Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

Malcolm Turnbull’s personal rating takes a tumble, but otherwise little change in the latest Newspoll.

The latest Newspoll has Labor’s two-party lead unchanged on last fortnight at 53-47, from primary votes of Coalition 37% (up one), Labor 38% (up one), Greens 9% (down one) and One Nation 7% (down one). Despite the stability on voting intention, Malcolm Turnbull’s lead on preferred prime minister has been slashed from 40-33 to 37-35. The Australian’s report relates that Turnbull is down two points on approval to 32%, and Shorten is down one to 33%, but the only hint we get about disapproval is that Turnbull’s result is worse than Shorten’s. More on that shortly. (UPDATE: Turnbull’s disapproval is up three to 57%, Shorten’s is up two to 56%). The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1657.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,078 comments on “Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor”

Comments Page 5 of 42
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  1. That depends on who/what he considered his flock was!!

    Exactly. George Pell would have been a very competent senior executive in a large corporation, especially in the finance area, where he wouldn’t have a ‘flock’.

  2. JoshButler: When a boomer says “bUt It’S aLwAyS bEeN hArD tO bUy A hOuSe” or “just stop buying avocado toast!!!!” show them this graph

    From the @GrattanInst housing report here: grattan.edu.au/wp-content/upl… pic.twitter.com/Vwfu1r1cYD

  3. Re Pell. The real reasons Pell was moved to Rome and given the job of sorting out the Vatican finances are mainly twofold. The first was to get him out of Australia where his incessant politicking was an embarrassment to the Catholic Church and was causing numerous high ranking “civilian” members to lobby Rome against him. The second was the fact that he had few real friends in Rome, especially among those who had salted away large sums of money for personal projects and so would be unlikely to be deterred from regularising the accounts.
    His departure from Australia was greeted by vast relief from a large proportion of the Catholic laity in Australia, a laity he had done probably more than anyone to reduce to a rump. My local Church has an active congregation of about 200 or so, mostly aged above 50, 20 years ago it was over 1000. In less than 20 years time it will probably need to be closed down. Much of that can be sheeted home to Pell and the other protectors of pedophile officials.
    That will be his legacy.

  4. BiGD
    Good post, IMO.

    If the the Board of BHP had allowed/fostered/protected their employees for years to sexually assault children they would all, at the very least, been kicked out of their jobs.

  5. You couldn’t pay me enough money to jump in the water with a Great White. Look at the size of that thing. Amazing creatures.

  7. Boerwar says:
    Monday, March 5, 2018 at 9:28 am
    Nicholas is like all Greens: it is better to be right and utterly useless than to be half-right and effective.

    The greens hate Labor more than usual this morning because the G-Tories got smashed in the Tasmanian elections. This has to be blamed on someone and Labor it is, as usual. According to the G-Tories, the main reason G-topia eludes us is because, well…. Labor. The rule of thumb is applied. Labor must be punished. Labor must be pilloried. Labor must be taught (another) lesson. Labor must be beaten into submission.

  8. Tony Abbott says it was Malcolm Turnbull who set the test of 30 Newspoll failures in order to roll him as prime minister, and Mr Turnbull will have to explain why that test shouldn’t apply to him if he reaches 30 losses next month.

    Mr Abbott said he had never made opinion polls the “be-all and the end-all”.

    “I never turned the polls into the ultimate test of leadership. It was someone else who did that,” he said.

    The former prime minister said Mr Turnbull’s plotting against him started well before Newspoll number 29 or 30 of Mr Abbott’s leadership.

    “I think I said on your program a long time ago that Malcolm didn’t stay in the parliament to be someone else’s minister, and I think that’s the case, but look, it was the Prime Minister who set this test, and I guess if he fails this test it’ll be the Prime Minister who will have to explain why the test was right for one and not right for the other. It’ll be up to him to tell us all why the test doesn’t apply in his case,” Mr Abbott said.

  9. JaneCaro: #WithoutTwitter I would not have access to the world’s greatest articles from the world’s greatest news sources curated by the brilliant tweeps I follow.

  10. Absence of Empathy @ #198 Monday, March 5th, 2018 – 7:27 am

    Barney in Go Dau says:
    Monday, March 5, 2018 at 11:09 am

    …”Pell’s alleged offences sit at the lower end of the scale that the RC has highlighted”…

    I would be very interested to hear how you know this as it was my understanding that the specifics of Pell’s alleged offenses had be suppressed by his lawyers?

    Nothing I have seen mentioned in the media refers to other than “historical sex offenses”.

    There was a book published regarding the accusations against Pell.

    This has been removed from sale since the charges were laid.

    Sorry can’t remember the title. 🙂

  11. I believe that Pell’s offences relate to touching the genitalia of small boys and exposing his genitalia to other boys.

    Not sure about that.

    There are no charges relating to having managerial resp0nsibilities in an organisation that failed totally in its duty of care.

    We may have to rely on St Peter to address those offences.

  12. guytaur

    The value of Twitter depends on who one follows, altho the journos and public figures suffer much more than I do from blowback and trolling.

  13. Kambah Mick @ #202 Monday, March 5th, 2018 – 11:30 am

    Re Pell. The real reasons Pell was moved to Rome and given the job of sorting out the Vatican finances are mainly twofold. The first was to get him out of Australia where his incessant politicking was an embarrassment to the Catholic Church and was causing numerous high ranking “civilian” members to lobby Rome against him. The second was the fact that he had few real friends in Rome, especially among those who had salted away large sums of money for personal projects and so would be unlikely to be deterred from regularising the accounts.
    His departure from Australia was greeted by vast relief from a large proportion of the Catholic laity in Australia, a laity he had done probably more than anyone to reduce to a rump. My local Church has an active congregation of about 200 or so, mostly aged above 50, 20 years ago it was over 1000. In less than 20 years time it will probably need to be closed down. Much of that can be sheeted home to Pell and the other protectors of pedophile officials.
    That will be his legacy.

    I would add to this my speculation that he was ambitious and wanted Rome. He left Melbourne for Sydney to garner the appointment of Cardinal, a prerequisite for the scarlet biretta and the title of Prince of the Church.

  16. lizzie @ #154 Monday, March 5th, 2018 – 10:00 am

    C@tmomma

    You are more generous than I am. Barnaby has caused a lot of pain to workers in ‘his’ department and to Australia as a whole through his many decisions on agriculture, water supplies, climate change, etc. He has blundered along, on a high salary, happy to deceive us as it’s ‘best for Barnaby’. Let him reap what he has sown (or not 😉 ).

    I can walk both sides of the street, lizzie. 🙂

    I agree with you, though, that Barnaby Joyce should be condemned in the most strident terms for those actions he undertook as a Minister.

    The good-ish news over the weekend was that David Littleproud has said he will take a less interventionist and malign role than Joyce did. So, there’s that, I guess.

  18. The G hierarchy will be as unhappy as the B hierarchy with 53/47. The G battle plan can only succeed if the 2PP is close to 50/50. It came perilously close to succeeding in 2016. They will collaborate with the Blues to try to knock Labor’s vote off by a few points. They will try anything…

  19. Figures.

    A former chief of staff to president Barack Obama said Sunday that the Senate’s top Republican insisted that a bipartisan appeal for states to step up election security in the face of Russian aggression be “dramatically watered down” before it was issued in advance of the 2016 election.

    Denis McDonough said on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) was single-handedly responsible for downgrading the language in a letter “asking the states to work with us” to better secure election systems in light of intelligence indicating Russia was attempting to interfere in the election.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/former-obama-chief-of-staff-said-top-senate-republican-watered-down-pre-election-russia-warning/2018/03/04/85b92940-1fd0-11e8-94da-ebf9d112159c_story.html?utm_term=.cc8da3d1acb5

  20. lizzie

    I follow a chaotic mix of people. Most of them I agree with most of the time.

    I don’t for example follow Chris Kenny or Judith Sloane.

    I too get blowback and abuse from trolls.

    The abusive trolls it doesn’t take long to work out and thats where you use the block function.

    A good example of someone who uses twitter and listens is Katherine Murphy.
    If you don’t do abuse she does listen and engage. Van Badham not so much. Disagree with her rhetoric and instant block.

    The most informative twitter accounts I follow happen to work at Huffpost, Buzzfeed, Junkee, Starobserver. US and UK commentators seem to have a higher standard before blocking as well.

    They seem to have worked out you don’t blame twitter.

