Essential Research: 53-47 to Labor

In the first new poll of the year, both major parties are up on the primary vote, yet their leaders’ disapproval ratings have shot upwards.

Essential Research is back in business, its first poll for the new year no change on Labor’s 53-47 lead in the final poll last year. Both major parties are on 38% on the primary votes, which is a two-point improvement for Labor and a one-point improvement for the Coalition. Minor party primary votes will have to wait for the publication of the full report later today. In a spirit of seasonal goodwill, monthly leadership ratings find both leaders well up on disapproval – by five points in Morrison’s case to 39%, and four in Shorten’s case to 47% – while Morrison is up one on approval to 42% and Shorten is unchanged on 35%.

As related by The Guardian, further questions mostly focused on the recent far right rally in St Kilda, the most interesting finding being that 48% thought Scott Morrison “demonstrated poor leadership by not immediately condemning the rally, and those who attended it, in stronger terms”, compared with 36% who disagreed. Only 22% thought it appropriate for Senator Fraser Anning to “use taxpayer money to attend the rally”, with 66% saying it was appropriate; 74% felt there was ”no place in Australian society for the use of racist and fascist symbols used by participants in the rally”, whereas 17% were apparently all in favour of them; and that 73% nonetheless felt that “Australians have the right to peacefully protest, no matter how extreme their views”, while 19% didn’t.

The poll also find 63% support for pill testing, although the question was very particular about the specifics, specifying circumstances in which “trained counsellors provide risk-reduction advice informed by on-site laboratory analysis of people’s drugs”.

UPDATE: Full report here. The Greens are down a point to 10%, and One Nation are steady on 7%.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,042 comments on “Essential Research: 53-47 to Labor”

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  1. Below are the 15 countries that exported the highest dollar value worth of cotton during 2017:
    China: US$15.1 billion (28.2% of total exported cotton)
    United States: $7.6 billion (14.2%)
    India: $4.7 billion (8.8%)
    Pakistan: $3.5 billion (6.5%)
    Vietnam: $2.6 billion (4.9%)
    Turkey: $1.7 billion (3.2%)
    Australia: $1.6 billion (3%)
    Hong Kong: $1.6 billion (3%)
    Brazil: $1.5 billion (2.8%)
    Italy: $1.4 billion (2.7%)
    Germany: $972.8 million (1.8%)
    Uzbekistan: $850.4 million (1.6%)
    Indonesia: $819 million (1.5%)
    Spain: $689.6 million (1.3%)
    South Korea: $517.4 million (1%)
    By value, the listed 15 nations shipped 84.4% of all cotton exports in 2017.

    Only two of the above countries grew the value of their cotton exports since 2013, namely Vietnam via a 126% gain and Brazil with its 18.3% increase.

    The remaining 13 countries posted declines in their international cotton sales led by: India (down -58.3%), Hong Kong (down -53.6%), Uzbekistan (down -41.5%), Australia (down -35.1%), Pakistan (down -34.4%) and South Korea (down -34.2%).

    Russia does no cotton-pickin’.

  2. Gold Imports by Country
    Top 15SwitzerlandUKHong KongIndia
    Below are the 15 countries that imported the highest dollar value worth of gold during 2017.
    Switzerland: US$69.8 billion (19.9% of total gold imports)
    China: $51.4 billion (14.6%)
    India: $36.1 billion (10.3%)
    United Kingdom: $34.5 billion (9.8%)
    United Arab Emirates: $33 billion (9.4%)
    Hong Kong: $29.4 billion (8.4%)
    Turkey: $16.6 billion (4.7%)
    Singapore: $13.1 billion (3.7%)
    Thailand: $11.2 billion (3.2%)
    United States: $11.1 billion (3.2%)
    Canada: $5.5 billion (1.6%)
    Germany: $5.4 billion (1.6%)
    Australia: $4.3 billion (1.2%)
    Italy: $3.6 billion (1%)
    Malaysia: $3.1 billion (0.9%)
    By value, the listed 15 countries purchased 93.5% of all gold imports in 2017. Within parenthesis is the percentage of global gold shipments.

    Among the above countries, three markets expanded their demand for gold since 2013 namely Singapore (up 668.3%), United Kingdom (up 126.8%) and Turkey (up 9.6%).

