The Australian reports the first Newspoll of the year has Labor leading 53-47, compared with 55-45 in the final poll of last year. On the primary vote, the Coalition is up two to 37%, Labor is down three to 38%, the Greens are steady on 9% and One Nation are down one to 6%. Scott Morrison leads 43-36 on preferred prime minister, down from 44-36, and is down two on approval to 40% and up two on disapproval to 47%. Bill Shorten’s net rating is reported at minus 13%, compared with minus 15% in the last poll – we will have to wait for later to see his exact approval and disapproval ratings. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1634.
UPDATE: Shorten is up a point on approval to 37% and down one on disapproval to 50%.
Meh.
Interested to see how they got that figure on those primaries
*Better PM* as distinct from *preferred PM*. Has whomever is managing the Oz twitter account got the terminology wrong, or has it changed in the Newspoll survey? Or are they two separate measures entirely?
Clearly the LNP is on an upward trend. ScoMoFo would be a fool not to call an election right now!
Meh.
Not even.
This is as good as it’s ever going to get for them from here on. I hope they enjoy the moment.
Clearly Scrott needs to call the election first thing in the morning. What with all that ‘momentum’ 😆
Shows you how much the public don’t want to elect Shorten that the government are getting 47! and Morrison is still better PM, despite a comical and some would say utterly lamentable go at it!
Jen if you give Labor 80% of Green and 50% of others primary votes it comes out at 53%. Seems generally ok to me.
Pretty significant fall in ALP primary vote to under 40. Not looking good.
GhostWhoVotes
#Newspoll Federal Primary Votes: L/NP 37 (+2) ALP 38 (-3) GRN 9 (0) ON 6 (-1) #auspol
“imacca
I’ve seen a couple of storage projects, but they are not large. Solar and wind farms, more solar, more windfarms. They are popping up like mushrooms.
The 500 KV line from Melbourne to Portland is going to become a wind farm backbone. I will bet they never foresaw that when they built it.
The Murray link will get built; that will give diverse routes to SA.
There will be Transmisison line to renewable resources in NSW and Queensland.
As to storage, my bet is on a second link to Tasmania landing at Portland to give a diverse route and all out development of Tasi hydro; pump storage the lot.
People know where the lines have to be built now, as the applications for connection are in. There are maps around that show it all.”
Thanks frednk. The good thing about that is that from what you are saying, the basic infrastructure to underpin expanded renewable generation and storage is quietly getting put in place. 🙂
Newspoll. Well, seems to me the Coalition always does better in the plling when they are less visible during non sitting times. Peoples optimism triumphs over lived reality. Polling after a week or so of their rolling parliamentary fwarkups will be telling. 🙂
Of course the ALP will need the Greens to even scrape into government. It’s shame they aren’t as nice to the Greens as the Libs are to ON!
jenauthor @ #2 Monday, January 28th, 2019 – 5:58 pm
Yeah, it actually looks high in Labor’s favour.
I see the flaccid prick nath is trying to go hard on these Newspoll numbers. 🙂
imacca @ #11 Monday, January 28th, 2019 – 10:07 pm
When your expectations are low, they are easily satisfied 🙁
Rupertariat obviously going to spin this Newspoll for what it’s worth 😆
The positive economic message of PM Morrison is starting to cut through, especially in resource-rich Queensland, Western Australia and the Northern Territory. Also, people in Queensland, Western Australia and the Northern Territory want to keep a Liberal federal government in Canberra in order to keep their Labor state governments in check, that is why PM Morrison will win the election.
Bree @ #17 Monday, January 28th, 2019 – 10:16 pm
Wayne? Is that you?
C@tmomma
says:
Monday, January 28, 2019 at 10:11 pm
I see the flaccid prick nath is trying to go hard on these Newspoll numbers.
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Look if you really want to talk dirty on PB I’m up for it.
Gee SS Coalition is only sinking half as fast as we thought 🙂
Hi Bree. I’m glad you are glad. It will make the wipeout on election night an even bigger shock to you. Hope you don’t infarct.
