatively speaking, less convinced about the budget’s economic impact than they normally would be of a budget rated so highly for its impact on personal finances.
Nonetheless, the standout fact is that the budget was very well received overall – the personal finances response was the second highest ever recorded, and economic impact came equal seventh out of thirty-two. There are, however, two grounds on which Labor can take heart. First, the one occasion when the personal finances result surpassed this budget was in 2007, immediately before the last time the Coalition was evicted from office. The second is provided by the question of whether the opposition would have done better, which if anything came slightly at the high end of average. For Labor to hold its ground here in the context of a budget that had a net rating of plus 25 on personal impact, compared with plus two last year, suggests voters have revised upwards their expectations of what Labor might do for them financially.
Jaeger:
I’m fully expecting the replacement modem Telstra send me to be just as useless, but hopeful that I get a call tomorrow from the technician to attend the house. S/he can then set up the modem and make it sure it works while on-site.
On April 2nd I posted this on the NBN feedback page:
This morning they sent me this:
Now it does so happen that the dropouts have stopped happening since Saturday morning, but I still find “We have closed this case” a pretty inadequate reply. But then, why should they be any good at communicating? They’re only the NBN.
Our NBN is out in our area, it has been fine for two years but in the last two weeks we keeping getting blackouts. (Outage is such an annoying, ridiculous word.)
It is either government built in gold standard (like most of the old government built infrastructure was) or let the private companies do it. PPPs or the endless subcontracting tree’s are just a way to screw up the infrastructure while lining the pockets of the big engineering, contruction and or project management companies – the customers, the tax payer and the hacks who actually get their hands dirty build the stuff get burned.
Confessions,
Your modem will work like a charm when the NBN tech fixes the buffering issue at the green node. Simples.
‘What happens when 6g and 7g change the game again and again.’
Oh good lord.
It’s one thing to be ignorant – it’s another to display it.
If they’d actually run fibre out to each premises like the original plan, then it would have been upgradeable for at least 50-100 years into the future because you’d just be able to upgrade the equipment on either end of the fibre (just like we’ve been doing for the copper network for > 100 years). The physical optic fibres don’t really degrade and have incredible bandwidth capacity.
If you’re in a HFC area you were one of the privileged few to begin with. There were plenty of people even in major cities who couldn’t get better than 2Mbps ADSL1 before the NBN came along.
I’m sorry zoomster, I thought that 6g and 7g were already in early development. Perhaps I misheard.
nath
See what caf says about optic fibre. Trashes wireless transmission every time, no matter how advanced your wireless tranmission might be.
A ‘proper’ NBN which used optic fibre everywhere would basically be future proof.
And the government got involved in precisely the fashion governments should – when the private sector isn’t doing something which is necessary.
I understand about the ability of advertisers to target particular categories of people on social media and the Internet.
However I wonder if the flood of taxpayer funded LNP advertising has turned a lot of people off political advertising, especially from Morrison’s mob. It’s a bit like the concept of diminishing marginal returns – the more you are exposed to advertising, the less you are influenced by it.
I would love to think that Morrison’s mob have, at least partially, shot themselves in the proverbial foot with their saturation (taxpayer funded) advertising.
Meanwhile in the land of the free…
.@andersoncooper: ‘Officials are telling NYT that the President has been mocking the Secret Service director lately, calling him “Dumbo.”
Consider that: The President is reportedly making fun of a man charged with protecting him because of his ears. We are not in kindergarten’
https://mobile.twitter.com/CNN/status/1115572825056796672/video/1
That is positively Faulty Towers in its pathos.
zoomster
says:
Tuesday, April 9, 2019 at 9:19 pm
nath
See what caf says about optic fibre. Trashes wireless transmission every time, no matter how advanced your wireless tranmission might be.
A ‘proper’ NBN which used optic fibre everywhere would basically be future proof.
And the government got involved in precisely the fashion governments should – when the private sector isn’t doing something which is necessary.
_______________________
So why get rid of Telstra in the first place? Most people didn’t need really fast speeds anyway. Most were happy with enough to watch porn, cat videos, send an email. The whole thing was an exercise in technological masturbation.
There’s no wireless magic pudding. There are physical constraints on the data rate you can get over any given channel, and if you end up having to build out a wireless cell on every street corner then you haven’t really gained much over running that last 100m to each property.
Huang out to dry : Political donors have too much influence
https://www.themonthly.com.au/today/paddy-manning/2019/09/2019/1554788641/huang-out-dry
“Banning foreign donations is not enough. The real takeout is to underscore yet again the importance of thoroughgoing political-donations reform along the lines advocated by the Greens – banning donations from corrupting industries, and capping all donations at $1000 – as well as instituting a properly resourced national integrity commission with all the powers it needs to compel witnesses and conduct public hearings. Let’s deal with the problem at source, once and for all.”
