Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

The first Newspoll of the year records an improvement in the Coalition’s position after a particularly bad result in the final poll last year.

The Australian reports the first Newspoll of the year has Labor leading 53-47, compared with 55-45 in the final poll of last year. On the primary vote, the Coalition is up two to 37%, Labor is down three to 38%, the Greens are steady on 9% and One Nation are down one to 6%. Scott Morrison leads 43-36 on preferred prime minister, down from 44-36, and is down two on approval to 40% and up two on disapproval to 47%. Bill Shorten’s net rating is reported at minus 13%, compared with minus 15% in the last poll – we will have to wait for later to see his exact approval and disapproval ratings. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1634.

UPDATE: Shorten is up a point on approval to 37% and down one on disapproval to 50%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,983 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

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  1. The AustralianVerified account@australian
    11m11 minutes ago
    #BREAKING: Scott Morrison has maintained his lead over Labor leader Bill Shorten as better prime minister https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/newspoll-scott-morrison-receives-preelection-boost/news-story/33856fd3b4f755c8d773f3ac16f7f396 โ€ฆ #Newspoll #auspol

    *Better PM* as distinct from *preferred PM*. Has whomever is managing the Oz twitter account got the terminology wrong, or has it changed in the Newspoll survey? Or are they two separate measures entirely?

  2. Shows you how much the public don’t want to elect Shorten that the government are getting 47! and Morrison is still better PM, despite a comical and some would say utterly lamentable go at it!

  3. Pretty significant fall in ALP primary vote to under 40. Not looking good.

    GhostWhoVotes
    #Newspoll Federal Primary Votes: L/NP 37 (+2) ALP 38 (-3) GRN 9 (0) ON 6 (-1) #auspol

  4. “imacca
    Iโ€™ve seen a couple of storage projects, but they are not large. Solar and wind farms, more solar, more windfarms. They are popping up like mushrooms.
    The 500 KV line from Melbourne to Portland is going to become a wind farm backbone. I will bet they never foresaw that when they built it.
    The Murray link will get built; that will give diverse routes to SA.
    There will be Transmisison line to renewable resources in NSW and Queensland.
    As to storage, my bet is on a second link to Tasmania landing at Portland to give a diverse route and all out development of Tasi hydro; pump storage the lot.
    People know where the lines have to be built now, as the applications for connection are in. There are maps around that show it all.”

    Thanks frednk. The good thing about that is that from what you are saying, the basic infrastructure to underpin expanded renewable generation and storage is quietly getting put in place. ๐Ÿ™‚

    Newspoll. Well, seems to me the Coalition always does better in the plling when they are less visible during non sitting times. Peoples optimism triumphs over lived reality. Polling after a week or so of their rolling parliamentary fwarkups will be telling. ๐Ÿ™‚

  5. Of course the ALP will need the Greens to even scrape into government. It’s shame they aren’t as nice to the Greens as the Libs are to ON!

  6. Rupertariat obviously going to spin this Newspoll for what it’s worth ๐Ÿ˜†

    The AustralianVerified account@australian
    3m3 minutes ago
    Scott Morrison has begun the unofficial election campaign with an improvement in #Newspoll that he had not been expecting, writes @simonbenson https://www.theaustralian.com.au/opinion/newspoll-hidden-messages-as-year-gets-off-to-surprising-start/news-story/721104edd3715c1ec66212830c09e51b โ€ฆ #auspol

  7. The positive economic message of PM Morrison is starting to cut through, especially in resource-rich Queensland, Western Australia and the Northern Territory. Also, people in Queensland, Western Australia and the Northern Territory want to keep a Liberal federal government in Canberra in order to keep their Labor state governments in check, that is why PM Morrison will win the election.

  8. Bree @ #17 Monday, January 28th, 2019 – 10:16 pm

    The positive economic message of PM Morrison is starting to cut through, especially in resource-rich Queensland, Western Australia and the Northern Territory. Also, people in Queensland, Western Australia and the Northern Territory want to keep a Liberal federal government in Canberra in order to keep their Labor state governments in check, that is why PM Morrison will win the election.

    Wayne? Is that you?

  9. C@tmomma
    says:
    Monday, January 28, 2019 at 10:11 pm
    I see the flaccid prick nath is trying to go hard on these Newspoll numbers.
    __________________________________
    Look if you really want to talk dirty on PB I’m up for it.

  10. Hi Bree. Iโ€™m glad you are glad. It will make the wipeout on election night an even bigger shock to you. Hope you donโ€™t infarct.

  11. Andrew_Earlwood
    says:
    Monday, January 28, 2019 at 10:19 pm
    Hi Bree. Iโ€™m glad you are glad. It will make the wipeout on election night an even bigger shock to you. Hope you donโ€™t infarct.
    _________________________________
    What an unpleasant little wanker you are.

  12. Andrew_Earlwood
    says:
    Monday, January 28, 2019 at 10:25 pm
    โ€œWhat an unpleasant little wanker you are.โ€
    Pot. Kettle. Much.
    _________________
    I’m not the world’s nicest guy, but I don’t sit around speculating/hoping that people have strokes. It’s a sick mind that conjures up that sort of imagery.

  13. I want this selfish coalition government our of office ASAP as they are putting this beautiful country of ours into an downturn so they can blame ALP for the mess which they did

  14. C@tmomma
    says:
    Monday, January 28, 2019 at 10:33 pm
    Yep. Bill Shorten is so unpopular he already has 2222 hearts on Twitter for his dogโ€™s passing.
    _________________________
    I’m just putting this out there. Anyone else suspicious of the timing on this one? I wouldn’t put it past him. ๐Ÿ™‚

  15. nath @ #43 Monday, January 28th, 2019 – 10:36 pm

    C@tmomma
    says:
    Monday, January 28, 2019 at 10:33 pm
    Yep. Bill Shorten is so unpopular he already has 2222 hearts on Twitter for his dog’s passing.
    _________________________
    I’m just putting this out there. Anyone else suspicious of the timing on this one? I wouldn’t put it past him. 🙂

    The dog died after a long battle with cancer you rank imbecile!

  16. Record heat waves, bushfires, fish deaths…and the Greens vote doesn’t move.

    Just as well they chose pill testing as their key issue over the last few weeks!

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