Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor

No Christmas cheer for the Coalition from the final Newspoll for 2018.

The Australian reports Newspoll has closed its 2018 account with another crushing 55-45 lead for Labor, from primary votes of Coalition 35% (up one), Labor 41% (up one), Greens 9% (steady) and One Nation 7% (down one). Scott Morrison edges to net negative territory on his personal ratings, being down one on approval to 42% and up three on disapproval to 45%. Bill Shorten is respectively down one to 36% and up one to 51%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is 44-36, narrowing from 46-34. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1731.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,921 comments on “Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor”

  1. Rex Douglas

    Have you noticed the Telegraph, 2GB and their ilk, A Current Affair etc etc being full of screaming lurid headlines each competing with the other for the most ‘outrageous’ headline/claims for days on end ? No neither have I so it is doing it’s job.

  2. Along similar lines but a case we can talk about, this article discusses a very similar situation occurring in NZ at the moment and the tech giants flouting of the Suppression Order there.


    New Zealand courts banned naming Grace Millane’s accused killer. Google just emailed it out
    Toby Manhire
    That one of the world’s biggest companies rides roughshod over a court order tells you all you need to know about the giants of Silicon Valley.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/dec/13/new-zealand-courts-banned-naming-grace-millanes-accused-killer-google-just-emailed-it-out

  3. @Nath – your record got leaked from My Health,

    Background
    A man called Nath with no previous psychiatric history presented with an acute onset of obsessive–compulsive disorder (OCD) symptoms associated with a right inferior parietal infarct and Bill Shorten fixation. There were no abnormal neurological signs. There were no noteworthy abnormalities on neuropsychological testing.

    Method
    Whereas a computerised tomography scan showed only a right inferior parietal infarct, a single photon emission computerised tomography (SPECT) scan revealed that in addition to the infarct there was decreased regional cerebral blood flow in the right basal ganglia and temporal areas. There was higher activity in the right orbitofrontal area than in the left.

    Results
    The patient improved with standard drug therapy and psychotherapy.

    Conclusions
    SPECT is effective in the diagnosis of neuropsychiatric disorders such as OCD, and the pathological changes in brain metabolism detected by SPECT may be reversed by both drug therapy and psychotherapy.

  4. poroti @ #2649 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 4:28 pm

    Rex Douglas

    Have you noticed the Telegraph, 2GB and their ilk, A Current Affair etc etc being full of screaming lurid headlines each competing with the other for the most ‘outrageous’ headline/claims for days on end ? No neither have I so it is doing it’s job.

    Sure.

    But the point remains the information is still easily attainable for Joe Citizen, leaving the order impotent.

  5. I thought it was considered inappropriate to deride bludgers by claiming they suffered mental illness? A particularly poor form of bullying

  6. I don’t think this is “new news”, but I want to draw attention to the incorrect use of the verb “affect” in the first para. Usually “effect” is scattered everywhere, but this time, inappropriately, affect got a guernsey.

    Premier Gladys Berejiklian on Thursday announced the measures would come into affect from next year, in a plan to cut class distractions and online bullying.

    Phones will be banned during school hours in public primary schools, while high schools will be able to choose to opt into a ban.

    The move – an Australian first – is in response to a review by child psychologist Michael Carr-Gregg, commissioned by the education department in June.

    It found growing cases of online bullying, inappropriate sharing of explicit images between students, predatory behaviour from strangers and unnecessary distraction for students.

    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/state/nsw/2018/12/13/nsw-school-mobile-phone-ban/

  7. Rex Douglas @ #2638 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 4:14 pm

    … what’s the point of an Australian media suppression order in this age of twitter and global media reach ?

    It’s absolutely absurd.

    No it isn’t. The point of it is to give the subsequent trials of the same offender a chance to select a jury that has not been influenced by the type of lurid stories that would be given blanket coverage if there wasn’t a suppression order in place.

    Particularly if the offender subsequently gets off on appeal … which (as we have recently seen in a very similar case) is entirely possible.

  8. lizzie @ #7873 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 4:44 pm

    I don’t think this is “new news”, but I want to draw attention to the incorrect use of the verb “affect” in the first para. Usually “effect” is scattered everywhere, but this time, inappropriately, affect got a guernsey.

    Premier Gladys Berejiklian on Thursday announced the measures would come into affect from next year, in a plan to cut class distractions and online bullying.

    Phones will be banned during school hours in public primary schools, while high schools will be able to choose to opt into a ban.

    The move – an Australian first – is in response to a review by child psychologist Michael Carr-Gregg, commissioned by the education department in June.

