Essential Research: 54-46 to Labor

No change on voting intention from Essential Research, as respondents reject the government’s stance on company tax cuts.

No change this week on Essential Research’s two-party preferred result, which shows Labor maintaining a two-party lead of 54-46, although as usual we’ll have to wait until later today for primary votes. The pollster’s monthly leadership ratings find Malcolm Turnbull with 39% approval (up one) and 42% disapproval (down three), while Bill Shorten is on 33% approval (also up one) and 46% disapproval (also down three), and Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister is 42-47, down from 42-25 last time. As related by The Guardian, the poll finds 72% supporting company tax cuts being made conditional on pay rises; more disagreeing than agreeing that company tax cuts would lead to higher wages without prompting; most disagreeing that penalty rate cuts would encourage companies to hire more workers. A series of questions on the proposed Adani coal mine found 48% saying it should be assessed on its economic and environmental merits, 22% saying coal mining in the Galilee basin should be banned, and 13% saying all mines should go ahead subject to environmental approvals.

UPDATE: Full report here.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,719 comments on “Essential Research: 54-46 to Labor”

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  1. It’s *hilarious* that Trumbull can’t sack the Beetroot, and that the Nationals (currently, anyway) don’t have the numbers to remove him; so they are stuck together, until one or both of them goes. Absolutely priceless. Popcorn shares keep going up.

  3. Norwester says Friday, February 16, 2018 at 1:04 am

    Beat me to it BC

    It doesn’t matter. We’re on a new page so no one will see it anyway.

  4. Mr Newbie @ #2700 Thursday, February 15th, 2018 – 11:10 pm

    It’s *hilarious* that Trumbull can’t sack the Beetroot, and that the Nationals (currently, anyway) don’t have the numbers to remove him; so they are stuck together, until one or both of them goes. Absolutely priceless. Popcorn shares keep going up.

    Also how long can they invent excuses to prevent Barnaby acting as PM every time Turnbull goes OS. 🙂

  6. Expect more juicy joycey revelations tomorrow. A decent poll of a seat like Page would be interesting now. I guess we’ll have to wait to see what Newspoll comes up with.

  7. I heard on the grapevine that there was a vote in the Senate to increase the Newstart Pittance by $75 per week, Labor sided with the Government and voted it down, Is this true?

  9. Meanwhile, in the UK:

    Alex Spence Verified account @alexGspence
    1h1 hour ago

    Alex Spence Retweeted Alex Spence

    Housing minister Dominic Raab belonged to a private Facebook group for 7 years that argues for council housing to be sold off at market value, healthcare to be privatised, and the return of workhouses for the poor — and says he wasn’t even aware of it

  12. Hmm, never heard of her. Oh, she was in “It’s a Date.”

    You have now. Thank fuck she’s not a Kardashian, I could have got chapter and verse.
    How boring would that be?
    Poll like.

  17. @ajm

    D&M

    Go to finder.com.au and search for your suburb. They have a lot of the official NBN data rearranged in a more accessible form. Takes a bit if fiddling around and pursuing obscure leads but you professional expertise should help with that!

    Thanks! We are now slated for FTTN between October and Dec this year. This is an upgrade from HFC in late 2019.

    OH says, call me cynical but we are in a “value capture” zone, lots of development nearby. So, it looks like they have put a small segment of HFC through our Telstra kerb to house conduit, and some of our neighbours got genuine fibre.

    Anyway, at lease with FTTN, there is some hope of an upgrade in future times, without the 5K cost currently on offer.

  18. Surely, the only viable solution is pistols at dawn on a foggy morning beside Lake Burley Griffin. My only fear is that Malcy and Barney will be too pissed to aim straight.

  19. I think that the fact that the Greens get about double the Nationals’ vote should be more widely known.

    It is also moderately interesting (or something) that the National vote is less than that of One Nation.

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