Surely the L-NP don’t believe these bland, generic “government service ads” are going to convince voters to cast their lot with them? I have never seen any of them – run by either side – and been seized by the conviction that a dagger has been thrust through the heart of an opponent.
It has to be a bit of contra with the companies playing these ads, of the “shovel some advertising revenue our way, and we’ll give you an easy ride in our reporting and opinionating” variety.
That’s demonstrably untrue, given the massive blowups last year about people being unable to achieve the 50Mbps / 100Mbps NBN speeds they’d paid for.
It’s also easy for you to say if you were one of the lucky ones living in an HFC-cabled area beforehand!
Yep. Other countries have left us for dead when it comes to fibre optic broadband technology. But Turnbull as the then Communications Minister did Abbott’s and Murdoch’s bidding and killed the Real NBN. He failed again as PM when he had an opportunity to set things to right for the country by not addressing his earlier failure pronto.
I have no issues in blaming Turnbull for where we are today with the nbn.
And what part of the world are you in, Puff? Northern burbs of Brisbane, like me, or have the NBN dropouts hit somewhere else in the last 2 weeks?
caf
says:
Tuesday, April 9, 2019 at 9:25 pm
Most people didn’t need really fast speeds anyway.
That’s demonstrably untrue, given the massive blowups last year about people being unable to achieve the 50Mbps / 100Mbps NBN speeds they’d paid for.
It’s also easy for you to say if you were one of the lucky ones living in an HFC-cabled area beforehand!
___________________________________
Only because a private company had rolled out the cable and were charging me plenty for broadband and Foxtel.
nath
Sorry, if you’re really that ignorant, there’s no point discussing the subject with you.
I suggest you go away and read some of the techie blogs.
It’d just bore the pants off most people here, who have been across these issues for years.
It’s called the tyranny of distance people. If you want to live in the middle of nowhere, no broadband for you. That’s the way it is with MRI’s, shopping centres, cinemas etc etc.
When it comes to faster internet we’ve only scratched the surface of the technology. Most of us remember a time before Netflix et al. and everyone having at least one digital video camera with a built in phone. 1MPS would have been fine, back then. I expect what comes next will be just as dramatic a change. (A once Microsoft guy said something like, “Things don’t change very much in 5 years but they change a lot in 10.”)
These goalposts are shifting so fast it’s a blur!
A time when Foxtel subscriptions were at their highest.
Instead what do we get ?
A labor government coming to your house in the middle of the night to steal your ute.
Very telling.
Very true, one thing that struck me was Morrison in his interview with Alan Jones, on the EV issue; both agreed that this was “Shorten’s birthday cake moment”.
This reveals the thinking and hope in the Government’s side, they are simply hoping on a blunder by Labor that they can seize upon and coast to victory.
Expect more of these self proclaimed ‘moments’.
G5 cell covers a city bock; just the sort of technology needed for a country the size of Australia? Could be a handy replacement for 802.11 I suppose. Telephone network,. not so much.
LNP types: small, visionless, nasty little greedy shells of humanity.
The thing about the NBN is that fibre is future proof, for some users it is more than what they need now, but it will still be capable in 50 years, (why: physics).
The other thing is it is good, in fact essential for business, both large and small, but especially small businesses. It will help businesses, even farmers in regional and remote areas.
An obsessed blinkered flogger. You have much in common with ‘the flog’ as you have named. Incapable of the beyond and hence the now election.
After what will probably be the most successful PMship of the 21stC you’ll remain on the flog.
We’re all very forgiving under the upcoming new leadership and won’t exile you to some island.
Your campaign will continue to be revered as ‘the flog’ of our time.
The black shadow from the Saturday arvo pictures.
Obtuse indeed!
We lived in the US when Netflix got started. A $10 per month subscription got you a DVD service. You ordered a DVD on-line and it would arrive in your letterbox the next day. Netflix had distribution centres in every big city. When you were done you popped the DVD back in your letter box. (The mail deliverer also picks up in the US.) You could have up to 2 DVDs at once. You could have as many DVDs lined up on-line as you wanted. So popping a DVD into the letter box triggered the next one to arrive. When they started their streaming service they increased the cost to $15 per month, and when they stopped supporting DVDs they dropped it to $10 again. And that’s when internet congestion really kicked in.
“It’s amazing how quickly Labor will come running to the Greens when they need them and how equally quickly they forget about doing it afterwards… ”
Except Labor does not come running to the Greens. Chris Bowen made it clear after the 2016 election that Labor should govern alone or not at all. There was even strategists who suggested Labor should do another term in opposition and wait for a majority after the 2016 election rather then cobble together a minority government with Greens and independents after their previous experience in minority government with Gillard.
Speaking of opinions.
