Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

No change on voting intention in the twenty-ninth successive Newspoll loss for the Coalition.

The first Newspoll for three weeks lands where it usually does, at 53-47 to Labor, with no change on the previous poll, making it 29 successive losses for Malcolm Turnbull. There’s also all but no change on the primary vote, with Labor up one to 39%, the Coalition steady on 37%, the Greens steady on 9% and One Nation steady on 7%. Malcolm Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister shifts from 37-35 to 39-36. On personal ratings, Malcolm Turnbull is down two on approval to 32% and Bill Shorten is one to 34% – we will evidently have to wait for the disapproval numbers (UPDATE: Turnbull’s disapproval rating is down one to 56%, Shorten’s is down two to 54%). Simon Benson’s more than usually idiosyncratic take on the results at The Oz here.

UPDATE: Newspoll also has a question on Labor’s plan to abolish franking credit cash refunds, which makes The Oz’s report less weird than it seemed at first blush. It finds 50% opposed to the idea with only 33% in support, breaking down to 42-36 in favour those aged 18-34, 45-32 against among the 35-49s, 58-30 against among the 50-64s, and 66-25 against among those over 65.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

877 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

Comments Page 13 of 18
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  2. KayJay @ #599 Monday, March 26th, 2018 – 1:51 pm

    Barney in Go Dau @ #594 Monday, March 26th, 2018 – 5:42 pm

    KayJay @ #591 Monday, March 26th, 2018 – 1:36 pm

    …

    When, in the past, I was able to watch cricket on TV (no Foxtel for me) if Warner got out early I lost interest. In older NRL days when Andrew Johns wasn’t playing – housework or lawn mowing.

    …

    I’d love to play cricket at your house the amount you mow your lawn.

    It must be like a bowling green?

    🙂

    I am whipping (snipping) it back into shape after a mini drought.

    You would be very welcome to play here and to shower as well should you so desire.

    I do the mowing to maintain my goal of 1400 paces per day – counted faithfully by my mobile phone.

    🕊

    Cheers muchly but I’ll have to pass.

    I’m obviously not quite in the district. 🙂

  3. The tradition in cricket is that a Test Captain that actually does hands-on ball-tampering continues to play…just ask Atherton and Du Plessis. Perhaps Smith should have used the tape himself.

  5. KayJay @ #600 Monday, March 26th, 2018 – 2:51 pm

    Barney in Go Dau @ #594 Monday, March 26th, 2018 – 5:42 pm

    KayJay @ #591 Monday, March 26th, 2018 – 1:36 pm

    I am whipping (snipping) it back into shape after a mini drought.

    You would be very welcome to play here and to shower as well should you so desire.

    I do the mowing to maintain my goal of 1400 paces per day – counted faithfully by my mobile phone.

    🕊

    Do you have one of the fancy self propelled lawn mowers or are you forced to push the thing around the yard? The former is very convenient.

  6. grimace @ #604 Monday, March 26th, 2018 – 2:01 pm

    KayJay @ #600 Monday, March 26th, 2018 – 2:51 pm

    Barney in Go Dau @ #594 Monday, March 26th, 2018 – 5:42 pm

    KayJay @ #591 Monday, March 26th, 2018 – 1:36 pm

    …

    I do the mowing to maintain my goal of 1400 paces per day – counted faithfully by my mobile phone.

    🕊

    Do you have one of the fancy self propelled lawn mowers or are you forced to push the thing around the yard? The former is very convenient.

    I think the last sentence answers your question. 🙂

  8. Jolyon

    One of the ways to prove that you are better than all the other cheating bastards is not to cheat.

    Then if someone is are caught cheating deal with the cheat properly.

    Australian sporting teams have always claimed to be better than the cheats because they don’t cheat and they have sneered at the wrist slap other countries dish out to their cheats.

    Well this time the Australian cricket captain has been caught cheating. We can show the other countries what we think by dealing with him harshly.

    Or he can be let off and Australia can show that when it comes to the crunch we aren’t any different to all the other cheating bastards.

  10. GG ‘On the Richter Scale of moral outrages in this life, I reckon rubbing dirt on a cricket ball is a non-event.’

    Mmmm….would it appear above or below cheating on a loan application?