    Those countries that posted declines in their imported gold purchases were led by: Hong Kong (down -69.8%), Switzerland (down -41.3%), Canada (down -40.9%) and Italy (down -35.8%).

    Exports

    Gold Exports by Country
    CountriesAdvantagesOpportunitiesCompanies
    Below are the 15 countries that exported the highest dollar value worth of gold during 2017.
    Switzerland: US$67.9 billion (21.1% of total gold exports)
    Hong Kong: $52.2 billion (16.2%)
    United States: $19.8 billion (6.2%)
    United Kingdom: $17 billion (5.3%)
    United Arab Emirates: $16.6 billion (5.2%)
    Canada: $13.2 billion (4.11%)
    Australia: $13.1 billion (4.07%)
    Singapore: $11.5 billion (3.6%)
    Japan: $8.4 billion (2.6%)
    Peru: $7 billion (2.2%)
    Turkey: $6.6 billion (2.1%)
    Ghana: $5.9 billion (1.82%)
    Thailand: $5.7 billion (1.78%)
    South Africa: $5 billion (1.6%)
    Germany: $4.7 billion (1.5%)
    The listed 15 countries shipped about four-fifths (79.3%) of all gold exports in 2017.

    Among the above countries, the fastest-growing gold exporters since 2013 were: Singapore (up 855.5%), Turkey (up 97.2%), Japan (up 82%) and Thailand (up 74.6%).

    Those countries that posted declines in their exported gold sales were led by: United Kingdom (down -78.5%), Switzerland (down -47.8%), United States (down -37.8%), Germany (down -36.4%) and Hong Kong (down -31.5%).

    What are they doing with themselves in Russia!

  3. Darn

    I respect this woman’s view.

    It costs me nothing to change the date. So I am for change. Even though I think it will be with a Republic Independence Day that includes putting the First people at the heart of the Constitution not have a document built to specifically exclude them.

    @SBSNews tweets

    Gamilaroi woman and new Today Show reporter Brooke Boney has given a frank explanation why she can’t celebrate Australia Day on January 26th. https://twitter.com/SBSNews/status/1085697101168701440/video/1

  4. The 10 countries that drink the most alcohol, in liters per capita, ranked:
    Moldova (17.4 liters per capita over 15+ years)
    Belarus (17.1)
    Lithuania (16.2)
    Russia (14.5)
    Czech Republic (14.1)
    Romania (12.9)
    Serbia (12.9)
    Australia (12.6)

  5. “No deal” Brexit more likely after Theresa May’s crushing loss in Brexit deal vote

    http://adrianbeaumont.net/no-deal-brexit-more-likely-after-theresa-mays-crushing-loss-in-brexit-deal-vote/

    Theresa May’s Brexit deal was crushed by 432 to 202 on Tuesday, but she survived a no-confidence vote on Wednesday.

    Many think the defeat makes a soft Brexit or no Brexit more likely. That may be so, but it also makes a “no deal” Brexit more likely. It is likely in Labour’s political interests not to cooperate with May on any Brexit deal. As there are many factions in the Commons that disagree on how to prevent a no deal, a no deal could happen on March 29.

  6. Fun facts on wheet production by country:

    China dwarfs all other countries but doesn’t export much (if any). Neither does the No.2 producing nation, India. Australia exports about 50% of its production, mainly from the WA wheet industry, which has been growing steadily for several decades. The other 50% is mainly produced in Victoria, NSW @ Queensland and is used for domestic consumption and livestock feed.

    https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/top-wheat-producing-countries.html

  7. Put me down for no change.

    Change. When we become a republic a better date will automatically arise.

    Philip, his governorship and his voyage are worthy of a public holiday. The 26th marks the day Philip formally planted the flag at Sydney cove andtook possession of NSW for Britain. He actually landed at Sydney cove earlier and Botany bay earlier still. He didnt call it Australia. He didnt even know the bounds of Australia. So celebrate Philip on the day he arrived in Australia (Botany Bay). Or on the day of his birth or death.

    Celebrate ‘Australia’ when Flinders charted the bounds of Australia and actually termed it as such. Or perhaps some date important to Australia becoming whole and independent; like the referendums of 1899/1900, one of the acts of parliament limiting British control over our government, or universal suffrage, or, as mentioned, when we finally have our own head of state.

  8. sprocket_ says: Thursday, January 17, 2019 at 1:51 pm

    This one for Phoenix…

    *********************************************************

    Gee Thanks sprocket ——- not ! 🙂

    A shirtless/topless will get the PB Putin lovers/apologists/fellowtraveller sympathisers into full heatbeating drool mode though ……

    THIS is how I see the duos relationship ultimately ending up :

    note the magazine title ……

  9. Adrian Beaumont @ #1654 Thursday, January 17th, 2019 – 1:51 pm

    “No deal” Brexit more likely after Theresa May’s crushing loss in Brexit deal vote

    http://adrianbeaumont.net/no-deal-brexit-more-likely-after-theresa-mays-crushing-loss-in-brexit-deal-vote/

    Theresa May’s Brexit deal was crushed by 432 to 202 on Tuesday, but she survived a no-confidence vote on Wednesday.

    Many think the defeat makes a soft Brexit or no Brexit more likely. That may be so, but it also makes a “no deal” Brexit more likely. It is likely in Labour’s political interests not to cooperate with May on any Brexit deal. As there are many factions in the Commons that disagree on how to prevent a no deal, a no deal could happen on March 29.

    I agree it’s in Labours interests to step back now that the parliament has kept confidence in the tories.

    Corbyn now rightly can wait for an outcome on Brexit and then formulate a manifesto based on that outcome.

  10. Adrian Beaumont @ #1656 Thursday, January 17th, 2019 – 12:51 pm

    “No deal” Brexit more likely after Theresa May’s crushing loss in Brexit deal vote

    http://adrianbeaumont.net/no-deal-brexit-more-likely-after-theresa-mays-crushing-loss-in-brexit-deal-vote/

    Theresa May’s Brexit deal was crushed by 432 to 202 on Tuesday, but she survived a no-confidence vote on Wednesday.

    Many think the defeat makes a soft Brexit or no Brexit more likely. That may be so, but it also makes a “no deal” Brexit more likely. It is likely in Labour’s political interests not to cooperate with May on any Brexit deal. As there are many factions in the Commons that disagree on how to prevent a no deal, a no deal could happen on March 29.

    Noted. (40% of PB posters who have shared their opinion on the likely Brexit outcome have this view.)

  11. Phillip proclaimed the colony of NSW on 7 February 1788.

    ….in 1770….Cook charted the East coast to its northern extent and, on 22 August, at Possession Island in the Torres Strait, Cook wrote in his journal: “I now once more hoisted English Coulers [sic] and in the Name of His Majesty King George the Third, took possession of the whole Eastern Coast from the above Latitude 38°S down to this place by the name of New South Wales.”…

    The Kingdom of Great Britain thereby became the first European power to officially claim any area on the Australian mainland. “New South Wales”, as defined by Cook’s proclamation, covered most of eastern Australia, from 38°S 145°E (near the later site of Mordialloc, Victoria), to the tip of Cape York, with an unspecified western boundary. By implication, the proclamation excluded: Van Diemen’s Land (later Tasmania), which had been claimed for the Netherlands by Abel Tasman in 1642; a small part of the mainland south of 38° (later southern Victoria) and; the west coast of the continent (later Western Australia), which Jean Mengaud, an officer of Louis de Saint Aloüarn officially claimed for France in 1772 — even though it had been mapped previously by Dutch mariners.

    The British claim remained theoretical until January 1788, when Arthur Phillip arrived with the First Fleet to found a convict settlement at what is now Sydney. Phillip, as Governor of New South Wales, exercised nominal authority over all of Australia east of the 135th meridian east between the latitudes of 10°37’S and 43°39’S, which included most of New Zealand except for the southern part of South Island.

    The dates are all arbitrary. The facts of indigenous dispossession and alienation are what matter. We could choose any day to commemorate these facts. What we really need to do is achieve reconciliation and restoration. We need a Treaty. We need to amend the Constituion.

  12. From Adrian Beaumont’s article linked by him:

    A delay to the Brexit date could give MPs more time to agree, but the EU will probably not accept such a delay unless there is a real prospect of an agreement. A delay would be granted if a deal had passed the Commons, but legislation required to implement that deal had not yet passed.
    ________________________________________

    My guess is that the EU is very keen to avoid a no deal Brexit. It will be highly disruptive to most of its members, not just Eire.

