I’d have thought Newspoll might have had the week off, but The Australian reports that the latest instalment has Labor maintaining its 51-49 lead, with the Coalition up a point on the primary vote to 39%, Labor steady on 36%, the Greens steady on 10% and One Nation steady on 7%. On personal ratings, Malcolm Turnbull is up one on approval to 42% and down one on disapproval to 48%, Bill Shoten is steady on 32% and up one to 57%, and Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister is unchanged at 48-29. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1704.
Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor
Newspoll caps a weekend of status quo by-election results with a status quo poll result.
The Menzies Wing of Monash University is commonly known as the ‘Ming Wing’.
Fess
Guiliani is as crooked as they come. I am thinking he is sabotaging Trump as a way to curry favour with the feds
Greensborough Growler says: Tuesday, July 31, 2018 at 9:10 am
Given Mueller has the Cohen tapes and their contents have been released, it’s likely that Mueller also has corroborating testimony or information already and they are testing the Trump camp for lies and discrepancies.
********************************************************
As pointed out previously – it only needs one witness under oath to corroborate Cohen’s accusation that he was a witness to Trump being told about the meeting for it all to blow up. It has always been ‘rumoured’ that the FBI/IC has it all on tape. Also Manafort is up tomorrow – he was allegedly one of the other witnesses to Cohen’s accusation…….
Maybe her reelection has given her a new confidence.
I can’t remember Sharkie making a statement like this before. 🙂
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/jul/31/rebekha-sharkie-unloads-on-corporate-tax-cuts-plan-no-evidence-of-jobs-boost
Good morning all,
I hope Turnbull throws extra funding to the Catholic sector.
Labor can argue they have been totally vindicated in opposing Gonski 2.0. on the grounds it was unfair, flawed and had ripped billions out of education despite what the government and media have been saying for over 12 months.
Labor can then argue that although it is good the Catholic sector is being given extra money what about the public education sector, the largest provider of education in this country ? It still remains billions short of what labor guarenteed under the original Gonski. Shows us the money there.
As well, will the Catholics be happy with what Turnbull offers ?
Then there is the independent sector. If this extra funding for the Catholics is coming out of the existing pool it will be the independent sector that will lose out after supporting the government all the way through.
It will end up as a exercise in putting bandaid after bandaid over bleeding wounds that open up all over the place.
So much for Turnbull and co promising the end of secret special deals.
Cheers.
Victoria @ #648 Tuesday, July 31st, 2018 – 9:13 am
Yes, it was just one of the tapes. One that the Trump camp had waived privilege on beforehand. But I think it was Cohen who did the actual releasing of it.
Confessions @ #650 Tuesday, July 31st, 2018 – 9:15 am
Probably correct.
Although he did fairly publicly demonstrate prior knowledge of things that he very definitely should not have had prior knowledge of during the 2016 election campaign. I’d be somewhat surprised if Mueller’s investigation has overlooked that fact. And even more surprised if Mueller investigated it and decided that Giuliani was innocent of any wrongdoing.
Grimace
I feel for you re NBN.
We are also disappointed in that we are in a small pocket of our town that did not get activated with the rest. That was in Dec 2016 and Jan 2017. Getting information about why and when we might be connected has been like getting blood from a stone, even for our federal ALP member.
Last few days the NBN website is now showing us being connected in Sept, but with the dreaded fttn. I had heard indications that we might be getting fttc due to the difficulties that originally put us in the too hard basket
What could possibly go wrong?
Oh let me count the ways…
But hang on. Weren’t we all assured my our great and independent media that Conski 2.0 was a triumph!
But I digress. What WILL go wrong is that as soon as Trumble caves to the Catholics (and he HAS to cave to them to at least the sum that Shorten is promising) then the independents and states both KNOW to 100% certainty, that a) more money is there for the taking, and b) exactly what they have to do to get it.
This is why Conski was ALWAYS destined to fail. To paraphrase Lenore ‘any idiot could see’ that by simply bodging up some new (significantly lower) number to what had already been locked in and budgeted for and then told to take it or leave it at least one of the systems would appreciate that they have more than enough political clout to make Trumble regret his foolishness. The original Gonski perhaps over funded some systems in some ways, but it had the great benefit of having had all systems involved in the design and all satisfied with the outcome.
So good luck Trumble you dickhead. You’re gonna need it. Whatever you give to one school system you will be forced to provide to all. And if it still falls short of Labor’s offer you still won’t get them off your back. Such a shame you’re pissing so many billions against the wall on corporate tax cut poison eh? You could afford proper Gonski.
Yes this is true, and why I was surprised he joined the Trump team. I’d thought he was deliberately keeping a low profile.
