Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor

After a Victorian election result decided entirely on state issues, a poll shows the Coalition doing every bit as badly at federal level.

A weekend to forget for the Coalition has been compounded by Newspoll’s finding that its federal operation is down yet another point, putting Labor’s lead at 55-45. Its primary vote is down a point to 34%, the equal lowest since the 2016 election, while Labor is steady on 40%, the Greens are unchanged on 9% and One Nation are up two to 6%. Scott Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister is down slightly, from 43-35 to 42-36. Nonetheless, Scott Morrison’s personal ratings have improved since a fortnight ago, with approval up four to 43% and disapproval down five to 42%, while Bill Shorten is up two to 37% and steady on 50%. The poll will have been conducted Thursday to Sunday and the sample around 1700, although it’s not specified in the online report.

UPDATE: The sample size was 1717.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,597 comments on “Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor”

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  2. P

    ‘If you did, you would never suggest I condone misogyny, rape, sexual harrassment….’

    You have no clue about mine, either.

    What you need to understand is the implications of your walking past what the Greens have done. Once you have openly and candidly condemned the Greens malfeasance (instead of trying to deflect it onto Labor) then your stance might have some legs.

  4. We need to make maximum use of our domestically available resources in ways that are socially useful and environmentally healthy. We have a lot of unused capacity at the moment. The fiscal deficit is too small, not too large.

  5. Urban Wronski
    ‏

    @UrbanWronski
    1m1 minute ago

    Josh Frydenberg appears to be inebriated in QT today. More petty private schoolboy debating point-scoring. Having a good laugh at someone else’s expense beats being able to do your job?

  6. Those Opposite are doing much better this QT than yesterday so far, IMO.
    They have a super-abundance of ammunition and are using it well.
    The laughter from those on the Speaker’s left and the funereal, perhaps even corpse-like demeanour on the part of those on the Speaker’s Right, is a good indicator.

  13. B

    Greens malfeasance..

    I have no interest in engaging on an issue when the Greens haters smear every and all Greens parliamentarians, every and all its members and, every and all its supporters.

  14. Quoll @ #1955 Wednesday, November 28th, 2018 – 12:58 pm

    sprocket_ says:
    Wednesday, November 28, 2018 at 12:43 pm

    Why should migrants – non refugee migrants – be entitled to welfare as soon as they arrive? Curious to know the case for.
    ———————————————-
    Why would the so-called humans who are members of one of the wealthiest human societies ever to exist deny any chance of supporting their fellow human beings, if misfortune should befall them and deny any chance for them to survive otherwise?
    Seems like being a bunch of fearful and selfish nongs with no real understanding of the facts of the matter would be one reason for voting yes in such a matter.
    I am sure it has been reported many times in many places that actually, migrants and even refugees in general work harder and contribute more to Australian economic activity than Australian born people.
    Seems right to me.
    I would say that overall more Aussies are more lazy, arrogant and ignorant than most overseas born people I know who have made it here more recently.
    Seems like another ample example of how those who end up with the most are generally the most mercenary scumbags.

    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-wealth-reduces-compassion/
    “Who is more likely to lie, cheat, and steal—the poor person or the rich one? It’s temping to think that the wealthier you are, the more likely you are to act fairly. After all, if you already have enough for yourself, it’s easier to think about what others may need. But research suggests the opposite is true: as people climb the social ladder, their compassionate feelings towards other people decline.”

    I will never forget my father railing at recent migrants – at that time it was Greeks and Italians, mostly.

    He was a wonderful man, give you the shirt off his back, but his words were:

    ‘These bloody New Australians – they live three families to a room, they work eighty hours a week, THEY HELP EACH OTHER!’

    …… and the kicker,

    ‘TAKING JOBS FROM HONEST AUSTRALIANS!’

    Even as a kid of nine or ten, I could see the problem in his logic.

  15. Boerwar dispensing advice about sexually and culturally appropriate conduct is quite rich. He needs to pipe down on this issue. As a noble white fella who was eager to play the role of white knight in indigenous communities and ended up alienating an Aboriginal woman who experienced distress because of his behaviour, he really has no standing to lecture Pegasus about moral standards on this issue.

  16. Parliament House is experiencing a few temperature issues at the moment, and half the building is freezing and the other half is hot.

