Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

The second Newspoll for the year finds no continuation of the Coalition’s recent improving trend.

After a period of improving poll results for the Coalition, the latest Newspoll records a tiny shift on primary votes to Labor, but not another to alter their existing lead of 53-47 from a fortnight ago. Labor is up one point on the primary vote to 39%, after a three-point drop last time, while the Coalition is steady on 37%, retaining their two-point gain in the last poll. The Greens are steady on 9%, while One Nation is down a point to 5%, the lowest it’s been in a year. Scott Morrison’s personal ratings are improved, with approval up three to 43% and disapproval down two to 45%, and his lead as prime minister out from 43-36 to 44-35. Bill Shorten is down one on approval to 36% and up one on disapproval to 51%. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1567.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,273 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

  1. From the FIN – the cost of keeping refugees offshore on Manus Island.

    Calculations by the Financial Review indicate Paladin is being paid on average $20.8 million a month by the government to provide security at all three sites and manage the East Lorengau Transit Centre. That amount has risen 48 per cent from an average of $14 million a month last year. A Home Affairs spokesperson said there were now 422 people housed at the three camps – 213 at East Lorengau, 111 at West Lorengau and 98 asylum seekers at Hillside Haus.

    That means on a daily basis it now costs the Australian government over $1600 to house each refugee on Manus, not including food and welfare services, more than double the price of a suite at the Shangri-La hotel in Sydney.

    What a waste of tax payers money – They ARE on an island. Are they going to swim to Australia ?

  2. In the one minute that I saw Morrsion on TV he was shouting and waving around some pamphlets – one with his face on and the other with a helicopter. I just saw a headline in The Age “The booklet that reveals how Scott Morrison plans to beat Bill Shorten” and it struck me – ‘Peace in our time’

  3. How can Qanda have someone detained in Nauru Skyping in when we can’t have media outlets broadcast from Nauru? Or Manus for that matter?

  4. “Govt a walking advertisement for people smugglers.”

    Morrison is virtually inviting people smugglers to start of the boats. Maybe he’s praying for it

    EDIT: Dreyfus calling the “Liberal” lady a liar. Good.

  5. Di Natale was right to apologise. Rudd is not a Dutton. It is clear Rudd has feelings for others. I am not saying all others but he did deliver the Apology. That was heartfelt. Dutton could never deliver that. (in my opinion).

    There are probably some roles in which sociopathic tendencies would be a bonus. Locking people up till they die of sepsis while denying them medical care in order to send a negative signal to asylum seekers would be one. It is best to put in charge someone who won’t have nightmares.

  6. Good rant from Steven Mayne on Q&A.

    I’m so conflicted re Steven, he crosses from ‘quite sensible’ to ‘should be on sky / blocked / ignored for the rest of history’, you know a bit like PvO but with occasional actual value.

  7. Comparing Morrison with Big Kev is a bit harsh on Kev.

    As best I recall his cleaning products actually worked pretty well.

    Hard to claim that anything Morrison has had a hand in has been good for anybody.

  8. I will be watching QandA tomorrow morning with my son. He yells at Libs so I have to pause the replay until he shuts up. Well to be honest I yell at the TV too. It can take two hours to watch QandA.

    Funny thing, he is the expert on USA politics. He knows the players by sight.

  9. So the Phelps Bill is going to pass. Hakeem saved. This is the start of change I have wanted to see. What a great day it’s turned out. I am assuming the vote is locked in. 🙂

  10. Same. In a way it makes them more interesting I guess.

    He was on twitter this morning defending Tim Wilson’s shonky misuse of a Parliamentary inquiry and taxpayer funds and corrupt and misleading use of websites as a really good thing that ‘informed’ people.

    It is purely an opposition proposal it has life in the election campaign and if Labor win, the Govt has no right to use taxpayer money to fight the election. People should go to jail for it (you know if we had laws that stopped corruption), not be praised for it.

  11. Bushfire Bill says:
    Monday, February 11, 2019 at 9:51 pm
    These people will be in HOSPITAL, whether they are terrorists or Mother Theresa.

    Mother Theresa was a person who preached against birth control among the most poverty stricken people in the world. How was she not a terrorist?

  12. And you wonder why the Liberal Party have a problem with women

    Look at the women they have in the Parliament – and have had

    If you want a hand out of Franking Credits which are not offsets to tax you are required to pay then have a process where you apply to Centrelink – as you do with every other government money given to you as a citizen

    Let Centrelink determine if you are eligible

  13. Puffy

    You can be fairly certain Dutton would not have delivered the Apology.

    After the ceremony, the House of Representatives unanimously adopted the proposed apology motion. Six members of Nelson’s opposition caucus — Don Randall, Sophie Mirabella, Dennis Jensen, Wilson Tuckey, Luke Simpkins, and Alby Schultz — left the House in protest at the apology. Peter Dutton was the only Opposition front bencher to abstain from the apology

  14. Frank (cited by the “Liberal” lady in blue) has $10,000 in franking credits, so about $23,000 in dividends, so he has a share portfolio worth of about half a million.

    Frank can get stuffed. He’s probably claiming a tax free pension as well. He doesn’t need handouts.

  15. Confessions says:
    Monday, February 11, 2019 at 10:13 pm
    Re the business woman on Qanda. The business community are not sending us their best people.
    Maybe they are?

  16. Puffy

    A few years ago we were at a Reconciliation Concert at Melbourne Town Hall that one of our children was involved in. The last performance was the finale of Deborah Cheetham’s opera “Pecan Summer” which we had never seen. The actors/singers are performing the climax of the piece while in the background (on the radio?) you can hear Rudd’s Apology. It was extraordinarily moving. We had the fortune to run into Deborah a few years later and had to thank her for that work.

    For the pain, suffering, and hurt of these Stolen Generations, their descendants and for their families left behind, we say sorry.
    To the mothers and the fathers, the brothers and the sisters, for the breaking up of families and communities, we say sorry.
    And for the indignity and degradation thus inflicted on a proud people and a proud culture, we say sorry.

  17. Ok so the business woman sounds more credible when she talks about working as a Liberal staffer, being a Liberal party member and so on.

    Perhaps she should be credited with being a Liberal party member and not a business woman?

  18. Just as an aside, I am very excited. I found out that in the Blue Mountains of NSW there is the only Bodyfarm in the Southern Hemisphere and I have the forms on the way to donate my body to it when I kick the bucket.

    Where science is concerned, I am putting my whole body into it.

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