The Australian has published Newspoll’s final quarterly aggregate for the year, with state breakdowns showing Labor leading 54-46 in New South Wales (unchanged on the previous quarter), 56-44 in Victoria (down from 57-43), 54-46 in Queensland (unchanged), 53-47 in Western Australia (down from 54-46) and 58-42 in South Australia (unchanged). As The Australian’s report notes, it also records a nine point increase in Scott Morrison’s disapproval rating outside the five mainland capitals, from 38% to 47%, while his approval is down from 42% to 39%. In the capitals, Morrison is down two on approval to 42% and up five on disapproval to 44%. However, this doesn’t feed through to voting intention, on which Labor’s lead is steady at 56-44 in the capitals, but down from 54-46 to 53-47 elsewhere.
There are no gender or age breakdowns included, so expect those to be published separately over the coming days. We should also get aggregated quarterly state breakdowns from Ipsos in what used to be the Fairfax papers at some point.
UPDATE: Newspoll’s gender and age breakdowns have indeed been published in The Australian today. As with the state breakdowns, these yield little change on voting intention, with the arguable exception of Labor’s primary vote being down two among the 18-34s to 44%, and up two among the 35-49s to 43%. However, the decline noted yesterday in Scott Morrison’s personal ratings among regional voters is matched in the 50-plus cohort, among whom he is down six on approval to 42% and up nine on disapproval to 45%.
The voices suggesting the Libs would gain by hanging on til November have one thing in common. They hope Labor will not win. They are hoping like hell that something/anything will turn up and thwart Labor.
They will be disappointed. Morrison cannot avoid an election, at the latest in May. He will go then if not before. He will lead the Liberals to a colossal defeat. The longer he waits the worse it will go for him. The country wants to change the government. This feeling will become more accentuated as time passes.
I hope that, in the likely even the Greens do not win the next election, the ALP win it. They will be a vast improvement on the current lot.
I also think the Coalition may want to keep the ALP out for a few more months, beyond May. Use ministerial power themselves for that long and delay the implementation of the ALP`s policy changes, potentially be up to a year if they are to be implemented at the start of a financial year, reducing their ability to consolidate them before the next election. The ALP`s Senate vote would be lower in a separate half-Senate election, making the election of ALP Senators harder and thus likely weakening the ALP`s bargaining power in the Senate.
@Briefly: Check your paranoia complex, “mate”. I’m pointing out the logical reasons the Fibs want to prolong this Government as long as they possibly can – and none of them involving buying time for a last-moment swing against Labor.
Even if that were among the possible reasons, that doesn’t mean I want it to happen – only that Moralsnone knows two things:
1) If he goes to an election ASAP, he loses;
2) If he hangs on as long as he can, something – a terrorist attack, a sudden outburst of corporate generosity toward their peons, anything – could, just conceivably, transpire and make Labor’s job harder. If it doesn’t, he loses harder – but when you get down to it, if you’re in Opposition, it doesn’t matter if you’re one seat short, or fourty-one seats short. Palaszczuk proved that in Queensland.
This doesn’t mean I want 2) to happen – I don’t. I want Scummo’s mob of Godbothering hypocrites gone, the sooner the better. But apparently unlike you, I’m not willfully blind to the logic favouring (2) from Morriscum’s perspective. Not to mention that every day he resides in The Lodge, he can f**k up more stuff to leave Shorten with more headaches.
Seeing the attractions of that – strictly from SlowMo’s perspective – does not make me your or Labor’s enemy. Get that straight, or get your head checked!
Not So Briefly you are a sad joke mate. More abuse. It’s what this lightweight does when anyone challenges his nut job beliefs. Got anymore economic insights into Greece’s tax system courtesy of your mate’s holiday there? Ha, ha! Of course we all know that you are a current Labor member because you never shut up about it. Please let’s hope that you don”t get out to campaign too much. Every time you open your mouth that will result in another lost vote.
Morrison is stuck between a rock and a hard place. If he goes to an election he loses, if he doesn’t he will lose control of the house. He cannot control when the Senate sits or what it will enquire about. Not to mention the chaos about to be released in international relations as the American Congress launches itself at the White House, and Brexit explodes over Europe.
Morrison is due some interesting times.
“Palaszczuk proved that in Queensland”
Yeah only because Newman was such an asshole.
The other 99 times out of 100 if you lose more seats its harder to win them back.
All things considered, it would be stupid for Morrisson to put off the inevitable. But then again that’s the best and only reason for think he would.
There is a difference between wanting a longer LNP term in government (I certainly do not) and conjecturing that any electoral downside to taking an unorthodox approach to the timing of the election would be minimal.
I doubt the LNP will hold the House election in November because most of their MPs probably want to get the loss over and done with.
Barney in Go Dau @ #1271 Friday, December 28th, 2018 – 9:52 pm
3 seconds google
https://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/17/world/asia/17iht-letter17.html
Barney
Most courts, universities, advertising signs, government jobs etc require English. It is the way forward out of poverty. The attached article diverges into some rather off way forward for Dalits but the basic point is there.
Hindi is the language of the North, not the South where English is the unifier
Hello all, hope everyone had a pleasant Christmas
Purely anecdotal/not a scientific sample/etc./etc. but during my travels over Christmas to visit family I had several interesting Brexit discussions
Four members of my immediate family who were ardent Remainers – and voted as such – would all now vote to Leave in any second referendum. Not because they now think Brexit is a good idea – they don’t – but because the original vote must be respected or words to that effect
Morrison will do what his backers tell him.
If they want delay then that is what Morrison will try and do.
He has not yet demonstrated any political cleverness as PM, and I doubt we will see any in 2019.
Ignoring the practical ramifications of two elections in the coming year, ignoring the lack of obvious leadership within the the federal LNP, giving consideration to an improving budget (on paper), giving consideration to an obvious bias toward the LNP from the MSM and giving consideration to the substantial renumeration being received by some very ordinary LNP reps and senators, a decision to prolong the inevitable massive defeat of the LNP is believable from this LNP mob and what they have burdened the country with since the ascension of Abbott.
For many elected members and reps the financial windfall of being in parliament is beyond what they would expect in a non political role. Certainly Morrison has hit the financial rewards jackpot. Joyce, oblivious to all about him, has whinged to all and sundry. Bishop is revelling in her soap opera lifestyle. Whatshisname, the DPM and Nats leader, enjoying his time in the sun and a bagful of hanger onners have a strong financial incentive to prolong their windfall for another year.
Any expectation that people offer themselves for political public service, for the joy of serving the voters, if it ever existed at all, is quickly discarded once in the big house.
The litany of misuse of money and privilege is staggering, the public no longer expect anything else in a country where financial accumulation is the measure of all.
Irony is common in politics and perhaps only the blissfully ignorant Abbott is an acception to the now despised, yet so common, nefarious ways of politicians and financial gain. Abbott, never having had a proper job, knows no better!
This extended hot spell being experienced by many perhaps a telltale of a very frustrating political period in the next twelve months.
Morrison,has already purchased his bus under which he is about to throw some newly minted political nomads to ponder their good fortunes and the quagmire of self-interest and deceit they leave behind.
The people who want to destroy the EU:
1. Putin.
2. Trump.
3. Farage.
4. Boris.
5. Le Pen.
6. Extremist Far Left and Far Left ideologues.
What this eclectic mob of ratbags, mass murderers and power mad crazies have in common:
1. Power lust.
2. A view that destruction, upheaval and chaos is fine.
3. A complete disregard for the real world consequences for hundreds of millions of real world people.
Matt
There IS one thing that Attlee could have done prior to Partition – increase British Army troop numbers to police India.
He did the reverse. He reduced British Army numbers PRIOR to Partition.
THAT callous and indifferent Attlee decision doomed tens of thousands of Indians to death.
Exception/acception
Acception being obsolete. I would like to take accolades for its use. Not to be!