Andrew_Earlwood
says:
Monday, January 28, 2019 at 10:19 pm
Hi Bree. I’m glad you are glad. It will make the wipeout on election night an even bigger shock to you. Hope you don’t infarct.
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What an unpleasant little wanker you are.
“What an unpleasant little wanker you are.”
Pot. Kettle. Much.
That’s the number I figured. I’d suggest Newspoll would be the same.
Simon Benson is another poor soul in danger of an election night infarction…
nath:
[‘“What an unpleasant little wanker you are.”’]
Mate, that’s not really nice.
Serious question. Does Newspoll still only ring landlines?
Andrew_Earlwood
says:
Monday, January 28, 2019 at 10:25 pm
“What an unpleasant little wanker you are.”
Pot. Kettle. Much.
_________________
I’m not the world’s nicest guy, but I don’t sit around speculating/hoping that people have strokes. It’s a sick mind that conjures up that sort of imagery.
C@tmomma @ #27 Monday, January 28th, 2019 – 6:29 pm
I’m pretty sure it’s a mix these days.
C@tmomma @ #27 Monday, January 28th, 2019 – 10:29 pm
Yes. And they use Rupert’s address book to get those 🙂
Yep. Bill Shorten is so unpopular he already has 2222 hearts on Twitter for his dog’s passing.
Mavis Smith @ #26 Monday, January 28th, 2019 – 10:29 pm
Is it nicer than calling someone “tubbs”?
Player One @ #30 Monday, January 28th, 2019 – 10:32 pm
And nath’s for the immovable 9% for The Greens.
Hang on a minute, I thought Newspoll never polled on a public holiday long weekend?
Essential should also be out tomorrow.
The polls are not capturing the shift away from the Liberals.
C@tmomma @ #33 Monday, January 28th, 2019 – 10:34 pm
Sorry, I just don’t believe it. Nath’s address book wouldn’t have that many numbers.
I want this selfish coalition government our of office ASAP as they are putting this beautiful country of ours into an downturn so they can blame ALP for the mess which they did
C@tmomma
There are no national polls that only call landlines, haven’t been since 2015.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/new-galaxy-newspoll-to-rely-on-robopolling-and-online-data-20150508-ggx48a.html
http://kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2016/09/field-guide-to-opinion-pollsters-45th.html
C@tmomma
says:
Monday, January 28, 2019 at 10:33 pm
Yep. Bill Shorten is so unpopular he already has 2222 hearts on Twitter for his dog’s passing.
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I’m just putting this out there. Anyone else suspicious of the timing on this one? I wouldn’t put it past him. 🙂
nath @ #43 Monday, January 28th, 2019 – 10:36 pm
The dog died after a long battle with cancer you rank imbecile!
Record heat waves, bushfires, fish deaths…and the Greens vote doesn’t move.
Just as well they chose pill testing as their key issue over the last few weeks!
Player One @ #40 Monday, January 28th, 2019 – 10:35 pm
And they would mainly be for his weed dealers, so maybe? 😆
zoomster @ #45 Monday, January 28th, 2019 – 10:38 pm
And the Coalition’s vote went up! Explain that to me!?!
zoomster @ #42 Monday, January 28th, 2019 – 10:38 pm
People have realized that the Greens are no longer the “go to” party for environmental issues.
Took them a while.
zoomster @ #42 Monday, January 28th, 2019 – 6:38 pm
But zoomster, that’s an important State Government issue!
Toby Esterhase @ #34 Monday, January 28th, 2019 – 7:34 pm
Well this time they have.
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2019/jan/28/genes-linked-to-antibiotic-resistant-superbugs-found-in-arctic
https://www.thenational.scot/news/17388152.uk-govt-prepare-for-martial-law-in-the-event-of-no-deal-brexit/
Would like to see more polling data to back this up. With just one poll, it seems like a MoE type thing.