Essential Research is back in business, its first poll for the new year no change on Labor’s 53-47 lead in the final poll last year. Both major parties are on 38% on the primary votes, which is a two-point improvement for Labor and a one-point improvement for the Coalition. Minor party primary votes will have to wait for the publication of the full report later today. In a spirit of seasonal goodwill, monthly leadership ratings find both leaders well up on disapproval – by five points in Morrison’s case to 39%, and four in Shorten’s case to 47% – while Morrison is up one on approval to 42% and Shorten is unchanged on 35%.
As related by The Guardian, further questions mostly focused on the recent far right rally in St Kilda, the most interesting finding being that 48% thought Scott Morrison “demonstrated poor leadership by not immediately condemning the rally, and those who attended it, in stronger terms”, compared with 36% who disagreed. Only 22% thought it appropriate for Senator Fraser Anning to “use taxpayer money to attend the rally”, with 66% saying it was appropriate; 74% felt there was ”no place in Australian society for the use of racist and fascist symbols used by participants in the rally”, whereas 17% were apparently all in favour of them; and that 73% nonetheless felt that “Australians have the right to peacefully protest, no matter how extreme their views”, while 19% didn’t.
The poll also find 63% support for pill testing, although the question was very particular about the specifics, specifying circumstances in which “trained counsellors provide risk-reduction advice informed by on-site laboratory analysis of people’s drugs”.
UPDATE: Full report here. The Greens are down a point to 10%, and One Nation are steady on 7%.
nath,
I like to imagine you as a male version of Helen Keller.
C@tmomma
says:
Tuesday, January 15, 2019 at 8:43 am
nath,
I like to imagine you as a male version of Helen Keller.
_____________________________
Very dark, I don’t think I’ve ever wished that fate on anyone before. You must really love Bill!
Six claims about pill testing — and whether or not they’re true:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/health/2019-01-15/pill-testing-claims-put-to-the-test/10703370
When will Daniel Andrews change his mind about the efficacy of pill testing? After many years of campaigning by community organisations and the Greens, he was finally dragged to the table to support dying with dignity and safe injecting rooms.
As more people continue to die and public pressure becomes too strong to bear, he will probably act in time before the next election.
I can’t say I am surprised by McGowan, I expect a commitment of something nice for Indi for her vote.
Indi itself has been long neglected so I don’t begrudge spending there, just the process.
Pegasus @ #53 Tuesday, January 15th, 2019 – 7:51 am
Why criticise Dan and not mention Gladys? Same – same.
“The President isn’t binge watching, he’s binge tweeting.”…
… and so the Americans should put Trump on an urgent and radical tweetadone treatment… before he moves to the next phase of his disease: delirium tremens.
I agree with BK, if Lefty had been seen more over the break the polls would have been worse. At least the Libs held the line and did not slip back.
Now that the campaigning has begun i expect some slippage – maybe 54/55 -45/45 by the time we get to the election proper.
nath says:
Tuesday, January 15, 2019 at 8:26 am
I didn’t know commenting on PB precluded other forms of work. It takes approx. 1 second to alt-tab from my work files to this browser, then a minute or so to make a comment if I wish. But sure, imagine me as unemployed, broke, near death, in a wheelchair. Whatever pleases you.
———————–
I’m sure your workmates are happy to pick up the load while you are making your inane comments. You bludger.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/australians-do-not-want-any-more-migrants-anu-poll-20190114-p50r8e.html
Rob Oakeshott to run.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/rob-oakeshott-to-enter-federal-election-race-on-wednesday-20190114-p50rc7.html
Peter Stanton @ #58 Tuesday, January 15th, 2019 – 9:03 am
He’s the boss, so he can sack them. That’s how ‘nasty’ is in his dna.
C@tmomma says:
Tuesday, January 15, 2019 at 9:05 am
He is certainly shallow enough to be a boss.
And it can take less than a second to skim/scroll past the clutter of snark. But to write something perceptive or enlightening or analytically critical about an article or a set of events does take time and rarely happens during work hours or spending time with the ferrets.
The entire world doesn’t need more people. But that’s got nothing to do with immigration.
Another A rated poll in the US. This time IDB and slightly more favourable to Trumpster. The last two A rated polls only use live polling; at less than 1000 calls for a voting population as large as the US one can see the importance of poll averaging done by 538, RCP and others.
Ah, SK, you are about! I just wanted to let you know that you inspired me! Thus, last night for dinner I made a Freekeh Fetta and Green Bean salad with a Basil Drizzle Dressing to accompany some Whiting. Yum! 😀
Thanks indeed BK 😇 for the Dawn Patrol and particularly for the cartoons.