Good morning Bludgers from my phone still 🙁
Got told yesterday that we have to wait 2 more weeks to get the nbn internet back.
Bloody Global Warming-induced Super Cell Storms!
\( ö )/
Morning all.
Gorgeous morning on the mid-north coast. Still feels weird being up before BK.
C@t:
It’s the worst time for getting anything repaired or replaced.
Good morning Dawn Patrollers.
Matt Wade says that investors are flirting with the possibility of an interest rate cut in 2019 as falling property prices and wild fluctuations on global share markets cloud the economic outlook.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/interest-rates-in-the-balance-amid-housing-slump-20181228-p50oo7.html
Crispin Hull writes that the first few months of 2019 will be a dangerous time economically in Australia. A Government on the ropes will be out to buy votes and an Opposition sacred of blowing it at the last minute will be almost forced to match every bribe.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/the-cost-of-talking-budget-in-an-election-lead-up-20181227-p50oid.html
Josh Dye brings us up to date with the Opal Tower problem.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/residents-pack-up-their-troubles-as-opal-tower-empties-again-20181228-p50ono.html
NSW independent MP Alex Greenwith explains why a building defects inquiry is needed.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/water-damage-dangerous-mould-why-we-need-a-building-defects-inquiry-20181228-p50omu.html
Sacked ABC managing director Michelle Guthrie’s push to return to her job at the broadcaster has been slammed by board directors who are gobsmacked that she’d want to work there again.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/completely-unworkable-guthrie-s-push-to-return-to-the-abc-slammed-20181228-p50ojw.html
Now Trump is threatening to shut ‘entire’ border as the government shutdown stalemate drags on.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/trump-threatens-to-shut-entire-border-as-shutdown-stalemate-drags-on-20181229-p50op2.html
Julia Baird has written a piece on how fake news has shaped our history.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/the-biggest-porky-pies-how-fake-news-has-shaped-our-history-20181227-p50ohq.html
Fergus Hunter reports that Albo has demanded answers from the government on the Andrew Broad “sugar daddy” scandal, calling for Prime Minister Scott Morrison to clear up who knew what and when, so Australians can move on.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/albanese-demands-answers-on-broad-sugar-daddy-scandal-from-dysfunctional-government-20181228-p50omi.html
The AFR explains how voter tracking software is changing the face of Australia’s federal elections.
https://outline.com/SWRbx3
Bianca Hall reports that the Victorian Greens will overhaul the way the party vets candidates and handles misconduct allegations, after a year beset by scandals and disappointing election results.
https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/after-horror-year-bitter-greens-overhaul-party-as-former-mayor-quits-20181228-p50ojs.html
Shane Wright tells us about the capital cities eating up the rest of Australia.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/the-capital-cities-that-ate-australia-20181226-p50o8k.html
The rise and fall of Bitcoin.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/markets/remember-bitcoin-some-investors-would-rather-forget-20181228-p50oit.html
Peter van Onselen says that when it comes to female representation the Liberal Party only needs to look across the chambers of parliament to Labor to see the error of its ways.
https://www.outline.com/myC72X
Clancy Yeates writes that the royal commission has triggered debate about bank compensation schemes, which critics say are too often opaque, slow, and complex to navigate.
https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/a-right-pain-royal-commission-shines-light-on-bank-run-compo-20181220-p50nkm.html
Employment service providers are exploiting a “transactional” system that has allowed them to be paid multiple taxpayer bonuses for placing the same 5000 unemployed people in seven or more jobs in the past three years alone, new data reveals. Pricks!
https://outline.com/p8RnFV
The New York Times wonders what happens next for a broken Syria now the US is quitting.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/middle-east/what-happens-next-for-a-broken-syria-now-the-us-is-quitting-20181227-p50odx.html
Phil Coorey says Trump has not even been president for two years yet, largely as a consequence of his buffoonery, the administration has witnessed an unprecedented turnover of officials and cabinet ministers including chiefs of staff, secretaries of state and attorneys-general.
