The latest fortnightly result from Essential Research follows Newspoll in recording a one-point move to Labor, who now lead 53-47 on two-party preferred. As reported by The Guardian, the primary votes have the Coalition down a point to 37%, Labor up a point to 38%, the Greens down a point to 8% (their weakest result in any poll since September 2016) and One Nation up a point to 7%. The pollster’s leadership ratings (which they normally do monthly, but this is the first set since January) have Scott Morrison steady on 43% approval and up two on disapproval to 41%, Bill Shorten up three to 38% and down three to 44%, and Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister at 44-31, compared with 42-30 last time.
Other findings relate to climate change and asylum seekers. On the former cont, 62% express belief in climate change caused by human activity, and 51% say Australia is not doing enough to address it. On the latter, 52% believed the government was acting out of genuine concern in reopening Christmas Island while 48% said it was a political ploy (suggesting there was no uncommitted option, which would be unusual for Essential). Also featured was an occasion suite of questions on best party to handle various issues, which seems to have produced typical results, with the Coalition stronger on broader protection and economic management and Labor stronger on the environment, wages, health and education, as well as housing affordability. The full report should be with us later today.
UPDATE: Full report here. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1089.
citizen
Kim could be worried about voter apathy and falling turnout though. 2009 voter turnout of 99.98% , plummeting in 2014 to 99.97%.
KayJay @ #172 Tuesday, March 12th, 2019 – 10:52 am
Ah hah! That worked, even in Opera. Genius. I was trying all kinds of “Open”, “Add”, “Get”, and name calling if it must be admitted. It had not occurred to me to drag-drop the folder.
Thank you. 🙇
Heading off in a while for Nornalup on WA’s south to attend the funeral tomorrow of a former colleague’s wife.
A drive through the jarrah and karri forest to the beautiful south coast is good for the spirit.
Pity more Bludgers can’t do something similar.
Adrian: “Unfortunately this site is infested with a special kind of zealot that does a disservice to the party that they claim to support.”
Agreed, Adrian. Unfortunately, the majority of these are associated with the right of the Labor Party, with the rest claiming to be Greens (I have my doubts). The Libs are mostly well-behaved on the blog these days. Wayne is a special category.
Player One @ #198 Tuesday, March 12th, 2019 – 12:24 pm
Nearly! Just a little bit more. You can do it! Don’t forget the Foster family!
Remind me, who is pathetic? Is your Dad a policeman?
Going doorknocking with David now. Have a naice day!
Pegasus @ #197 Tuesday, March 12th, 2019 – 12:23 pm
You’ve missed a few opinions about Burnside’s candidacy today. So, clearly there is a market to discuss it and you being grumpy about that is just bad luck.
BTW, the candidate with the most number of votes usually wins elections. Fund raising is helpful. But, if the candidate does not resonate with local voters, then he’s toast.
Re Laundy
My OH tells me Dutton and Laundy may both be missing. I have a cartoon in my head where one of them is holding the other in a dark room. Robust negotiations will continue until the right agreement is reached.
Maybe if Laundy is sufficiently angry at Turnbull’s treatment, he (Laundy) might resign a week out from an election out of spite, just to help pull down the joint.
Late Riser
Tuesday, March 12th, 2019 – 12:28 pm
Comment #201
Thanks for the update. I’m off to do some light reading and dozing.
☮✌
Paul Keating…..lol
https://twitter.com/Paul_KeatingPM/status/1104629757860208640
sonar @ #208 Tuesday, March 12th, 2019 – 12:36 pm
My understanding is that is a parody site. Keating does not tweet.
What gave it away?
yabba @ #204 Tuesday, March 12th, 2019 – 12:32 pm
I’m sure this stuff is meant to be insulting, but luckily I must be just too dumb to understand it.
I do, however, understand that you are a very nasty piece of work.
GG
No doubt you and confessions are very pleased with your deliberate aim to kick it all off again.
I didn’t respond to the comments, but I was moved to finally say something because of zoomster’s typical disingenuous attempts, or mistruth, to suggest it was Greens here talking about Burnside today.
Darn @ #158 Tuesday, March 12th, 2019 – 10:40 am
Certainly, and they can quite easily do that without having to seek membership in some third-party, commercial/for-profit organization in order to do so.
Beyond that, I’m not seeing either the need nor the social benefit from allowing corporate entities to set up de-facto “no <women|men|muslims|christians|blacks|whites|asians|…>” zones just because some people want that and are willing to pay to get it.
Respect for a person’s desire to not be around people who aren’t of the same gender, race, or religion as them only needs to go so far. It certainly stops when they set foot in any public area, and should probably also stop somewhere before that point, at whatever distance is required to prevent racial/gender/etc. segregation.
But let’s not do that, please. The U.S. tried segregation, it didn’t work. ‘Seperate but equal’ never is.
If someone wants a private gym or pool, then fine, let them build it on their own (private, residential) property and use it as such. There’s nothing wrong with that.
As soon as you start talking about commercial enterprises, taking up commercial real-estate and operating on a for-profit basis to exclude certain demographics, it’s an entirely different prospect and there’s a lot wrong with it.
briefly says:
Tuesday, March 12, 2019 at 12:19 pm
An argument from real life as to why the Gs should dissolve themselves….
The WA Parliament is in the process of considering for passage legislation to provide choices for the terminally ill with respect to their treatment and eventual death. The bill is presented as a government bill, with all parties allowing a conscience vote. The bill has the support of 4/5 West Australians. The bill has been actively supported by Dying with Dignity. It will easily pass the Lagislative Assembly with the support of all the very many Labor MPs who have expressed their willingness to vote for reform. Dying with Dignity is a voluntary organisation. One of my friends, a Green activist, is very active in this group.
The bill may not pass the Legislative Council. At present 14 MLC’s have indicated they will support the bill. This number includes not one single Liberal. Not a one. If reform fails it will be because of the opposition of Liberals and their like-minds.
If reform in this very important area is enacted it will be entirely because a Labor Government has been elected and is willing to guide the process through the Parliament. If it fails it will be because of the Liberals. Those who want this reform include the Greens.
—–
OK to here I get it Briefly – The Greens are not obstructing the bill and in fact are supporting it.
1- Where is the obstruction ?
2- How is the Greens supporting this Labor bill “intended to aid the Liberals at all times in all places”.
You contradict yourself with your own statements when you launch into this —
“And yet the Greens, as a matter of perpetual strategy, as a matter of political exigency, campaign all the time against Labor. Their negativity is self-defeating in terms of their values. It is also intended to aid the Liberals at all times and in all places. The Greens should dissolve themselves. They self-obstruct” .
I’m sorry it makes no sense to me. The Greens are in fact “like minded” on this issue with Labor and if they weren’t it is their right to be different to Labor not because it is a Labor bill but because they don’t see the issue the same way as Labor do. And, moreover, you say it is an agreed CONSCIOUSS vote.
@GG …yeah I know…..should of included a disclaimer………still funny though….!
Paul Keating does not and never has tweeted. I remember this being talked about here a while ago. A fake account was deleted after this August 2107 article.
https://www.buzzfeed.com/markdistefano/keating-isnt-on-the-line
The more recent account is clearly the same guy doing the same shtick, except now he puts “parody”in his bio, but still more or less tweets straight, trying to fool people. I do see people on twitter falling for it.
Peg,
So, you think the blog should be restricted to topics of your choice?
How very Greens of you.
GG
Didn’t deny it, did you. As you like to say “weasel words”.
My last comment on the matter.
Peter Lewis on the latest Essential poll
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/commentisfree/2019/mar/12/even-in-its-dying-days-the-government-denies-the-need-for-climate-action
EB….as a matter of campaign strategy, the Gs rage against Labor without a break from their work. Every single thing they do is calibrated around harming Labor electorally. Every single thing they do.
The Gs spend as much time deriding Labor as do the Liberals and the Nationals. They are an anti-Labor Gizmo.
And just lately they have become an anti-Indy Gizmo too. They believe their political interests are best served by aiding the defeat of Labor and of Indy-voices.
They are a Labor-hostile brand…one of several.
Barnyard loves rooting, his own party…
12/03/2019|4min
Deputy Nationals leader Bridget McKenzie has taken an extraordinary swipe at her colleague Barnaby Joyce, saying the electorate wants politicians to ‘stop talking about themselves.’ Speaking with reporters on Tuesday, Ms McKenzie says Mr Joyce’s call for a tax-payer funded coal-fire power station in central Queensland is ‘very different’ than what the party room believes.
She says the Nationals are supporters of a ‘technology neutral approach’ to energy policy and will only support a coal-fired plant if the business case warrants it. Ms McKenzie also expressed her dismay that the specter of leadership tension has reared its head again, saying the Nationals back leader Michael McCormack, ‘to the hilt.’
She says Australians are ‘frustrated’ that Mr Joyce is not ‘focused on their needs and issues.’
Could it be true that as the Real Poll (the Election) gets closer, PB becomes more belligerent, nastier, more insulting? Surely not. Or is this just a sign of the general deterioration in politeness? As I remember, it never descended as low as this, even in the RGR wars.
“They are a Labor-hostile brand…one of several.”
Ohhhhh Poooooooor Labor… Those mean nasty Greens are just so mean!
They spend all their time, every waking moment being REALLY MEAN to Labor. They are just nasty nasty people. Who have NOTHING better to do than be MEAN….
I mean really. Grow up.
Peg,
What’s to deny?
It’s a topic of interest to me and I will post on it whenever I feel I can contribute to the debate.
More trashing of Barnyard’s coal-fueled outburst, from his own side…
By Benjamin Preiss
March 12, 2019 — 12.46pm
Victorian Nationals leader Peter Walsh has taken a swipe at Barnaby Joyce, who maintains he is the “elected deputy prime minister of Australia”, accusing him of showing disrespect and dragging down the team before the federal election.
In rare public criticism of his own party’s mechanics, the veteran Nationals MP said people were “just shaking their heads at the moment” about damaging infighting that has flared between Mr Joyce and federal Nationals leader Michael McCormack, fuelled by debate over the future of coal-fired power plants.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/victorian-nationals-leader-takes-swipe-at-barnaby-joyce-20190312-p513ib.html
Labor is the big bad wolf
sprocket_ @ #220 Tuesday, March 12th, 2019 – 1:00 pm
This could perhaps make sense … if the “business case” for coal included the cost of the damage it does, which makes it the most expensive source of energy of all 🙁
Not much love for the BeetRooter amongst his colleagues today..
“Barnaby Joyce and his colleagues have been told to “just shut up” and “stop navel-gazing” as a rift opens in the Coalition over a coal-fired power station.
The backlash from frustrated National and Liberal MPs comes after Mr Joyce’s call for the power station was slapped down by Prime Minister Scott Morrison.
It also comes as speculation mounts the Nationals could have a leadership spill shortly after the election to roll leader Michael McCormack.
NSW Nationals leader John Barilaro delivered a blunt message for his federal colleagues bickering about energy and leadership this morning: “Just shut up.”
https://outline.com/2GLt27
lizzie, I agree. booleanbach posted an instructive link this morning that gave me a new perspective on insults, humiliation, shame and anger. It helped me step back.
Astrobleme….I think the Gs would better serve their self-expressed values by dissolving themselves. They have got themselves into the very contradictory position of opposing those who can enact reforms – Labor – while simultaneously assisting those who will obstruct reforms – the LNP.
By now, I guess it hardly matters. The Gs have been campaigning against themselves for so long now that they are driving away their long-suffering supporters. We can see this reflected in the declines in their polled support. The prospects are they will lose seats in May.
The Gs could help elect a reform-minded Labor Government with a strong majority. But they won’t. They could make alliances with Indy-Lib voices and try to defeat Liberals in safe-held seats. But they won’t. They will run interference for the LNP instead.
To change the subject to something non-controversial:
GG
I’ve been listening quite a lot to that song your daughter was involved in that was on JJJ Unearthed. A few questions about it if you don’t mind.
Did she perform the song solo, ie did all the vocals and instrumentation?
If it was with others, were they session musicians, or is she part of a group?
Did she write the song herself, or was it co-written with another member of the group (if any), was it written by someone who is also a member of the group (if any), or written by an outsider?
BTW, I love the song and would like to hear more if it’s available, or at least if and when it does become available.
Pegasus
‘I was moved to finally say something because of zoomster’s typical disingenuous attempts, or mistruth, to suggest it was Greens here talking about Burnside today.’
Of course posters will bait the Greens, because they know the Greens will respond. If you want the Burnside issue to die down, let them post but don’t respond.
It’s always this way — I offer you genuine advice, and you spurn me.
‘My last comment on the matter.’
Oh, if only I hadn’t been brought up a Methodist, and was able to place bets…
lizzie
Weren’t you around for the Obama/Clinton flame war? I ended up leaving the blog entirely for a couple of months.
Burnside is running against Oliver Yates. They hope to spoil his campaign. They likewise hope to spoil the chances of the Labor candidate, Jana Stewart. They could not care less if Frydenberg wins or loses. The main thing for the Gs is to prevent either Stewart or Yates from winning.
‘sprocket_ says:
Tuesday, March 12, 2019 at 1:00 pm
Barnyard loves rooting, his own party…
12/03/2019|4min
Deputy Nationals leader Bridget McKenzie has taken an extraordinary swipe at her colleague Barnaby Joyce, saying the electorate wants politicians to ‘stop talking about themselves.’ Speaking with reporters on Tuesday, Ms McKenzie says Mr Joyce’s call for a tax-payer funded coal-fire power station in central Queensland is ‘very different’ than what the party room believes.
She says the Nationals are supporters of a ‘technology neutral approach’ to energy policy and will only support a coal-fired plant if the business case warrants it. Ms McKenzie also expressed her dismay that the specter of leadership tension has reared its head again, saying the Nationals back leader Michael McCormack, “‘to the hilt.’”
Oh oh. Oxford dictionaries:
‘hilt
/hilt/
noun
1. the handle of a weapon or tool, especially a sword, dagger, or knife.’
NSW v Vic Sheffield Shield score perhaps?
A candidate in G-wear will take very few votes from Frydenberg. But they might take votes from Labor. An Indy-Lib is also a competitive threat to the Gs, who will want to stem the flow of G-leaning votes to an Indy-voice.
The G project in Kooyong is aimed at Labor and the Indy. Necessarily, it is therefore a pro-Lib project. Inexorably, the Gs are running interference for Frydenberg.
Dan,
She wrote the song herself. She played all the instruments apart from the Spanish Guitar.
She has been a Member of a Council sponsored studio and they have professional mentors and people with diverse industry experience to help on the production side. Although, she is very much a control freak.
She has been in bands. But, she’s pretty committed. So, wants those she works with to be committed as well. This is not an uncommon problem with bands.
She jobs around town atm and toured BrisVegas last year and does a bit of stand up comedy.
Co-incidentally, she is just about to launch two more songs. One is called Hommus which is a song about friends sitting around a table talking and eating Hommus. The other is called Medea and is based on the classic literrary book of the same name. I believe these will be available for distribution in the next day or so.
I’ll post the new stuff when it becomes available (with WB’s indulgence).
Thank you for your interest.
Conway, with 11 wickets this season (and scored about as many runs), has 4 for 9.
a r @ #128 Tuesday, March 12th, 2019 – 11:15 am
Where does that put Men’s Sheds and its program?
Membership is not in the nature of goods and services. It’s an agreement by and between members to (generally) be bound by a set of rules for a purpose(s). I’m not sure that you can equate discrimination on the basis of sex, race, religion in the provision of services, which is wrong, to men or women only clubs. What are the options if these clubs no longer exist and, for whatever reason, people just want to enjoy the company of persons of their own gender? BB’s toilet?
As Aunty Shirl – close family friend, not real Aunty – said to my mum after she took on more hours as a part-time secretary at the local seminary after her husband Frank retired: “They don’t tell you that you have to have lunch with them every day!”
“I think the Gs would better serve their self-expressed values by dissolving themselves.”
Of course you do…
Z,
Didn’t your acquaintance jen join the Gilligan’s Island breakaway group?
“The G project in Kooyong is aimed at Labor and the Indy. Necessarily, it is therefore a pro-Lib project. Inexorably, the Gs are running interference for Frydenberg.”
I mean this is deranged…
Comedic talent, like red hair, often skips a generation.
Simon,
I didn’t know Kellyanne played cricket.
I suppose she has a bit of spare time these days now daily WhiteHouse Press Conferences are no longer held.
The beetrooter’s mental health needs to be questioned. he looks and sounds quite deranged (more than usual). Turnbull would be laughing bitterly re: the “I’m the elected deputy PM”
Barnyard must be fearful that the kickbacks from his coal patrons will stop coming.
Is there any change of him losing his seat? You’d think a half decent independent could give him a run for his money. Does he think he’d have a better chance as leader, or is he just eyeing of the difference in pensions for deputy PM and minister compared to a backbencher /’special envoy’.
the resignations and by-elections after the election will likely see the labor majority grow. Barnyard will be one of them.
Next polls will be 55-45 to labor – mark me down for that please. They can’t even show discipline 11 days out from the NSW election.
Greensborough Growler @ #238 Tuesday, March 12th, 2019 – 10:27 am
Very impressive. You must be proud as punch.
The last thing the Gs want is for strong, competing voices in the Parliament that articulate reformist views on the climate, the environment or the treatment of refugees. These are the only attention-getting lines on the G-shelves. Nothing else sells for them. So they will try to squeeze out the competition. Without these, the Gs have no means to connect with an audience. They will be unheard if these issues are successfully adopted by Labor or, especially, by Indy voices.
So they will be very worried by the success of Phelps. They will hope that Steggall loses/Abbott wins. They will want to stop Yates. The Indy-Libs are an existential threat to the Gs.