BludgerTrack: 52.9-47.1 to Labor

Movement to the Coalition on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, after a better-than-usual result in the only new federal poll for the week.

With Newspoll holding its fire over the weekend of the New South Wales state election, the only new federal poll of the week came from Essential Research, which produced a relatively strong result for the Coalition. The BludgerTrack aggregate accordingly moves slightly in their favour, with Labor’s lead down from 53.3-46.7 to 52.9-47.1. This translates into a gain for the Coalition of two on the seat projection, with New South Wales and Victoria providing one apiece.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,589 comments on “BludgerTrack: 52.9-47.1 to Labor”

Comments Page 2 of 32
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  1. Morning all. Thanks BK. One Nation must know they are gone. Their denials are pathetic. They have been exposed as exactly what they criticse – a bunch of professional politicians who sell out their voters for corporate money.

  2. “ What’s wrong with him smirking while making this statement at the memorial does he enjoy people’s pain ? #auspol,

    Ah, the look of a fundy ‘knowing’ he is going straight to heaven and all those around him are not.

  3. Democratic primary voters who supported Hillary Clinton in 2016 contributed to the election of Donald Trump.

    I hope that this time these voters will realise that neoliberal centrism is snake oil that the general public will no longer buy.

    Bernie Sanders is the only genuine progressive in the race.

  4. One Nation polled over 20% in Qld rural electorates in the last state election. I still expect them to win a another senate seat. Their core are rusted on.

  5. Cat
    “Does this graph say that Renewable Energy sources aren’t quite cheap enough yet to fit into the cheap bulk despatchable category?”

    No Cat, quite the opposite. The graph shows that one form of renewable power or another is now the cheapest form of energy in every category except one – peaking capacity – where gas may still be cheaper than pumped hydro. However as we build more PV panels and wind + storage power fcailities, the need for peaking capaity will drop anyway. More grid interconnections will also reduce the need for peak load generators.

    So we can actively start closing coal plants and not build any more gas than we already have. New jobs will be created by wind and solar plants at no cost to govt. What government needs to do is remove coal subsidies, make sure the grid is adequate, and financially support coal workers to transition.

  6. Flores’s experience isn’t unique. It is no secret in Washington that Biden has touched numerous women inappropriately in public. It’s just never been treated as a serious issue by the mainstream press.

    Biden’s been caught on camera embracing a female reporter from behind and gripping her above her waist, just below her bust. At a swearing-in ceremony for Defense Secretary Ash Carter, Biden put his hands on the shoulders of Stephanie Carter, Carter’s wife, and then leaned in and whispered into her ear. (He’s whispered into many women’s ears.) He’s also touched women’s faces and necks during other photo ops. Once at a swearing-in ceremony for a US senator, he held the upper arm of the senator’s preteen daughter, leaned down and whispered into her ear, as she became visibly uncomfortable. Then he kissed the side of her forehead, a gesture that made the girl flinch.

    https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/3/29/18241598/joe-biden-lucy-flores-touching-women-media-history-explained
    Ok so we know that Joe Biden is a Me Too disaster in waiting whose candidacy, if it happens, will flame out like his two previous presidential campaigns.

    That leaves Bernie Sanders versus a crew of single digit pygmies who will claim that Bernie Sanders is too bold and too vigorous in his anti-establishment views.

  7. @Holden Hillbilly

    I agree, One Nation will win a Senate seat in Queensland at least. Because rusted on One Nation voters I argue think in ways similar to what we have observed from Pauline Hanson, James Ashby and Steve Dickson.

  8. HH
    Even in Qld country I think the PHON vote will crash. I once did some work in Gympie and I would say that even there gun nutters are less than 10% of voters. If the majors were serious and really go after her hypocrisy in terms of personal grifting of the system and growing property portfolio, she will absolutely crash. Sadly Katter stands to gain the benefit.