    I try and have as diverse a viewpoint as I can get. However you just can’t follow some people.
    By having a diverse lot you follow you do get the right thing accounts being posted by others. Not always to make a negative point in an echo chamber way.

    Like today my timeline has had Jeff Kennett on fighting with Stephen Mayne over pokies.
    I don’t follow Jeff Kennett.

  21. C@t

    Having twice seen Littleproud go feral in QT I have little confidence that he will not be just another Nat Minister looking after his mates.

    He Doesn’t seem to like questions that suggest favours have been or are being done.

    And that is, after all, why the Nats exist, to look after their mates.

  22. Regardless of all other considerations, the Greens are now faced with a major period of introspection.

    Plan A has failed. The main beneficiaries of Plan A are Big Fossil and Big Money.

    Now what?

    The leader of the Tasmanian Greens has already conducted her post mortem of the last 35 years and come up with Plan B: another 35 years. But in another 35 years the rest of the Reef will be dead.

    Flexibility and common sense are presumably not her strong suites.

  23. ….sledging Shorten….Adani-phobics….public impalement of refugees…spook games….union-bashing….racial vilifications…

    The G-team and the B-team will play both sides of the pitch….determined to defeat Labor….

  25. Here’s some info regarding the Pell book that was withdrawn from sale.

    Melbourne University Press will withdraw Louise Milligan’s book about George Pell from Victorian bookshops following the cardinal’s charges for multiple historical sexual offences.

    Cardinal: The Rise and Fall of George Pell details allegations against Pell, but now he has been charged the book may prejudice the case and be in contempt of court.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2017/jun/29/publisher-withdraws-book-on-george-pell-from-victorian-shops

  26. Briefly and BW

    Well tonight we get to hear from the horses mouth.

    RichardDiNatale: Looking forward to tonight’s @QandA.

    Tune in from 935pm EDT on ABC1 and iView #StopAdani #qanda pic.twitter.com/YxR8GDsGObhttps://twitter.com/richarddinatale/status/970462291253649408

  27. I’m not on Facebook or Twitter. I get a lot of breaking news while on PB. Sadly, it’s often the latest school shooting or some other atrocity.

  28. Boerwar says:
    Monday, March 5, 2018 at 11:52 am
    Regardless of all other considerations, the Greens are now faced with a major period of introspection.

    Plan A has failed. The main beneficiaries of Plan A are Big Fossil and Big Money.

    Boer….the G plan has worked. The Gs profit from causes, not from solutions. As long as they can campaign, they are in front. So the destruction of the environment is good for the Gs. It gives them a cause. The worst thing that can happen for the Gs is the prevention of environmental destruction….a development that would deprive them of their “cause” and their existential energy.

    The Gs invariably find causes…and then do nothing abut them except use them as clubs with which to assail Labor.

  29. guytaur says:
    Monday, March 5, 2018 at 11:54 am
    Briefly and BW

    Well tonight we get to hear from the horses mouth.

    He will lie, as all Tories lie.

  30. barnyard appears to be smearing his own girlfriend in preparation to returning to his forgiving wife (baryard shouldn’t get sacked) for a second tilt at the nats leadership… because all is forgiven now baryards back with wifey ahhhhhh…

    ABSOLUTE lowlife scheming calculating piece of filth

  31. Briefly

    You lie calling Di Natale a Tory.

    Yes I am using the lie word because only in your fantasy world can Di Natale be described as a Tory.

  33. Four Corners tonight is going to be interesting. It goes to National Party heartland.

    4corners: While politicians question the reality of climate change, farmers and businesses act: ab.co/2tnfKVZ #4Corners #WeatherAlert pic.twitter.com/4mM3IhHZNC

  35. Holden Hillbilly @ #207 Monday, March 5th, 2018 – 11:35 am

    Tony Abbott says it was Malcolm Turnbull who set the test of 30 Newspoll failures in order to roll him as prime minister, and Mr Turnbull will have to explain why that test shouldn’t apply to him if he reaches 30 losses next month.

    Mr Abbott said he had never made opinion polls the “be-all and the end-all”.

    “I never turned the polls into the ultimate test of leadership. It was someone else who did that,” he said.

    The former prime minister said Mr Turnbull’s plotting against him started well before Newspoll number 29 or 30 of Mr Abbott’s leadership.

