Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor

Better numbers for the Coalition in the third Newspoll of Scott Morrison’s prime ministership, but Labor is still well in the clear on voting intention.

This fortnight’s Newspoll result is 54-46 in favour of Labor, after the Scott Morrison era began with successive results of 56-44. The primary votes are Coalition 36% (up two), Labor 39% (down three), Greens 10% (steady) and One Nation 6% (steady). Movement also to the Coalition’s advantage on personal rating: Scott Morrison is up three on approval to 44% and steady on disapproval at 39%, while Bill Shorten is respectively down five to 32% and up three to 54%, and Morrison’s lead as preferred prime minister has widened from 42-36 to 45-32.

UPDATE: Further findings from the poll record 24% of respondents saying Scott Morrison has made them more likely to vote Coalition, 31% less likely and 36% no influence; and 46% nominating Morrison as the more “authentic” of the two leaders, compared with 31% for Shorten. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1675.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

993 comments on “Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor”

Comments Page 15 of 20
1 14 15 16 20
  1. The ABC Board, with appointments all made during the Abbott/Turnbull tenure, contains names affiliated with business lobby groups including the Minerals Council, directly with the Mining Industry, with Stokes and with Murdoch.

  2. Shier was the other ABC MD sacked, but in Shier’s case there was clear open warfare between the staff and the MD and the board had no choice but to step in.

    With Guthrie there was clearly grumbling from the staff (and the Larry cards were truly absurd and ghastly), but it’s hard to see that the staff disquiet would have been sufficient to force the board’s hand …

    And Milne specifically mentioning the poor relationship with the government does tend to indicate it was pressure from above rather than pressure from below, and if this is the case then ABC staff would be very premature in celebrating Guthrie’s removal.

  3. This Justin Milne sounds hardcore:

    “Mr. Justin Trevor Milne, B.A, MAICD served as Group Managing Director of Telstra Media at Telstra Corporation Limited from September 2008 to March 28, 2010 and Acting Head of PSTN Fixed Broadband BigPond & Media from December 2009 to March 28, 2010. Mr. Milne served as Group Managing Director of Telstra BigPond New Media businesses in China. He served as a Member of Chief Executive Officer leadership team at Telstra since 2004. He served as Group Managing Director of Bigpond at Telstra Corporation Limited from December 2005 to March 28, 2010. He served as Group Managing Director at Telstra from 2000 to 2010. At BigPond, he led transition to Australia’s market-leading Internet Service Provider and has driven the growth of its (R)brand and Telstra’s Internet content. He led BigPond team since December 2002. He served as an Executive of MSN. He served as the Chief Executive Officer of OzEmail and served as Managing Director and Chief Executive of Microsoft Network in Australia. He served as the Chief Executive Officer of a number of telecommunications related companies including InfoBox, Globe Media and Film and Television Associates Ltd. He has been the Chairman of Australian Broadcasting Corporation since March 31, 2017. He has been the Chairman of MYOB Holdings Pty Limited since March 31, 2015. He has been the Chairman of MYOB Group Limited since March 2015. He has been the Chairman of NetComm Wireless Limited since March 7, 2012. He served as the Chairman of Newzulu Limited from July 26, 2011 to February 6, 2012. Mr. Milne held an executive career in telecommunications, marketing and media. He served as the Chairman of PieNetworks Limited from July 26, 2011 to February 6, 2012 and also served as its Director from March 1, 2011 to February 6, 2012. He served as Deputy Chairman/Vice Chairman and Independent Non-Executive Director of Quickflix Limited from July 5, 2011 to November 20, 2012. He has been a Non Executive Director of BA Limited since July 2010. He has been a Non-Executive Director of TabCorp Holdings Ltd. since August 2011. He serves as a Director of the National Broadband Network. He has been a Non-Executive Director of Members Equity Bank Limited since November 2012. He has been an Independent Non-Executive Director of NetComm Wireless Limited since March 7, 2012. He has been a Non-Executive Director at NBN Co Limited since November 11, 2013. He serves as a Director at Tabcorp Ltd., Sydney Childrens Hospital Network and Basketball Australia Ltd. He served as a Director of Newzulu Limited from March 1, 2011 to February 6, 2012. He served as an Independent Non-Executive Director of SMS Management & Technology Limited from August 28, 2014 to September 25, 2017. He served as the President of the Internet Industry Association. He serves as the Chairman of Basketball Australia’sNBL Commission. He is a Member of the South Australian Economic Development Board and the Sydney Children’s Hospital Foundation. He was a Board Member of the Internet Industry Association. In 2008, he received the Sir Charles McGrath Award, the highest accolade for marketing and business professionalism in Australia. He is Chairman of Basketball Australia’sNBL Commission and is also Chairman of Basketball Australia’s People, Performance and Remuneration Committee and is Chair of the Nominations Committee. He is a Member of the Australian Institute of Company Directors. Mr. Milne holds a Bachelor of Arts from Flinders University.”

