Essential Research: 54-46 to Labor

No change on voting intention from Essential Research, as respondents reject the government’s stance on company tax cuts.

No change this week on Essential Research’s two-party preferred result, which shows Labor maintaining a two-party lead of 54-46, although as usual we’ll have to wait until later today for primary votes. The pollster’s monthly leadership ratings find Malcolm Turnbull with 39% approval (up one) and 42% disapproval (down three), while Bill Shorten is on 33% approval (also up one) and 46% disapproval (also down three), and Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister is 42-47, down from 42-25 last time. As related by The Guardian, the poll finds 72% supporting company tax cuts being made conditional on pay rises; more disagreeing than agreeing that company tax cuts would lead to higher wages without prompting; most disagreeing that penalty rate cuts would encourage companies to hire more workers. A series of questions on the proposed Adani coal mine found 48% saying it should be assessed on its economic and environmental merits, 22% saying coal mining in the Galilee basin should be banned, and 13% saying all mines should go ahead subject to environmental approvals.

UPDATE: Full report here.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,719 comments on “Essential Research: 54-46 to Labor”

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  1. lizzie
    I think photocopying your bum in front of your staff will still be OK. Sniffing chairs will still be OK. Dipping you wick in wine will still be OK.
    But a rub and tug is probably a NO NO.

  2. Simon Katich @ #2359 Thursday, February 15th, 2018 – 5:29 pm

    Don, I once played a game of field hockey in Armidale that turned into icehockey as the overnight rain had frozen solid.

    But Lithgow is the coldest hole on the continent.

    I’ve slept on the floor of a share house near the Uni in Armidale in the middle of winter. To say I had a good night’s sleep is to use the words, ‘good’, ‘sleep’ and ‘night’ together. It never happened.

    However, when my son went to Bathurst to play the Inter School Rugby Union Grand Final, it was Minus 10C overnight and they started the game at 9am before the ice on the paddock had even melted! The country boys won, of course. Unfair advantage! 😀

  3. “In having an affair with a young woman working in his office. In doing so, he has said off a world of woe for those women and appalled all of us.”

    That is a horrible personal attack on Joyce and his partner. Joyce has said that they are in love, love is love, they are living together and expecting a child together and Turnbull has reduced that to a tacky seedy affair.

  4. I wonder how all the Turnbull backers in the media and elsewhere who were telling us last week that Joyce’s affair was private and there was nothing to see here and it was just a grubby media beat up will react.

    I expect they will do what they usually do and praise him for his strong and decisive action.

    And on INsiders the usual suspects will say Turnbull has reset the agenda again. What a tactical genius.

  5. There’s going to a few staffers and MPs pretty pissed off with Barnaby right now. Is there a cooling off period so people can find a new job?

  6. I think we all need a cold shower and a flagon of red to toast todays entertainment, brought to us by the Australian Tax payers and other leaners.

  7. ‘Diogenes says:
    Thursday, February 15, 2018 at 5:52 pm

    What a ridiculous hand-wringing knee-jerk response.’

    So, how does a knee jerk work?

  8. I hope the LNP does not get down in the gutter and play the ALP and media game, do we really want to find out how many times Shorten was in the same town (on the Government dime) as his now wife Chloe Bryce was when they were still married? Do you think the LNP are not looking into this sort of shit right now. Some of you are idiots played like puppets by the media, the bar has been significantly lowered and the media are as happy as a pig in shit about it.

  9. Why only ministers, can assisting ministers carry on, parliamentary secretaries, leaders of the house and senate, plain MPs, do acting ministers have to stop when acting but it is ok to restart after acting?

  10. Steelydan @ #2417 Thursday, February 15th, 2018 – 5:56 pm

    I hope the LNP does not get down in the gutter and play the ALP and media game, do we really want to find out how many times Shorten was in the same town (on the Government dime) as his now wife Chloe Bryce was when they were still married? Do you think the LNP are not looking into this sort of shit right now. Some of you are idiots played like puppets by the media, the bar has been significantly lowered and the media are as happy as a pig in shit about it.

    Iirc, Bill had already separated from his first wife. He was a lonely boy, looking for love. 🙂

  11. Could the Nationals try to keep Joyce as leader but have someone else from party appointed Deputy PM?
    There must be many Liberals seriously doubting if the coalition agreement is still worth it. Break up the LNP in Queensland and run in all seats and they will probably win about half the nationals seats.

  12. I hope the LNP does not get down in the gutter and play the ALP and media game,

    This was all the Nats and news Steely.

    The leak of information, photos and other could only have come within the LNP. Dates, times, relationships, who said what, links, denials, funds, TA, grants

  13. I worked with a guy from Armidale. He reckoned Guyra, just up the road, was colder.

    Lithgow is a special kind of cold hole. Both adjectives are important.

  14. Chief Editorial writer, The Age

    Michael Short‏Verified account @shortmsgs · 10m10 minutes ago

    prohibition is the most dopey and ineffective of all public policies. this is not about private #sex lives; it’s about public probity. the ban is a silly smokescreen #auspol #sex @TurnbullMalcolm @Barnaby_Joyce #ethics #politics

  15. “…I worked with a guy from Armidale. He reckoned Guyra, just up the road, was colder.”

    Guyra, at an elevation of 1,330 metres, about 350 higher than Armidale, is probably the highest ‘natural’ town in Australia. The only higher places would be Cabramurra, associated with Snowy 1.0, and ski resorts.

    So I expect Guyra would be pretty cold, colder that Armidale.

  16. Love is love, marriages break up, new relationships start, that happens.

    But Joyce is in trouble over the jobs found, the TA claims, the free accommodation, the apparent breach of ministerial guidelines, the apparent misleading and evasive answers, the questions to be answered over government funds spent on the businesses that appear to be linked to his free accommodation.

    Turnbull is the one trying to turn it into a morality issue and dumping a bucket of shit on Joyce and his new partner at the same time.

  17. Stephen Dziedzic‏ @stephendziedzic · 13s14 seconds ago

    Cathy McGowan not convinced the PM’s #bonkban goes far enough – “The announcement does not take away the need for a discussion that I will continue to have with colleagues around the introduction of a code of conduct for all those who work in the Parliament”

  18. As Turnbull has clearly turned his back on Joyce in a fruitless/pathetic effort to save himself, I’m wondering if Joyce will return the favour by feeding the media evidence that Malcom knew all along.

  19. Paddy O Thursday, February 15th, 2018 – 3:18 pm Comment #2139

    “Maguire/Bikies/pharmaceuticals- must be the go to man for sleeping tablets when you are down! More Tony more!”

    What’s a few Endones and Diazapans between ‘mates’?

  20. And for a bit of light relief a former liberal state minister who has such a high profile I can’t remember his name, is retiring at the next election to spend more time with the wife and family.

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