Morrison 45, Dutton 40

Scott Morrison is Australia’s sixth prime minister in eleven years, having prevailed in the second round of the party room vote by 45 votes to 40. Julie Bishop was eliminated after the first round: there are reports the vote was Dutton 38, Morrison 36 and Bishop 11. Josh Frydenberg replaces Julie Bishop after nearly eleven years as deputy, having won 46 votes against 20 for Steve Ciobo and 16 for Greg Hunt. Over to you.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

848 comments on “Morrison 45, Dutton 40”

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  1. I think staying out of it is a good idea, as muchly tempting it is to deliver a thunk to the back of the neck of the enemy when he is down. The voters may just see hypocrisy in the ALP for criticising Lib leader assassinations.

    Good point.

  2. Antonbruckner11@8:13pm
    If Hartcher really admired anybody in LNP, it was Bishop. He always wrote glowing articles about her. The only time he did a mea culpa regarding Bishop was when she said in September 2017 that it would be very difficult to have good relationship with NZ government if NZ Labour party wins election. Hartcher did the mea culpa because only the weekend before that he wrote a glowing article about her.

  3. And in Wentworth pre-selection news that isn’t about The Greens’ candidate:

    The former Australian ambassador to Israel, Dave Sharma, has emerged as the candidate most likely to replace Malcolm Turnbull in the seat of Wentworth….

    …Other contenders include the former deputy mayor of Woollahra and state government staffer, Katherine O’Regan, and Tony Abbott’s sister, City of Sydney councillor Christine Forster.

    Not Turnbull son-in-law, James brown, apparently.

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/the-man-most-likely-to-replace-turnbull-in-the-seat-of-wentworth-20180823-p4zzdk.html

  4. The Age
    ‏Verified account @theage
    5m5 minutes ago

    BREAKING: NAB, CBA recommended for criminal charges in commission findings

  5. adrian @ #596 Friday, August 24th, 2018 – 7:49 pm

    briefly @ #589 Friday, August 24th, 2018 – 7:45 pm

    This will be remembered as a deeply traumatic episode by most voters. The less Labor have to do with it the better for them.

    Don’t agree. There is never a better time than when your opponent is on their knees, to reinforce your superiority and the obvious contrast between them and you.

    Labor has nothing to lose in doing that, not that I believe that the ABC has asked them.

    Agree. The best way is to bash the tories around the head with policy questions.

    Are the same group that brewed up the most voter unfriendly policies about to backflip – of course they are.

    Labor needs to stick it right up them and now!

  6. Ven @ #657 Friday, August 24th, 2018 – 6:32 pm

    I think Julie Bishop will remain as FM in latest LNP government.

    I think she will too. But what to do with Dutton, Hunt, Ciobo and the others. And then there’s the Abbottobods. How do you keep them satisfied without looking to the moderates in the party and outside world like you’re beholden to them?

  7. Kezza2
    There is a deep mysogny in the liberal party. I celebrate Julie bishop’s survival in that party. I have a friend who is a labor federal politician who described her as the most competent liberal politician in the parliament. I don’t like her personally, but I respect her. Her popularity with the voting public could have carried the. LNP to win the next election. Who cares if she enjoys the roles the boys allow her to have. Don’t get me wrong the liberal party is an anathema to me. As a feminist I find it sad to bag a woman so comprehensively as you do. I am grateful that she didn’t get up.m

  8. Dave…..Morrison and Frydenberg were asked why they should be trusted…had they not just knifed a leader? They rightly pointed out that they hadn’t. They stuck with Turnbull. Turnbull’s success here has been to pass power to someone who did not plot against the leader. The plotters have been denied….something that will be hurting them all the more.

  9. C@t:

    Re Turnbull’s likely successor.

    Another man! Why isn’t the party looking to increase the number of women among its ranks, starting with those electorates which might be more predisposed than other seats the party holds to actually embracing a woman candidate?!

  10. PeeBee one of the points made in the article about the basics card is that if there is any evidence it points to the card being usefull in very select cases – for individuals with behavioural issues.

    NOT for entire communities.

    Again the real reason it is being pushed is they intend to apply it to everyone. Its ideoligical.

    Just like me being on a Blind pension and being forced to not go overseas more than 28 days in a year. Its ugly punitive nonsense

  11. Watching the loon feed on twitter, they are giving ScoMo grudging support – but are making in clear they are watching like hawks for any sign of backsliding.