https://outline.com/CE3Ydj
Anne Summers writes that under pressure, Trump is more vulnerable than ever.
https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/under-pressure-trump-more-vulnerable-than-ever-20181227-p50oge.html
Trump in 2019 will either muddle through another year of his chaotic presidency or finally wear out his welcome among Republicans who finally recognise they can save him or themselves, but not both.
https://outline.com/Ktnjsr
At midnight tonight, one of the largest and most fraught trade deals in world history will come into effect, with Australia and five other countries importing and exporting under the rules of the TPP-11, formally called the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/after-years-of-tortured-negotiations-tpp-comes-into-force-at-midnight-20181228-p50ola.html
Bob Hawke has hinted his “terrible” health may mean he won’t be around to see Labor’s likely win at next year’s federal election.
https://outline.com/aFqqsZ
Controversial plans to dump up to 15m tonnes of salt and other waste near a creek in drought-stricken Queensland have hit an unexpected roadblock after a court ruled that planning approvals do not allow for trucks to park at the site.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/dec/29/plan-to-dump-15m-tonnes-of-salt-waste-in-murray-darling-headwaters-hits-roadblock
More than a dozen major political books are already planned for 2019, and the federal election will probably spawn more.
https://outline.com/uxVBGu
Australia’s largest coal producer, the secretive Swiss commodities trader, Glencore, topped Michael West’s Top 40 Tax Dodgers chart last year. This year, it is not even on the list.
https://www.michaelwest.com.au/sneaky-coal-giant-glencore-drops-off-the-top40-tax-dodgers/
Sally Whyte reports that The federal government spent $157 million on government advertising campaigns in 2017-18, with the same-sex marriage postal survey contributing to an increase in overall spending. There was a $57 million increase on the previous year, when $100.1 million was spent on government advertising campaigns. That year included $19.2 million on the 2016 census.
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/politics/federal/government-advertising-spend-jumps-57-million-in-one-year-20181228-p50oly.html
Here’s Gideon Haigh’s beautifully written report on yesterday’s test match play.
https://www.outline.com/xZLcHh
Oops! The Sydney Morning Herald has apologised after it published a photo of the wrong person in an article about a man who allegedly shot his stepmother with a nail gun on Christmas Day.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/dec/28/sydney-morning-herald-apologises-after-publishing-photo-of-man-wrongly-identified-as-alleged-nail-gun-attacker
This guy deserves nomination for “Arsehole of the Week”.
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/sydney-bus-driver-sprayed-in-face-with-chemical-police-20181228-p50ok6.html
Cartoon Corner
Alan Moir with Gladys and a silver lining.
From the US.
https://pbs.twimg.com/card_img/1078469094289039360/XERulD5y?format=jpg&name=600×314
https://pbs.twimg.com/card_img/1078453492094767109/hnEYRF9k?format=jpg&name=600×314
Andrew Dyson and Trump.
https://static.ffx.io/images/$width_828/t_resize_width/t_sharpen%2Cq_auto%2Cf_auto%2Cdpr_auto/0931b5707e5cb85018f353b83b7cb4246ab41d1e
Here’s Matt Golding’s work for the day,
Zanetti never lets up!
Jon Kudelka and Michelle Guthrie’s intentions.
https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/a858a4796f20e0e52dd3f6bae845c348
Sally Pope looks at ten years of cartooning from David Pope.
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/national/act/ten-years-of-david-pope-the-struggles-of-a-daily-cartoonist-20181227-p50of7.html
C@t
Perhaps you’re onto the next big tech thing ….. phone still!
clem attlee @ #1354 Saturday, December 29th, 2018 – 1:46 am
Clem
Briefley is so emotionally engaged that he is unable to distinguish between what he wants to be true and what is reality.
The point about Morrison waiting as long as possible is so bleeding obvious that any half wit would grasp it except of course those so emotional that they cannot grasp that reality and desires are two separate things.