  4. Samantha Maiden‏Verified account @samanthamaiden · 11m11 minutes ago
    Samantha Maiden Retweeted Nick O’Malley

    He can’t explain why. She has no unfair dismissal protection under Australian law, so only legal claim is defamation & reputational damage. He will have that as legal advice. Not deftly handled, but those calling for explanation don’t understand the law

  5. Jackol: ‘.. if this is the case then ABC staff would be very premature in celebrating Guthrie’s removal’
    Agreed. The glee about the purging of Guthrie from the 4Corners woman and Faine sounds like they are toadying up to the new regime quick smart.

  6. Victoria says: Monday, September 24, 2018 at 2:21 pm

    BKavanagh wont be able to save Trump’s arse. Maybe the time has come for Trump to realise that resigning is his best bet.

    ***************************************************************

    I would like to think – that when the time comes, Robert Mueller will request a private meeting with Trump and produce a fat folder of ‘incidents’ that can either be handed to Trump upon Mueller getting a letter of his resignation or ….. well lets just open it up to the public and see what they think ……

  7. only legal claim is defamation & reputational damage

    We badly need to neuter our defamation laws. It is clearly getting in the way of proper dissemination of information that is in the public interest.

  8. I was never a fan of Guthrie in the slightest however this move may well have been a wise one in the new era.

    “Guthrie reveals a plan to dismantle the divide between the public broadcaster’s TV, radio and online divisions to instead create content across all platforms.”
    (https://indaily.com.au/news/2018/09/24/abc-board-sacks-managing-director-michelle-guthrie/)

    It’s certainly easier to access RN shows such as the Science Show via podcast apps for instance where they can now compete in that market on the quality of their content, and I have noticed a number of tweets and social media shareables of comedy skits that serve to promote awareness of ABC content.

  9. I would like to think – that when the time comes, Robert Mueller will request a private meeting with Trump and produce a fat folder of ‘incidents’ that can either be handed to Trump upon Mueller getting a letter of his resignation or ….. well lets just open it up to the public and see what they think ……

    No. No no no no. The people of the United States of America need to know who they elected. Any folder of incidents needs to be outed.

  10. Victoria @ #711 Monday, September 24th, 2018 – 2:26 pm

    PhoenixRed

    yep. that would be the smoothest and less damaging way to transition Trump out of his position.

    This assumes 2 things: (1) that Trump is of at least average intelligence; and (2) that the Russians don’t have an even more damaging folder they will release if he resigns.

    I don’t think either of these are true.

  11. Sohar

    He’s a maaaate of Lucien Aye from back when Lucien ‘invented the internet’ in Australia.
    .
    “Justin Milne, whose appointment as chairman of the Australian Broadcasting Corp was predicted by The Australian Financial Review’s Rear Window column on Tuesday and not disputed by an official source, was one of forces behind the success of Ozemail, one of Australia’s earliest dial-up internet services.

    Milne became Ozemail’s head of datacasting in 1998. Soon afterwards a US phone company, WorldCom, made a successful bid for the Sydney-based company on the Nasdaq stock exchange and made him CEO.

    Turnbull, who had already made millions as an investment banker, sold his $500,000 initial stake for $57 million. The two men maintained their relationship, ”
    https://www.afr.com/news/politics/national/justin-milne-the-likely-new-abc-chair-who-made-malcolm-turnbull-much-richer-20170321-gv2uk3

  12. Simon² Katich® says: Monday, September 24, 2018 at 2:31 pm

    I would like to think – that when the time comes, Robert Mueller will request a private meeting with Trump and produce a fat folder of ‘incidents’ that can either be handed to Trump upon Mueller getting a letter of his resignation or ….. well lets just open it up to the public and see what they think ……

    No. No no no no. The people of the United States of America need to know who they elected. Any folder of incidents needs to be outed.

    ****************************************************

    I think if Trump ‘resigns’ it may ????? be acceptable to the numpties out there in the US – if he is ‘forced’ from office those numpties – who also have most of the guns, if not the brains, in the US – will start US Civil War 2 ……

  13. “He’s a maaaate of Lucien Aye from back..”
    So why is he knocking off Guthrie because she upset ScuMo? I guess it is all about the new masters (mistresses need not apply).

  14. Trump’s not going to resign. I’d be willing to bet (admittedly meagre) entire life savings on it. Unless he’s impeached or dies, he will be President until January 20, 2021.

    It doesn’t matter what Mueller has on him. It doesn’t matter how likely he is to be defeated in the Republican primary or the general election. It doesn’t matter how likely he is to go to jail if he remains President. And it definitely doesn’t matter what happens to Kavanaugh, who – if this whole mess does wind up being as damaging to the White House as it’s looking like it might – Trump will simply sever ties with, blame for everything, and whose candidacy he will claim he never supported in the first place.

    Resigning would mean admitting defeat, and Trump never loses. If Mueller’s investigation does uncover a smoking gun, it would mean admitting he isn’t smart enough to get out that mess, and as we know, Trump is a “very functional genius.” If he’s facing a defeat in the primary or the general election, it would mean admitting the public don’t want to reelect him, which makes no sense since everyone loves Trump, who is one of the greatest presidents the US has ever had, despite all the fake news by the failing New York Times and CNN, and the polls are all wrong anyway, just like in 2016.