    Ray Hadley for example says ScoMo had Stockholm Syndrome from being too close to Turnbull. Kenny says he was good before when he stopped the boats, whilst Credlin says ScoMo can redeem himself by bringing Abbott into the Cabinet. Craig Kelly says ScoMo understands Coal, cause he brought a lump of it into QT – fair Dinkum!

    No pressure ScoMo, just fulfill all our RWFW dreams

  12. Shorten wrote a great letter to Turnbull. The last thing Labor needed was to have him explain about having knifed two PMs.

  13. Thanks shiftailing@8:23pm
    How could I have forgotten the name of Judas.
    None of the Christians want to name their child as Judah and Hitler

  14. Confessions @ #664 Friday, August 24th, 2018 – 8:37 pm

    C@t:

    Re Turnbull’s likely successor.

    Another man! Why isn’t the party looking to increase the number of women among its ranks, starting with those electorates which might be more predisposed than other seats the party holds to actually embracing a woman candidate?!

    On 24 atm they are talking to Christine Foster as a likely high profile contender. There’s also another female preparing to stand as well. It’s just that this Dave Sharma character is highly thought of in the party.

  15. adrian @ #631 Friday, August 24th, 2018 – 8:13 pm

    No doubt that Bishop would have been the best choice of those available.

    She may well have attracted voter support – even though being despised as a cockroach by her own party and being a policy and ministerial dud. Then her disdain for the dying seek court time etc.

    Her own ‘fellows’ delivered the blow though – so be it.

    She goes up wept and unsung.

  16. sprocket:

    Did you see the IPA’s list of demands for the new PM? The loon faction don’t need to demand too heavily, just leave it to outside forces to do their work for them.

  17. @sprocket_

    I expect Scott Morrison at least throw a few bones to the “RWFW”‘s in order to keep them from grumbling too much.

  18. sprocket_ @ #673 Friday, August 24th, 2018 – 5:39 pm

    Watching the loon feed on twitter, they are giving ScoMo grudging support – but are making in clear they are watching like hawks for any sign of backsliding.

    Ray Hadley for example says ScoMo had Stockholm Syndrome from being too close to Turnbull. Kenny says he was good before when he stopped the boats, whilst Credlin says ScoMo can redeem himself by bringing Abbott into the Cabinet. Craig Kelly says ScoMo understands Coal, cause he brought a lump of it into QT – fair Dinkum!

    No pressure ScoMo, just fulfill all our RWFW dreams

    Yep, no need for change, just keep all the Ministries the same, except Josh to Treasury and bring Abbott into Climate and Energy.

    You know it makes sense!!!! 🙂

  19. Fwiw, this coming Wednesday I’m going to another Shorten townhall in Pearce. You can be sure it will be standing room only when the voters of Wanneroo come to meet the next Prime Minister, ask questions and listen to him in 3-d.

  20. C@t:

    I have no knowledge of this Dave person, but the Liberals are heading into opposition and are being presented with a relatively safe seat in Wentworth to preselect a candidate for the forthcoming by-election. Why not look to the future, take the chance now to preselect a strong woman with leadership potential in preparation for the coming years in the wilderness?

    Would Abbott’s sister be accepted by the party faithful, even in a seat like Wentworth? I honestly do not know.

  21. briefly @ #664 Friday, August 24th, 2018 – 8:35 pm

    Dave…..Morrison and Frydenberg were asked why they should be trusted…had they not just knifed a leader? They rightly pointed out that they hadn’t. They stuck with Turnbull. Turnbull’s success here has been to pass power to someone who did not plot against the leader. The plotters have been denied….something that will be hurting them all the more.

    My point being there has still been a hell of a lot of knifing going on by the tories – and some of those are headed straight back in ministries/ cabinet.

  22. Shorten wrote a great letter to Turnbull. The last thing Labor needed was to have him explain about having knifed two PMs.

    lol. it’s like watching someone funny and then they aren’t.

  23. Confessions@8:35pm
    I think Dutton and Ciobo will get their old jobs back if they want them. However, Hunt may be relegated to lesser outer ministry or he may completely miss out because he is a light weight. Hunt misjudged badly by aligning with Dutton. I think MT will have some say in the formation of Morrison ministry.

  24. Dave…..the greater the distance between talk of knifing, of coups, of betrayal and Labor…the better….voters have very very long memories about these things….

  25. Conservative MPs already leaking to News of an “all out war” if their leaders don’t get plum jobs. Like this wasn’t all out war already.
    They’re giving Pyne the credit for outsmarting the young RWNJs like Hastie.