It would be a big risk for Morrison to wait it out until November but he may feel he has nothing to lose. After all much could happen – war in the real sense with China or Russia or both, an economic megashift that scares people, 55 more boat loads of scary people, some major ALP scandal, some economic improvement, royal funeral, President Pence making a visit, all could tip the electoral balance in Morrison’s favour – (note i said could not would).
Half Senate in May would certainly see him lose any control over the senate, with the combined left going up by two and the combined right down by two with 4 still in the centre (Lambie in but Hinch out)
Jeez the freaks and the slithy toves came out late last night to gyre and gimble in the wabe!
nath doing his best, ‘I’m not a Liberal, really, but take my good advice, ScaMo’ impression.
clem attlee doing his, ‘I have the right to abuse you but don’t you dare try and abuse me!’…because it’s the only way I can win an argument, impression.
Thank goodness there were sensible heads in the room as well. 🙂
To which I will only add this observation.
If anyone thinks that an unelected, dropped-in Prime Minister, who no one likes already and who is a figure of derision and suspicion, and whose overt religiosity rubs people up the wrong way, even in the short time he has been PM, can improve his popularity by hanging around like a stale old fart, then they must have rocks in their head, or be a Liberal staffer.
All that I can add is that, after the electorate has used their baseball bats at a Half Senate election, they will just use the intervening time before Morrison is dragged, kicking and screaming, to the HoR election, to go out and buy bigger baseball bats.
Australians do not like cowards who will not front up and face the music. And they especially don’t like mean and tricky Liberal politicians trying to keep their undeserving backsides on the green leather. No matter how much of their own money gets thrown back at them in an election campaign. John Howard learned that lesson the hard way.
Cheers!
C@t
All of that being true, the Morrison LNP may just hang around to look after themselves. They have shown no indication of any other way.
Another year of perks they say, its ths LNP way!
dtt, you need to get out of your prepper bunker a bit more. The Australian people smell a desperate PM when they see one and no amount of hoped-for Black Swan events, and definitely not a President Pence, who does a very good impression of a wood duck, will alter their desire to bin a hapless government. Labor learnt that. John Howard learned it.
Not to mention the fact, observed here yesterday, that someone has the key to the closet in which the Coalition skeletons are stored and they keep opening it up and letting one out to roam around and scare the electorate at appropriate intervals.
Goll,
To do that would border on corruption, and you know who is going to bring in a Federal Corruption Commission with teeth, and who would have the imprimatur of the electorate to knock off the Coalition’s self-serving one after the election? No prizes for guessing.
Cat
Did you not notice i saild could not would.
Obviously the most likely outcome will be an LNP thrashing whether in May or November, but there is always wishful thinking, not to mention 6 months more of ministerial perks.
DTT
And 6 months more time to secure post politics sinecures and nice little earners.
What I don’y get is: given the deplorably bad performance of this govt, who would give nice little post politics sinecures to any member leaving?
I mean, are they insane?
Thanks BK.
This sobering article about the mindset of Steve Bannon and his ilk – interviewing the respected documentary maker Errol Morris- paints a rather grim scenario.
http://bostonreview.net/politics/errol-morris-interview-american-dharma
C@tmomma says:
Saturday, December 29, 2018 at 7:44 am
Jeez the freaks and the slithy toves came out late last night to gyre and gimble in the wabe!
I think last nights session demonstrates that there are a lot of politically naive people on this blog. That is not necessarily a bad thing.
jenauthor
A good point one . Being so appalling means they will find a need for as much time as possible. Sadly there will likely be a few ‘Andrew Robbs’ 🙁
With the debate over whether the COALition will go in May or hang on till later raging, here’s my onebobsworth. I reckon Morrison will hang on as long as possible, ignore all or any repercussions for doing so and give voters of Australia the finger. With temperatures breaking records, and climate change now ignored by only a miniscule few and the coal miners, his goose will not only be cooked but incinerated. NewsPolls revelation about over 50s voting trends, including climate change views, can only serve to turn the oven temperature up even higher. Its going to be hot in the kitchen.
I’m surprised that a bevy of life changes and resignations due to family considerations have not been sworn out by LNP members and Senators, the silence is ominous.
Morrison’s mob have a further “throw of the dice” in an early budget announcement and will surprise no-one with its audacity. Fraser played it well in the 70’s.
No-one but the hard core right are even contemplating a LNP resurgence with Morrison or any other contender with a desire to have their name in lights.
Turnbull misused the last chance for an early election, everything since is just wishful thinking by the RWNJs
The power balance in the reps with the election of Phelps and the complete abhorrence of women in the corridors of power, may force Morrison’s hand.
Many a LNP stalwart within and outside parliament have shown complete denial that their opinions are wrong and the voters are lining them up for a flogging. The next election whenever will not be pretty for hard core LNP self-righteous prats and their supporters.
The only positive for the current LNP is the chance to continue the perks of government for another 12 months.
The LNP have nil regard for democratic process, the banking and union investigations come to mind together with a swag of un released findings detrimental to the LNP government.
Morrison and the haters will contemplate the chance to hate for as long as possible.
A very difficult year ahead with no sign of clear air.
“It all comes down to the psychology of the man.”
The psychology of the man is that he actually believes he talks directly to The Christ, who talks back to him. Both of them conversing in languages that neither has learnt or understands. This is his guiding light. Anything is therefore possible.
Thanks BK.
PvO’s column makes me wonder whether the Howard Liberals ever wondered if they’d eventually be in this predicament re gender diversity. They must’ve known that simply doing ‘business as usual’ was never going to increase the number of women among their ranks. Yet they persisted, as PvO said, because the younger generation of mostly males knew their ambitions would never be realised if they had to compete on a more level playing field.
Now it’s even more difficult to bring about cultural change, change they should’ve began back when they went into opposition in 2007. It certainly would’ve been easier then than it will be now.
matt, other than you, the bludgers who amuse themselves by arguing that a November election would be a good idea, also share another characteristic. They campaign against Labor. They are from the nauseatingly hypocritical branch of the Libling faction. They hate Labor. They may not want a Liberal win, but they ardently hope Labor will not win either. They hope Morrison can conjure up a few 2PP % and a close result, a result in which the Liblings might scrape together the B-o-P.
Thanks BK for this mornings Dawn Patrol.
Shorten risks causing the greatest havoc by sticking by his promises
Chris Kenny
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/inquirer/shorten-risks-causing-the-greatest-havoc-by-sticking-by-his-promises/news-story/dee0cb4926a4a7aaa2d5df51c157177c
https://outline.com/gXXeK2
Other posters have made comment about the about 1800 word article by Mr. Chris Kenny.
As I hold the Sky News program Viewpoint close to my heart as a must miss item I regard myself as one of lifes fortunates.
I have know a few Kennys in my time. I’m one myself – first name for me.
One of the former Kenny workmates I knew used to ride his bike home at lunchtime for a quickie and then back on the job soon thereafter. I can’t remember whether I was bemused, befuddled or envious at the time. Perhaps all three.
Lotsa stuff in the article.
Mr. Kenny quickly up to his mark, turns and lumbers up to bowl – the ball smartly leaves his hand, clearly intended to be a googly, but the winds of war, distemper, dreams of a disappearing pay packet and probably gas from large lunches cause his arm to rotate just a little too far and the leather lobs on his foot in an almost exact replica of Mr. Youknowwho’s famous effup of a bowling attempt all those years ago.
I particulary like the following:-
and intend to use it in casual conversation at the local bread shop next week. That’ll show ’em who knows which way is up.
Mr. Kenny manages to give quite a few a serve down the centre line (getting ready for the tennis today). Ms. Marise Payne, the Foreign Minister is given a couple of pars involving fruit, whales, Jerusalem embassy debate, Chinese strategic aggression and Donald Trump’s Middle East withdrawals. I think this lady may have somehow offended Mr. Kenny.
As for the most unfortunate antics of one
Sorry I can’t go on – Ms. Banks whom I though to have behaved impeccably in the face of some extreme bastardry has, according to Mr. Kenny, been a bad bad girl – a malcontent no less. Jeez, oh Jeez, this calls for a song.
♫Why can’t you ♪behave?
Oh, why can’t ♫you behave?
After all the ♪things you told ♫me
And the ♫promises that you ♪gave
Oh, ♫why can’t you ♪ behave?
Kettle on – ✅ Coffee ✅ ☕
If the government think it’s in their interests to buy time, the cross bench may decide becoming more disruptive improves their re-election chances. Playing silly buggers with election timing, even when there is a plausible reason, always costs political capital, which they don’t have. And for what? For a government that is reducing sitting days? Reduced because there are a pile of known issues and scandals that will only hurt the government in an already hostile parliament. It would need to be a huge black swan to salvage any advantage from the shambles.
Given the history of this government I am loathe to bet against such a silly idea, but I would have thought the sensible voices in the Liberals would be advocating damage minimisation.
briefly @ #1386 Saturday, December 29th, 2018 – 7:52 am
Briefly
I despair of you.
Can you not grasp that making a judgement call about what Morrison may choose to do is in no way supporting that position. None here are advisors to Morrison, but rather observers who are speculating on how he may think.
Suggesting that greed and faint hope may dominate over common sense in Morrison’s brain is hardly supporting a Liberal win in November.
For example the powerful RWNJ faction who support Dutton may very well be pushing for a delay, since Dutton will probably lose his seat. A delay may allow Dutton to wrangle a safe seat from someone in the LNP. Dutton tried once before to move but failed. Who knows what pressure can be brought but the longer the time the more scope for the tuber.
Andrew_Earlwood says:
William Burroughs had some advice when dealing with Morrisons……………..
Thx KayJay for your analysis of the other Kenny’s article. Saves me reading it.
I for one are happy for him to continue writing such rubbish as all he is doing is pointing out what a nutter he is.
The more he writes, the more he tarnishes brand Kenny and all it supports.
KayJay — Kenny is an utter joke of a shill. I’ve wondered whether he was our mate nath at times.
Morning all
Boerwar
Your post at 7 am is spot on!
DaretoTread says:
Saturday, December 29, 2018 at 9:02 am
briefly @ #1386 Saturday, December 29th, 2018 – 7:52 am
Briefly…..I despair of you.
Oh, the lulz. Of course, you don’t.
Labor will win next election, but it may not be as definitive as the state Vic Labor victory.
It may ultimately be due to the scare campaign that will be waged on negative gearing.
Australians deep down like the idea of housing investments on the taxpayer dime
Briefly
I am sure you will sleep well at night knowing that dtt despairs of you!
There is no recent precedent for hanging on until the last minute. The only time this happened was for the third Australian Parliament elected 12/12/1906. The next Federal Election was held 13/4/1910 and the coalition of “anyone who wasn’t Labor” lost.
The most recent “late” elections (more than a month) have tended to result in a change of Government:
2007: 46 days since third anniversary of previous election.
2001: 38 days – no change
1972: 38 days – change
1949: 73 days – change
1946: 38 days – no change
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chronology_of_Australian_federal_parliaments
Desperately seeking a bevy of black swan events. Right wing regimes, history tells, are capable of unfathomable concocted scenarios.
Selection of GGs, withholding information, denying freedoms, persecution of the disenfranchised, cronyism, nepotism, control of the media and financial corruption.
The LNP have all the characteristics to suggest a denial of the democratic rights is there to be trampled by the jackboots of privilege.
Yes I am concerned.
Karma: total biatch!
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/with-congressional-race-in-limbo-north-carolina-dissolves-state-elections-board/2018/12/28/ad09dedc-0abb-11e9-88e3-989a3e456820_story.html?utm_term=.a2b482ff8b8e
jenauthor
says:
Saturday, December 29, 2018 at 9:05 am
KayJay — Kenny is an utter joke of a shill. I’ve wondered whether he was our mate nath at times.
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Why are you so mean to me Jen? I’ve never said anything about you? Yet you continue to belittle and bully me.