Late Riser:
That’s an incredible service for movies essentially on demand. Were the DVDs shipped via Amazon per chance?
WeWantPaul
says:
Tuesday, April 9, 2019 at 9:49 pm
It’s called the tyranny of distance people. If you want to live in the middle of nowhere, no broadband for you. That’s the way it is with MRI’s, shopping centres, cinemas etc etc.
LNP types: small, visionless, nasty little greedy shells of humanity.
_____________________________________
I didn’t invent capitalism. If you want to contravene the principles of supply and demand and make sure everyone gets a broadband connection that’s gonna cost you untold billions.
“Labor should govern alone or not at all”
As if Shorten would pass on being PM if Labor couldn’t govern alone.
Goll
says:
After what will probably be the most successful PMship of the 21stC you’ll remain on the flog.
_________________________________________
Oh that’s rich. He’s not even PM and this Gollah has said he’s going to the best PM in history. Political realism is replaced by fantasy regimes.
…which is why the NBN needed to be delivered by government.
It’s what governments are for – providing services which are uneconomic but necessary.
Otherwise we wouldn’t have a road network. The bitumen would stop at the Hume.
nath @ #657 Tuesday, April 9th, 2019 – 9:16 pm
6g yes, but so what?
Nothing wireless is ever going to even come close to fibre.
https://www.themonthly.com.au/issue/2019/april/1554037200/james-bradley/how-australia-s-coal-madness-led-adani
“The tensions in the Queensland Labor Party over the mine are no less acute at a federal level. Under pressure from anti-coal activists and Greens in its inner-city seats, but wary of electoral blowback in Queensland and from unions such as the AWU and CFMEU, Labor has been evasive and often contradictory regarding its position on Carmichael. Despite going so far as to seek private briefings from scientists and environmental groups, Bill Shorten has been unprepared to unequivocally reject the mine; instead he has taken to saying it has to stack up “environmentally and economically”. And while declaring himself personally sceptical of the project, he has also spoken about there being “a role for coal in Australia” and signalled continued Labor support for mining jobs in Queensland.”
Confessions, regular mail. Each DVD was in what was little more than a square envelope containing another already addressed envelope which you used to return the DVD. The DVDs were “plain vanilla”, specially stamped out for Netflix, probably cost them cents to produce and cents to ship under a deal with the P.O. (Though I don’t know this, it makes sense in that world to have done this.) They weren’t mucking about, and they killed the video rental store business. Then they went after the movie studios. That is taking longer and those guys are bigger and fighting back.
Saying that people only want their broadband for a bit of porn and to post on facebook is utter ignorance about what people do and where our communications need to go. It’s kinda like saying why have mobile phones when a landline does the job.
The whole point of broadband is to look to future needs not just the now.
We’re lucky, we have FTTP and it has allowed our business to flourish, and will do so even more in the future because it increases our capacity. Turnbull’s #nbn did a lot of bad things, but overall it lacked vision … and anybody who dismisses the poor state this govt has put our broadband network in is equally lacking in vision.
zoomster
says:
Tuesday, April 9, 2019 at 10:06 pm
…which is why the NBN needed to be delivered by government.
It’s what governments are for – providing services which are uneconomic but necessary.
________________________________
I guess it’s all about priorities then. Many public schools in Australia don’t have air conditioning. Waiting lists for surgeries are another place where the money could have been spent. I would have had liked that a referendum on the NBN had taken place. Anyway, it’s all long ago now. And all the money has been spent and added to the debt presumably.
nath @ #662 Tuesday, April 9th, 2019 – 9:22 pm
Gee nath, I have defended you because I sometimes find you witty.
That is just plain dumb. To an exceptional degree.
nath’s progressive credentials have certainly taken a hammering tonight.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/apr/08/israelis-prepare-to-go-to-the-polls-heres-what-we-know
(UK time)
Sometime late tomorrow afternoon then.
Late Riser:
Netflix is killing the Foxtel business model, and you’re right that they have some fantastic content of their own.
Barney in Saigon
says:
Tuesday, April 9, 2019 at 10:16 pm
nath’s progressive credentials have certainly taken a hammering tonight.
_______________________
Because I think the money would’ve been better spent on public education and health? Rather than give Jen’s business a leg up? strange world!
The Gollah as you’ve called me, did not say as you suggested. Fantasy has been your genre of choice since whenever. Be gracious at the end point, the retreat is less arduous that way.
“I would have had liked that a referendum on the NBN had taken place. Anyway, it’s all long ago now. And all the money has been spent and added to the debt presumably.”
Indeed it has been spent, Nath. Wasted actually.
The $50B wasted on Malcolm Turnbull’s Mess of an NBN (he should be prosecuted for misappropriating the name alone) could have given us FttP to 93% of the country’s houses.
What a waste!