Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor

No Christmas cheer for the Coalition from the final Newspoll for 2018.

The Australian reports Newspoll has closed its 2018 account with another crushing 55-45 lead for Labor, from primary votes of Coalition 35% (up one), Labor 41% (up one), Greens 9% (steady) and One Nation 7% (down one). Scott Morrison edges to net negative territory on his personal ratings, being down one on approval to 42% and up three on disapproval to 45%. Bill Shorten is respectively down one to 36% and up one to 51%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is 44-36, narrowing from 46-34. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1731.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,921 comments on “Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor”

  1. [Michael A says:
    Thursday, December 13, 2018 at 2:10 pm
    I am going to restrict my comments to an abstract discussion of the moral and jurisprudential principles underpinning the media suppression regime in this country.

    I look forward to Andrew Bolt, Mark Latham, David Leyonheljm and all the Coalition s18c free speech culture warriors bravely resisting this outrageous act of state suppression of free speech. There are judge-only trials available in certain cases for a reason and I can’t see why this can’t apply here as the best remedy for the concerns about unfair subsequent trials. Why suppress the speech of literally every man woman and child in this country when other methods of protecting trials from prejudice are available?

    I take it my own private text messages to family and friends, linking overseas news articles, are not subject to this suppression order?]

    I do not see any discussion from you of the moral and jurisprudential principles underpinning “the media suppression regime in this country” so I assume the level of abstraction is way over my head.

    You do make the point that there are judge-only trials available – in cases where the risk is too great of not having a fair trial because of pre-trial publicity. Do you have any interest in people accused of serious criminal offences having a fair trial?

    In any event judge-only trials are not available in Victoria. The idea is that trial by jury (one’s peers) is a very effective way of ensuring justice is not only done but is seen to be done. A little bit of suppression for a limited period does not seem to me to be much of a public burden to start chucking overboard the idea of trial by jury.

    And really, what is really being suppressed? It is not as though anyone with an interest could not have attended the court hearing (it was open court). Nor is it difficult for anyone with an interest to make internet enquiries. Sure, having made internet enquiries there would be a number of people, perhaps even you, with interesting comments and perspectives to bring on the subject. But can’t that wait a few months whilst justice continues to be done?

    Certainly not suppressed is “the speech of every man woman and child in this country”, since there would be many with absolutely nothing to say, and perhaps many more with little useful to add.

  2. A little dog whistle to the voters whom Morrison really wants to attract with his religious freedom legislation:

    Attorney-General Christian Porter said the Religious Discrimination Act – recommended by Mr Ruddock – would include caveats. For example, a Muslim could not refuse to remove a face covering in court on the grounds of religious freedom.
    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/politics/federal/scott-morrison-pledges-religious-discrimination-act-but-delays-protections-for-gay-students-20181213-p50lyh.html

  3. “The Federal Government will unleash a “dead welfare payment” crackdown,
    https://outline.com/WkC724

    Fair nuff as a program. But…..they will almost certainly fwark up the implementation via Centerlink, and cut off people who shouldn’t be.

    Lol! I see nath has taken his obnoxious slime mould pills….again.

  4. If Mr Bowe is as concerned as he says he is about Defamation considerations wrt the blog, then he should be looking very carefully at what the obviously disturbed mind of nath has been posting about Bill Shorten.

  5. Here is photographic proof of Shorten and Mike Kelly harassing and almost holding to ransom this innocent family and forcing them to take grocery items that Shorten has selected while a camera crew films them. Note that the kids don’t seem too impressed.

  6. imacca

    I found it a bit of a lol as the Coalition screamed long and loud ‘most incompetent government eva! ” because some dead people received cheques in the post GFC stimulus package . That some were overseas was,apparently, clinching proof of the total ‘incompetence” .

  7. I am amazed that the Coalition’s primary vote is still quite high it is currently 37.2% according to the Bludgertracker. Given the Morrison government while not as bad as the Abbott one, is still a quite bad one.

  8. nath,

    The photo you just posted – you seem to know a lot about the incident.

    Was it taken in Coles in the Riverside Plaza or Woolworths in Sheedy Lane?

  9. Here is photographic proof of Shorten and Mike Kelly harassing and almost holding to ransom this innocent family and forcing them to take grocery items that Shorten has selected while a camera crew films them. Note that the kids don’t seem too impressed.

    It proves nothing of the sort.

  10. Cud Chewer @ #2601 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 2:53 pm

    One wonders about your real motivations.

    No, one doesn’t. Nath is just trialling what Labor’s opponents intend to throw out during the election campaign, presumably to see what gets the best reaction. Many of us here spotted nath’s real motivations the first day he ever posted here, and blocked him immediately.

    The best way to discourage this type of thing is just to ignore him altogether. Some here still don’t seem to get that.

  11. Windhover:

    I agree with the suppression order imposed in respect to the person who can’t be named.

    It goes without saying that if a defendant/accused were to have an extremely high profile, no judicial direction would, in my view, suffice to ensure a fair trial, though shellbell, for instance, thinks it can.

    It should be borne in mind that it was the prosecution that sought the gag order, in doing so obviously attempting to head off an appeal based on undue media attention and publicity.

  12. Diogenes @ #2623 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 11:35 am

    “Under Conservative party rules, Mrs. May can’t be challenged again for a year”
    Ridiculous

    Why?

    It makes people think before they challenge and if they haven’t done their sums right they’re stuffed for a year.

    I personally think it’s a much better way of doing it than the super majorities that are now required in Australia. 🙂

  13. The MayBot will still have to step down if her Cabinet (particularly Hammond; Gove) show her the door and tell her the dog is pissing on her swag. That, I think, is the practical reality.
    As I’ve said earlier, I don’t think the real game will start until early march. If the MayBot looks like leading the UK out of the EU with no deal at all, she might even start playing a different tune. She won’t want that as her legacy. Maybe, at that point, even she will start talking about an extension of the deadline and a fresh election. She’s a lunatic. But an no-deal crash out is hardly “mission accomplished” for her. Labor, of course, would fully support an extension and fresh election.
    But nothing much will happen until what Alex Ferguson called “squeaky bottom” time.

  14. Player One @ #2621 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 3:24 pm

    Cud Chewer @ #2601 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 2:53 pm

    One wonders about your real motivations.

    No, one doesn’t. Nath is just trialling what Labor’s opponents intend to throw out during the election campaign, presumably to see what gets the best reaction. Many of us here spotted nath’s real motivations the first day he ever posted here, and blocked him immediately.

    The best way to discourage this type of thing is just to ignore him altogether. Some here still don’t seem to get that.

    Hear! Hear! Read! Read!

  15. c@t:

    Just to remind everyone

    Please don’t. Just because you can’t resist this person’s siren call (the last page was almost entirely filled with your ripostes to the obvious trolling) doesn’t mean the rest of us should be ‘reminded’ of what we carefully avoided rising to in the first place.

  16. Nath.

    You demean yourself with vids like that doctored one of Shorten in the supermarket.

    Remember, you are on Pollbludger and you will be called out on it quick smart. This is not the Bolt blog.

  17. Player One @ #2610 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 3:24 pm

    Cud Chewer @ #2601 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 2:53 pm

    One wonders about your real motivations.

    No, one doesn’t. Nath is just trialling what Labor’s opponents intend to throw out during the election campaign, presumably to see what gets the best reaction. Many of us here spotted nath’s real motivations the first day he ever posted here, and blocked him immediately.

    The best way to discourage this type of thing is just to ignore him altogether. Some here still don’t seem to get that.

    Oh, he’s Blocked again. Sorry, but it was just my forgiving nature that sucked me in again. Saw others relating normally and conversationally with nath so I unblocked him. More fool me. He soon reverted to type. He is one sick puppy and I won’t be making that mistake again!

  18. nath @ #2603 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 3:00 pm

    Here is photographic proof of Shorten and Mike Kelly harassing and almost holding to ransom this innocent family and forcing them to take grocery items that Shorten has selected while a camera crew films them. Note that the kids don’t seem too impressed.

    ” rel=”nofollow”>

    What’s he doing imposing himself in their personal space ..?

  19. The libs know that if there is an ICAC it will have nothing to do for a couple of years except investigate the LNP govt! It will make the Heydon Royal Commission look like low-grade political revenge.

  20. Oh, and doesn’t the MayBot’s promise not to stand for election in 2022 give her a massive incentive to call a snap election to reset her premiership. I bet that, in early March, she will be craving one.

  21. Regulators in Western Australia are considering proposals for two new chemical plants on the Burrup peninsula that would increase air pollution near the world’s largest collection of rock art.

    The news comes three months after the WA government announced it was preparing to nominate the site for a world heritage listing, for the 1m petroglyphs throughout the area and its surrounding islands, some of which are more than 60,000 years old.

    It also follows a Senate report that warned emissions from heavy industry on the peninsula could damage the carvings, prompting rock art experts to call for a halt to new industry approvals until both the baseline emissions figures and an accurate picture of the damage being done to the images could be established.

    The Perdaman urea project, which proposes to manufacture 2m tonnes of the compound used in fertiliser each year on a site adjacent to the Murujuga national park, and the Wesfarmers downstream processing chemical production facility, which would manufacture 5,000 tonnes of methanol a day on nearby land, were this month referred to a public environmental review by WA’s Environmental Protection Authority.

    The EPA also ordered a public environment review on a proposal by Woodside to extend to 2070 the operation of the North-West Shelf gas project, which has been operating on the Burrup peninsula for more than 30 years.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/dec/13/two-new-chemical-plants-under-consideration-near-was-burrup-rock-art?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

  22. Rex Douglas says: Thursday, December 13, 2018 at 4:14 pm

    PuffyTMD @ #2584 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 2:40 pm

    If it helps someone get a fair trial and denies a defense that might arise out of publication I am happy to wait for the Order to be lifted. …

    Yes, but what’s the point of an Australian media suppression order in this age of twitter and global media reach ?

    It’s absolutely absurd.

    ******************************************************

    Yes I agree Rex – I mean how else would I have know this fascinating fact SO SOON without the internet and twitter : ( vomit )

    Stormy Daniels’s Detailed Description of Donald Trump’s Penis Explains a Lot

    Including the current state of U.S. politics, in my opinion.

    The Guardian obtained a copy of the yet-to-be released book, Full Disclosure, in which she describes their sexual interactions in unfortunate, but politically important detail. His penis is shaped like a toadstool.

    She describes Trump’s penis as “smaller than average” but “not freakishly small.”

    “He knows he has an unusual penis,” Daniels writes. “It has a huge mushroom head. Like a toadstool…”

    “I lay there, annoyed that I was getting fucked by a guy with Yeti pubes and a dick like the mushroom character in Mario Kart…

    “It may have been the least impressive sex I’d ever had, but clearly, he didn’t share that opinion.”

    https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/a23301515/stormy-daniels-donald-trump-penis-mushroom/

    (vomit again )

    Michael Cohen – Hope you and National Enquirer have delivered enough to bring Trump down once and for all

  23. @MikeCarlton01

    Flim flam from SloMo. A secret star chamber. No public hearings, no public findings. In other words, a rank insult to the Australian people.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *