Three ReachTEL polls courtesy of Sky News:
• Nationally, Labor maintains a 52-48 lead on respondent-allocated two-party preferred. Primary votes are Coalition 35% (down one), Labor 34% (down one), Greens 11% (up one) and One Nation 9% (up three, if you can believe that). The poll also includes a question on company tax cuts that has none of the skew of Newspoll’s recent question on the subject, finding 49% in favour and 43% opposed. No sample size was provided, by they are usually somewhere above 2000.
• The good news for Labor ends there, because a poll of over 800 respondents in Braddon credits the Liberals with a lead of 54-46, compared with Labor’s 52.2% to 47.8% win at the 2016 election. The primary votes are Liberal 47% (41.5% at the 2016 election), Labor 33% (40.0%) and Greens 6% (6.7%). Company tax cuts are apparently unusually popular in the nation’s sixth poorest electorate, with 56% in favour and 38% opposed.
• Labor is also behind the eight ball in Longman, where the Liberal National Party is credited with a lead of 52-48, compared with Labor’s 50.8% to 49.2% win in 2016. The primary votes are LNP 38% (39.0% at the 2016 election), Labor 35% (35.4%), Greens 2% (4.4%) and others 14%. I am unclear if this means One Nation weren’t specifically listed as a response option – it might be thought problematic if they were not. Given the largely unchanged position on the primary votes, the LNP’s lead mostly comes down to them getting a better preference flow from respondent allocation in the poll than they did at the 2016 election. Here too company tax cuts were found to have unusually strong support, with 58% in favour and 33% opposed. As with Braddon, the sample was “over 800”.
My rule for fidelity in a relationship is simple
If you cannot be monogamous negotiate an open relationship.
Otherwise you made vows and should stick to them.
In an open relationship you avoid cheating because you are being honest about your nature.
For some people this truly is the case and its the mainstream Hollywood monogamous relationship which can be the toxic cultural cross for many to bear.
This is of course built on centuries of cultural expectation which stems from a desire to reduce person to person contact for the transmission of STD’s.
All this has changed with the introduction of the pill and treatments for std’s.
We can have our cake and eat it too if we are honest with each other. Its not for everyone but its a better option than lying and cheating on your partner.
guytaur @ #689 Monday, June 4th, 2018 – 8:45 am
I stand corrected. My humblest apologies to the Bludgers who assured me that that the L/NP were unscrupulous enough to do this.
briefly:
That’s pretty much how he treated her. Barnaby trying to make himself the victim is just galling.
The Greeks might also have a few things to say about Alan Jones’ character too. What motivated all that excessive vitriol against Gillard for example?
imacca @ #695 Monday, June 4th, 2018 – 8:48 am
Or how long it’s going to be until some nobody gets thrown under the bus for this?
C@tmomma@11:40am
LNP want to “get Shorten” the Al Capone way like ALP tried to get Joyce after tawdry affair broke out.
The personality driven political party grave yard.
By not being honest about his nature, Joyce in the cover up and lying and cheating to protect his political reputation as a “Family Values” man he is now under investigation due to the placing of staff for the short time he was not a New Zealander.
Socrates@11:42am
We never seem to learn because people think they will not caught.
There is a saying
You are thief only after you are caught.
The L/NP operatives will probably clam up as a means of political self preservation.
On the other hand, there are plenty of internal tensions so somebody may be willing to blow the whistle.
Greensborough Growler @ #754 Monday, June 4th, 2018 – 10:26 am
Brilliant! Steve Fielding is probably buried in there somewhere too.
Dont forget the Australian Motoring Enthusiast Party and Ricky Muir was a Senator!
Not sure Ricky Muir deserves to be linked to the personality cult.
Nobody had heard of him before he was elected.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/joyce-and-campions-cash-for-comment-tv-exclusive-a-dud,11566#.WxSe4cwJ9Sk.facebook
This whole Kill Bill strategy is just laughable, dredging up ones past can be done to any public figure, it is not like Malcolm Turnbull has a clean past either.
@Greensborough Growler
That sums up the fate of the various populist anti-establishment parties in Australia so far. I don’t know if one will emerge which wont be a personality driven party. If such a party emerged, they would be polling as much or even more than the Australian Greens.
The section of the electorate which would consider support such a party, I believe is a reason why the vote for the major parties is quite “soft”.
Socrates @ #753 Monday, June 4th, 2018 – 12:15 pm
Lady MacBeth is not a popular literary figure.
For Those that miss Harry Enten from 538 now he has moved to different pastures
I was actually on tonight. And am usually on Tuesdays/Wednesdays for primaries. Would folks actually like a heads up?… Also holding pilots for podcasts this month hopefully. https://mobile.twitter.com/6pounddog/status/1003468127663820800?p=v
This is a compliance issue and there is no criminality
Then onto terrorists and Bill Shorten
And they all congratulate each other and slap each other’s backs on the National stage
Because it is a compliance issue and there is no criminality with what is being referred to as funding terrorists
No doubt all of our under performing superannuation funds are invested into the CBA so punitive punishment is with us due to a tanking CBA Share price and the contribution to that under performance by our suoerannuation Fund Managers
But wait, there is more!
Industry Superannuation Funds and Unions and Bill Shorten
Ahh
Bill Shorten again
I turned off the TV – as hopefully enough have turned off this dysfunctional government to see the end of it
Bemused
I wish you’d stop lying about Julia Gillard. She tried to negotiate more time for Rudd.
