Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

The second Newspoll for the year finds no continuation of the Coalition’s recent improving trend.

After a period of improving poll results for the Coalition, the latest Newspoll records a tiny shift on primary votes to Labor, but not another to alter their existing lead of 53-47 from a fortnight ago. Labor is up one point on the primary vote to 39%, after a three-point drop last time, while the Coalition is steady on 37%, retaining their two-point gain in the last poll. The Greens are steady on 9%, while One Nation is down a point to 5%, the lowest it’s been in a year. Scott Morrison’s personal ratings are improved, with approval up three to 43% and disapproval down two to 45%, and his lead as prime minister out from 43-36 to 44-35. Bill Shorten is down one on approval to 36% and up one on disapproval to 51%. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1567.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,273 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

Comments Page 25 of 46
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  2. The negotiations are not over yet.

    The Greens will be pious and pure if they insist on not restricting to the current crop of refugees. If that’s why they vote it down I will agree.

    However the speed of the medical urgency comes under Doctor not politician decision.

    Remember the whole purpose of the Bill is speedy evacuation when required

  4. This is why Labor tragic are already out with the pure nonsense to cover its Labor that by seeking changes to a Bill they already passed is scared by the politically motivated briefing about “pull” factors

    Plenty of bills get passed, only to be rethought and amended a few months later. I wish I had a dollar for every time the Greens have reversed course on a policy, or voted for an amendment to make a law better, even to amend or repeal laws they originally voted for.

    The net result of today may well be that suffering refugees continue to suffer, and that ScoMo convinces enough voters that Labor is “soft on boats”, perhaps to the point of being re-elected.

    And then what will happen? EXACTLY what happened with the CPRS and the Carbon Tax: for the sake of perfection we got a big fat nothing. Not for a few weeks or months, but for (now) over a decade).

    Hope the Greens are happy with themselves.

  5. [guytaur says:
    Tuesday, February 12, 2019 at 11:47 am
    Fozzie

    The medical opinion of a Doctor has to take precedence.

    This is Labor playing politics by mucking around with the already passed Senate Bill. If it fails it will be due to Labor not the Greens.]
    ………………………………………………………….

    You are all over the place. First you claimed there were no ALP amendments, just clarifications. Next minute the ALP amendments (about which you seem to know nothing directly) somehow completely fail to ensure emergency medical treatment.

    The reality is that the ALP amendments seek to do 3 things.

    First, ensure “unworthy” refugees (like murderers) do not receive the emergency medical treatment in Australia.

    Secondly, ensure prospective refugees do not start coming by boat to Australia by restricting the application to current refugees.

    Thirdly, ensure the time in which the Minister can exercise a discretion to overturn a medical decision for emergency transfer and treatment is not too compressed to enable a reasonably practical time to properly consider the decision.

    All of these amendments are a pull back from the Phelps Bill. Ostensibly the amendments were made on the advice of security agencies.

    None of the proposed amendments make the situation worse than the current situation. Di Natale is just playing politics. He is demonstrating the reason why so many are sick of the Greens.

  7. A bill which is initiated and passed in one House of Parliament goes to the other house for agreement.

    If the other house amends the bill, it must return to the originating house for confirmation.

    So if the Storer bill, originating in the Senate, is amended in the House – it goes back to the Senate where the Quisling Greens can vote with the Coalition to keep the sick people stranded in Manus and Nauru.

    It’s time for the honourable Greens to give Di Natalie the boot.

  9. The Greens have a simple choice; back the sensible compromise amendments or get nothing. As usual it seems they will adopt an all or nothing approach and get nothing. Disappointing but not at all surprising, proving yet again that a vote for the Greens is wasted.

  12. OMG

    Once again the Greens throw all the toys out of the Cot because they won’t get exactly what is ideal. So on principle they say no and go eat smashed avocado and organic latte to congratulate themselves while 100’s of people languish in nightmare conditions. Why am I suprised- yeah i know. UGHHH

  17. poroti
    says:
    Tuesday, February 12, 2019 at 12:08 pm
    Awhooga ! From left field………….and Amy’s blog
    “Rogue Labor MP Emma Husar has not turned up to parliament…

    And I thought it was going to be a good day 🙁

  18. Labor people.

    The Doctors are the experts. Compromise was done in the Senate. This from the Greens is no surprise to anyone. They are backing the fairness of doctors

  19. If the amended bill Labor is wanting to put to the House gets through, of course it has to go back to the Senate. It will be a different bill to the one passed in December.

    And if the greens and others block it there, back to the drawing board.

  22. Football has been played in England in various forms since the Middle Ages. In fact, Edward the III passed legislation to ban it. This was because he saw it as a distraction from more important pursuits, such as archery (England were fighting France in the Hundred Years War.) and the game was resulting in too many deaths.

  26. Question @ #1213 Tuesday, February 12th, 2019 – 11:10 am

    poroti
    says:
    Tuesday, February 12, 2019 at 12:08 pm
    Awhooga ! From left field………….and Amy’s blog
    “Rogue Labor MP Emma Husar has not turned up to parliament…

    And I thought it was going to be a good day 🙁

    One might say Karma is a beast.