    Given that the house of reps is in the half of the building which is distinctly icy these days, it is, entirely possible, that hell has actually frozen over.

  17. Josh Butler
    ‏Verified account @JoshButler
    6m6 minutes ago

    “My question is to the Prime Minister – what is your government’s plan to deal with the big cow, and why are you ignoring the big cow? Don’t Australians deserve to know how we will fight back against the threat to our country posed by big cows?” #qt

  19. Boerwar @ #2055 Wednesday, November 28th, 2018 – 2:26 pm

    Those Opposite are doing much better this QT than yesterday so far, IMO.
    They have a super-abundance of ammunition and are using it well.
    The laughter from those on the Speaker’s left and the funereal, perhaps even corpse-like demeanour on the part of those on the Speaker’s Right, is a good indicator.

    Who really cares these days about the trivial pantomime that is QT when such bastardry as todays Lib-Lab deal of cruelty towards new immigrants is legislated…?

  21. Nicholas @ #2064 Wednesday, November 28th, 2018 – 2:30 pm

    Boerwar dispensing advice about sexually and culturally appropriate conduct is quite rich. He needs to pipe down on this issue. As a noble white fella who was eager to play the role of white knight in indigenous communities and ended up alienating an Aboriginal woman who experienced distress because of his behaviour, he really has no standing to lecture Pegasus about moral standards on this issue.

    Boerwar picks his targets carefully…

  23. ‘Nicholas says:
    Wednesday, November 28, 2018 at 2:30 pm

    Boerwar dispensing advice about sexually and culturally appropriate conduct is quite rich. He needs to pipe down on this issue. As a noble white fella who was eager to play the role of white knight in indigenous communities and ended up alienating an Aboriginal woman who experienced distress because of his behaviour, he really has no standing to lecture Pegasus about moral standards on this issue.’

    Follow the string, pal. The Greens have a large problem with dealing with sexual misbehaviour in threes states and the ACT.
    So, what do they do?
    Accuse Labor of smearing.
    Grandstand about a code of conduct in the Senate.
    Admit nothing. Do nothing.

    Oh, and one other thing.
    We all have standing here.
    Even the Greens do.

  25. Senator Hyde-Smith beats the Dem candidate Espy in the Mississippi run-off election – 55.2 to 44.8, with the result that the Senate stands at 53-47.

    In the House, the Dems margin is 39 seats, with one to be decided.

  26. ‘I have no interest in engaging on an issue when the Greens haters smear every and all Greens parliamentarians, every and all its members and, every and all its supporters.’

    Of course peg would NEVER do any of these things to Labor parliamentarians, members or supporters….

  29. Amy writes,

    You may have noticed the theme of the government’s answers today “by contrast”. It’s in almost all of them.

    Election anyone?

  30. …if the Greens were serious about a parliamentary code of conduct, they would introduce it to the House with the support of the indies.

    Oh, hang on — that would mean they also had to share the glory.

    As you were.

  32. Michael A @ #1970 Wednesday, November 28th, 2018 – 1:14 pm

    “Why should migrants – non refugee migrants – be entitled to welfare as soon as they arrive? Curious to know the case for.”
    —————————————

    For exactly the same reason we would let a natural-born Australian be entitled to welfare as soon as they are independent of their parents: nobody knows when they will be struck down by misfortune and need to rely upon it to get by until they can stand on their own two feet again.

    Exactly.

    That is why I never begrudged paying income tax. Never crossed my mind to object.

    If you want to live in a civilised country, you must expect to pay for it.

    A civilised country looks after its residents who are less fortunate than most. This is the prime measure of its worth.

    We are the wealthiest people in the world, per capita, by median measure. It behoves us to act like it.

    We are lucky bastards. We should act like it.

  34. …on that, had a lol moment when, on my twitter stream, firstly Cathy McGowan posted she was introducing the ICAC Bill and within seconds, Bandt was claiming this as a Green initiative.

  37. don

    Irish mate gad a big larf when his brother went on a similar rant about the migrant influx (Vietnamese). Packed full houses,forming ‘ethnic’ghettos etc The touche was when he pointed out to his brother that when they first arrived they crammed 2.5 families of their rellies in and if the brother looked out the door he would see the virtually the whole street were UK immigrants .