    “I think I said on your program a long time ago that Malcolm didn’t stay in the parliament to be someone else’s minister, and I think that’s the case, but look, it was the Prime Minister who set this test, and I guess if he fails this test it’ll be the Prime Minister who will have to explain why the test was right for one and not right for the other. It’ll be up to him to tell us all why the test doesn’t apply in his case,” Mr Abbott said.

    You’ve got to admit that Tony Abbott has an adept way of getting to the nub of things. 🙂

  36. Rossmcg @ #220 Monday, March 5th, 2018 – 11:52 am

    C@t

    Having twice seen Littleproud go feral in QT I have little confidence that he will not be just another Nat Minister looking after his mates.

    He Doesn’t seem to like questions that suggest favours have been or are being done.

    And that is, after all, why the Nats exist, to look after their mates.

    Yes, I never said he was an angel sent to save those things that are near and dear to us but just represent dollar signs to Nationals funders. However, it was in comparison to Barnaby Joyce. 🙂

  37. guytaur says:
    Monday, March 5, 2018 at 11:59 am
    Briefly

    You lie calling Di Natale a Tory.

    Yes I am using the lie word because only in your fantasy world can Di Natale be described as a Tory.

    On a valid objective analysis, the Gs are Tories….pure and simple. Their battle plan requires the defeat of the organs, voices, programs and candidates of working people. This is a good working definition of Tory politics. The Gs ally themselves with the Bs against Labor. They are Tories…ask any Labor-voting, working class person from the suburbs. They know one when they see one.

  39. So, Sally Zou, she of ‘The Julie Bishop Glorious Foundation’, Tweeted a cheque for $1.2 Million she had made out to the SA Liberal Party today.

    Hmm.

  40. Briefly

    You are wrong. The Greens are progressive. They might be willing to sacrifice jobs of outdated industries like fossil fuels for the planet. Same for forests.

    That does not make them Tories.

    Just accept the definition. Its reality no matter how much you lie and try and make out otherwise.

  42. BuzzFeedLGBT: Adam Rippon Wore A Leather Harness To The Oscars And People Are Here For It
    buzzfeed.com/michaelblackmo… pic.twitter.com/T498bRWGjc

  43. Vote Green to give the Labor Party an electoral clip across the ear over something that they have no control over!

    Labor doesn’t have control over their position on the Adani mine?

    That is typical of Labor’s all care, no responsibility attitude towards climate change policy and government in general.

  45. ajm @ #120 Monday, March 5th, 2018 – 8:34 am

    Strikes me that the Greens in Batman are getting a bit desperate.

    It explains the HTV but even more explains the “Labor’s Adani Mine” signs.

    Their polling and on the ground intelligence must be pretty dire to resort to this sort of rubbish. I thought they were supposed to be appealing to intelligent voters but this is bottom of the barrel stuff.

    Perhaps the absolutely chaotic state of the coalition is convincing some of their former voters that the time for playing around with a boutique political party has passed and its time to get serious about change.

    I can’t help but think those ‘Labor’s Adani Mine’ corflutes are designed to provoke a stupid response from some Labor supporters. I hope this does not happen as it will give the Greens something to carry on about when the really have nothing to offer.

  46. I am sure that Labor’s expressions of concern about climate change will be more helpful to the climate than actually stopping new coal mines. The climate will be so grateful for Labor’s good wishes that it will stabilise of its own accord.

  49. kylegriffin1: Jimmy Kimmel: “I remember a time when the major studios didn’t believe a woman or a minority could open a super hero movie—and the reason I remember that time is because it was March of last year.” #Oscar2018 (via ABC) pic.twitter.com/ZhvBMco0Zc

  50. The Greens aren’t Tories, in fact, even the Tories aren’t proper conservatives. The latter are more agents and enablers for the plutocracy. They use a mix of right wing populism and a dash of social conservatism to make up the numbers to get elected.

    As for the Greens, they are left wingers who represent a demographic that doesn’t believe that maximising one’s after tax income is the greatest possible good, even the purpose of life. However, Labor needs to get some if the votes of those that do, as well as those doing it tough in the dog eat dog world that the Right are creating. Labor has to be electable to achieve anything. The Greens think they have the luxury to remain pure.

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