Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor

No Christmas cheer for the Coalition from the final Newspoll for 2018.

The Australian reports Newspoll has closed its 2018 account with another crushing 55-45 lead for Labor, from primary votes of Coalition 35% (up one), Labor 41% (up one), Greens 9% (steady) and One Nation 7% (down one). Scott Morrison edges to net negative territory on his personal ratings, being down one on approval to 42% and up three on disapproval to 45%. Bill Shorten is respectively down one to 36% and up one to 51%. Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is 44-36, narrowing from 46-34. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1731.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,921 comments on “Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor”

  1. Political Alert
    ‏ @political_alert
    1m1 minute ago

    “The Prime Minister needs to explain why he wants to set up a national anti-corruption commission which curiously exempts himself and the current government from any scrutiny by the new anti-corruption commission.” OL @billshortenmp #auspol

  2. Bill Shorten with the money question..

    “The Prime Minister needs to explain why he wants to set up a national anti-corruption commission which curiously exempts himself and the current government from any scrutiny by the new anti-corruption commission.” OL @billshortenmp #auspol

  3. Zoidlord @ #2551 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 10:03 am

    Political Alert
    ‏ @political_alert
    1m1 minute ago

    “The Prime Minister needs to explain why he wants to set up a national anti-corruption commission which curiously exempts himself and the current government from any scrutiny by the new anti-corruption commission.” OL @billshortenmp #auspol

    Don’t want to over work it when it’s just been established! 🙂

  4. I am going to restrict my comments to an abstract discussion of the moral and jurisprudential principles underpinning the media suppression regime in this country.

    I look forward to Andrew Bolt, Mark Latham, David Leyonheljm and all the Coalition s18c free speech culture warriors bravely resisting this outrageous act of state suppression of free speech. There are judge-only trials available in certain cases for a reason and I can’t see why this can’t apply here as the best remedy for the concerns about unfair subsequent trials. Why suppress the speech of literally every man woman and child in this country when other methods of protecting trials from prejudice are available?

    I take it my own private text messages to family and friends, linking overseas news articles, are not subject to this suppression order?

  5. “The Prime Minister needs to explain why he wants to set up a national anti-corruption commission which curiously exempts himself and the current government from any scrutiny by the new anti-corruption commission.” OL @billshortenmp #auspol”

    Rollin, Rollin, Rollin,,,,
    Keep those fwarkups rollin…
    RAWHIDE!!!!!!!

    🙂

  6. “Morrison’s Anti Corruption Commission will NOT cover criminal misconduct!?!”

    The Clayton’s Commission, the Commission you have when you’re not having a Commission.

  7. Michael A, the UK goes one step further: Super-injunctions.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Super-injunctions_in_English_law

    In English tort law, a super-injunction is a type of injunction that prevents publication of information that is in issue and also prevents the reporting of the fact that the injunction exists at all.

    Due to their very nature it is not possible to say exactly how many super-injunctions exist or have been issued. The Neuberger Committee that examined super-injunctions stated: “at present, there are records of only a limited number of cases; specific records are not at present kept in respect of such matters”.

  8. And when did we become China? Australians being blocked from accessing certain overseas news articles reporting truthfully on this? We’re talking about a conviction here, not a mere accusation.

  9. The full design of Morrison’s ICAC is here

    https://www.ag.gov.au/Consultations/Documents/commonwealth-integrity-commission/cic-consultation-paper.pdf

    It is out for consultation. Parliamentarians and their staff are covered, but there seems to be some big flaws in the narrow definition of what can be investigated, how, and the remedies available.

    Tieing the whole thing to existing oversight of security and enforcement agencies seems to miss the point

    For example, Barnyard and co being showered with largesse by Big Gina, and then magically coming up with pro-coal policies would not be covered?

  10. Morrison shows few political smarts. There’s no way that his proposed model for an integrity commission will get up. Thus he’s only going to cause himself, his party more pain.

  11. And on Parliamentarians…

    Referrals about parliamentarians and their staff

    The public sector division could receive a referral regarding a parliamentarian or their staff that met the CIC’s threshold for investigation from the IPEA, the AEC, the AFP or other integrity agencies. For example, if the IPEA observed potentially corrupt conduct that it reasonably suspected was capable of constituting a criminal offence, it could refer that activity to the CIC for investigation.
    9
    The public sector division of the CIC will also be able to investigate parliamentarians or their staff where an existing CIC investigation into suspected corruption within a different part of the public sector revealed evidence that will meet the investigation threshold. For example, if the CIC was investigating suspected criminal corrupt conduct within a procurement process involving a department, and through that investigation it found evidence suggesting corrupt activity by any Member of Parliament or member of the executive government which it reasonably expected met the relevant criminal threshold, the CIC could initiate an investigation into that matter.
    The CIC will not investigate direct complaints about Ministers, Members of Parliament or their staff received from the public at large.