    Why does labor expect to keep Husar after she was kicked out. The libs will have to work hard to keep Sudmalis in the house and Jane Prentice.

  27. [guytaur says:
    Tuesday, February 12, 2019 at 12:08 pm
    Labor is actively considering the Greens objections. Its not sunk.

    So get off you high horse Labor people.]

    ………………………………………………
    You mean to say Labor and the Greens remain in discussion. Which is the case.

    What is unjustifiable is Di Natale’s claim that the ALP amendments made the Bill worse than the current position. That is Di Natale over-reaching and throwing a tantie. That is the problem.

  28. What’s the bet that, in the event of the bill passing the House with amendments, Labor proposes further amendments when it gets to the Senate?

    Farfetched? Don’t forget, Labor passed the bill in the Senate without amendments, but now seeks ‘compromise’ with those who wish to pass the bill in the House without amendments.

  30. The Doctors are the experts. Compromise was done in the Senate. This from the Greens is no surprise to anyone. They are backing the fairness of doctors

    You’ve already said that, and it’s just as mistaken now as it was when you first said it.

    No unelected doctor should be able to overrule a Minister, especially at the stroke of a pen. That’s why doctors are doctors and governments are governments.

    As long as the appeal pathways are clear and fair (which is what the present bill purports to address) then government – even if that government includes dutton – must take precedence.

    The only ones who can overrule the government are the parliament and the courts, not doctors, no matter how concerned they are for the patient.

    If the patient dies then the government takes the blame (if any).

  31. Where is Emma Husar?

    This is amateur hour behaviour from the parliamentary ALP.

    The Manager of Opposition Business in the House is supposed to be able to count.

  32. Well if Phelps and Storrer side with the ALP and the Greens don’t, that says a lot about the Greens preferring to play politics with AS lives doesn’t it.

  33. DTT

    Have to agree regarding Hussar and yes that’s with admitting Hussar handled her leave will contest badly.

    Something that only occurred due to the whole thing going public.

    Edit: I still hope she will be there in time for the vote.

  36. DaretoTread
    says:
    Tuesday, February 12, 2019 at 12:13 pm
    One might say Karma is a beast.
    Why does labor expect to keep Husar after she was kicked out. The libs will have to work hard to keep Sudmalis in the house and Jane Prentice.

    This bill was initiated by the cross bench, I think Husar should put the refugees ahead of any personal bitch. (EDIT:even if it’s understandable)

  38. I put the Essential poll improvement down to the stirling efforts of Tim Wilson in going out of his way to publicise just how much of a rort the franking credits rebate really is… and how much he needed to rort the system to go about publicising it.

    The applause last night on Q&A was rapturously in favour every time the Labor policy was mentioned.

    “Own goal” comes to mind. Too clever by half was Tim.

  39. guytaur

    ‘The Greens will be pious and pure if they insist on not restricting to the current crop of refugees. If that’s why they vote it down I will agree.’

    At the moment, the current crop of refugees are the only refugees that this legislation can possibly apply to. Voting it down because it doesn’t apply to refugees whose future existence is purely hypothetical does nothing to help those who are currently there – ‘Remember the whole purpose of the Bill is speedy evacuation when required.’

  40. poroti @ #1211 Tuesday, February 12th, 2019 – 11:09 am

    Translation?

    Emma Husar MP
    (@emmahusarmp)
    Just swallow your rage.
    Even if it makes you choke.

    February 12, 2019

    She’s either telling herself to show up and vote, or telling everyone else to fuck off and get over the fact that she’s not going to show up and vote.

    Hypothetically also possible that some Labor person (or persons) gave her comparable “advice” when the party ditched her, and now she’s throwing it straight back in their face.

  41. BB

    Both Hussar and The Medical Evacuation Bill have something in common.

    The problem being caused by political players interfering in the normal process.

    A proper due process according to our normal would have never started this problem.

  43. The Essential poll shows Labor don’t need to be scared of boats.

    The LNP have been running hard on it.

    Bank and Franking Credits are resonating more.

  45. Today’s Essential goes a way to prove that when FauxMo and his team of pissants aren’t in your face,
    polling improves for them; when they are, polling reverts to trend.

  46. Nicko @ #1179 Tuesday, February 12th, 2019 – 11:53 am

    So now the Greens has publicly announced they won’t support the amendments, basically they have destroyed any reasonable chance for them to negotiation on the medivac bill, as they have already said no…. bloody hopeless
    I expect the Bill will fail now.

    It’s actually a case of Labor not backing up their vote in the senate 2 months ago.

    Labor and Liberal are pathetic.

  47. Please Labor learn.

    Your polling rises when you are seen as strong. That includes being strong on protecting human rights.

    See the Democrats v Trump

  50. Zoom @12:22

    Given the way the L-NP have played the boats issue over the years I think making contingencies for future possibilities is the wise thing to do. Especially now the election is drawing near and they’re getting desperate.

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