  39. Burney up with a repeat of yesterday’s question.
    Ruled out of order.
    Burke argues the case and wins it.
    The Question is allowed.
    The key words: ‘Does the Minister disagee with herself’ was a good line yesterday and is a good line today.
    In terms of tactics, it does rather seem as if Labor’s representative diversity is getting more questions today.

  42. Has Nath got a gig writing Morrison’s Question Time answers, or is someone stealing his work?

    Bill Shorten to Scott Morrison:

    Why won’t the Prime Minister listen the member for Curtin and work with Labor on the National Energy Guarantee a policy which the current Treasurer designed and the current Prime Minister said would lower power prices?

    Morrison (who has done a lot of work in non-yelling rehearsals)

    he Leader of the Opposition referred to this policy as a Frankenstein policy, (he did, I just missed the preamble)Mr Speaker. So what will that demonstrate? You can never believe anything this bloke says, Mr Speaker. He is for everything and he’s against everything. You have no idea…

    ….After five years the Australian people have come to a conclusion on the leader of the Labor Party and that is he can’t be trusted. He can’t be trusted on anything. He will blow with the wind whichever way political opportunism follows, Mr Speaker. That is the nature and the character of the Leader of the Opposition.

    If you scratch him, you won’t find a belief, if you scratch him, you won’t find a conviction. All you will find is rank opportunism and hubris. All you will find is ambition, Mr Speaker as he took down one leader after the next, Mr Speaker.

    Labor explodes into a cacophony of theatrical outrage at this.

    That’s his bag, Mr Speaker. That is his bag.

    That is what he’s known for. That is why people don’t trust him and that’s why all of his backbenchers don’t trust him either, Mr Speaker.

    The Leader of the Opposition cannot be trusted. He can’t be trusted by his colleagues. He can’t be trusted by the Australian people when it comes to the economy, he can’t be trusted by the workers of Australia, who he sold out as their advocate, Mr Speaker.

    He sold them out as their representative as a union, Mr Speaker, for nothing other than his own vain ambition. The Australian people have a clear line of sight on this bloke, and they know he cannot be trusted.

    By contrast, Mr Speaker, what we’re saying when it comes to electricity prices is we are working to bring them down and as the Energy Minister has clearly stated today, both AGL and Energy Australia have taken decisions after discussions with the Government, which have resulted in actual, real savings for hundreds of thousands of Australians on their electricity bill. Now, those opposite do not support the big-stick legislation that will take it to the electricity companies to ensure we keep them in line. The Labor Party are not – they’re going to side with interest companies that have been increasing their profits at the expense of householders.

    “Oh the BIG STICK” yells Labor.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2018/nov/28/coalition-labor-morrison-dutton-shorten-australian-politics-live

  43. Labor are frightened to debate the Coalition on the success of the economy and a surplus being delivered, Labor only offers more identity politics and more global warming hoax propaganda. This is not going to wash with the swinging voters come the federal election, they will not be fooled by Labor like they were in 2007.

  45. RD

    Have you seen a response supporting Labor who voted with the Coalition to pass a bill bastardising migrants by tightening access to Newstart, etc?

  50. Amy writes

    03:49
    Kelly O’Dwyer ‘this is the natural government for Australian women’
    Eventually, Tony Smith allows the question

    Kelly O’Dwyer:

    I thank the member for her question. It gives me an opportunity to be able to explain again to the House how this government is the natural government for Australian women.

    I can’t tell you what she says next, because I don’t think I have ever heard Labor exclaim so loud.

    They are unable to control themselves. Julia Banks does not look up from her bench. Neither does Julie Bishop. Labor looks like it has been handed a Bob Hawke for a new generation for Christmas and no one is even pretending to hold themselves together.

    O’Dwyer:

    As I said, we are the government that naturally represents Australian women. We represent their hopes and aspirations.

    (interjections)

    Tony Burke asks for the answer time to be extended.

    O’Dwyer:

    You won’t listen to a woman at the despatch Box, so I will not take a lesson from you on that”

    “Well done, Kelly,” says Coalition MPs. “Disgraceful”. Clare O’Neil and Madeleine King get thrown out under section 94a.

    O’Dwyer continues listing the government achievements, but Labor has made its point.

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