Busy morning for me. I thought the newspapers I mentioned earlier today were …………………(mostly rubbish – insert adjectives to suit).
I congratulate those to whom the horoscope applies. While they will be obviously busy inventing, pioneering and getting on with important new innovation (oxymorons for sale) – the rest of us will have to settle for staying cool and calm.
I have digressed. I nominate the Herald Sun as the crappest newspaper with today’s outstanding effort. ✔✅ ✔ and beige pig stamp award. 🐖
Dinner at C@ts place next I am on the Coast! Sounds delish.
I do love those vego salads on hot days. Especially if some work has gone into the mix and effort into the dressing.
I made a Vietnamese noodle salad last night with oodles of lime juice, fish sauce, rice vinegar, chili, garlic (etc) dressing. Pan fried peanuts added some crunch.
Morning all.
The longest shutdown in US history may soon come to an end.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/bipartisan-senate-group-forming-in-search-of-shutdown-deal-after-party-leaders-stalemate/2019/01/14/0ac704b4-182c-11e9-8813-cb9dec761e73_story.html?utm_term=.d992368bec0d
Why I am not surprised with AFP finding no further case in the AWU raid.
More polls. 56% of voters blame Trump and the GOP for the shutdown vs 36% blaming Democrats.
There has never been a more exciting time to be a Maybot.
.
.
Live Brexit vote latest news: Labour expected to call for no confidence vote tomorrow if Theresa May deal defeated.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/01/14/brexit-vote-latest-news-theresa-may-set-last-ditch-plea-mps/
zoomster @ #12 Tuesday, January 15th, 2019 – 3:05 am
Maybe?
There are estimates scheduled for when Parliament resumes, so if that happens it could be interesting what comes out of that.
Peter Stanton,
I read last year that some bosses have put software on the computers of their employees which records when they switch to social media instead of doing their work. Then, if they catch them out, they sack them. No monitoring on the boss though. 🙂
Fess
If the shutdown were to continue indefinitely, the dems would also be coping the wrath of the public. So hopefully it ends asap.
I am wanting the Trump crime family out of oval office.
I have long thought that indictments would drip out slowly for members of Trumps inner circle. I am now thinking that the strategy may actually be to round them up all in one fell swoop.
Kinda like a shock and awe situation. Thus not given the orange cheeto any opportunity to react as he does with any revelation.
He will be stunned into silence.
We shall see if this is indeed the strategy.
‘fess,
I read that Trump has told Lindsey Graham he is not for turning on his large erection penis substitute on the southern American border, until it gets funded. Government will remain shut down until he gets his $5.3 Billion.
Whether or not Russia interfered in the US 2016 election, you would have to think that Putin and his team will be on a high for months to come just looking at the headlines of all MSM in the US.
@tmomma says:
Tuesday, January 15, 2019 at 9:30 am
Peter Stanton,
I read last year that some bosses have put software on the computers of their employees which records when they switch to social media instead of doing their work. Then, if they catch them out, they sack them. No monitoring on the boss though.
———————————–
I always saw my primary role as a manager was to support, assist and enable my staff. If you do that the productivity will look after itself. A boss who sees their job as monitoring behavior will just succeed in offending staff and reducing productivity. If you do not think you can trust your staff you must have a low opinion of your recruitment ability.
Peter Stanton @ #78 Tuesday, January 15th, 2019 – 5:39 am
Trust can be a valuable tool.
Vic:
I have no earthly clue what the strategy is at this point, but at least Barr has pledged support for Mueller to finish his report.
C@t:
I think that was Captain Carnival Barker rejecting Graham’s suggestion of a temporary re-opening of govt.
Sceptic @ #29 Tuesday, January 15th, 2019 – 8:10 am
Maybe the City of London could decamp to Edinburgh – that would fix lots of things.
Good Morning
Extraordinary results from Essential in my view. I would have expected the LNP primary vote to go down because Nazis. Maybe its Hanson voters moving to the LNP?
I am pleased though at the stability of the polling so far and if other polls confirm the Essential which is not as volatile as others then I will be happy as it will show voters have indeed made up their mind and the LNP is indeed going to lose the election. Unless black swan event of course and even then it will depend on how the LNP handles it.
Like Victoria not surprised no criminal pursuit on AWU raids because no “criminal evidence”.
No wonder voters don’t trust democracy. No holding wrongdoers to account. One rule for them and another for the rest of us applies.
booleanbach says: Tuesday, January 15, 2019 at 9:37 am
Whether or not Russia interfered in the US 2016 election, you would have to think that Putin and his team will be on a high for months to come just looking at the headlines of all MSM in the US.
******************************************************************
Former United States Deputy Secretary of State Wendy Sherman told MSNBC on Monday that the United States was in a “dangerous moment” that has America’s allies worried about President Donald Trump’s legitimacy, after the Washington Post’s bombshell report that Trump went to “extraordinary lengths” to hide, and possibly destroy, the notes from his private meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Helsinki.
“I think we’re in an extraordinarily dangerous moment,” Sherman said. “When people listen to this around the world, they wonder what the authority of the president of the United States is, whether he has legitimate leadership standing here in this country.”
The picture that U.S. allies see, as related by Sherman, was a country in chaos.
https://www.rawstory.com/2019/01/us-allies-question-trumps-legitimacy-after-new-russia-bombshells-former-senior-diplomat/
Strobe Talbott’s article yesterday in Politico was perspicacious:
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2019/01/13/trump-russia-collusion-putin-223973
I guess the Russians could release their ‘notes’ of the meeting between Putin & Trump.
That would put the cat among the budgies.
C@t:
I should add that it doesn’t matter what TRump thinks, the Senate could pass bills to reopen the govt and the president’s signature is not needed.
This is on Republicans now and I think we’ll see increased pressure come to bear on them to end this.
booleanbach
Hell no. #$$#@! ‘banksters’ and speculation with what that leads to that forced the Hoots Mon to sign on as ‘servants’ for the Sassenachs in the first place 🙂 .
This is the third story in The West Australian since Sunday on the control Christian churches have over the State Libs.
https://thewest.com.au/opinion/gary-adshead/voters-will-crucify-wa-liberals-for-unholy-war-inside-party-ng-b881073077z
Bit late now to be worried I would reckon .
Pegasus @ #59 Tuesday, January 15th, 2019 – 9:03 am
Well, at least there is some good news today. Australians seem to be waking up to the fact that the “Big Australia” nonsense is an economic con trick.
Apparently there is some social media outrage at Chinese bottled water being sold at the Australian Open.
What’s wrong with Melbourne tap water?
‘fess,
Both parties aim to woo defectors as shutdown drags on.
It’s unlikely, however, that members in either party would split with leadership as the fight for Trump’s border wall stretches into its 24th day.
https://www.politico.com/story/2019/01/14/trump-on-declaring-national-emergency-im-not-looking-to-do-that-1098886
lizzie,
I’d be outraged about it. I’m sure Chinese bottled water is sourced from the natural resources of some 3rd World country that the Chinese have over a financial barrel.
Worrisome:
Corporate dictatorships, under the ruling ideology of neoliberalism and libertarianism, have stripped away the rights of employees.
https://www.alternet.org/2019/01/corporate-dictatorships-are-subjugating-us-workers-and-stripping-employees-of-fundamental-constitutional-rights/
Morning folks.
Predictable the Fed Police wouldn’t pursue Cash and her staff – they’d be reticent to actually get involved in a ‘political play’ even if it is unlawful.
Sadly, those who don’t trusts the relationship between the political class and the law enforcement arm have probably had it confirmed because of the lack of explanation.
https://www.crikey.com.au/2019/01/15/mcgowan-holds-key-to-morrisons-parliamentary-humiliation/
I think in her search for the political spotlight McGowan has done herself a disservice. She is saying she does not trust the advice of doctors and nurses. She should have a look at the trust index and see where politicians sit in comparison to those professions.
Its the whole reason the LNP have done overreach on immigration and centrelink. People just trust doctors and nurses more than politicians and beuracrats.
[‘One of the MPs whose vote could consign the Morrison government to a humiliating loss on the floor of Parliament is unsure whether to back a bill to fast-track medical treatment for refugees on Manus Island and Nauru.’]
It’s not surprising that McGowan’s having second thoughts about the Phelps’ bill. I see she’s having a meeting with FauxMo today. She would be better off to have a chat with Shorten, who will be the person to decide whether she gets what she wants for her electorate. She’s not truly independent, more a Tory. And, I wouldn’t be surprised if clown-shoes offers her a sinecure in return for her vote.
Americans more likely to die from opioid overdose than in a car accident
For the first time on record, Americans are more likely to die of an accidental opioid overdose than in a motor vehicle crash, according to a new report from the National Safety Council.
The group calculates that the chance of dying from an opioid overdose has increased to 1 in 96, surpassing the odds of dying in a car accident, at 1 in 103. It’s also greater than the odds of dying from a fall, a gun assault, pedestrian accident, or drowning.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/americans-more-likely-to-die-from-accidental-opioid-overdose-than-in-a-car-accident/
Rossmcg @ #90 Tuesday, January 15th, 2019 – 9:51 am
An earlier article documented the strong Mormon beachhead in the LNP as well.
So, between the Pentecostals & Mormons, you will have to be a true believer to join or vote for the LNP.