Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor

After a Victorian election result decided entirely on state issues, a poll shows the Coalition doing every bit as badly at federal level.

A weekend to forget for the Coalition has been compounded by Newspoll’s finding that its federal operation is down yet another point, putting Labor’s lead at 55-45. Its primary vote is down a point to 34%, the equal lowest since the 2016 election, while Labor is steady on 40%, the Greens are unchanged on 9% and One Nation are up two to 6%. Scott Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is down slightly, from 43-35 to 42-36. Nonetheless, Scott Morrison’s personal ratings have improved since a fortnight ago, with approval up four to 43% and disapproval down five to 42%, while Bill Shorten is up two to 37% and steady on 50%. The poll will have been conducted Thursday to Sunday and the sample around 1700, although it’s not specified in the online report.

UPDATE: The sample size was 1717.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,597 comments on “Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor”

  1. According to @PatsKarvelas, Liberal MPs in Canberra are despairing, with one saying that he hopes a motion of no-confidence succeeds and triggers a general election as to “put us out of our misery”.

    Does make me curious as to whether there are more resignations to come.

    #AusPol

  2. Another cracker from Butler: ‘Does the Prime Minister Agree with himself when he said that the NEG leads to lower electricity prices.’
    I have the sound off but looks like Morrison is doing a one man tower of babel.

  3. “Hmm!

    Cabinet minister Kelly O’Dwyer has told colleagues the Liberals are widely regarded as “homophobic, anti-women, climate-change deniers” as a post-election crisis meeting of federal MPs triggered deep divisions in Canberra.

  4. For those interested:

    I have just received my first ever QFES warning in Hervey Bay advising…

    “Unprecedented fire weather affecting your area today & in coming days. Stay updated about fires in your area.”

    We are about 150 Km south of the Baffle Creek area but mostly bush all the way down the coast. Having been a CFA (Upper Ferntree Gully) volunteer in my younger days I have never seen Queensland as looking anything like the southern states. However warnings of firestorms are on the news for the Bundaberg area. Having fought many fires in the Dandenongs in those conditions I feel for the people who have no experience or understanding of what they are facing.

  5. For those interested:

    I have just received my first ever QFES warning in Hervey Bay advising…

    “Unprecedented fire weather affecting your area today & in coming days. Stay updated about fires in your area.”

    We are about 150 Km south of the Baffle Creek area but mostly bush all the way down the coast. Having been a CFA (Upper Ferntree Gully) volunteer in my younger days I have never seen Queensland as looking anything like the southern states. However warnings of firestorms are on the news for the Bundaberg area. Having fought many fires in the Dandenongs in those conditions I feel for the people who have no experience or understanding of what they are facing.

  6. Quoll @ #1955 Wednesday, November 28th, 2018 – 12:58 pm

    sprocket_ says:
    Wednesday, November 28, 2018 at 12:43 pm

    Why should migrants – non refugee migrants – be entitled to welfare as soon as they arrive? Curious to know the case for.
    ———————————————-
    Why would the so-called humans who are members of one of the wealthiest human societies ever to exist deny any chance of supporting their fellow human beings, if misfortune should befall them and deny any chance for them to survive otherwise?
    Seems like being a bunch of fearful and selfish nongs with no real understanding of the facts of the matter would be one reason for voting yes in such a matter.
    I am sure it has been reported many times in many places that actually, migrants and even refugees in general work harder and contribute more to Australian economic activity than Australian born people.
    Seems right to me.
    I would say that overall more Aussies are more lazy, arrogant and ignorant than most overseas born people I know who have made it here more recently.
    Seems like another ample example of how those who end up with the most are generally the most mercenary scumbags.

    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-wealth-reduces-compassion/
    “Who is more likely to lie, cheat, and steal—the poor person or the rich one? It’s temping to think that the wealthier you are, the more likely you are to act fairly. After all, if you already have enough for yourself, it’s easier to think about what others may need. But research suggests the opposite is true: as people climb the social ladder, their compassionate feelings towards other people decline.”

    Tristo @ #2029 Wednesday, November 28th, 2018 – 2:10 pm

    @Boerwar

    When it comes to climate change, the people can’t have both meaningful action on climate change and lower electricity prices at the same time, unless we invest in nuclear power. The complete nationalization of the production and infrastructure side of the electricity sector would need to happen as well.

    Total nonsense.

    Nuclear power is far more expensive even than coal, once you include the complete deal from design, to permissions, to court cases over the proposed site,, to preparation of the site to laying the first concrete, to building and cost overruns, to commissioning, to ongoing maintenance, to getting rid of the spent fuel rods and their continuing forever upkeep, to the decommissioning of the site.

    Tell me about the costs of decommissioning of old nuclear power plants. Are there any that have been successfully decommissioned? What was the cost?

    In the case of solar or wind, you remove the malfunctioning panels or wind turbine blades and generators, and continue on as before.

    If you decide you don’t want them, you take the remains to the tip.

    No comparison.

  7. Edo Voloder
    ‏ @edinvoloder
    8m8 minutes ago
    Replying to @YaThinkN @Qldaah

    HOT BREAKING NEWS: The L/NP Government that has a total of 11 of 73 women MPs is the “natural government for women.”

    #auspol #qt

  8. All you will find is ambition, Mr Speaker as he took down one leader after the next, Mr Speaker.

    Scott Morrison is actually telling the truth here! Bill Shorten has taken down one Prime Minister, and Liberal Party leader, after another, and his ambition is to be Prime Minister himself! ‘Tis true. 🙂

  9. C@tmomma @ #2127 Wednesday, November 28th, 2018 – 3:09 pm

    Rex Douglas @ #1906 Wednesday, November 28th, 2018 – 3:05 pm

    Luke Foley backs down from threat to sue ABC over sexual harassment allegations https://t.co/TgeTxxUK9G— Guardian Australia (@GuardianAus) November 28, 2018

    Do you ever get tired of trying, and failing, to be an agent provocateur?

    Have you sought to expose those ‘dark elements’ of NSW Labor Emma was talking about yet ?

  10. C@tmomma@3:07pm
    Not entirely true. Liberal party MPs/ Senators took down the Liberal PMs and made it easier for Shorten to fulfil his ambition of becoming PM.

  11. When it comes to climate change, the people can’t have both meaningful action on climate change and lower electricity prices at the same time, unless we invest in nuclear power. 

    This kind of ignorance of present fact is inexcusible.

  12. OK so I’m actually a progressive and greens supporter who has no sympathy for conservative nutjobs like O’Sullivan.

    But I’m really struggling to understand why the remark “she has a bit of Xenophon in her” – after quickly adding (WTTE) “And I don’t imply any double meaning”… is so offensive? Can someone please explain it to me? Is it because he raised the idea of ‘double meaning’ – even though it was to deny it?

  13. Rex Douglas @ #1915 Wednesday, November 28th, 2018 – 3:13 pm

    C@tmomma @ #2127 Wednesday, November 28th, 2018 – 3:09 pm

    Rex Douglas @ #1906 Wednesday, November 28th, 2018 – 3:05 pm

    Luke Foley backs down from threat to sue ABC over sexual harassment allegations https://t.co/TgeTxxUK9G— Guardian Australia (@GuardianAus) November 28, 2018

    Do you ever get tired of trying, and failing, to be an agent provocateur?

    Have you sought to expose those ‘dark elements’ of NSW Labor Emma was talking about yet ?

    What a slimy hypocrite you are. One moment you are calling for Emma Husar to be ‘managed out’ of the Labor Party, now, at a time that is opportune for you you think, and for no other reason, you take Emma Husar’s side to goad me.

    Which is the common factor in both instances. To goad me. You don’t really care about Emma Husar, that was made plain at the time of the incidents occurring around her. So I don’t care to respond to you now.

  14. How the feck is she worth that amount ?!!! No wonder those NewsCorp orcs work so hard to please Sauron.
    .
    .
    ‘Human error’! News Corp salaries, redundancy entitlements emailed to staff

    The email reveals a redundancy entitlement of nearly $210,000 to The Australian’s contributing economics editor Judith Sloan and details her $357,000 salary.
    https://outline.com/MrBZKF

  15. Ven @ #1917 Wednesday, November 28th, 2018 – 3:13 pm

    C@tmomma@3:07pm
    Not entirely true. Liberal party MPs/ Senators took down the Liberal PMs and made it easier for Shorten to fulfil his ambition of becoming PM.

    Don’t be obtuse, Ven. Why do you think that the Coalition destroyed 2 Prime Ministers? Sure, they contributed to their own demise, but Labor under Bill Shorten’s leadership played a very big part in impelling the Liberal Party to neck their leaders.

  16. Big A Adrian @ #2133 Wednesday, November 28th, 2018 – 11:17 am

    OK so I’m actually a progressive and greens supporter who has no sympathy for conservative nutjobs like O’Sullivan.

    But I’m really struggling to understand why the remark “she has a bit of Xenophon in her” – after quickly adding (WTTE) “And I don’t imply any double meaning”… is so offensive? Can someone please explain it to me? Is it because he raised the idea of ‘double meaning’ – even though it was to deny it?

    By highlighting the double meaning he is asking listeners to think what that double meaning might be.

    A man is in a woman during intercourse, which then plays to the irrelevant suggestions the SHY may enjoy sex, oh no, and may not be completely monogamous.

  17. Based on PMs deposed you would have to say Shorten been every bit effective an Opposition leader as Abbott was. With their common enemy proving to be impermeable the Libs have now fallen to devouring each other, in their pent-up frustration.

    Just like Chinese water torture. Seemingly innocuous, but unrelenting, insanity-causing (as we are seeing) and in the long term just as effective as the fingernail-yanking trial-by-ordeal methods of Abbott.

  18. C@t

    Which is the common factor in both instances. To goad me. You don’t really care about Emma Husar, that was made plain at the time of the incidents occurring around her. So I don’t care to respond to you now.

    ________________________________

    Nah. Just the opportunity to be utterly sanctimonious.

  19. Shanahan must be devastated:

    “Apocalypse now: stench of panic
    DENNIS SHANAHAN
    The time has come to concede the reality of an apocalyptic vision for the future of the Liberal Party and the Coalition government.” (Oz headline)

  20. “When it comes to climate change, the people can’t have both meaningful action on climate change and lower electricity prices at the same time, unless we invest in nuclear power. ”

    I’m pro-nuclear but it’s not a goer in Australia. By the time it gets debated, legislation passed, site selected, expertise acquired, built, up and running etc etc it will be twenty years down the track if it happened at all. Renewable is way more practical and feasible in Australia where we have abundant options.

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