  11. BiDG

    I’d love to play cricket at your house the amount you mow your lawn.”

    —————-

    I have watched the changing meaning and use of “amount” with dismay. Commonly these days it altogether replaces “number”.

    Instead of saying “a number of people” many people say “the amount of people” as if they count people in tonnes.

    Unless it is a mis-type, this is a new and original use of the word “amount”. Does it modify the verb to mow? The quantity of mowing?

  14. equal or not? @ #610 Monday, March 26th, 2018 – 2:07 pm

    BiDG

    I’d love to play cricket at your house the amount you mow your lawn.”

    —————-

    I have watched the changing meaning and use of “amount” with dismay. Commonly these days it altogether replaces “number”.

    Instead of saying “a number of people” many people say “the amount of people” as if they count people in tonnes.

    Unless it is a mis-type, this is a new and original use of the word “amount”. Does it modify the verb to mow? The quantity of mowing?

    Lawn is uncountable! 🙂

  15. grimace (Block)
    Monday, March 26th, 2018 – 6:01 pm
    Comment #605

    I have a self propelled mower and an older light push mower. Both are mulching mowers
    Between them I manage quite well. With either I still have to walk behind the mower.
    I also have a heavy duty line trimmer.

    The yard work keeps me relatively fit.

    🕊🕊🕊

  17. Perhaps Smith should have used the tape himself.

    I’d have a higher regard for him right now if he had, instead of allowing Bancroft to be involved at all, irrespective of whether Bancroft wanted to do it or not.

  18. Rossmcg

    One of the ways to prove that you are better than all the other cheating bastards is not to cheat.

    Then if someone is are caught cheating deal with the cheat properly.

    Australian sporting teams have always claimed to be better than the cheats because they don’t cheat and they have sneered at the wrist slap other countries dish out to their cheats.

    Well this time the Australian cricket captain has been caught cheating. We can show the other countries what we think by dealing with him harshly.

    Or he can be let off and Australia can show that when it comes to the crunch we aren’t any different to all the other cheating bastards.

    I can’t argue with that although I think that relieving Smith and Warner of their captaincy is harsh enough.

  22. The chase for votes in Queensland is showing how unprincipled the Coalition and Labor are.
    Whether it’s part pensioners, coal industry workers, commercial fishers, racist rednecks… these 2 parties will eagerly sell any of their little remaining decency and principles for votes.

  24. I work with the brother of a former Australian test batsman. The guy I work with is saying that Warner needs to go as apparently he’s a “cancer” in the team.

    That may be true, but Smith is the captain and also needs to be accountable. Part of Australia’s mythology is that we play hard but fair. Being caught cheating runs counter to that. The Australian cricket team is supposed to represent us. What they have done goes violates to our supposed values. That’s why so many people are upset. Many Australian’s believe that cheating is what other nations do, not us.

    Cricket Australia needs to come down really hard on all involved so that it can show to the Australian people that the Australian cricket team still represents us.

  26. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/mar/26/australias-real-leadership-failures-are-in-politics-not-cricket

    Paradise is a relative experience, of course. “I’m sure you’re sometimes gobsmacked at what passes for news in this country,” the host of an Australian political discussion show, Barrie Cassidy, opined only this weekend. He then related the story of a 10-year-old boy who has lived in the significantly less paradisal circumstances of indefinite detention in Australia’s asylum seeker processing centre on Nauru for the last five years. As this publication has reported, the traumatised child has repeatedly attempted suicide. Human rights lawyers and doctors have campaigned to relocate him to Australia for acute psychiatric treatment. The Home Affairs department, the federal government, the minister Peter Dutton, fought the action in court. It took a judge deciding that the boy’s life was in immediate danger to overrule them.

    Surely a government minister actively denying care to a suicidal little boy is “shameful ignominy”? Shouldn’t a “leadership team” of Australia’s representatives who abandoned a small, terrified child to violent despair be the ones met with a bare flagpole and silence? Making comparisons between Peter Dutton to the worst era of Queensland policing isn’t out of line; it’s statement of fact.

    I had hoped Neumann might’ve asked a question of Dutton re this today, but it seems au pairs were more important.

