The return of Essential Research provided the BludgerTrack mill with its first grist for the new year, but the model is at its least robust when it only has one data point to play with after a long gap. This means BludgerTrack strongly follows the lead of a poll that was less bad for the Coalition than their usual form, resulting in a substantial reduction in Labor’s still commanding lead on two-party preferred. Labor is also down six on the seat projection – one in each mainland state and two in Queensland. The Essential poll also included a new set of numbers for the leadership ratings, and these produced a weak result for Bill Shorten that has blunted his recent improving trend. Full results through the link below.
Zoomster, there are a lot of inflated egos on here that need to be pricked, and be pricked on a regular basis.
zoomster @ #2097 Monday, January 21st, 2019 – 5:40 pm
If good independents have the balance of power, the vested interests of both Liberal and Labor are taken out of the equation and replaced with evidence-based facts that form the base of good policy.
clem
I didn’t because it was. It was amusing that you were the one who provided the verification.
Clem, how about you read one of my books and judge for yourself? You can denigrate all you like – few have the wherewithal — writing a full length novel is hard work, you should try it and let me know how you go.
Zoomster
Independents/third parties with the balance of power have won significant changes to government policies. However their impact diminishes when they dont have the balance of power. Otherwise they tend to bring in electoral pork.
4 independents in NSW for instance forced the Greiner Govt to introduce ICAC and fixed 4 year terms.
Closer to home for you, the VIC upper house micro and minor party members/independents will be looking for changes to policy. At the moment that appears to be around pill testing.
clem
I realise that your own inadequacies mean that all you can really do is try and pull others down.
I’ve met that type in politics frequently – given a choice of putting in the work to achieve what someone else has, or pulling someone down, they go for the easier option.
If you felt you were able to make significant contributions to this blog, I assume you’d do that.
IoM
Your name is Rex?
In the present situation, we’re looking at a Labor majority government. Electing an independent in that scenario is a pointless effort.
However, the Labor MP you elect might be the one who comes up with the next NDIS or NBN or Medicare, and make real differences in the life of the nation.
No it wasn’t. Unlike you. I am a full time teacher and have been for over 34 years. No school I have taught at has had a nurse. None of my kid’s schools have had one either. You said every state school would have a nurse. Demonstrably untrue, but hey anything to blow your own trumpet. Anyway, you keep on believing, cause, cause if you do, it will make it real. ha, ha!
Climate change, feral animals, GBR, MDB, Global warming, deforestation, overfishing, fossil fuels, inequality, child poverty,water quality……..
the crowd are amusing themselves with a new free trade agreement……. and so on……..
Hi Clem.
You might have noticed Sir Henry Parkes’ description of our current day Lib-Lab / same-same brigade with the Victorian Left “Lib-Whitlam / same-same” of the 1960s. While Sir Henry was obviously talking about naff and sexy Rex, I immediately thought of you …
[counting down to your standard reposte 10, 9, 8 … “Grouper! Grouper! There’s a Grouper in the house. Quick, call the Commissars!]
Er, clem, I self corrected that almost immediately – as I said at the time, I was told the policy had been implemented, so I assumed that meant fully, an assumption supported by the fact that every school I taught at seemed to have one. You yourself then referred to your principal trying to access the program, proving it exists.
I haven’t denied that the program wasn’t implemented as widely as I first thought.
Jenauthor (Shelley in the making) writing shit is easy, anyone can do it.Even me!
Rex Douglas @ #2099 Monday, January 21st, 2019 – 1:44 pm
Rex, your too wrapped up in Storer.
He has clearly demonstrated how rare a beast he is by the fact his approach stands out so much.
Who would have guessed it before he entered Parliament.
It’s a pretty boring approach and one that’s unlikely to gain much attention when campaigning.
I unfortunately can’t see too many like him being elected as an independent, that sort of a candidate needs the backing of a Party.
IoM,
Who is this masked independent Falinski is now so worried about?
OK, clem, your turn…what have you done to make the world a better place, apart from your work?
Nath gone home with his aluminum bat, fuming over his suspect action warning.
Clem has come on as night watchman.
Yes Zoomster is was a master class in the gradual climb down. Clearly you did learn something as a candidate in an unwinnable Tory seat, so your time was not completely wasted.
While I typed my last posted I see Clem was getting down and nasty with Jen and Zoomie.
Geez, imagine taking one of Clem’s classes at school. Reminds me of all the feckless, unimaginative, one eyed know it all I was inflicted with in high school. I reckon I would have spend most of my time outside the principal’s office and that my grades would have been better when I was actually not in his class room …
Rex Douglas says:
Monday, January 21, 2019 at 5:37 pm
…Because that’s all there is Rex, either Labor or the Coalition
A Labor partisan would say that.
………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..
Guilty as charged. I am a Labor partisan, for reasons that should be obvious.
But seriously Rex, whether we like it or not, either Labor or the Coalition will form the next government. You surely don’t think that some sort of third alternative, which you never seem to name by the way, is going to be in power, do you?
By all means, work towards this ideal world of yours by voting for candidates you regard as pure of heart, but we’re not going to reach this destination in 2019.
It’s either Labor or the Coalition. If you don’t really care which is in government, I question your commitment to really wanting a better world.
No more correspondence will be entered into this exchange by me, so you can have the last word if you wish.
When there’s a few egos that need pricking it’s clearly a job for an enormous prick.