  12. There once was a man called …………
    Who preached about fire, brimstone and hell.
    He had a friend called Abbott
    But he had a bad habit
    That will end his days in a cell!

    We hope!

  13. C@tmomma
    says:
    Now feck off, and when you get there, feck off some more, and leave me alone. I only conversed with you last night because I felt sorry for you after I found out by googling your slanderous You Tube, heavily-edited to put Bill Shorten in the worst possible light, garbage post video, that you are a sad case.
    _____________________________
    I don’t bring sadness to the world but laughter and smiles through the art of Clowning and miming. Which is a very old performance art and not to be dismissed by the likes of you. I have trained at the Ecole internationale de Théâtre Jacques Lecoq. Which I am sure you know nothing about.

  14. Michael A
    Yes. Eggshells indeed. Just for the record….
    Phrase – is the Pope Catholic?
    (colloquial, rhetorical question) A rhetorical question in response to a question whose answer is an emphatic yes.
    Example “Is nath a broken record when it comes to Bill Shorten?” ― “Is the Pope Catholic?”

  15. nath @ #2574 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 2:25 pm

    This is the video C@t was talking about, when Shorten harassed an innocent family and made them buy groceries they didn’t want.

    ‘Harassed’ an ‘innocent’ family!?! Loaded imagery, or what!?!

    Which is a lie and you know it. beguiledagain laid out in detail how that You Tube video had been heavily edited to cast Bill Shorten in a very poor light.

    Quit while you are behind, nath. Though I know you won’t because you seem to have the village idiot’s belief in their superiority over all others and that the power of your words will suffice for proof. You couldn’t be more wrong.

  16. nath @ #2579 Thursday, December 13th, 2018 – 2:29 pm

    C@tmomma
    says:
    Now feck off, and when you get there, feck off some more, and leave me alone. I only conversed with you last night because I felt sorry for you after I found out by googling your slanderous You Tube, heavily-edited to put Bill Shorten in the worst possible light, garbage post video, that you are a sad case.
    _____________________________
    I don’t bring sadness to the world but laughter and smiles through the art of Clowning and miming. Which is a very old performance art and not to be dismissed by the likes of you. I have trained at the Ecole internationale de Théâtre Jacques Lecoq. Which I am sure you know nothing about.

    Go join the circus!

  17. SK

    Rather than your imputation of obviousness, it would be safer to use something like:

    Does a bear shit in the forest?

    Do one legged ducks swim in circles?

  18. If it helps someone get a fair trial and denies a defense that might arise out of publication I am happy to wait for the Order to be lifted. And we don’t have free speech in Australia.We do not have a Bill of Rights.

    Actually I wish the media could be constrained from painting anyone guilty pre-trial. I am remember the Lindy Chamberlain case well.

  19. nath @ #1716 Wednesday, December 12th, 2018 – 1:36 pm

    Remembering the time when Shorten harassed a family in a supermarket, asking such inane questions as ‘what’s your favourite type of lettuce?’

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kig3zQRxLWU

    Even more bizarrely, Shorten began adding items to the woman’s trolley, including cream, which he helpfully added ‘was on special’.

    My bet is that Shorten was hoping she would pay for the items and he would grab them after they had left the store. After all he’s not used to paying for anything himself.

    Just to remind everyone of the slanderous comment nath made under his heavily negatively-edited You Tube video. It seems he can’t help himself when it comes to being a fabulist, a liar, as well as a clown.

  20. beguiledagain @ #1790 Wednesday, December 12th, 2018 – 2:50 pm

    nath says:
    Wednesday, December 12, 2018 at 1:36 pm

    Remembering the time when Shorten harassed a family in a supermarket, asking such inane questions as ‘what’s your favourite type of lettuce?’

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kig3zQRxLWU

    Even more bizarrely, Shorten began adding items to the woman’s trolley, including cream, which he helpfully added ‘was on special’.

    My bet is that Shorten was hoping she would pay for the items and he would grab them after they had left the store. After all he’s not used to paying for anything himself.
    -0-

    Look carefully and you will see that this is clip was carefully and maliciously edited. What was happening I suspect was that the shopper was selecting the items and Bill was helping her by getting them from the shelves and putting them in the trolley. The Tories have probably cut the footage by removing her saying what she wanted from the shelves each time.

    It is such a phony job: you can see that the clip jerks with the cuts just before Bill gets the item and places it in the trolley. If you think I am wrong, come up with the raw, unedited footage and I’ll apologize.

    Surely Nath you have better things to do with your time than dredging up dog-eared, phony Coalition campaign clips. And suggesting that Shorten “harassed” the shopper when the clip itself refutes such a claim demonstrably. I guess in your twisted world a political leader showing an interest in ordinary Australians and helping them amounts to harassment. The juvenile coda to your post demonstrates that your views are not worthy of a serious web blog like PB.

    And it will take some doing, but this is the first and last time I will respond to a notorious PB troll.

    beguiledagain getting the grubby little clown bang to rights.

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