The latest fortnightly result from Essential Research follows Newspoll in recording a one-point move to Labor, who now lead 53-47 on two-party preferred. As reported by The Guardian, the primary votes have the Coalition down a point to 37%, Labor up a point to 38%, the Greens down a point to 8% (their weakest result in any poll since September 2016) and One Nation up a point to 7%. The pollster’s leadership ratings (which they normally do monthly, but this is the first set since January) have Scott Morrison steady on 43% approval and up two on disapproval to 41%, Bill Shorten up three to 38% and down three to 44%, and Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister at 44-31, compared with 42-30 last time.
Other findings relate to climate change and asylum seekers. On the former cont, 62% express belief in climate change caused by human activity, and 51% say Australia is not doing enough to address it. On the latter, 52% believed the government was acting out of genuine concern in reopening Christmas Island while 48% said it was a political ploy (suggesting there was no uncommitted option, which would be unusual for Essential). Also featured was an occasion suite of questions on best party to handle various issues, which seems to have produced typical results, with the Coalition stronger on broader protection and economic management and Labor stronger on the environment, wages, health and education, as well as housing affordability. The full report should be with us later today.
UPDATE: Full report here. The poll was conducted Wednesday to Monday from a sample of 1089.
AM… the Gs would advance their values by dissolving themselves
A M
Get with the program. The Greens are evil full stop!
In scanning here for any info of significance, I was going to respond to the irrelevance of the Greens and this site providing the reasons – that the Greens may be a very noisy minority but that they have no policy substance just barking to what they think is a justified position
But why waste the time?
What is of interest to me is that we are advised that Burnside has attracted $200,000- in donor contributions – yet a rusted on “Green” tells us Burnside will not win the seat
So putting $200,000- on Happy Clappers – on the nose and up against Winx
Makes little sense to me
You are just donating to the Bookies
The other surprising matter to me is the credentials of Yates, coming from where he is coming from and why
And the Greens throwing resources (also) against him
As I say, I just do not comprehend – but that is the Greens
Reality is not considered
Hence their irrelevance
It’s not that the Gs are evil. They are simply counterproductive
briefly
I gave you my sensible take on what will lose it for Frydenberg.
Hawthorn and Wentworth.
Whichever is correct if Frydenberg does not win we will find out on the night.
The only existential crisis will be if Frydenberg loses will be for the Liberals
Ante Meridian @ #1246 Wednesday, March 13th, 2019 – 7:12 pm
Which specific comments state that the Greens are evil?
What’s not to understand.
The Greens always run a candidate in Kooyong.
Burnside has lived in Kooyong all his life. He has decided now is the time for him to run as a candidate.
Burnside is running as a Greens candidate because he sees his world view aligning with Greens Party policies relating to issues he is passionate about and been working on for decades.
Burnside is running to win.
Shockingly, individuals are energised by his candidature and are willingly donating to his campaign.
Whatever the actual value of the Greens is not my point.
The point is that I have vivid recollections of posters on this blog blasting them for never doing any of the ‘heavy lifting’ by targeting coalition-held seats, and instead leaving such ‘hard yards’ to Labor.
Now the Greens are being blasted by those same posters for doing exactly what those posters said they should do.
I hesitate to use the word ‘hypocrite’, but I’m struggling to find a better one.
Good match to identify the skilled players and those with a bit of adventure (Khawaja, Handscomb, Turner, Cummins, Richardson) and the plodders (Finch, Stoinis and Carey).
Wade will need to come in or Handscomb might keep. Smith and Warner will just straight swap for Stoinis and Finch.
Apparently Craig Laundy can’t quit, he has been told to wait.
Having trashed Australia’s chances in the cricket (8 down) I took solace in this from 1993
A young Ian Henderson on ABC News two days before the 1993 election.
Good spot at about 3:00 by Keating saying Hewson should have been at the Canberra event.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OCCgMLLe5Mc
Also the 730 Report from the Friday night – great prediction by Democrat Senator John Coulter.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WWFwDObxS1k
Keating at 2:20 is prophetic – 26 years later!
Also a pearl around 20:32 from Irving Saulwick – a real ‘easter egg’!
briefly
says:
Wednesday, March 13, 2019 at 10:15 pm
AM… the Gs would advance their values by dissolving themselves
___________________________________________
Briefly’s now constant call for the Greens to dissolve themselves is as silly as it gets. The Greens have been far more successful than the Democrats ever were. It’s just that the Greens have been taking traditionally Labor held seats and the ALP partisans just cant stand the fact the electorates they have been taking for granted have rejected them.
AM – once you understand that the agenda of the Dalek Labor faction on this blog is to sledge the Greens in every circumstance, for every activity or non-activity at every time and in every way – then you’ll see that mere trifles such as coherence, consistency, logic or honesty can be thrown out the door effortlessly. If Trump, Abbott, Dutton and ScoMo can adopt this MO, why not the ALP Daleks? You’ve seen how they work. It would be naive to think they’d do otherwise. Same same.
In attributing things to other commenters they have neither said nor inferred, you are in fact victim of your own accusations of hypocrisy.
My own criticisms of the Greens when it comes to Burnside is that they ran a great candidate, but failed to adequately support and prepare him for the national spotlight. This means he has failed before he even starts, with damaged credibility to his own personal attributes that make him a great candidate, and damage to the Greens campaign in the seat.
It’s hard to see Frydenberg losing Kooyong. It could’ve been so different. 🙁
AM….my critique is that the G campaign is at all times and in every place an anti-Labor project. It does not matter where they stand. They campaign against Labor without cessation.
They have gotta expect some blowback.
Do the PB Laborites want to exterminate the Greens?
Have the voters in Kooyong been surveyed to determine whether Burnside’s credibility as a candidate has been damaged by his association with the Savage Club?
NAFAIK.
Australia was 1/175 when I typed this
One of these two needs to bat to nearly the end of the innings. Otherwise there may be one of those sudden momentum-losing mini-collapses and a final score of 280.
And finished at 9/272. I guess I picked it (or caused it)
10%+ unemployment across the board in ’93
I blame you 100% Rocket.
The Gs have firmly established themselves as a Labor-hostile outfit. They do not even try to deny it. They celebrate it.
RR
From now on, you will be known as the hexer
Rocket Rocket:
I learned a while ago that #CricketonPB seriously puts the mockers on the Aussie team, and should therefore be avoided.
😀
Confessions
Self Identifying? 😆
More seriously the Greens are taking on Frydenberg and maybe not this election but like Higgins it could break the Liberal hold.
Amazing when you think of the politics of yesteryear with “The Colt From Kooyong “
Shellbell
And they didn’t even mention interest rates!
I think the Liberal ads where they highlighted unemployment showing people in the crosshairs saying something like “You could be next” probably just frightened people.
Also those 11% unemployed probably weren’t encouraged by Hewson planning to make life harder for those on unemployment benefits.
PB Comedy Hour (or so) in full swing.
Government is about more than an issue or issues – because an issue or issues come and go for the raft of reasons they do
Government is about government
Drive the suburbs of Canberra and see the presence of government
Starting with the parliament and the High Court
“PB Comedy Hour (or so) in full swing.”
If you want comedy follow the Brexit stuff in the UK. Much silliness.
Makes our Greens look like masterful political players and even the Libs look somewhat rational. 🙁
Ok…..maybe not the Libs so much but you get what i mean. 🙂
Davidwh says:
Wednesday, March 13, 2019 at 10:40 pm
Do the PB Laborites want to exterminate the Greens?
That would be going too far. I have an argument to put about their campaigns…. and the role they play in the political spectrum…
I have not posted about cricket for a while, for the reasons I’ve already said.
As for the Greens, I have some sympathy for briefly’s view that the Greens would not prosper should AGW and asylum seekers no longer be a political issue.
Cheers Confessions… 🙂
The old adage is “we have them and they have to get them”
So it is now up to our bowlers and our fielders to perform
And hopefully with some assistance from the deck – such as slow and keeping low making shot making difficult particularly once the ball becomes softer
And Carey is a superb ‘keeper and a very good bat
https://www.google.com.au/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/mar/13/northern-territory-ordered-to-pay-253m-to-native-title-holders-in-legal-first
Significant case
The wobbly underbelly of politics. Disgusting really.
Definite case of causality there, Rocket.
Davidwh @ #1293 Wednesday, March 13th, 2019 – 9:40 pm
You mean that rhetorically, right?
Good night all – I need to switch off the cricket on cricinfo!
And get up early for tomorrow morning’s “Meaningless Vote” in the Commons…. because
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/mar/13/george-pells-jailing-defies-the-might-of-rome-but-his-fall-is-too-appalling-for-celebration
David Marr….lucid, impassioned as ever…
troll
/trōl/
noun
1.
a person who makes a deliberately offensive or provocative online post.
1.
make a deliberately offensive or provocative online post with the aim of upsetting someone or eliciting an angry response from them:
“if people are obviously trolling then I’ll delete your posts and do my best to ban you”
Observer @11.04pm
A superb political analogy.
“Do the PB Laborites want to exterminate the Greens?”
As someone who mainly votes Labor, and sometimes the Reason Party or Greens, I have to say that it is the Labor people on this blog that are the most aggressive and intolerant of other views.
Well said EB
AR of course. That’s what you do to Daleks.
A hard Brexit will be a disaster. Why can’t May simply say to the parliament, voters and the EU that Brits tried their hardest to Brexit but couldn’t find legislative means that were acceptable to the parliament?
End of story. No Brexit.
Confessions @ #1294 Wednesday, March 13th, 2019 – 8:23 pm
Because May’s whole political future depends on something – anything being done. To throw her hands in the air and give up is political suicide (not that anything she does won’t have the same effect though).
The problem is there is very little support for a brexit with a deal. May is trying to negotiate something with the EU that has few UK supporters.
The brexiteers want a no deal brexit as that is the only way they get their “freedom” from the EU back.
The remainers don’t want a deal brexit either as they do not want brexit at all.
The hard brexiteers are gambling big time. If everything collapses a new referendum could be very dangerous. The people supporting brexit will be very angry.
god the thin-skinned, unhinged and irrational ranting against the greens here is so dull.
IMO it is good for labor to be critiqued from the left – especially when they are in government, and it is preferable that the greens and not RWNJs have control of the upper house as well as some lower house reps to both keep the bastards honest and bring a voice of the left into the parliament.
I sense labor is undergoing a generational shift that might diminish the need for the greens, but that fact is that labor lost its way for several decades while the NSW right ran the party. In government, labor will tend to the right, so it is good to keep the greens trying to drag them to the left.
It is not Labor who are aggressive and offensive, it is the Grouper Junta.
“and it is preferable that the greens and not RWNJs have control of the upper house as well as some lower house reps to both keep the bastards honest and bring a voice of the left into the parliament.”
Agree…to some extent sf. Used to put more of my vote towards the Greens than i do now days and may again if they can prove to me that they wont do the “be perfect in years to come rather than good enough now” thing. On Climate Change and the Environment we just don’t have the time left to act for that attitude.
That is the problem with Brexit though. The Brexiters cannot see any other rational option and the remain cannot see anything but remain. Politically both May and Corbyn both understand this is a lose / lose.