    That means that it will be fine with extending the deadline even without a coherent acceptable deal on the table – just to give more time to come to something or for a fresh referendum to build sufficient support and offer the UK the only sane way out of this imbroglio.

    However, that does not mean that the EU will contemplate varying its deal. If it becomes apparent that the UK is still looking for no other outcome than an unacceptable (to the EU) deal or no deal Brexit, the extra time will give the EU members an opportunity to unwind their own arrangements with the UK which they previously had not done because they did not believe the UK would be so stupid as to jump off the cliff.

  13. Late Riser

    It seems that I have now reached a conclusion as to what will happen. Count me in for extension of the deadline with further negotiations, although I think a second referendum is the most likely means by which the deadlock can be broken in the long run.

  14. @TPOF

    Uk, like USA and Australia should just jump of the cliff, I have always said, you break it, you own it.

    People are not responsible for their actions until it effects them.

  15. TPOF @ #1667 Thursday, January 17th, 2019 – 1:15 pm

    Late Riser

    It seems that I have now reached a conclusion as to what will happen. Count me in for extension of the deadline with further negotiations, although I think a second referendum is the most likely means by which the deadlock can be broken in the long run.

    Got you. And to summarise all the opinions so far.

    71d 11h until Brexit
    On or before 2019 March 30, Britain will decide for one of the following:
    39% (a) Hard Brexit – No Deal
    3% (b) Soft Brexit – Deal
    19% (c) Postponed Brexit – Negotiations Continue
    14% (d) Postponed Brexit – New Referendum
    6% (e) Withdrawn Brexit
    11% (f) Something else
    8% (g) Don’t care

  16. Someone’s story is changing…


    Manu Raju
    @mkraju
    Rudy Giuliani to
    @ChrisCuomo
    : “I never said there was no collusion between the campaign or between people in the campaign. I have not. I said the president of the United States,” adding that Trump “didn’t commit a crime.”

    Factor in Giuliani playing with words. Trump wasn’t POTUS in 2016 during the campaign.

  17. WRT change the date.
    We should respect and remember all our history, and stand with the courage, determination and generosity of all our forebears. Changing the date is part of that.

  18. LR

    “71d 11h until Brexit”

    ______________________________
    And 25 days and 22 hours since the US government went into partial shutdown.

    Do we reach peak stupid somewhere around the 48 day mark in each direction?

  19. TPOF @ #1673 Thursday, January 17th, 2019 – 1:28 pm

    LR

    “71d 11h until Brexit”

    ______________________________
    And 25 days and 22 hours since the US government went into partial shutdown.

    Do we reach peak stupid somewhere around the 48 day mark in each direction?

    Has anyone done an analysis of the day by day cumulative effects of the US gov shutdown? I’m thinking something along the lines of a table that shows what happens on day X. Or maybe how long until each bad thing happens.

    I wonder for example what the resignation rate is like for each of the affected gov branches.

  20. Ian McAuley on Labor and Private Health Insurance (PHI) industry – Medicare under threat from Labor:

    http://johnmenadue.com/ian-mcauley-medicare-under-threat-from-labor/

    Last year Labor announced that if elected it would refer health funding, particularly private health insurance, to the Productivity Commission, it being 50 years since the value of PHI was last examined by government. It appears, however, that Labor is squibbing on its promise to subject PHI to economic scrutiny, abandoning its historical commitment to defend Medicare from being undermined by PHI.
    :::
    Over the subsequent half-century every other significant industry receiving public subsidies has been subject to scrutiny – everything from car manufacturing through to taxis – but not PHI. In 1996 the Howard Government sent a reference to the Productivity Commission, but that was a loaded reference about how PHI should be supported, rather than about whether it should be supported. More recently, following intense lobbying from insurers, the Rudd Government’s Health and Hospital Reform Commission exempted it from scrutiny. And even more recently it has been the only part of the finance sector not scrutinised by the Royal Commission into the finance sector.

    Therefore it was a welcome announcement last year that Labor, if elected, would be sending a reference on PHI to the Productivity Commission. Here would be an opportunity to subject it to the scrutiny that Justice Hayne has applied to other financial intermediaries. Just as mortgage brokers and financial advisers have been unable to demonstrate how their fees have been justified in terms of adding value, so too would health insurers find it difficult to demonstrate how their massive and growing subsidies have done anything for Australians’ health care that the Australian Taxation Office and Medicare could not do better.

    But it seems that Labor, rather than seeing the decline of PHI membership as the slow demise of a high-cost and inefficient industry, is seeing it as a problem

  21. guytaur @ #1673 Thursday, January 17th, 2019 – 2:32 pm

    @sarahinthesen8 tweets

    As a priority when Parliament resumes the Greens will introduce bill to establish a Royal Commission into the Murray-Darling Basin. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/jan/17/greens-to-introduce-bill-for-royal-commission-into-murray-darling

    https://pbs.twimg.com/card_img/1085643086775140359/I5Yr1JqD?format=jpg&name=600×314

    The Govt will no doubt reject it but surely Labor will support it …?

  22. Late Riser @ #1675 Thursday, January 17th, 2019 – 10:27 am

    WRT change the date.
    We should respect and remember all our history, and stand with the courage, determination and generosity of all our forebears. Changing the date is part of that.

    And no one’s saying NSW can’t commemorate their foundation day, but there are more significant days that are relevant to the whole Country.

  23. Late Riser says: Thursday, January 17, 2019 at 2:32 pm

    Has anyone done an analysis of the day by day cumulative effects of the US gov shutdown? I’m thinking something along the lines of a table that shows what happens on day X. Or maybe how long until each bad thing happens.

    ******************************************************************

    The dangerous consequences of Trump’s shutdown

    As the country is held hostage by an intransigent president, federal government workers have been forced to resort to food banks.

    On 12 January, the US government shutdown entered its 22nd day, making it the longest in American history. Prospects for an end to the political deadlock remained distant.

    https://www.newstatesman.com/world/2019/01/dangerous-consequences-trump-s-shutdown

    See How the Effects of the Government Shutdown Are Piling Up

    Today is the 26th day of the government shutdown. If the shutdown does not end in two days, federal district courts will run out of funds.

    The shutdown is affecting about 800,000 federal employees—many of whom live paycheck-to-paycheck—and services for millions of people in the public. The longer it lasts, the more effects are felt.

    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/01/08/us/politics/government-shutdown-calendar.html

  24. A delay to the Brexit date could give MPs more time to agree, but the EU will probably not accept such a delay unless there is a real prospect of an agreement.

    Agree on what, though. The UK can’t unilaterally change the terms of the exit deal. And the EU has basically said they won’t entertain any changes.

    The only thing the UK can seek agreement on is May’s deal. But they’ve already said no to that. So I guess the delay would be to decide if the UK wants hard Brexit or no Brexit?

    I could see the EU going for that, on the basis that it makes no Brexit more likely. Aside from that though, talk of the UK coming to some sort of new agreement within itself is all kind of silly.

  25. Put me down for change the date.
    _____________________________

    I’ve been in favour of changing the date for a very long time. However, the last thing indigenous people need now, let alone the rest of us, is to be sucked into a pointless culture war being provoked by Morrison. There are more important and substantive things to be done, like a proper treaty and constitutional recognition.

  26. L R

    I agree with you about certainty. It is the enemy of progress and the bedrock of fundamentalism. Some years ago I read “In Defence of Doubt“, by expat Dr Val Webb, dealing with religion and faith. I can’t recall whether she addresses the other side of the coin which imo is fear.

    (on and off today, so not engaging is not ignoring)

  27. KayJay @ #1318 Wednesday, January 16th, 2019 – 8:10 pm

    don
    Wednesday, January 16th, 2019 – 7:53 pm
    Comment #1267

    That’s odd. ——–

    I got lost after that. I render here appropriate emoji for my understanding. 😵

    Next you will be telling me that rest 😲 is relative.

    Indeed, sometimes it is – I have often needed rest after a relative finally departs for their home!

  28. Player One says:
    Thursday, January 17, 2019 at 2:41 pm
    Rex Douglas @ #1679 Thursday, January 17th, 2019 – 2:36 pm

    The Govt will no doubt reject it but surely Labor will support it …?
    So the Greens have rediscovered that the environment actually matters?

    Good.

    ________________________________

    Only if they can wedge Labor, if the post above is anything to go by.

  29. Kakura
    “Plimer:
    “In the scientific circles I mix in, there is an overwhelming scepticism about human-induced climate change. ”

    You are right about the self-selecting aspect of this claim. Plimer is not a climate scientist. He was a mining geologist (hardly unbiased, with a financial stake in his own company). He mixes with other mining geologists, who also make their money exploring for oil and gas.

  30. guytaur @ #1678 Thursday, January 17th, 2019 – 10:32 am

    @sarahinthesen8 tweets

    As a priority when Parliament resumes the Greens will introduce bill to establish a Royal Commission into the Murray-Darling Basin. https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/jan/17/greens-to-introduce-bill-for-royal-commission-into-murray-darling

    https://pbs.twimg.com/card_img/1085643086775140359/I5Yr1JqD?format=jpg&name=600×314

    Jumping the gun a little.

    Isn’t there the SA RC that is due to report.

    The smart play would be to wait and use that report to determine whether there is still a need and also it would give important clues for direction of a subsequent RC if needed.

    That report from what I can see is due to be handed to the SA Government on the 1st of Feb.

  31. TPOF @ #1687 Thursday, January 17th, 2019 – 2:44 pm

    Player One says:
    Thursday, January 17, 2019 at 2:41 pm
    Rex Douglas @ #1679 Thursday, January 17th, 2019 – 2:36 pm

    The Govt will no doubt reject it but surely Labor will support it …?
    So the Greens have rediscovered that the environment actually matters?

    Good.

    ________________________________

    Only if they can wedge Labor, if the post above is anything to go by.

    So do you think Labor should support the Greens on a RC ?

  32. TPOF

    If you are referring to Rex’s post remember he has stated he is for the Reason party.

    Don’t confuse that with what the Senator said.

  33. ooohhh good news for people. Not su much for corporations and billionaires

    WASHINGTON (Reuters) – U.S. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, part of a new crop of Democrats swept into office this year on a stronger liberal platform, said she is poised to serve on a key congressional panel overseeing Wall Street, a potential setback for the financial services industry.

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-congress-financialservices-ocasio-idUSKCN1PA1Y8?utm_campaign=trueAnthem:+Trending+Content&utm_content=5c3ff91d04d301279050c690&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_source=twitter

  34. phoenixRED @ #1682 Thursday, January 17th, 2019 – 1:37 pm

    Late Riser says: Thursday, January 17, 2019 at 2:32 pm

    Has anyone done an analysis of the day by day cumulative effects of the US gov shutdown? I’m thinking something along the lines of a table that shows what happens on day X. Or maybe how long until each bad thing happens.

    ******************************************************************

    The dangerous consequences of Trump’s shutdown

    As the country is held hostage by an intransigent president, federal government workers have been forced to resort to food banks.

    On 12 January, the US government shutdown entered its 22nd day, making it the longest in American history. Prospects for an end to the political deadlock remained distant.

    https://www.newstatesman.com/world/2019/01/dangerous-consequences-trump-s-shutdown

    Thanks. Skimmed it for a Table of Consequences. Maybe I will need to start my own, starting with this. Thanks again!

  35. guytaur says:
    Thursday, January 17, 2019 at 2:47 pm
    TPOF

    If you are referring to Rex’s post remember he has stated he is for the Reason party.

    Don’t confuse that with what the Senator said.

    __________________________________

    I was referring to what Rex said, not the Senator. As for Labor supporting the motion, I have no idea. For myself, I support a Royal Commission, not a motion. At this point in the electoral cycle there is nothing much to be gained or lost by a motion for a royal commission, which has no effect even if won.

  36. RD

    Likewise. That’s why I highlighted you said you supported the Reason party in the past.

    This labelling you must belong to x party because you support an idea is very very tiresome.

    Especially when its added that its being used to wedge another party. That other party can’t be wedged if it supports the issue and backs it Edit or doesn’t

  37. Put me down for change the date.

    Second.

    Many of the people who were dispossessed, murdered, and systematically abused by the Australian government feel the current date is offensive. So do the decent thing and pick some other date. It’s not hard.

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