Clem – self- promotion is also easy … like I said (although I now expand it) — come back when you’ve written 7 full-length commercially published novels.
AE
Why don’t you treat yourself more kindly, more gently.
The fact you “don’t get it” about me joining the Greens is positive reinforcement.
Though I don’t need it, much appreciated.
clem
As I said, those who know they’re incapable tear down those who show them up by actually doing stuff.
Zoomster, I have tried to live a moral life. Tried to set a positive role model to my kids and my students. There is no grandstanding here, pretending to be a ‘Labor hero’ as some seem to.
ratsak @ #2117 Monday, January 21st, 2019 – 1:54 pm
😆 😆 😆
The Turnbull and Morrison Governments have done a very good job of running this great country of ours and Scott Morrison will retain government in November this years as the Australian public will not be able to trust bill Shorten as he will run this great country of ours into the ground and we will be back in debt in no time and also the people smugglers will be back in business conning people into getting into boats and even I don’t trust the ALP……
Wow ratsak. That was ssssoooo witty! Ha.ha.
CA
No grandstanding! That just wont do!
Anyhow Zoomster, I’m off now, that will give you plenty of time to make some more stuff up about your great ‘policy achievements.’
Wayne @ #2123 Monday, January 21st, 2019 – 1:57 pm
What happened to Abbott?
Have you conceded how shit he was and disowned him?
I thought it was the Abbott, Turnbull and Morrison Governments? 😆
Speaking of people who like eternal opposition because moaning is their favourite sport, I have to admit the past 6 months or so has been rather enjoyable.
Every move from the L-NP has been “Let’s try the dumbest option” or “surely the whole box can’t be exploding cigars.”
Not only that, the Canberra Press Gallery, who usually regard L-NP mediocrity with illogical reverence, have started to frame everything the L-NP do with “who are widely expected to lose the upcoming federal election.”
I’m enjoying no end, so thanks to anyone trying to dampen expectation. I need reminding of the sheer volume of things that need fixing, and that getting rid of this mob will only be the start.
No that’s wrong, Nath has emerged into the commentary box and proceeds to bash Goll bodily about with the aluminium bat. Oh No. now he’s decapitated him and holds Goll’s head out of the window for the cheering crowd.
A moral crusader has run onto the field.
Nath’s happy now that play has been suspended!
Well, actually, clem, I wasn’t grandstanding. nath asked me what sorts of policies I’d worked on, and I told him. I’m polite like that – if people ask me questions, I answer.
I outlined at the time that the idea wasn’t mine, but that I was asked by a community group to take it through the policy process, and that, as with all good policies, it quickly became a child of many fathers. The community group, however, recognised that it would not have happened without my initial advocacy.
I did claim credit for mentors for first year out teachers, which you admitted was an Actual Thing.
I feel a Labor Victory rising
I feel some Green Tolls on the way.
I see earthquakes and lightnin’
I see bad Greens today
Don’t go ’round tonight
It’s bound to take your life
There’s a Greens on the rise
I hear hurricanes a-blowing
I know the end is coming soon
I fear rivers over flowing
I hear the voice of rage and ruin
Don’t go ’round tonight
It’s bound to take your life
There’s a bad Greens on the rise
I hope you got your things together
I hope…
clem
The sad thing is you can’t even make something up.
Nath only a ‘total deadshit’ could say that. Ya loser!
Goll
says:
Monday, January 21, 2019 at 6:03 pm
Nath only a ‘total deadshit’ could say that. Ya loser!
____________________________
That’s the thing with fantasy cricket, you can go too far!
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2019/jan/21/victoria-to-allow-trial-of-driverless-cars-on-country-roads
..I remember listening to a conversation between two teachers, who both said that they had chosen to teach as a kind of immortality – they had been inspired by teachers, who had been inspired by teachers, and so on.
The sad thing was, they were both teachers who, if students remembered them at all, it would be entirely for the wrong reasons.
I don’t know why clem reminds me of that story…
nath @ #2129 Monday, January 21st, 2019 – 2:00 pm
Advocating violence I see.
How pathetic!
Z
You can and do it without missing a beat.
Some questioning in comments whether Labor will just come out and say they won’t honour any contract on taxpayers money straight up.
Let alone dealing with the states and dumping this issue on the NSW Libs just before an election as well
Wind, solar eat further into coal supply on NEM, as Coalition pushes for more coal supply on NEM
https://reneweconomy.com.au/wind-solar-eat-further-into-coal-supply-on-nem-as-coalition-pushes-for-more-coal-supply-on-nem-42902/
Australia’s Coalition government has renewed its push to bring new coal-fired power capacity onto the national grid, even as the latest energy sector emissions audit reveals that solar and wind power – for the first time ever – are cutting into black coal power supply.
Goll, you could be calling the Timeless Test.
I apologise Goll, if you found your imagined decapitation offensive. I was trying to play along but I do tend towards the dark side.
No, pegasus, I’m (a) incredibly truthful and (b) if anything, way too modest.
@ wayne@557pm.
“We will be back in debt in no time.”
Obviously you haven’t heard about your team doubling our debt in the time we’ve had 3 of your “adult” PMs in charge?
Abbott, Turnbull and Morrison have questions to answer.
zoomster, no I’m the most modest person here.
nath
You’ve got the most to be modest about.
You lot are having way too much fun. It’s criminal.