Mike Carlton tweets
Buried deep, so very deep, in this story: the interesting fact that NewsCorpse tabloid newspapers are dying in the arse. The Daily Shitigraph loses a disastrous 17.2% of its readers. No surprise there. The paper is garbage. https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/media/the-weekend-australian-print-edition-readership-rises/news-story/2b367813ffeb0040dc6e4bc8346dde32
lizzie @ #768 Monday, June 4th, 2018 – 11:07 am
So asked and not answered, so therefore not worthy of at least showing those questions being asked? Is that what they’re saying?
Tristo,
The personality driven parties are more cults than bona fide political operations.
My view, is that, in the end politics is about permanent interests and not personalities. Sure populism attracts the disaffected who are distracted by the latest shiny populist object. But, such people don’t show a lot of perseverance and are usually only around for the thick. We’ve also seen the personalities that emerge as elected representatives of these personality parties. It always seems to end in tears and recriminations.
I believe that Hanson tries to rule her Party as Queen and she has little intention of allowing an outbreak of democracy within her organisation. The die is cast and I don’t see One Nation lasting.
So who tried to intimidate Campion into having an abortion? I’m assuming it wasn’t Christensen or the other Christian conservatives as they would be anti-abortion.
Triple 😆 in the full piked position. Truffles has managed to out phoney his public transport photo-ops. Come on down Truffles the Farmer.
https://twitter.com/JoshButler/status/1003428442807754752/photo/1?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fpbxmastragics.com%2F2018%2F05%2F07%2Fthe-big-budget-bribe-2018%2F
poroti @ #775 Monday, June 4th, 2018 – 1:18 pm
I believe that Turnbull has extensive Pastoral interests and lays claim to being one of the biggest farmers in Australia.
lizzie @ #769 Monday, June 4th, 2018 – 1:03 pm
I was citing what the public perception is, irrespective of what I or anyone else on PB might think.
Do you disagree that the public has that perception?
Diogenes @ #774 Monday, June 4th, 2018 – 1:12 pm
Patience, grasshopper!
Our great LNP will win the next election with an increased majority and that will make Turnbull the best PM ever
poroti @ #775 Monday, June 4th, 2018 – 1:18 pm
Looks like a little dinky trailer pulled behind a ride on mower. And soft shoes I think. Farmer smcharmer
Very dry
hand feeding
bad drought
worst drought ever
90% NSW in drought
farmers need assistance
rains will come
soaking rains will come
above average temperatures
lower than average rain fall predicted
etc etc etc
Not one bloody word from these idiots about global warming, climate change, anthropomorphism, planetary degradation. Verboten.
I listened to the ABC something or other the other day in the car about this, and it was like everyone, interviewee and interviewer, was on pain of death if they said anything even remotely hinting that this was unusual, while persisting in trying to make it sound unusually usual.
Greensborough Growler
He has an “interest” in Wilcrow Pty Ltd which owns land. Makes him as much a farmer as OZEmail made him a tech head.
Wayne @ #779 Monday, June 4th, 2018 – 1:33 pm
Looks like the bot gets triggered only by the term “Turnbull”, and not any of our euphemisms. Interesting.
Mungo has his say on the continuing indisciplne of the LNP Government.
https://johnmenadue.com/mungo-maccallum-the-barnaby-joyce-slapstick-soap-opera/
poroti @ #782 Monday, June 4th, 2018 – 1:43 pm
Technically, you may be right. however, on balance it’s hardly worth the effort of critiquing a publicity stunt. The outcome is that Turnbull is trying to appeal to a cohort that does not include you. I reckon it might be quite successful in that endeavour. (apart from the shoes).
Not necessarily. For example:
Yep. Can anyone really imagine the mooted Mark Latham, One Nation Senator taking marching orders from Ms Hanson? He wouldn’t last a week!
Bemused
I suspect that it is only a few die-hard Rudd tragics that still nurse a grievance over the events of 2010.
And the jumper. Indigenous meets gay pride is hardly a message that resonates with most cockies.
Greensborough Growler
I doubt the “cohort” he is wooing will be impressed by his fakery.
Wtf is in that cow food?
Looks like carpet fluff and cement.
Breaking:
Public Service Commissioner John Lloyd has quit – he was facing an investigation into breaches of the public service code of conduct. He will finish on August 8 #auspol
Farmers hand feed by chucking bales out the back of a ute, at the least.
Confessions
True but Truffles now has a lock on the gay Aboriginal farmer National party voter demographic 😆
poroti @ #790 Monday, June 4th, 2018 – 2:00 pm
The cohort might actually be upper middle class women who will applaud MT for going out to the bush to help the poor farmers. The Libs have a problem with women atm.
Wat cohort did you think he was appealing to?
Cud Chewer not logged in @ #792 Monday, June 4th, 2018 – 2:01 pm
mixed with bird seed for, you know, nourishment.
Greensborough Growler
Fiendishly cunning thinking there GG. Has great merit. I’m still picking National Party MPs. THE UMC ladies you speak of may have gone to the Greens but I am sure their No.2 on the ballot would be the COALition.
We’ve already had the fake tradie from the Liberals, the one who wears chunky jewelry to work, owns an investment property and loves his bank. So now it’s the fake farmer.