Confessions @ #660 Tuesday, July 31st, 2018 – 9:36 am
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=frAEmhqdLFs
Australian Council for the Defence of Government Schools:
Catholic Schools are never satisfied, the only answer to the state aid problem is to stop aid to private schools:
http://www.adogs.info/press/catholic-schools-are-never-satisfied-only-answer-state-aid-problem-stop-state-aid-private
Both the Coalition and Labor are shamelessly courting the “Catholic vote” to the detriment of public funding for under-resourced public schools that are open to all students regardless of socioeconomic background.
Only secular education should be paid for by taxpayers.
Paul Zanetti goes for the doctor here!

Maybe her reelection has given her a new confidence.
She understands product differentiation. Her electability isn’t dependent on the Liberal Party economic Drys. They are still all in Trickle’s boat. The small l Libs that deserted the dynasty aren’t wedded to delusions of supply side economics. She won’t lose any of them opposing corporate tax cuts. And the voters that put her 2PP out of reach are Labor and Green voters.
It would be insane if she did other than kick Trumble in the nuts and align with her voters.
Poor Zanetti. It must be soul destroying for him to not be drawing some crap with Shorten and his Union mate.
Or it would be if he had a soul.
Roy the master of being out of step throwing shade at Newspoll. This week just gets better and better.
Pegasus
Catholic schools provides secular education with added religion as a subject.
And the shortfall not provided by the govt is paid by the families.
Do you know how much the govt pays for each child on the Catholic system as compared to those in the public one?
Peter Lewis on leadership polling.
I found “Has a good team of leaders”, “Have a vision for the future” and “Have good policies” interesting that they favour the Libs.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/commentisfree/2018/jul/31/bill-shorten-will-win-on-traditional-labor-values-his-popularity-is-secondary
With Zanetti and journos suddenly scrutinising MT …. along with the legal stuff coming out about Cash/GBR … it is looking like media moguls have seen the writing on the wall and, of course, Murdoch always wants to be aligned with the winner, so we now will have Shorten as the hero and “Murder Mal” will be the ongoing theme.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/2016/jun/14/new-research-abbott-and-turnbull-the-worst-economic-managers-since-menzies?CMP=share_btn_tw
Victoria @ #668 Tuesday, July 31st, 2018 – 9:44 am
Too much by far? Public funds should not be directed to any non-secular school. Or to any for-profit school, for that matter.
Hell, private schools are one thing I’m happy to let the market decide the fate of. Use public funds only for public schools. If a family wants to send their kids to private school, then fine, they can foot the entire cost of that themselves. Either private schools will offer that service at a price that most can afford, or they won’t and people can just suck it up and use the public system.
Peter Lewis almost cheer leading for Bill here.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/commentisfree/2018/jul/31/bill-shorten-will-win-on-traditional-labor-values-his-popularity-is-secondary
But maybe the simpletons in the CPG need this beaten into them.
He’s pretty much got every base covered;
-PPM is a sideshow
-LOTO’s job isn’t to be popular
-it’s the policies stupid
-Shorten has demonstrated immense talent to get as far as he has so quickly
-The policy positions that Labor are winning on rely heavily on a leader with courage
-Under Bill Labor is united and fit for government
-his perceived ‘weaknesses’ are his actual strengths.
Of course we’ve been banging on about exactly these things for years. But who knows, maybe even Murph might have a light bulb moment reading this. (ha yeah I know that’s not gonna happen – still pushing the leadershit drum today and yet again referring to her own spin when #albogaveaspeech)
Fifield has tried for the soft grey teddy-bear look, but he’s as deceptive as any other LNP.
Lenore Taylor
Verified account @lenoretaylor
2m2 minutes ago
Rebekha Sharkie unloads on corporate tax cuts plan: ‘no evidence’ of jobs boost
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/jul/31/rebekha-sharkie-unloads-on-corporate-tax-cuts-plan-no-evidence-of-jobs-boost?CMP=share_btn_tw
ItzaDream @ #58852 Tuesday, July 31st, 2018 – 8:51 am
Thanks ID. This was a technical and ethical triumph on a par with Apollo 13, and we are all the richer for it.
Meant to say earlier, I thought Lenore Taylor was a standout of clear, sensible logic on Q&A.
Hell, private schools are one thing I’m happy to let the market decide the fate of
I’d agree. Except I want Labor in government.
There are much worse things in the world than contributing some taxpayer funds for kids to get a private education. And it’s a small price to pay to get the chance to address some of those much worse things.
Climate change is, rather reluctantly I thought, acknowledged to be a factor.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/jul/30/worlds-largest-king-penguin-colony-has-declined-by-90
lizzie @ #603 Tuesday, July 31st, 2018 – 7:47 am
+1
lizzie
Also us hoovering up fish , krill and anything else we can lay our hands on at unsustainable rates.
Fifield could make a fortune in Hollywood with his resting dopey face. They are highly prized among casting directors. His is magnificent.
poroti
I was horrified when I first learned what ‘bycatch’ meant.
ab11
😆
Thanks, ID for the link and explanation of Dr Harris’ sedation protocol. I was plumping for Ketamine + Alprazolam and was wondering how the Ketamine would have been administered. Not knowing what the half life of Ketamine was, because I was too lazy to look it up, lol, I assumed that the Alprazolam was the one that needed to be readministered as it is a short-acting benzodiazepine, but enough to get them through apparently. 🙂
Mathias on twitter tried to play smart by linking a 3 year old AFR article.
Then I linked him what US says about tax cuts 😀
Wasn’t it Roy Morgan who was finding up to 18% support for the Greens?
This is where “resting dopey face” comes in very handy. Why can’t he be compelled to answer?
lizzie @ #677 Tuesday, July 31st, 2018 – 10:03 am
But, but ‘Albo gave a speech!’ 🙄
C@t
That was her only defensive statement. All the rest OK, I thought.
Barney in Go Dau @ #643 Tuesday, July 31st, 2018 – 9:08 am
Thanks Barney. Good to know. In this case, the post failed to submit and I had to re-log in, but had sagely remembered to copy the post before the initial submit, as we have long ago learnt, so things musta got a bit muddled in the redoing. Thanks for the tip.
For what it’s worth the political correspondent for Perth News? I think – somebody called Hondros? who I have not come across before, but was former editor of the Mandurah local paper, claims the Labor vote has “collapsed” in the seat of Perth. He bases his argument on the fact that voter turn-out was very low – just over 60%. He then makes the (mistaken) jump that the decline was due to all those Labor voters who were cross with Labor because the previous holder of the seat quit not long after, with much fanfare, that he was touted as Labor’s man of the future. Why Hondros did not consider that maybe some Liberal voters did not turn out is a puzzle to me, and thereby tends to invalidate his assertion.
It is my view that the Libs were stupid not to have put someone up in Perth. It is not all that safe for Labor and Green preferences make the difference.
This above article shows that given enough time and effort, a silver sliver can be found in any grey cloud.
C@tmomma @ #690 Tuesday, July 31st, 2018 – 7:35 am
According to Amy R the other day in the Guardian it was also supported by some from Labor’s left making noises to the Press, so it doesn’t seem it was just the speech.
I’m not saying that gave the story the total credibility it proclaimed but it doesn’t seem to have been as completely baseless as, “Albo gave a speech”! 🙂
Tricot
It is Nathan Hondros. He also provided a handy dandy voting guide for those of the Liberal Party persuasion in Perth+Freo.
https://www.watoday.com.au/politics/western-australia/how-to-vote-conservative-with-no-liberal-candidates-in-perth-or-freo-20180726-p4zttz.html
Ven @ #647 Tuesday, July 31st, 2018 – 9:11 am
Yes. This. Which leads me to the question, why isn’t the ROC going after The Great Barrier Reef Foundation and the almost half a Billion $ they got from the taxpayer!?!
We all know the answer to that, of course.
According to Amy R the other day in the Guardian it was also supported by some from Labor’s left making noises to the Press, so it doesn’t seem it was just the speech.
And, said ‘Labor Left’, who would, on any given day of the week take ANY opportunity to try and get their man up and over the top of the Right. Of course in the run-up to ‘Super Saturday’ they became full-on ear worms to the journos jonesing for Labor leadershit. And those same gormless journos, unless they had collectively had frontal lobotomies, would have known this. But they ran hard with it anyway.
And they shouldn’t have.
Sohar,
Thanks for posting the Roy Morgan summary of Newspoll’s performance in Longman and Braddon. Last weekend provided us with a psephological reality check due to Newspoll’s coming up with the same 51-49 Labor edge in the National 2PP as they prognosticated for these two byelections.
Tapping deeply into my Extra Psephory Perception here, Labor’s current byelections tallies of 52.4 and 54.4 round off to 52 and 54 for an average of 53. Accordingly, the infallible Prof. Higgins EPP postulates that Labor’s national 2PP figure, self-evidently, cannot be less than 53. 😉
lizzie @ #690 Tuesday, July 31st, 2018 – 10:36 am
Likely so. However, the topic du jour was Labor leadershit and she squibbed it on that front wrt a valid explanation for her paper’s actions.
Heroes Live Forever
Vanessa Amorosi absolutely nails it, kills em in the aisles.
(prerecorded as was all the Opening Ceremony, for broadcast quality, etc)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zI8V9godkds
C@tmomma @ #697 Tuesday, July 31st, 2018 – 7:52 am
So the journos are completely to blame, while those within the Party pushing for Albo are blameless? 🙂