    It’s not gonna happen.

  15. On a recent road trip I was mildly annoyed that Radio National kept inviting me to download podcasts of my favourite programs, how do I know what they are if I haven’t heard them. Informative radio programs were replayed every third day which is annoying for someone with a good audio memory.

    ABC seems to think its audience all have fast internet connections. Well under NBN internet connections are scrappy on the NSW coast so god knows what they are like inland or in WA

    I am not confident that Guthrie’s replacement will fill me with joy

  16. Milne became Ozemail’s head of datacasting in 1998. Soon afterwards a US phone company, WorldCom, made a successful bid for the Sydney-based company

    Didnt Worldcom have a few accounting problems after that?

  17. SK:

    No. No no no no. The people of the United States of America need to know who they elected. Any folder of incidents needs to be outed.

    Agreed.

    Not that it would really matter, since Trump wouldn’t resign even if Mueller had hours of high definition video that featured Trump simultaneously colluding with the Russians, discussing how he rigged the election, and fucking various farm animals, but it’s the principle that counts.

  18. Sohar

    I think she upset Rupes. The orcs over at Mordor Media have been quite ‘agitated’ about that ABC story of Rupe and Stokes . I reckon Truffles blew his chances of clear air when he made a crack about ‘demented plutocrats’ which clearly pointed at Rupe. Nobody pokes fun at the king maker and ‘lives’ to tell the tale.

  19. SK,

    WorldCom was not just the biggest accounting scandal in the history of the United States, but also one of the biggest bankruptcies. A telecommunications giant, the revelation that it had cooked its books came on the heels of the Enron and Tyco frauds, which had rocked the financial markets. But the scale of the WorldCom fraud even put them in the shade. This spate of corporate crime led to the Sarbanes-Oxley Act in July 2002, which strengthened disclosure requirements and the penalties for fraudulent accounting. However, WorldCom left a stain on the reputation of accounting firms, investment banks and credit rating agencies that has never quite been removed.

    Read more: WorldCom https://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/worldcom.asp#ixzz5RzX8KQo7
    Follow us: Investopedia on Facebook

    https://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/worldcom.asp

  20. Asha Leu

    The Trump imbroglio is a moving feast. at this point, any scenario is in play. I have been of the view for a long time that the best thing would be for Trump to resign. Any other way is only going to be much worse for him, the USA and the rest of us.

  21. Billie

    Informative radio programs were replayed every third day which is annoying for someone with a good audio memory.
    ABC seems to think its audience all have fast internet connections.

    I listen mostly at night from (shock!horror!) radio, so podcasts aren’t much use. And I agree about the repetitions. They’re getting worse (i.e. more frequent).

  22. “but those calling for explanation don’t understand the law”
    Those refusing to give an explanation don’t understand taxpayers and the public’s interest in how our institutions are run.

  23. Victoria says: Monday, September 24, 2018 at 2:49 pm

    Asha Leu

    The Trump imbroglio is a moving feast. at this point, any scenario is in play. I have been of the view for a long time that the best thing would be for Trump to resign. Any other way is only going to be much worse for him, the USA and the rest of us

    *************************************************

    Resign – on health and medical advice grounds – diabetes ????

  24. Is it cynical of me to observe that the timing of the Guthrie announcement means that questions in Parliament about it have to wait until October 14th?

  25. Senator Bernardi has told ABC Radio Adelaide it is Conservative Party policy to merge and shrink the ABC and SBS, retaining only the most vital services.

    Lyle Shelton‏ @LyleShelton

    Now that the ABC Board has sacked Michelle Guthrie, it is time to merge with SBS & shrink them, retaining only the most vital services.

    I wonder what the Conservatives consider ‘vital services’.

  26. Victoria:

    Oh, that may well be the case.

    But Trump so far has not exactly been known to make the best decisions for the US or for the rest of us, and I’m convinced that his narcissism and self-delusion will prevent him from making the best decision for himself in such ascenario.

    Additionally, as worrying as it may be to have that sociopathic idiot occupying the highest office in the land, so far he has at least proved to not be competent enough to actually do a whole lot of damage, despite controlling both houses of Congress. Getting rid of Trump in favour of Pence, who would be savvy, sane, and experienced enough to get much of a far-right agenda through Congress, could actually be a lot worse.

  27. lizzie

    Don’t diss ABC podcasts too much. A decade or so back they gave a new lease of life for ABC’s Philip Adams’ Late Night Live, been listening to it since forever. Saved his shows bacon I reckon. Being late night the audience numbers were probably never high but when podcasts became a thing the shows’ podcast downloads took off and then included an international audience. His Gladdies became Poddies 🙂

  28. Surely that’s photoshopped with extra paunch?

    Gravity is unforgiving. It certainly wont get you high. Science is Golden (shower).

  29. Victoria:

    Maybe. I hope so.

    We’ll all find out eventually, I suppose

    But with the glacial pace investigations like Mueller’s tend to move at (justifiably so, I’ll), I think it’s more likely than not that Pence is safe until 2020, even if he’s up to his neck in it.

Comments Page 15 of 20
1 14 15 16 20

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *