Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor

Newspoll caps a weekend of status quo by-election results with a status quo poll result.

I’d have thought Newspoll might have had the week off, but The Australian reports that the latest instalment has Labor maintaining its 51-49 lead, with the Coalition up a point on the primary vote to 39%, Labor steady on 36%, the Greens steady on 10% and One Nation steady on 7%. On personal ratings, Malcolm Turnbull is up one on approval to 42% and down one on disapproval to 48%, Bill Shoten is steady on 32% and up one to 57%, and Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister is unchanged at 48-29. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1704.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

1,024 comments on “Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor”

Comments Page 2 of 21
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  3. Darn, the human resources Labor can summon for electioneering are really astounding. Moreover, they’re well- trained, well-organised and already seasoned even though the talent pool is generally made up of young people.

    Labor members and supporters work together with volunteers from the unions and from community groups. The results are truly impressive.

    As well, there is financial depth, with the vast majority of cash coming in small but regular amounts from a very wide array of donors, so there is no reliance on a narrow group of rain-makers.

    There is also very detailed and consistent collaboration between the Federal and State offices and the campaign fronts. There is in-depth communication and preparation.

    This is a very great strength for Labor.

    By contrast, the Right are fragmented, compete against each other, lack volunteers and finance and seem to be as opposed to each other as they are to Labor.

    Labor will out-campaign the Tories every time.

  4. @Gorks

    One Nation is not the only player in the territory to the right of the Coalition, there are a Smörgåsbord parties for such voters to choose from. Apart from the ones such as the Australian Conservatives, Katter’s Australia Party, Clive Palmer’s resurrected party. There is a small party called the Australia Liberty Alliance which should get some attention, namely through it Anti-Islam policies.

    https://www.australianlibertyalliance.org.au/

  5. Tristo…quite right. The RW is fragmenting, just as occurred prior to the formation of the Liberal Party. This has some way to travel I reckon.

  6. briefly says:
    Monday, July 30, 2018 at 12:04 am
    Darn, the human resources Labor can summon for electioneering are really astounding. Moreover, they’re well- trained, well-organised and already seasoned even though the talent pool is generally made up of young people.

    Labor members and supporters work together with volunteers from the unions and from community groups. The results are truly impressive.

    As well, there is financial depth, with the vast majority of cash coming in small but regular amounts from a very wide array of donors, so there is no reliance on a narrow group of rain-makers.

    There is also very detailed and consistent collaboration between the Federal and State offices and the campaign fronts. There is in-depth communication and preparation.

    This is a very great strength for Labor.

    By contrast, the Right are fragmented, compete against each other, lack volunteers and finance and seem to be as opposed to each other as they are to Labor.

    Labor will out-campaign the Tories every time.

    Briefly

    I totally agree and I would add that you personally deserve great credit for being part of the Labor team in WA that works so hard to get Labor candidates elected.

  7. ItzaDream – laughing as I just saw that – yes I changed to that a while ago and then couldn’t change it back! I think I know how to now but I am leaving it till I am singing it (badly) on Federal election night. When I was young I never realised it is actually new words to an old Russian song – Дорогой длинною
    (By the Long Road)

    And thanks for all the info about Ketamine. I am a bit stunned if that’s what they used but it seems to fit with what I’ve read here. Very strange stuff – used by the US military for battlefield injuries and also in disasters.

  8. Darn…I’m very happy to help out…it’s invariably interesting and constructive. But I can very safely say the volunteer base is now huge compared to the commencement of this process at the time of the Canning by-election.

    There is a great feeling of shared purpose too…..a feeling that is strengthened by success. Winning is important. We know how to win. We know how to persist and to maintain focus. It is quite formidable.

  9. I read this with puzzlement “This bespeaks one poor aspect of the by-elections for Labor – after playing dead at two successive elections, its vote in Mayo has fallen all the way to 6.0%. ”

    Duh ?

    Mayo has never voted strongly for Labor..Not in 32 years… So there lost little by playing dead’ as you say it..

    Rather by withdrawing Labor has allowed the growth of a real NON Liberal party alternative in Rebekha Sharkie. as an effectively Independent Mayo MP. And made life for the Liberals that much harder.

  12. Amazed that Cyrillic script loaded! Must be all those Russian hackers at work.

    I have been reading the comments sections on “The Australian” articles after the by-elections. There were 1500 on one article – read a few hundred. The writers have for the most part totally lost it – I have seen their style before but this is a whole new level.

    When I foresee an election loss, or see an actual loss, it gets me down but it’s not the end of the world and I know that things will turn. These writers are apocalyptic – even more so than their newspaper’s columnists! I meet thousands of people every year from all stratas of society in just about all states and territories, and I can think of very few I have met who are this crazy.

    It is sort of amusing, but it is also pretty tiring. The “restore Abbott” bunch are the most predictable – I too hope that their dearest prayers are fulfilled and the Liberals reinstate him. Seems unlikely this term, but it would be a nice post-election gift if they did it in the event of losing.

    But many of the rest just seem to live in a different dimension. And I often wonder whether these writers themselves benefited from
    1. Taxpayer funded tertiary education courtesy of Labor
    2. Taxpayer funded universal medicare courtesy of Labor
    3. Economic benefit courtesy of Labor’s reforms in the Hawke-Keating years

    Anyway, the last time I noticed this degree of “shrillness” and sheer number of comments was in the lead-up to the 2007 Federal Election, so maybe that’s a sign.

  13. In fairness to Newspoll, while the headline 2PP may be on the low side for Labor, from memory the last state breakdown for Queensland was around 47-53 right? At least bludgertrack is giving a swing of 5.5% there since 2016. That’s not incompatible with the hard evidence from the by-elections. I would have thought there’s potential for the big states of NSW and Vic to do very little while SA and Tas go backwards slightly (without flipping any seats), masking the QLD-WA tsunami in the national figures.

  14. Just looking at Insiders.

    Tanya Plibersek’s performance was wooden and uninspiring, which is unusual for her.

    Another poster remarked on this and said she might have celebrated more than was wise last night. That is what it looked like.

    But good luck to her, it was a time that Labor deserved to celebrate!

  15. Any idea how Newspoll allocated preferences this time? What would the 2PP be if preferences were allocated according to how they split at the last election? Something like 52-48?

  17. The SmearStralian trying hard to rationalise the loss, cherry picking..

    ‘An estimated $450,000 television and radio advertising blitz in the last week of the Longman by-election campaign by Labor across the entire southeast of Queensland — up against no TV ads from the Liberal National Party — helped finish off Malcolm Turnbull’s chances of an unlikely victory.

    While the Liberal Party spent up massively in the Bennelong by-election in Sydney in December, at a time the government’s majority and the Prime Minister’s future was at stake, it did not take on the spending by Labor in Longman, or Braddon, when Bill Shorten’s leadership was at stake.

    One senior LNP source saidyesterday one of the reasons the party did not pull out all stops in Longman was ‘‘the published polling was encouraging but our polling was more sobering”.

    But the issue highlights a broader challenge for Mr Turnbull in the lead-up to next year’s general election: how he copes with a deluge of union money when the Liberal Party has not been able to raise as successfully as usual lately.

    Mr Turnbull donated $1.75 million of his own money to save the 2016 election campaign. He has been criticised internally for not doing enough to attend fundraisers.

    The Australian revealed last month that Mr Turnbull’s brother-in-law, Michael Hughes, had been employed as NSW Liberal finance director in a bid to raise more funds. Senior Liberal sources saidat the time that the party would struggle to mount a competitive advertising campaign were a federal election to be called this year. One source said that, across the country, the party is at least “a couple of million short”.

    Fundraising is likely to prove even more of a challenge after the weekend’s results, as business tends to sponsor the side it believes will win government.’

  19. Right Wing organ The Spectator analyses the state of play from the Chesterfields…

    ‘Malcolm Turnbull is free to call an election any time between now and May.

    He hoped yesterday would provide a spingboard for a poll vault maybe even before the football finals at the end of September or sometime in October, a poll he could win.

    Now he has to factor in three more ballots; the Victorian state election in late November, a New South Wales vote in March — and a potential leadership spill.

