BludgerTrack: 53.3-46.7 to Labor

The BludgerTrack poll aggregate maintains its steady course overall, but with signs of the Greens losing ground.

Another fairly uneventful week in the world of BludgerTrack, which has only nudged 0.1% in favour of Labor on two-party preferred and one on the seat projection (the gain being in New South Wales), despite their one-point improvements in the week’s Newspoll and Essential Research polls. If there’s anything worth noting, it’s that the Greens have fallen below 9%, and One Nation are back up after a recent dip. Both pollsters also produced new numbers for the leadership trends, the only observable movement on which is that Scott Morrison’s net approval is slightly improving, for no immediately obvious reason. Full results through the link below.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,561 comments on “BludgerTrack: 53.3-46.7 to Labor”

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  3. Joe Biden “accidentally” announces he is running for President?

    “I get criticized by the new left. I have the most progressive record of anybody running for the United … anybody who would run,” Biden said, catching himself at a Delaware Democratic Party fundraising dinner. “I didn’t mean … Of anybody who would run! Because folks, we have to bring this country back together again.”

    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/mar/17/joe-bidens-verbal-slip-sets-off-speculation-of-presidential-run

    He is on top in the polls, surging past Sanders, before he is even a candidate

    https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2019/03/16/the-democratic-presidential-field-already-looks-crowded

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

  7. My hobby wasn’t banned but medically proscribed. I really loved to brew beer!! So much fun. Thousands of varieties. So many different grains, hops, yeasts, techniques. It took me two painful years to figure it out, but beer brewing is incompatible with my gout. Result? No more brewing. Greatly reduced gout and other hobbies expanded to fill the gap. Do I miss it? Yes! A lot! Does anyone else care? No. Does it matter? Also no.

    There are lots of hobbies.

  8. That is an interesting story, but what stopped Mosley was being on the same ideological side as Hitler.
    Mosley was locked up during the War.
    His chances of leading a popular fascist revival after WW2 was precisely zip regardless of how often his dung cart platform was o’er tipped.

  9. martini henry @ #2311 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 4:57 pm

    which activity do enjoy the most

    Sex is an activity. 🙂

    how would you feel if everyone decided to ban it?

    Well if there were crazy people running around with dildos slaughtering dozens of innocent bystanders en-masse (using the dildos, somehow), I would understand the reasoning behind the decision.

    And also, it’s pretty hard to argue that the planet wouldn’t be better off that way anyways.

  11. Late Riser, and a damn fine hobby it is and having a kegorator makes it just to easy to have a couple or three, but I gave it away after 10 brews in a row got infected and depite replacing and cleaning I just gave it away as well.

  13. Davidwh says:
    Sunday, March 17, 2019 at 6:23 pm
    Cheeky bugger

    Hey we have even got one traffic light.

    But what a whopper!

  14. Woody

    Wow -just taken aback steven price on the project just said something i agree with……bar that disgrace from Queensland from parliament

  15. Boerwar

    The idiot gunman named Mosely as the pollie he most agreed with
    . Likely because all the other big name fascists had experienced a wee bit too much ‘reputational damage’ .

  16. The BBC giving a megaphone to far-right racists after the Christchurch attack. Who do they think they are? Channel 7?

    Seventh@skeptical7th
    Here’s the almost completely uncritical interview @BBCNewsnight conducted with Benjamin Jones the UK leader of the far right identitarian group Generation Identiy (GI) tonight. It’s a disgrace & an embarrassment to UK journalism and the BBC. It’s also a big propaganda win for GI.

    https://twitter.com/skeptical7th/status/1106718955769643008

  19. SK:

    That reminds me that this year is the 50th anniversary of Woodstock Festival!

    I wonder how many of the artists who performed are still going today? Joe Cocker springs to mind.

  21. This makes me angry on several levels.

    Dee Madigan

    Here’s a photo of young LNP members standing with @JamesMcGrathLNP . They are making the white supremacy hand sign. This is not a fringe party of crazies. This is the party of government.

  22. “We can most definitely control animal/wildlife numbers in a sustainable and humane way.”

    Which reminded me of a newspaper clipping I saw in the Odnadatta pub back in 1974 while waiting for the train to do it’s thing before continuing to AS.

    It said WTTE, that dingos shouldn’t be shot, but rather castrated and let go again.

    I asked a local what he thought of that idea and he said.

    Listen mate, I don’t mind them f$#cking my sheep, so long as they don’t eat them.

  26. lizzie @ #2367 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 5:46 pm

    This makes me angry on several levels.

    Dee Madigan

    Here’s a photo of young LNP members standing with @JamesMcGrathLNP . They are making the white supremacy hand sign. This is not a fringe party of crazies. This is the party of government.

    ” rel=”nofollow”>

    Is that today?

  27. Fulvio Sammut

    On how Tarrant became radicalised, there has been some excellent coverage in the new york times on how his writings were a product of, and written for, white nationalist internet forums. He was immersed in the culture of these forums and had detailed knowledge and views of American politics. He was acutely sensitive to how his actions would be viewed in the US and how Americans would respond.

    They made the point that while it was unfair to blame the internet for the massacre, it is no longer possible to treat online extremism as less dangerous than organized in the outside world. If anything the messages, user engagement, competition between extremists and positive feedbacks make it more dangerous.

    Oddly, he doesn’t seem to have travelled much in the US as far as I know, but whether you agree with the writers or not it’s worth reading the articles.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2019/03/15/world/asia/new-zealand-shooting-brenton-tarrant.html?action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage

    https://www.nytimes.com/2019/03/15/technology/facebook-youtube-christchurch-shooting.html?action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage

  32. “For a while, I lived in an old rented farmhouse on the Bellarine Peninsula. One vivid memory at dawn on the morning that the shooting season opened, was of rows of pigeons and ducks sitting on the hay shed roof. They stayed for several days, until the first enthusiasm of the hunters had waned.”

    Where I grew up is west Vic was close to a duck killing lake. I recall one night before the season opening, a really blind drunk man come to our door asking for direction to the best ‘hunting’ spots. My brother and I answered the door, but we were just children and this idiot was being really inappropriate, telling bawdy jokes etc (luckily the old man was asleep otherwise he would have flogged this idiot). He should never have had a gun…..

  35. a really blind drunk man come to our door asking for direction to the best ‘hunting’ spots

    I kid you not. I spent 2 weeks in Upper Michigan. They had “Beer and Bullets” stores.

  36. The related point in that post by James McGrath is calling Shorten ‘Shifty Bill’. I know that we call Morrison all sorts of names (although I’ve personally gotten sick of doing it myself), but we are not members of Parliament personally responsible for upholding our democratic systems. Labor MPs and Senators do not indulge in that sort of patent contempt. A coalition senator doing that to the Labor leader just reinforces the contempt that his supporters show.

  38. The Greens have been pushing for for 30 years.
    They are pushing for today.
    Their Plan is to push for another 30 years.
    The Greens are the Great Pusher Fors.

    The Greens vision statement: ‘The Greens Push For’
    The Labor vision statement: ‘Labor Does’

  39. “I heard Melanie Safka interviewed on Melbourne radio last week “

    That’s a blast from the past.

    EDIT: from Wikipedia- For a time, at the beginning of her career, Melanie was a follower of Meher Baba and this influenced some of her songs…

  40. citizen @ #2354 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 6:29 pm

    It is rather frustrating to read headlines like this. Surely “Greens push for two new environmental agencies” is quite adequate.

    Greens pressure Labor with pre-election push for two new environmental agencies

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/mar/17/greens-pressure-labor-with-pre-election-push-to-tackle-climate-and-land-clearing

    Small beer from The Greens.

    Labor is already there:

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/dec/16/labor-announces-environmental-overhaul-avoiding-pre-election-internal-battle

  46. martini henry @ #2357 Sunday, March 17th, 2019 – 5:35 pm

    Late Riser, and a damn fine hobby it is and having a kegorator makes it just to easy to have a couple or three, but I gave it away after 10 brews in a row got infected and depite replacing and cleaning I just gave it away as well.

    I still have the kegs…hard to give up. Sigh. FWIW I found a stout rinse with tap water and storage in dilute phosphoric acid did the trick for sterilizing.

  48. davidwh

    ‘Know your meme’ site looks at the history of the OK. Looks like a bit of ‘fake news’ re WP connection./
    .
    .

    The “OK” Symbol is a hand gesture[7] typically used to signal that “all is well.” The symbol has been frequently associated with supporters of the 45th President of the United States Donald Trump, with some speculating it is used by members of the alt-right to mimic a Smug Frog depiction of Pepe the Frog. Additionally, the symbol has been accused of being a symbol for “white power” following a 4chan hoax operation to trick news media outlets into reporting that it is a symbol of white supremacy.

    Operation O-KKK
    In February 2017, 4chan users launched Operation O-KKK to “flood Twitter and other social media websites” with posts claiming the OK hand symbol was a “symbol of white supremacy,” along with a picture of an OK symbol identifying the three up-turned fingers as a symbol for “W” and the thumb-and-forefinger circle as a symbol for “P” (shown below).[12]
    https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/ok-symbol-%F0%9F%91%8C

  49. I don’t know if I have missed it or not, but the pic Simon posted of the guy with the guitar is the legendary American Woody Guthrie. Woody penned the anthem “This land is your land, this land is my land”

    Woody father of Arlo and there was a young bloke named Bob Dylan who idolised Woody…. (and copied)

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wxiMrvDbq3s

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