    It found growing cases of online bullying, inappropriate sharing of explicit images between students, predatory behaviour from strangers and unnecessary distraction for students.

    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/state/nsw/2018/12/13/nsw-school-mobile-phone-ban/

    I think it’s the effect of having a psychologist commenting on affect, effectively affecting the incidence of “affect” in the Premier’s speeches with immediate effect on your affect.

  9. Late Riser

    It really bugs me that such mistakes appear in what is supposed to be written by a professional. We are now discovering the result of the absence of sub-editors.

  10. If the anti Labor parties consider Shorten to be a hopeless liability why are they so keen to get rid of him. If I had a vote when Turnbull challenged Abbott I would have voted for Abbott. Not because I thought he was a better leader but because I was sure he was a loser. I suspect that Shorten actually scares them.

  11. Ch 10 news had a leading item on Pell being removed from the Pope’s inner circle of advisers.

    Then video of Morrison being asked if he would like to comment on Pell’s service to the church. Grim faced Morrison: “No I wouldn’t”.

  12. Spoke to my uncle at Kowanyama, they are getting ready for a big blow from TC Owen. Old timers up there think it will be a big one. Looks like heaps of rain on the way for the Gulf and East Coast as Owen tracks down the coast.

    My Great Grandfather was a Post Master at the turn of last century. Interesting to re-read his meteorological notes over 100 years ago. He records the mercury rapidly falling on January 19 1918 – the next day a massive cyclone flattened Mackay killing 30 people.

  13. lizzie affect can be used as a verb and a noun ( an emotion) and effect can be used as a noun and a verb ( to bring about change). One of them should be nuked.

  14. Barney

    Yes, I think young Rachel @heyracheleddie (the hey gives away her age) has started by quoting a press release, but to give her credit there is quite a bit more ‘research’ added.

  15. Well, I’d just like to commend the bravery of victims, witnesses and the effectiveness of prosecutors in a particular court case held in recent times. … and that’s all I have to say about that for the time being.

  16. lizzie @ #2672 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 4:02 pm

    Late Riser

    It really bugs me that such mistakes appear in what is supposed to be written by a professional. We are now discovering the result of the absence of sub-editors.

    I struggled to embed the difference between the two words. It jars when I read it done wrong. I don’t know what a sub-editor is, but it should be like the difference between doing and having, just known. (little grr)

  17. Peter Stanton @ #2672 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 5:06 pm

    If the anti Labor parties consider Shorten to be a hopeless liability why are they so keen to get rid of him. If I had a vote when Turnbull challenged Abbott I would have voted for Abbott. Not because I thought he was a better leader but because I was sure he was a loser. I suspect that Shorten actually scares them.

    I don’t want either of them to be our PM.

    I’d hope voters have higher standards.

  18. Rex Douglas @ #2684 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 1:20 pm

    Peter Stanton @ #2672 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 5:06 pm

    If the anti Labor parties consider Shorten to be a hopeless liability why are they so keen to get rid of him. If I had a vote when Turnbull challenged Abbott I would have voted for Abbott. Not because I thought he was a better leader but because I was sure he was a loser. I suspect that Shorten actually scares them.

    I don’t want either of them to be our PM.

    I’d hope voters have higher standards.

    One is and the other will be, so you can go have a cry with Nath! 🙂

  19. Mavis Smith says:
    Thursday, December 13, 2018 at 9:47 am

    [‘Cohen will have to surrender to authorities by March 6.’]

    So he gets to have Christmas with his family. ..
    ***************************************
    Except he’s jewish…

  20. “I struggled to embed the difference between the two words. It jars when I read it done wrong. I don’t know what a sub-editor is, but it should be like the difference between doing and having, just known. (little grr)”

    As I understand it, the sub-editor checks copy before it goes to print. It’s a quality assurance role. You can check their stuff you wrote yourself, assuming that you’re allowed enough time, but then you’re just likely to see what you meant to write. And these days lots of people don’t know things like punctuation or the difference between ‘affect’ and ‘effect’. These types of QA are no longer being done, the people who did them having long since been retrenched.

  21. I wonder whether ScoMo’s “Religious Freedom” will extend to religions that do not recognize Christ as the Messiah being able to object to the forced participation of their kids in Christmas religious activities at their school.

  22. “Stephen O’Dougherty on The Drum has made me switch over”

    Stephen O’Doherty is a former Sydney radio host, fairly well known, who became head of the Christian Broadcasting Service. Not sure what he’s doing now but he pops up on radio and TV from time to time to spruik Christian (Scott-Morrison type) causes.

    EDIT: forgot to mention that he served as a Liberal MP in the NSW Parliament.

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