  26. Christ, one Abbott knives the sitting member and another Abbott turns up and claims the seat. If she grabs a prize jewel like that, the party really is stuffed. But I thought James Brown, the son-in-law had the seat under wraps.

  27. Kimberley Kitching and Andrew Bolt are old and genuine friends. She’s not appearing on there to appeal to her enemies. Lol. He’s helping her build her profile!!!!

  28. “Did you see the IPA’s list of demands for the new PM? The loon faction don’t need to demand too heavily, just leave it to outside forces to do their work for them.”

    Saw that. FFS these people just never learn.

  29. Just read the transcript of Turnbull today. No mention of the NBN or the Bank Royal Commission among his achievements. I guess that means he does have a sense of shame

  30. Crikey 2016:

    It’s Christmas party season, and a tipster tells us there was an interesting crowd at the party held by none other than Andrew Bolt. The News Corp columnist and Sky News host is unlikely to hold a “holiday” party, and we’re told he had many of his usual friends in attendance — former speaker and now Sky News guest Bronwyn Bishop was there, as was Cory Bernardi and Concetta Fierravanti-Wells. There was just one MP from the Labor side of politics — new Senator Kimberley Kitching was there with her husband, Andrew Landeryou.

  31. ‘Fess,
    Just reading that article about the guy, Dave Sharma, he’s being touted as ‘future PM material’, so he must be pretty formidable and they say Wentworth is one of those seats reserved for future PMs and the Liberal Party have put in a concerted effort over decades to wrest the Jewish vote away from Labor, so there’s that.

    As far as Christine Foster is concerned I don’t think she has gravitas. She has ridden to prominence on the back of her brother and the SSM issue. She’s a bit late to the party as well. Maybe the younger woman who is also being mentioned might come along later.

  32. The Crazy Branch can demand their Cabinet posts and probably get them. This only serves to remind the public that Turnbull’s lament today is correct. The Liberal Party is heavily populated with ideologues…with insurgents and wreckers. They may have lost today, but they remain assertive. The Liberal Party will be smashed for accomodating them.

  33. ’s Christmas party season, and a tipster tells us there was an interesting crowd at the party held by none other than Andrew Bolt. The News Corp columnist and Sky News host is unlikely to hold a “holiday” party, and we’re told he had many of his usual friends in attendance — former speaker and now Sky News guest Bronwyn Bishop was there, as was Cory Bernardi and Concetta Fierravanti-Wells. There was just one MP from the Labor side of politics — new Senator Kimberley Kitching was there with her husband, Andrew Landeryou.

    Mate, just mate,,,,
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q954LxEzyY8

  34. I don’t think the electorate will look favourably on the wreckers getting plum posts in the new Ministry. They should not be rewarded for their betrayal.

  35. @briefly

    Scott Morrison has a fine line to tread, he needs to satisfy them enough so they don’t do what they did to Malcolm Turnbull’s government. Morrison is fortunate that his reputation among those people is a lot positive (Tony Abbott aside) than Malcolm Turnbull had.

  36. dave says:
    Friday, August 24, 2018 at 8:59 pm
    briefly @ #683 Friday, August 24th, 2018 – 8:51 pm

    ……voters have very very long memories about these things….
    Maybe, maybe not.

    I’ll believe it when I see it.

    Won’t hold my breath.

    They surely recall Rudd/Gillard 1.0; Rudd/Gillard 2.0; Abbott/Turnbull. They will not soon forget this either. Voters let most political affairs wash over them….they ignore nearly all of it. Who can blame them for that. But the topping of PMs will make an impact like little else in politics ever could.

  37. boomy1,
    Do you really think waving the Andrew Landeryou boogie man doll around is going to scare anyone? Though the gut on the Cosmic Psychos’ lead singer certainly will!

  38. What I think most will not say especially in the MSN but the division is between god botherers and the rest.

    These are hard right ideologues. Hastie, Pasin, Molan, Abbott, Andrews, Sesjela, Sukkar. Most are catholics but there are military baptist types

    Of the 43 who signed the petition

    3 are of military background
    2 seem to be passionate baptists *and military men – Hastie and Fawcett
    16 were educated in Catholic schools

    6 seem to have been educated in protestant private schools
    Only two seem to be state school educated -Abetz and ley

    There are about 12 for which there is insufficient information (or I did not have all the names)

    So of 31, 16 catholics, and two baptists. Not sure if the others eg Abetz are passionate god botherers or just opportunists.

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