  9. Socrates @ #58 Saturday, March 30th, 2019 – 8:53 am

    HH
    Even in Qld country I think the PHON vote will crash. I once did some work in Gympie and I would say that even there gun nutters are less than 10% of voters. If the majors were serious and really go after her hypocrisy in terms of personal grifting of the system and growing property portfolio, she will absolutely crash. Sadly Katter stands to gain the benefit.

    Have you seen any response yet from Katter? He ought to be salivating at the thought of picking up votes from a discredited PHON. Perhaps his son might take a run at a senate spot.

  10. I found this article infinitely depressing. Where is the dignified architecture of an established, confident, world class city?

    If you’re wondering why, after the biggest boom in Sydney’s history, everything new looks cheap, mean and prematurely aged, here it is. Architecture expresses a society’s beliefs about itself; our take on humanity’s place in nature and the relationship of the one to the many. Architecture is the social contract made real. When those beliefs corrode, as in Sydney of late, the architecture can only reflect it.

    Selling slow-evolved public assets for a one-off flare dresses wasteful infrastructure spending as good economic management. In NSW’s case, six years of asset stripping (2011-17) reaped at least $50 billion. That’s three-quarters of a billion a month. It’s also cheating.

    Because the problem with neo-liberalism, to reword Thatcher, is that eventually you run out of other people’s assets. You’ve exploited the bejesus out of the place and nothing of quality or meaning remains, either to enjoy or to sell. In Sydney, this market-moronism militates against architecture in at least five ways.

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/five-ways-sydney-is-determined-to-self-sabotage-20190328-p518hy.html

  11. It seems that not everyone loves this Bill Maher fellow (I’ve never watched the show for more than a few minutes, but he comes across as smug and conceited).

  12. Mr Denmore

    @MrDenmore
    39m39 minutes ago

    We have moved from an era of conviction politics to one of retail politics, argues former Hawke govt minister Barry Jones, where the first question is not whether something is right but whether it will ‘sell’. @SatPaper

    https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/opinion/topic/2019/03/30/the-death-political-debate/15538644007917

    Many MPs rely on a page of dot points they have been handed, with no understanding of or interest in a contrary point of view. They simply declaim the material they have been given, “staying on message” and repeating mantra after mantra ad nauseam.

    The Italian philosopher, historian and novelist Umberto Eco deplored the “use of an impoverished vocabulary, and an elementary syntax, in order to limit the instruments for complex and critical reasoning”. He was writing about Fascism, but his remarks could apply to the mindless clichés and dumbed-down repetitive mantras from Scott Morrison and his ministers. “Fair dinkum”, “congestion buster”. George Orwell made the same point in his essay “Politics and the English Language” – by destroying effective use of language, serious debate becomes impossible.

    In the forthcoming election, there is no hope of a serious debate. Morrison’s combination of feel-good vacuity and naked appeal to fear and prejudice will not be presented as structured argument. Attempting debate would be as futile as shovelling fog. Bill Shorten, an enigma to many voters, will stay on message, a strong one in 2019, but he must be a risk-taker to cut through.

  13. Eddy Jokovich
    ‏ @EddyJokovich
    37m37 minutes ago

    Jacinda Ardern was trying to patch together a country after the murder of 50 of its citizens. What did The Australian do? Its arsehole journalists attacked her relentlessly. There is a cancer at News Corp, and it needs a big operation to get rid of its sickness. #auspol

  14. Seems Buttigieg is making an impression and not just with me.

    This is the week of Pete Buttigieg.

    He’s a Rhodes scholar, Navy veteran, the young mayor of a midsize city (he was elected to lead South Bend, Ind., at age 29; he’s now 37), and apparently moonlights as an Arabic translator for hospital patients in tragic need. The hopeful gay millennial candidate has come out of nowhere and caught the nation’s eye — Cory Booker, formerly America’s Sparkliest Young Mayor™, must be grinding his teeth.

    Buttigieg (it’s “Boot-edge-edge,” if you’re still struggling) has distinguished himself from the current Democratic field, and from most politicians generally, by seeming to have a well-thought-out and comprehensive position on almost any topic. He’s developed an opinion on everything from white nationalism (not just “economic anxiety,” but a larger context of disorientation and lost community and identity) to Chick-fil-A (does not approve of its politics, kind of approves of its chicken). Potential voters approve: Last weekend’s Emerson Poll showed him shooting up to third place in the race in Iowa, behind Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders, but ahead of Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/03/29/beto-who-its-week-pete-buttigieg/?utm_term=.43bfa196e802

    Klobuchar has moved into 8th position and Biden still at no. 1 despite not having nominated.

  15. Chris Jones@wurzelofoz
    20h20 hours ago
    More
    I had coffe next to a table of pensioners today:
    In 10mins they covered:
    Pauline’s been set up by muslim TV
    Jacinda ardern is a disgrace
    Naru is apparently very nice
    Renewable energy will kill this Bloody country.
    The greens all are bloody extremists
    We’re all lefties

  16. lynlinking @lynlinking
    2h2 hours ago

    Former detective in Martin Bryant case responds to Hanson’s claims Now retired and living in Queensland, Mr Warren said the senator’s comments were made without any factual evidence to support the statements

    https://www.nambuccaguardian.com.au/story/5981884/former-detective-in-martin-bryant-case-responds-to-hansons-claims/?cs=736

    Mr Warren said he was quite astounded and disappointed that a federal politician could make such outlandish comments without having any evidence to back it up.

    “What these conspirators can’t seem to comprehend is there were a number of victims who were wounded and actually survived who saw Brian do it, so I would’ve thought that anyone with an ounce of commonsense would think, ‘hang on, how can there be a conspiracy there’,” he said.

    Tasmania Police Association president and former Special Operations Group member Colin Riley said the member of Parliament’s comments were ill-informed, unnecessary, and categorically wrong.

    Mr Riley was involved in the response to, and investigation of, the Port Arthur massacre. He said he would invite Senator Hanson to the site so he can walk her through what happened.

  17. I have friends with business interests in Northern Queensland, and they describe a demographic like no other they encounter.

    The Hanson vote is rusted on – as is Katter’s

    The question is preferences.

    Hence the position the parties to this dysfunctional government find themselves in with not only the splits in the Liberal Party (hence the demise of Turnbull and the rise of the Sukkar right wing factions) but the National Party, the Liberal National Party in Queensland (dominated by Nationals) and One Nation.

    On the “conservative” side we see the Italian model re-visited.

    Deals within deals within deals to form a dysfunctional government delivering the status of pm to the likes of Ad Man from Mad Men.

    Whose ambition is status as pm, so all things to all people.

  18. lizzie @ #60 Saturday, March 30th, 2019 – 10:01 am

    I found this article infinitely depressing. Where is the dignified architecture of an established, confident, world class city?

    If you’re wondering why, after the biggest boom in Sydney’s history, everything new looks cheap, mean and prematurely aged, here it is. Architecture expresses a society’s beliefs about itself; our take on humanity’s place in nature and the relationship of the one to the many. Architecture is the social contract made real. When those beliefs corrode, as in Sydney of late, the architecture can only reflect it.

    Selling slow-evolved public assets for a one-off flare dresses wasteful infrastructure spending as good economic management. In NSW’s case, six years of asset stripping (2011-17) reaped at least $50 billion. That’s three-quarters of a billion a month. It’s also cheating.

    Because the problem with neo-liberalism, to reword Thatcher, is that eventually you run out of other people’s assets. You’ve exploited the bejesus out of the place and nothing of quality or meaning remains, either to enjoy or to sell. In Sydney, this market-moronism militates against architecture in at least five ways.

    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/five-ways-sydney-is-determined-to-self-sabotage-20190328-p518hy.html

    Especially depressing after the NSW election.
    She’s right – Sydney is the neoliberal dream made real, and the voters have just endorsed it.

  19. @CrStuartJames
    21m21 minutes ago

    BREAKING: The @theheraldsun has exposed the @DanielAndrewsMP Government. Victoria’s public sector workforce has ballooned by 46,170 in the last four years.

    According to the article we now have more police, nurses and teachers!

  20. Only in America

    So will the individual States prosecute, free from National intervention from Trump’s appointees?

    This was a question put yesterday among friends.

  21. Cud Chewer @ #4 Saturday, March 30th, 2019 – 1:00 am

    Solar/wind with storage is now as cheap or cheaper than closed cycle gas turbine plants.

    cue mindless rant from P1.

    I don’t need to rant. Your own chart tells the story. But perhaps you don’t understand what the Bloomberg report is trying to tell you? i.e. that renewables are not going to displace existing fossil fuel generation anytime soon. New plants, yes, they are getting close – especially wind (provided it is backed by sufficient peak generation). But not existing dispatchable generation, and not peak generation.

    You have read at least the summary of the Bloomberg report, I presume. You are not just relying on RenewEconomy’s flawed interpretation?

  22. Contrast the two approaches.

    Prime Minister Scott Morrison: Extremist terrorists have no nationality: “Their only nationality is hate and violence.”

    Opposition Leader Bill Shorten : An Australian is responsible for the Christchurch massacre: “Australians are ashamed this person was an Australian.”

  23. So will the individual States prosecute, free from National intervention from Trump’s appointees?

    One assumes they would prosecute if they believe they have a shot at a conviction.

  24. Sohar says:
    Saturday, March 30, 2019 at 10:21 am
    Chris Jones@wurzelofoz
    20h20 hours ago

    More
    I had coffe next to a table of pensioners today:
    In 10mins they covered:
    Pauline’s been set up by muslim TV
    Jacinda ardern is a disgrace
    Naru is apparently very nice
    Renewable energy will kill this Bloody country.
    The greens all are bloody extremists
    We’re all lefties
    ————————————–
    Hmm, and apparently the level of speling and gramar is not their o-r our hotspot either (coffe, Naru..)

    ON is a disgrace, but only to those “outside of the ring”!!?? Some will believe every word she utters!!

  25. Am a huge fan of Pete B as well fess.
    He won me when I read an anecdote (shared here previously) of him stunning a Norwegian journalist by speaking fluent Norwegian.
    It turns out one of his favourite books to read as a youth was in Norwegian, so the only way to understand the book and others by his new favourite author was to learn the language. So he did!
    He’s brilliant but probably too young at this point.

  26. Socrates @ #55 Saturday, March 30th, 2019 – 9:49 am

    However as we build more PV panels and wind + storage power fcailities, the need for peaking capaity will drop anyway. More grid interconnections will also reduce the need for peak load generators.

    The Bloomberg report actually predicts more peaking power plant capacity will be required as the share of renewables increases – perhaps by a factor of up to 4 times. Especially if we actively close coal plants. They also predict gas consumption could rise by 50% in that case.

  27. zoidlord @ 8.55am

    Nassim Khadem
    ‏Verified account @NassimKhadem
    52m52 minutes ago

    Sixty-nine millionaires paid zero tax in 2016-17 https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-03-30/sixty-nine-millionaires-paid-zero-tax-in-2016-17/10954888 … @abcnews @ato_gov_au @mikejanda

    ————-

    This really gets up my nose, especially the line about them not even paying the Medicare levy.

    I live on a small CSS (superannuation) pension (for health reasons I left the Public Service aged 51) and a part age pension. It does not amount to a huge amount yet I still have to pay around $460 per annum in tax – I assume for the Medicare levy.

    Parasites, the bloody lot of them.

  28. Sohar @ #66 Saturday, March 30th, 2019 – 10:21 am

    Chris Jones@wurzelofoz
    20h20 hours ago
    More
    I had coffe next to a table of pensioners today:
    In 10mins they covered:
    Pauline’s been set up by muslim TV
    Jacinda ardern is a disgrace
    Naru is apparently very nice
    Renewable energy will kill this Bloody country.
    The greens all are bloody extremists
    We’re all lefties

    I find this post infinitely depressing – so much so that

    Late Riser
    Saturday, March 30th, 2019 – 9:37 am
    Comment #46

    In third place: KayJay

    Café au lait for two – with lunch at 1:00 P.M. — Curried Prawns and Rice.

    Fails to help. Just who entered me in this competition is under investigation and just what is the Blue Book wot Ms. Hanson referenced ❓

    Brown Bear and Bobo Bear are now suspect of being the leakers – I had considered calling in the AFP to assist but my projected nine years only of life expectancy ruled that out.

    A big Thank You to BK for his Dawn Patrol which today is replete with beaucoup BS from the unusual suspects.

    Cafe au lait for one now Muriel. ☕
    Muriel to KayJay 🖕

  29. Confessions @ #65 Saturday, March 30th, 2019 – 9:21 am

    Seems Buttigieg is making an impression and not just with me.

    This is the week of Pete Buttigieg.

    Buttigieg (it’s “Boot-edge-edge,” if you’re still struggling) has distinguished himself from the current Democratic field, and from most politicians generally, by seeming to have a well-thought-out and comprehensive position on almost any topic.

    Ooh, relevant:

    “We have moved from an era of conviction politics to one of retail politics, where the first question is not whether something is right but whether it will ‘sell’”

    I don’t think a name like “Buttigieg ‘Boot-edge-edge if you’re still struggling'” is salable. All it takes is one tweet from Trump like “Come on, does America really want to have President Buttgiggles? I don’t think so” to turn him into a laughing stock.

  30. a r @ #85 Saturday, March 30th, 2019 – 11:13 am

    Confessions @ #65 Saturday, March 30th, 2019 – 9:21 am

    Seems Buttigieg is making an impression and not just with me.

    This is the week of Pete Buttigieg.

    Buttigieg (it’s “Boot-edge-edge,” if you’re still struggling) has distinguished himself from the current Democratic field, and from most politicians generally, by seeming to have a well-thought-out and comprehensive position on almost any topic.

    Ooh, relevant:

    “We have moved from an era of conviction politics to one of retail politics, where the first question is not whether something is right but whether it will ‘sell’”

    I don’t think a name like “Buttigieg ‘Boot-edge-edge if you’re still struggling’” is salable. All it takes is one tweet from Trump like “Come on, does America really want to have President Buttgiggles? I don’t think so” to turn him into a laughing stock.

    Being a laughing stock has not done Trump any harm in politics.

  31. Chris Jones@wurzelofoz
    20h20 hours ago
    More
    I had coffe next to a table of pensioners today:
    In 10mins they covered:
    Pauline’s been set up by muslim TV
    Jacinda ardern is a disgrace
    Naru is apparently very nice
    Renewable energy will kill this Bloody country.
    The greens all are bloody extremists
    We’re all lefties
    ___________________

    I recall my mother-in-law (a life long Liberal party member) was convinced Whitman’s son was training troops of militant aborigines in secret locations around NW Australia. Nothing would dissuade her.
    Stupid is stupid and it seems we have just as many as the United States.

  32. Mayor Pete does not have an entirely different story than any other politician in our lifetime. He has the same story they all have. David Axelrod has gushed: “His story is an incredible story.” Is it? The son of two professors at an elite university goes on to several different elite universities, serves an uneventful seven-month tour of duty in the Navy, and then becomes the technocratic mayor of the city his parents’ university is in? Ilhan Omar has an entirely different story than any other politician. So does Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. This man is the story of the American elite.

    The myth-making here is going to be intense. The profiles are already streaming forth. The New York Times covered his wedding by wondering if Buttigieg would be president. You will be sold Buttigieg’s small-town milliennial neoliberalism the way they’re trying to sell you Beto O’Rourke’s skateboard neoliberalism. Hey kids, you like Medicare For All? So does this guy! But he’s young and from the Midwest and likes Hamilton! Bernie is old. You don’t need an old man. You need young hip progressivism.

    Do not be deceived by this. Look into the actual records of these candidates. Get their shitty books and scrutinize them closely. A lot of money is going to be flowing toward tricks like this, as frantic Democratic elites try to push someone like Buttigieg in order to prevent a Sanders nomination. They know Buttigieg is one of them; they see “McKinsey” and realize they’ll come to no harm. But they hope you don’t see what they see.

    https://www.currentaffairs.org/2019/03/all-about-pete?fbclid=IwAR1OFMn3iNFvKC427irpxt4lIwQrDcN_N9qlr4vCNRiQCpAXCyyf5IRMsvs
    Pete Buttigieg is not progressive and there is nothing fresh about him. He’s the same kind of technocratic neoliberal that has been hurting the American people for decades. A careful examination of his record reveals that he has little interest in helping marginalized people.

  33. Observer says:
    Saturday, March 30, 2019 at 10:33 am
    I have friends with business interests in Northern Queensland, and they describe a demographic like no other they encounter.
    _______________

    Should’ve been annexed years ago.

  34. I see what this is, and I see how these things go, and we can’t afford to make this mistake again. No more Bright Young People with their beautiful families and flawless characters and elite educations and vacuous messages of uplift and togetherness. Give me fucked-up people with convictions and gusto. Give me real human beings, not CV-padding corporate zombies.

    If we are lucky, Buttigieg Fever will dissipate quickly when people realize this guy is the same rancid wine in a new wifi-enabled bottle. “Hah, remember when Pete Buttigieg became a thing for a hot second?” It will be remembered as neoliberalism’s last gasp, a pitiful attempt at co-optation that was met with a unanimous reply of “Nice try.” Let’s hope to God that’s how this goes.

    But let me finish by reminding you why this matters. It matters because of the people Buttigieg doesn’t see, the people who aren’t in the index of his “beautiful” book with its “classic American success story” of “humility and tentativeness.” Read this recent Washington Post profile of Monica Diaz, who is 40 years old, went to college, has a full-time job, and is still having to live in a tent because the rent is too high and her pay is too low. Think about the people who have to launch GoFundMe campaigns for their insulin, and those like Shane Boyle who die when they can’t make their goal.

    These things should make you fucking angry. You should not be able to stop thinking about it. Your hate should be pure and should burn white hot. If you find pothole locator apps more compelling than the the lives of people like Monica Diaz, then there is something wrong with you. Get out of politics. Take the shortest way home and stay there.

    We need representatives who are all about the lives of people like Monica Diaz and Shane Boyle.

    Pete Buttigieg is all about Pete Buttigieg.

    https://www.currentaffairs.org/2019/03/all-about-pete?fbclid=IwAR1OFMn3iNFvKC427irpxt4lIwQrDcN_N9qlr4vCNRiQCpAXCyyf5IRMsvs
    No more corporate zombies who preach togetherness platitudes and co-opt progressive terminology to obscure their lack of interest challenging concentrated wealth and power.

    Support candidates who have a track record of fighting for and with vulnerable people with no power.


  35. Crappy photo of a beautiful tableau. A water dragon (fossil?) sunning itself on an actual fossil, on our deck after a bit of rain.

  36. Pete Buttigieg is all about Pete Buttigieg.

    And this ‘currentaffairs.org’ place seems like it’s all about sabotaging the Democrats in their primary objective of getting rid of Trump. Literally anyone they nominate is fine for that task. The last thing there needs to be is infighting over which candidate is “best”.