    He’s now been comprehensively outcampaigned by Shorten Labor on two occasions.

    His based strayed to One Nation in utterly crucial ground in Queensland on Saturday.

    Does he try for third time lucky, skip bringing back the parliament and still go early, or risk the rug being pulled from under his feet.

    Late last night faint talk of a February spill could be detected. It might have been the hour. It might have been the beers.

    Whatever the case, it was the last thing the Prime Minister wanted — just as last night’s result was the last thing he needed.’

    https://www.spectator.com.au/2018/07/the-only-poll-that-matters-stinks-for-the-turnbull-libs/

  21. C@tmomma @ #22 Sunday, July 29th, 2018 – 10:31 pm

    ItzaDream,
    Dr Harris stated that the medication that he used for the Thai rescues only lasted 30min to an hour and so needed to be readministered by the divers taking the boys out, which he had to teach them to do. Successfully as it turned out. So what does that make you think he was using?

    CM & ID:
    That’s what I had heard – which implies midazolam either intravenously (which would be difficult without a central line as ID pointed out) or subcutaneously (which would be a bit slow). In fact, it may have been readministration of intranasal ketamine by the accompanying divers that Dr Harris was so proud of. That would make sense – though I hope that the Thai PM doesn’t snort special K prior to shooting.

  24. Good morning dawn Patrollers

    David Crowe reckons the Longman result (and the others) have put the high end business tax cut policy at risk of being dropped.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/byelection-defeat-prompts-rethink-of-turnbull-s-company-tax-cuts-20180729-p4zub4.html
    Simon Benson agrees saying Turnbull’s senior cabinet colleagues have privately warned that the government must resolve the company tax issue and seek an immediate resolution to the Catholic school funding crisis or face a wipe out at the next federal election.
    https://outline.com/MXuPmF
    Katharine Murphy explains how Turnbull has given his government room to move on its unpopular tax cut for Australia’s biggest businesses after losing badly in Saturday’s critical byelection in the Queensland marginal seat of Longman.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/jul/29/malcolm-turnbull-gives-coalition-wiggle-room-on-company-tax-cuts
    Phil Coorey joins the pack on the company tax cuts.
    https://outline.com/hzqtUZ
    And Coorey writes, “ Bill Shorten’s plague of locusts now hovers over the Coalition”.
    https://outline.com/EZpryM
    And he says the wins were a win for policy over personality. He concludes that Bill Shorten is on a path to election victory and the pressure is on Malcolm Turnbull to respond.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/voters-give-leaders-their-byelection-lesson-20180729-p4zu9d.html
    San Kelly goes even further by writing that Shorten didn’t just pass the test – he blew it away!
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/shorten-didn-t-just-pass-the-test-he-blew-it-away-20180729-p4zuaj.html
    Peter van Onselen pretty well sums up the weekend.
    https://outline.com/uEUsDp
    Peter Hartcher writes that Super Saturday turned out to be merely Status Quo Saturday with no change to the numbers in the Parliament, but beneath the surface a great fracturing is under way. He says the dismal result exposes the fact that Turnbull’s personal appeal is failing and, in a
    marginal outer metropolitan seat like this one, seems to be a liability.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/super-saturday-revealed-voters-are-hungry-for-an-alternative-20180729-p4zub1.html
    Jennifer Hewett says that despite claiming the swing in Longman was expected, the frustration of Turnbull and his ministers is obvious.
    https://outline.com/nHRAP7
    And Mark Kenny describes the weekend as a setback to the government of sobering proportions.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/coalition-byelection-fail-a-setback-of-sobering-proportions-20180729-p4zu94.html
    Amanda Vanstone polishes the turd.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/shorten-can-be-jubilant-but-it-s-not-all-bad-news-for-turnbull-20180727-p4zu13.html
    The Australian, of course, whinges that GetUp! deployed “hundreds” of its members to campaign in Longman against the government’s company tax cuts.
    https://outline.com/7FAdqd
    Despite several assassination attempts, Bill Shorten is alive and kicking this morning. The results of Super Saturday should finally put to rest rumours of a challenge by Anthony Albanese. However, as Martin Hirst reports, it could be Malcolm’s bye bye election.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/super-saturday-results-malcolms-bye-bye-election,11735
    Michelle Grattan reckons Turnbull’s authority has been diminished after the byelection failures.
    https://theconversation.com/view-from-the-hill-malcolm-turnbulls-authority-diminished-after-byelection-failures-100741
    The precious Downers are all upset. They just don’t get it!
    https://outline.com/rSqjeN
    Urban Wronski piles right on to the Downer dynasty.
    https://urbanwronski.com/2018/07/30/not-so-super-saturday-for-mal-but-silencing-dissent-a-winner/
    According to the New Daily prominent conservatives have called Malcolm Turnbull’s leadership into question after Labor’s “four from four” clean sweep in Saturday’s by-elections.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2018/07/29/turnbull-leadership-longman/
    Matt Wade explains how Victoria has overtaken NSW with respect to economic growth.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/nsw-loses-mantle-as-top-state-economy-20180729-p4zual.html
    The Adelaide Advertiser tells readers that serious questions are being raised about the government’s ability to campaign on the ground after the Coalition failed to win two key by-elections at the weekend.
    https://outline.com/67EdGE
    Frydenberg has flagged a two-stage process with state and territory ministers in an attempt to maximise the government’s chances of achieving sign-off for the national energy guarantee in August.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/jul/30/josh-frydenberg-flags-two-stage-talks-to-get-energy-guarantee-over-the-line
    John McDuling tells us how Peter Costello has broken his silence to defend the broadcaster’s planned takeover of publisher Fairfax Media in the face of a tepid market reaction to the deal.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/costello-breaks-silence-as-nine-begins-fairfax-charm-offensive-20180729-p4zu9k.html
    And Michael West tells us about Nine, Fairfax, media muzzling and the threat to journalism.
    https://www.michaelwest.com.au/nine-fairfax-media-muzzling-and-the-threat-to-journalism/
    Ross Gittins complains about how much money is wasted on the wrong infrastructure projects.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/why-so-much-money-is-wasted-on-the-wrong-infrastructure-20180728-p4zu6o.html
    The publisher of the New York Times says he has warned US President Donald Trump that his attacks on journalists as the “enemy of the people” could lead to violence.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/donald-trump-s-media-attacks-are-dangerous-and-undermining-democracy-20180730-p4zubz.html
    David Smith says that a public service review that doesn’t consider the perils of moving away from a merit-based, permanent public service will not address its underlying issues. He warns that this government’s review is flawed from the very start. It’s a worry.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/an-aps-review-must-back-its-resources-and-expertise-20180724-p4ztdu.html
    Here is a staunch defence of Australia’s health care system.
    https://www.smh.com.au/lifestyle/life-and-relationships/australia-s-healthcare-system-saved-my-life-20180729-p4zua1.html
    ASIC is attempting to shut down an investment scheme that has allegedly siphoned off millions of dollars from unsuspecting consumers and has the hallmarks of a major US fraud case and an FBI investigation.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/asic-chases-an-alleged-international-scam-linked-to-fbi-probe-20180729-p4zu9q.html
    The Labor Party has referred a number of Liberal and National Party MPs to Victoria Police for investigation, claiming they inappropriately used electorate office staff for political campaigning during normal business hours. Has the Lobster over-reached?
    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/labor-refers-liberal-national-mps-to-police-in-new-rorting-claim-20180729-p4zubh.html
    Trump said yesterday that he would allow the federal government to shut down if Democrats refuse to back the wall and major changes to immigration laws.
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/jul/29/donald-trump-government-shutdown-immigration
    Has Mark Zuckerberg, like Frankenstein, lost control of the monster he created?
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/jul/29/has-zuckerberg-like-frankenstein-lost-control-of-the-monster-he-created
    Advertising market leaders have warned Nine Entertainment that it must preserve the journalistic pedigree of Fairfax Media’s premier mastheads if it wants to successfully manage the difficult prospect of cross-selling across a newly merged media giant’s various platforms.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/advertisers-warn-nine-it-must-maintain-fairfax-standards-20180729-p4zuad.html
    Richard Ackland wonders if politicians are incapable of fixing this stain on our humanity, our history and our dignity, what about the judges?
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/jul/27/offshore-detention-wont-be-fixed-by-politicians-can-the-high-court-help
    John Pierik says that despite the hoopla and stunning fall-out surrounding the ball tampering saga in South Africa in March, you could be forgiven for wondering whether David Warner, Steve Smith and, to a lesser degree, Cameron Bancroft are suspended.
    https://www.theage.com.au/sport/cricket/sport-thought-have-smith-warner-and-bancroft-really-been-suspended-20180726-p4zto9.html
    The establishment at work.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/cricket-australia-sacks-worker-over-series-of-tweets-about-abortion-20180729-p4zuar.html

    Cartoon Corner

    David Rowe. Oh dear!

    Mark David has Turnbull taking one step too far.

    A ripper from Peter Broelman.

    And also from Sean Leahy.

    And a nice one from Glen Le Lievre.

    Alan Moir trots out Napoleon Turnbull again.

    Pat Campbell sums up the privacy concerns of the MyHealth System.

    Mark Knight might have been a bit early with this one,

    This one of David Pope’s is just SO good!

    Jon Kudelka with Turnbull’s homecoming.
    https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/6a2a79283f1c3eb55364dd7a2106fdbb
    Just a few more in here.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/best-of-fairfax-cartoons-july-30-2018-20180729-h13aha.html

  26. TPOF @ #38 Sunday, July 29th, 2018 – 8:59 pm

    I just looked over at the WA by-elections on the ABC website. It occurred to me that the Coalition did a great disservice to its rusted-on supporters by not running a candidate.

    I wonder how many people did not turn out to vote because they were Liberal supporters who were not given an opportunity to run against someone so labelled on the ballot paper. And how they are going to feel when they get their fine notices for not voting when they couldn’t stomach voting for any other candidate. Or even those who did turn up and found themselves voting for one of the rabid right-wing parties because they had nothing else on offer and then were not struck dead by their doG for doing so.

    It’s not something I’ve thought about much before, but I think Labor is absolutely right in running candidates in every electorate, even running dead, just so their supporters can cast their compulsory ballots in their comfort zone.

    I did a post on this last night about the link between identity and voting behaviour. Not running in Perth to concentrate on Braddon and Longman is another Brian Trumble brainfart that has blown up in his face.

    A while ago I found a really good academic paper on the link between identity and voting behaviour and unfortunately have not been able to find it again. The conclusion was that messing with it was not a good idea.

  27. Morning all

    BK

    Thanks for today’s reports.

    It is amusing that after the by election results, the fibs are being pressured to dump the corporate tax cuts.
    @facepalm@

  29. ABC news dragging out Nick Greiner to tell us nothing to see here. Anyone from Labor?
    You know the answer to that question.

  30. Good Morning Bludgers 🙂
    The Storm Troopers at The Lolstralian have swung into action today to tidy up Malcolm’s latest mess. I smell new laws to try and cause the Unions and GetUp to not be able to campaign on behalf of Labor in some way:

    The Australian – Page 4 : 30 July 2018
    Original article by Andrew Clennell

    Roy Morgan Summary

    Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has blamed in part the federal government’s by-election losses on the large amount of advertising conducted by Labor, with some of the funds for its advertising coming from the union movement. Turnbull claimed on 29 July that Labor had engaged in “outrageous lies” over health funding. It is estimated Labor spent $A450,000 on television and radio advertising in south-east Queensland in the last week before the Longman by-election, which it appears to have won. By way of contrast, the Liberal party did not run any television commercials in south-east Queensland over the same period.

    And Judith Sloan has been saddled up to ride into battle for the High End Corporate and Multinational Tax Cuts:

    The Australian – Page 4 : 30 July 2018
    Original article by Judith Sloan

    Roy Morgan Summary

    The results of the Super Saturday by-elections suggest that the federal government may have to abandon any further cuts to company taxes. It has not done a very good job of selling the merits of its proposed cuts to voters, while Labor’s misleading claims have not helped the government’s cause. Australia has one of the highest company tax rates in the world and failing to reduce them will see it get become even more globally uncompetitive; at some point the government will have no choice but to act on the matter.

    You see, it’s just the salesmen, not the product, and, well, Labor. Because, naughty effective Opposition not allowing the snow job from the well-heeled corporate end of town to work! 🙂

  31. Mr Denmore‏ @MrDenmore · 12h12 hours ago

    I’ll waive my fee & give Turnbull some free advice:
    1. Axe the corporate tax cuts
    2. Reverse the ABC cuts & guarantee its funding
    3. Address the nation – ‘Our diversity is our strength’
    4. Declare a republican referendum & an indigenous voice
    5. Retire happy with the grandkids!

  32. Darn @ #56 Sunday, July 29th, 2018 – 10:18 pm

    briefly says:
    Monday, July 30, 2018 at 12:04 am
    Darn, the human resources Labor can summon for electioneering are really astounding. Moreover, they’re well- trained, well-organised and already seasoned even though the talent pool is generally made up of young people.

    Labor members and supporters work together with volunteers from the unions and from community groups. The results are truly impressive.

    As well, there is financial depth, with the vast majority of cash coming in small but regular amounts from a very wide array of donors, so there is no reliance on a narrow group of rain-makers.

    There is also very detailed and consistent collaboration between the Federal and State offices and the campaign fronts. There is in-depth communication and preparation.

    This is a very great strength for Labor.

    By contrast, the Right are fragmented, compete against each other, lack volunteers and finance and seem to be as opposed to each other as they are to Labor.

    Labor will out-campaign the Tories every time.

    Briefly

    I totally agree and I would add that you personally deserve great credit for being part of the Labor team in WA that works so hard to get Labor candidates elected.

    How did the L/NP go with their field campaigning in Braddon and Longman?

    The WA Liberals don’t have a field campaign worthy of the name, and the WA Nationals have decided they don’t need one. Neither party have the capacity to change that anytime soon, and the Liberals are broke, so they can’t hire one in.

  33. Asher Wolf
    ‏Verified account @Asher_Wolf
    Jul 27

    Astonishing. Mark Burgess, chief of the Australian Police Federation representing more than 60k police officers, has called on the Turnbull government to urgently legislate to outlaw investigators from accessing the #MyHealthRecord system without a warrant

  34. Another election was held on the weekend, the kind of election only dtt would consider valid and democratic.

    Cambodia took a massive step backwards and while the US takes steps against Hun Sen’s regime, Australia, to it’s shame, barely batters an eyelid.

    ‘You don’t drink champagne with dictators’: Australia warned over Cambodia ties

    The Federal Government is being urged to reject the results of Cambodia’s elections and impose sanctions on the Hun Sen regime, after his ruling party declared victory in yesterday’s vote that was widely seen as a sham.

    The leader of Cambodia’s main opposition is in jail, his party has been dissolved, and independent media in Cambodia is largely silenced.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-07-30/australia-urged-to-reject-cambodian-election-result/10030904

  35. Newspoll was about where I expected it to be, but I now believe this will be as good as it gets for the Coalition for a while at least. I expect that Labor will now take back the initiative and momentum, while the government decide what to do over key policy issues such as the company tax cuts and energy. I won’t be surprised if in the coming weeks Newspoll edges back out to 52 or even 53 for Labor.

  36. The interesting thing about Denmore’s 5 pieces of advice is that apart from #1, they were all part of voters expectations in September 2015 when Turnbull had a PPM figure of 60%.

  37. So now Labor are cheating, underhanded b@stards because they ran a campaign?

    Malcolm must be looking at Cambodia with envy.

  38. Barney in Go Dau @ #84 Monday, July 30th, 2018 – 7:54 am

    Another election was held on the weekend, the kind of election only dtt would consider valid and democratic.

    Cambodia took a massive step backwards and while the US takes steps against Hun Sen’s regime, Australia, to it’s shame, barely batters an eyelid.

    ‘You don’t drink champagne with dictators’: Australia warned over Cambodia ties

    The Federal Government is being urged to reject the results of Cambodia’s elections and impose sanctions on the Hun Sen regime, after his ruling party declared victory in yesterday’s vote that was widely seen as a sham.