  27. Jolyon Wagg @ #618 Monday, March 26th, 2018 – 6:11 pm

    Rossmcg

    One of the ways to prove that you are better than all the other cheating bastards is not to cheat.

    Then if someone is are caught cheating deal with the cheat properly.

    Australian sporting teams have always claimed to be better than the cheats because they don’t cheat and they have sneered at the wrist slap other countries dish out to their cheats.

    Well this time the Australian cricket captain has been caught cheating. We can show the other countries what we think by dealing with him harshly.

    Or he can be let off and Australia can show that when it comes to the crunch we aren’t any different to all the other cheating bastards.

    I can’t argue with that although I think that relieving Smith and Warner of their captaincy is harsh enough.

    Australia has been one of the worst cheats in Cricket for many years. Shane Warne – a convicted drug cheat – served only half the minimum term for drug cheats and his records still stand. He was convicetd of using masking agents that hide performance enhancing drugs.

    https://www.theage.com.au/articles/2003/02/25/1046064034076.html

    Tom.

  28. BiGD

    When ‘number’ or ‘amount’ is correct is not determined by its “generality” but by the physical characteristics of the noun it qualifies.

    Amount refers to mass (e.g. amount of soil, or sugar) number to (groups) of discrete individuals (e.g. people, animals, events, times).

    🙂

  32. Aussie cricket fans would do well to follow our womens team. Currently about to clean up India once again in the T20. Brilliant cricket from our ladies.

  36. Tom

    The treatment of Warne over drugs and him and Mark Waugh over their dealings with the bookie and Andrew Symonds for showing up for play drunk will remain forever a blot on CA’s record.

    Never mind the poor behaviour and other stuff on and off the field, the fact that those three blokes ever played for Australia again will always bother me. But they were too good to drop.

    It will be interesting to see how Smith and Warner fare. Times have changed and I think there may be less tolerance now.

  38. Or those disenchanted with the stupid boys and their dumb cricket cheating ways could switch to Women’s soccer, in a truly international game our team is in the top handful of teams globally and unlike the boys who keep throwing themselves at the ground in a ridiculous way, and rolling around like they have been struck by lightning for upwards of half an hour, when they weren’t touched by anything nastier than a gentle breeze (it is attempting to cheat but like cricket they have no pride in the boys game), the women keep playing, sometimes after the opposition has literally ripped an arm off.

  39. English cricket writer Michael Henderson on David Warner

    “… has spent the better part of his career trying to live up to St Augustine’s prayer: “Lord, make me virtuous – but not yet.”

  40. equal or not? @ #627 Monday, March 26th, 2018 – 2:36 pm

    BiGD

    When ‘number’ or ‘amount’ is correct is not determined by its “generality” but by the physical characteristics of the noun it qualifies.

    Amount refers to mass (e.g. amount of soil, or sugar) number to (groups) of discrete individuals (e.g. people, animals, events, times).

    🙂

    You’ve reached the paradox.

    Things can be both countable and uncountable! 🙂

  41. Day 1650 of the ALP’s campaign re offshore detention and systemic torture brings an all out attack on 2 au pairs jumping the queue.

  47. “@WWP….totally agree….the Matilda’s/Sam Kerr…..superstars.”

    A few months ago before the short W-league (FFA is totally wasting an opportunity they just can’t see beyond their game that seems to rest on 40 something never really were boys) season came to an end I was in the peasant stands at NIB crying about how badly my team was going when Sam Kerr walked directly in front of me, with a couple of team mates. They were clearly there to see how NOT to play football. It wasn’t just me prostrate on the ground chanting ‘we’re not worthy.’

  48. Tom

    Australia has been one of the worst cheats in Cricket for many years.

    Sounds like crap to me. Is it just your gut feel or have you done some analysis to support it?

  49. “Sounds like crap to me. Is it just your gut feel or have you done some analysis to support it?”

    Sooks and glass-jawed whingers for sure for far to long, but are they good enough they’d have got away with it that long?

  50. Dutton digging big hole with conflated denial …

    AAP understands she made a phone call to a contact while detained at the airport and was “quickly” granted a new visa which allowed her to lawfully enter Australia.

    Who did she call to get such rapid action? Someone very close to Rutton or his office

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