Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

The second Newspoll for the year finds no continuation of the Coalition’s recent improving trend.

After a period of improving poll results for the Coalition, the latest Newspoll records a tiny shift on primary votes to Labor, but not another to alter their existing lead of 53-47 from a fortnight ago. Labor is up one point on the primary vote to 39%, after a three-point drop last time, while the Coalition is steady on 37%, retaining their two-point gain in the last poll. The Greens are steady on 9%, while One Nation is down a point to 5%, the lowest it’s been in a year. Scott Morrison’s personal ratings are improved, with approval up three to 43% and disapproval down two to 45%, and his lead as prime minister out from 43-36 to 44-35. Bill Shorten is down one on approval to 36% and up one on disapproval to 51%. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1567.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,273 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

  1. Why don’t government’s show some class and just take a back step when these things happen? It just makes Morrison look even more like an opportunistic grub

  2. citizen @ #680 Monday, February 11th, 2019 – 7:59 pm

    This fellow needs to be careful when he goes in for surgery – or does he only see extreme RW doctors?

    The trouble with doctors
    NICK CATER
    If asylum selection is outsourced, plumbers would have more integrity than quacks, whose reputation for impartiality is eroded. (Oz headline)

    There’s an ex Vet called Leyonhjelm who may be able to help with Cater’s recurrent penile discharge…

  3. Sceptic

    Yes to going behind the claim of self-incrimination. The court could find no criminal act from person refusing to answer questions and order they be answered.

    I was in a case where a police officer declined to answer questions before a coroner about a high profile shooting and the process was the subject of three appeals before he had to answer.

  4. Bragging about who you block is quite clearly bullying.

    If the statement is made in concert with others expressing similar sentiments, it’s mobbing.

    “I don’t like So-and-so. Do YOU like So-and-so? No? See? NO-ONE likes So-and-so. Everyone hates you So-and-so.”

    Kid stuff.

  5. I never had a problem with Bemused, he seemed more a victim of bullying than a perp. Although the victimhood on here would argue with that summation no doubt.

  6. Bushfire Bill @ #761 Monday, February 11th, 2019 – 9:05 pm

    Bragging about who you block is quite clearly bullying.

    If the statement is made in concert with others expressing similar sentiments, it’s mobbing.

    “I don’t like So-and-so. Do YOU like So-and-so? No? See? NO-ONE likes So-and-so. Everyone hates you So-and-so.”

    Kid stuff.

    I’ve got some worms to share!

  7. clem attlee @ #756 Monday, February 11th, 2019 – 8:31 pm

    Why don’t government’s show some class and just take a back step when these things happen? It just makes Morrison look even more like an opportunistic grub

    Because Morrison is an opportunistic grub. There may be some justification for the PM and/or the FM to make a statement or hold a presser but Morrison cannot do it without making himself look like an opportunistic grub.

    There is not much he can do that does not make him look like and OG. Maybe because he is an OG and he just cannot keep it hidden.

  8. Four days til the shutdown deadline in the US and many govt workers are still getting back on their feet after the last one! It makes you recall that saying about how most people are 2 paychecks away from homelessness.

    The federal government had finally called her back to work after 35 days, but now Vicki Ibarra wondered how she could afford to get there. Her used sedan had been repossessed by the bank a few days earlier. The family minivan had a faulty engine and barely any gas. Her Internet had been cut off a month into the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, so she used a friend’s wireless password to log into her bank account. There was $0.38 left in checking and $7.80 in savings, the sum total of 16 years at the IRS.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/devastated-by-one-shutdown-dreading-the-next/2019/02/10/5ec2afcc-2b06-11e9-b011-d8500644dc98_story.html?utm_term=.09397b490f51

  9. Mark Dreyfus being on QandA tonight is going to be interesting.

    We will get a good idea of Labor thinking. Hopefully Jones won’t interrupt the explanation too much.

  10. Well William, maybe they would have lost by an wider margin. Maybe sorting out the Administrative Committee meant getting even more RWRNJ preselected?

  11. ” probably the most exciting thing happening in Victorian Liberal circles this year. ”

    More exiting than the Thrashing they copped in Victoria? More exiting than looking forward too the jolly good fun that will be the 2019 federal campaign?? Wow! 🙂

  12. BB:

    On the contrary, it’s not an ancient grudge; as I intimated, I found it hilarious. Where we part, however, is your apparent attempt to take the high ground, following on from the interdictions of William.

  13. I am bragging about whom I block, just that I avail myself of that facility and it is there for people who complain about others, and that I like the word block too. It was useful during some previous Bludger wars.
    So Cocky, #getyafactsright.
    And William. I am setting the record straight.

  14. correction
    PuffyTMD @ #776 Monday, February 11th, 2019 – 8:42 pm

    I am NOT bragging about whom I block, just that I avail myself of that facility and it is there for people who complain about others, and that I like the word block too. It was useful during some previous Bludger wars.
    So Cocky, #getyafactsright.
    And William. I am setting the record straight.

  15. Somewhere in excess of 1.1 million children and adults participate in soccer in Australia. Add in the numbers of club volunteers and parents, it the most popular participatory sport in Australia. My club has around 1700 players during the winter season.

  16. Yep, you are right about that Goll. I reckon that football will become the main code within 50 years. I can see AFL dying. It is in real trouble. As a teacher, I rarely see kids having a kick at lunchtime and discussion of AFL in the staff room is now a rare occurrence. Kids see players earning 200,000 pounds a week in the EPL and representing their country in football and to them it’s a no brainer.

  17. Although I was mowing the lawns this morning I managed to hear much of Mirrison’s speech on the ABC Listen app.

    It was a Big Brag from start to finish. He set himself up as the Saviour Of The Nation. He’s going to rescue everyone from citizens in Bourke St mall to Battered Wives. And let’s not forget Retirees, from whom Bill Shorten (did he mention Bill Shorten? Only about a million times. Someone probably told him the Worm took a dip at every mention of the name) will be stealing their nest eggs. ScoMo has redefined security: shelter from Evil, from wherever the Devil drops it off, be it economic, domestic, Muslim, climatic, or just plain Bill Shorten.

    So now he’s saved Hakeem from Teh Evil Thais and the Dastardly Bahrainis.

    But no matter who you vote for, no-one likes a braggart. What (rightfully) should have been a positive for ScoMo, he has turned into a negative.

    Just another braggart.

  18. PS, where AFL has shown growth is in girl’s participation. A lot of my female students have taken it up. However, a number of girls are also playing football.

  19. guytaur:

    Or had his mind changed for him more like.

    Seems Sarah Henderson is the Liberal on tonight’s panel. Wonder what happened there.

  20. I knew the Victorian Liberals were in trouble the moment I saw that Nick Demirius was at the helm at the last state election. He was a thug in his Uni days and remains one. The tactics he deployed were straight out the Young Liberal play book circa 2004 – and the ALP knew that too as their admin came from the same era of student politics – they read it like a book.

  21. Clem @9:01 “Why don’t government’s show some class and just take a back step when these things happen? It just makesMorrison look even more like an opportunistic grub”

    Looks can sometimes be deceiving, but not in thus case.

  22. People have been predicting the demise of Australian football for as long as I can remember.

    Last time I looked it was still going ok.

    Soccer is growing and that is a good thing as is the female participation in both sports.

    Last zealot who told me Aussies rules was dead and there would only be one AFL team in WA in less than a decade was a Rugby Union man.

    Anybody remember the Western Force?

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