    The leader of Cambodia’s main opposition is in jail, his party has been dissolved, and independent media in Cambodia is largely silenced.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-07-30/australia-urged-to-reject-cambodian-election-result/10030904

    Not to mention Hun Sen threatened to unleash a bloody civil war on Cambodians, shades of Pol Pot, if they didn’t re-elect him!

    Julie Bishop is complicit by association with this murderous man and has blood all over her expensive clothes if she allows this election result to go ahead unchecked.

  39. Melissa Clarke‏Verified account @Clarke_Melissa
    Melissa Clarke Retweeted ABC Politics

    Mathias Cormann told AM the govt will put corporate #taxcuts to the Senate next month, bring on a vote even if it doesn’t appear to have the numbers, & take it to the next election if it fails.

  41. lizzie @ #89 Monday, July 30th, 2018 – 8:10 am

    Melissa Clarke‏Verified account @Clarke_Melissa
    Melissa Clarke Retweeted ABC Politics

    Mathias Cormann told AM the govt will put corporate #taxcuts to the Senate next month, bring on a vote even if it doesn’t appear to have the numbers, & take it to the next election if it fails.

    Yes please, Mr Smooth! 🙂

  43. Jul 29. Is Peter Dutton paranoid?

    Anthony Smith‏ @Anthony_htimS

    Peter Dutton is at Warner right now.

    At Frank Nicolas reserve.

    His goons made a point of visibly taking my photo and writing down my car Rego.

    There’s never been a more exciting time to live in a police state.

  44. lizzie @ #91 Monday, July 30th, 2018 – 5:10 am

    Melissa Clarke‏Verified account @Clarke_Melissa
    Melissa Clarke Retweeted ABC Politics

    Mathias Cormann told AM the govt will put corporate #taxcuts to the Senate next month, bring on a vote even if it doesn’t appear to have the numbers, & take it to the next election if it fails.

    It will be interesting to see Divided Nation’s position now the by-elections are over.

    Hopefully they don’t pass and they’re dumb enough to support them.

  47. The Today Show
    ‏Verified account @TheTodayShow
    53m53 minutes ago

    “It’s not about the politicians, it’s about the people.” -@billshortenmp #9Today

  48. Trump Just Dug His Own Grave By Attacking Robert Mueller

    Robert Mueller is investigating Trump’s tweets, so the president responded by attacking the Special Counsel on Twitter.

    Trump tweeted:

    Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump

    Is Robert Mueller ever going to release his conflicts of interest with respect to President Trump, including the fact that we had a very nasty & contentious business relationship, I turned him down to head the FBI (one day before appointment as S.C.) & Comey is his close friend..

    Trump is trying to discredit the Special Counsel so that he can damage the credibility of the findings. The fact that Trump consistently omits about Mueller is that his own administration appointed him. When Trump refers to the anger of the investigators, he is projecting his own anger onto them.

    The Special Counsel wants to talk to Trump about his tweets, so the dumbest and most self-destructive thing that Donald Trump could do would be to attack Robert Mueller on the platform that he is investigating. We are watching a guilty president self-destruct, and dig his own political grave one tweet at a time.

    https://www.politicususa.com/2018/07/29/trump-attacks-robert-mueller.html

  49. My recollection of the wash up from the Ryan by election many years ago was that the swing to and capture of that seat by Labor caused Howard to act decisively and freeze the CPI increase of petrol price taxes.

    While it was blatant appeal to the hip pocket of voters, it was successful in turning round the LNP popularity and was the catalyst for them going on to victory at the next election.

    The contrast today is that despite Labor campaigning strongly against the Corporate Tax cuts and promoting the accompanying messages around how that money can be better spent on hospital and schools and the like, that the Libs are dithering and arguing the point about whether they should persist with the Tax cuts.

    A strong political leader would have made the call already imho.

  50. Grimace – I know that seat polling is notoriously inaccurate, but Newspoll had about SIX goes in Longman and didn’t come anywhere near the final result. Surely that tends to suggest, without proving, that it is weighted towards the libs.

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