    The entire Democratic field is strictly better than Trump, the Dems just need to pick one, and then everyone who’s not a rabid Trump supporter should just pull their head in, quit their whinging and undermining, and support whomever the Democratic nominee happens to be. At least until Trump is gone.

    After that, the petty infighting and internal bickering can resume. But it has no place in the before-time.

    Bernie is old. You don’t need an old man.

    Well, at least they managed to get two factually accurate sentences in there. 🙂

  37. KayJay, the first place getters have not claimed their prize. It is not too late. Chin up. There is a lot to be said for curried prawns and rice. 🙂

  38. “Democratic primary voters who supported Hillary Clinton in 2016 contributed to the election of Donald Trump.

    I hope that this time these voters will realise that neoliberal centrism is snake oil that the general public will no longer buy.

    Bernie Sanders is the only genuine progressive in the race.”

    Right on! Fuck those millions of democrat voters for being so … democrat.

    Bernie walks on water. He can do no wrong. He’s so woke he didn’t need to hold down a job, any job, until he was 40. Being firmly secured to the public teet for the past 36 years as he hollers at passing clouds clearly qualifies him to be the Chief Executive of the government of the most powerful democratic economy in the world and commander in chief of the most powerful military in the world in ways that other quislings cannot compete.

    Bernie is a one man movement. He needs no party to support him, let alone one filled with moderates and centrists.

    The solution clearly is for The Great Man to run for President as an Independent Socialist. And I reckon you are just the millennial acolyte to run his campaign Nicholas. I think Bludger should start a “go fund me” page to send you to America on a one way ticket. Stat!

  39. ar

    And this ‘currentaffairs.org’ place seems like it’s all about sabotaging the Democrats in their primary objective of getting rid of Trump.

    _______________________________________

    They seemed to have a policy of NBB (Nobody But Bernie). If all the Democrats are going to do is trash each other Trump WILL win again – that’s how he got the Republican nomination too. He’ll certainly beat Bernie because too many Democrats will stay home.

    It’s awful how many people here think that they are the ones who can see the true way, and everyone who holds a different view is some sort of fool or venal or worse. What’s even worse is that these people have a fervent belief that if only their message can get through to the great unwashed they will all subscribe to the one true way.

  40. a r,

    The way Nicholas carries on, you’d expect he had a dog in the fight. Poor petal doesn’t even get a vote.

    His Bernie! Bernie! Bernie! in response to any discussion about the coming US Election is reminiscent of the Greens here in the Batman by Election repeating Adani! Adani! Adani!. It’s immature. It’s posturing. It’s premature.

    No doubt the Dems will go through a long and tedious process to identify the issues they are going to run on and the person best suited to sell those policies.

    My guess is Bernie’s time has passed and he has no hope of attaining the Nomination. But, it’s not my decision. Nicholas coming on PB and lambasting anyone that is not Bernie is just silly.

  41. Federal coalition government:

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/mar/30/infrastructure-department-has-250000-a-day-for-ads-before-election

    Documents show federal government has committed more than $200m to advertising since January 2018

    Andrews Victorian state government:

    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/andrews-government-spent-357-6-million-on-advertising-in-its-first-term-20190329-p5192j.html

    State government spending on taxpayer-funded advertising has increased significantly with more than $105 million splashed on ads in the financial year before the state election.

    By comparison, the government spent $82.4 million in the previous financial year of 2016-17.

    The latest government report on advertising showed the Andrews government spent $357.6 million on advertising between 2014 and 2018.
    :::
    The advertising report showed the government spent $88.7 million on campaign advertising, which equated to almost 84 per cent of the total in 2017-18.
    :::
    Labor came to government in 2014 with a promise to rein in taxpayer-funded advertising.

  42. So, with the Brexit stuff….

    Even if May loses more votes, and calls a general election ,they still crash out no deal on April 12 dont they??

  43. I would imagine that VicLab has needed to spend advertising to advise travellers of infrastructure (road/rail) changes. Has Gladys done the same in NSW?

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