YouGov Galaxy: 52-48 to federal Coalition in Queensland

Another better poll result for the government, this time from Queensland, which finds the swing to Labor at an almost-manageable 2%.

Today’s Courier-Mail has a YouGov Galaxy poll of federal voting intention in Queensland which gives the Coalition one of its best poll results in some time, crediting them with a 52-48 lead. This represents a two-party swing to Labor of only 2.1% since the 2016 election, although it’s only one point better than in the previous Queensland poll by Galaxy in August last year. The poll also provides further evidence that One Nation has gone off the boil, their primary vote of 9% being three points down on August. The Coalition is up four to 41% (compared with 43.2% at the election), Labor is steady on 32% (30.9% at the election), and the Greens are up three to 10% (8.8% at the election).

A perfectly even split of opinion is recorded on the Adani coal mine, with support and opposition both at 41%. This breaks down to 43-38 against in south-east Queensland, and 45-37 in favour in the rest of the state. The poll was conducted Wednesday and Thursday from a sample of 860.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,108 comments on “YouGov Galaxy: 52-48 to federal Coalition in Queensland”

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  1. Victoria says:
    Monday, February 12, 2018 at 11:24 pm
    Imacca

    It reeks of a conspiracy between the PM office and Barnaby and the Nats to cover up and protect his affair over the past year or so. Even going as far to ensure that Mrs Joyce attended the mid winter ball with Barnaby to give the appearance of happy families. And I sense that Mrs Joyce was being deceived into attending the Ball on the proviso that the affair was over. Meanwhile,the Protection racket on behalf of barnaby was in full swing.
    It is really quite disgusting if this is indeed what transpired.

    Oh, the disgrace! The concealment…the denials…the money…the scandal. I suspect that Abbott, who knows a thing or two about public evisceration, is behind this. Joyce and Turnbull are inextricably linked now. If the former goes, surely also will the latter. Whoever laid this trap has done it well.

  2. Vic:

    That makes sense except why has it been allowed to carry on for so long? Where were the leakers 8 years ago with these allegations?

    And again: if our media was doing its job re parliament Barnaby would’ve been long gone from the ministry

  3. Both Feeney and Dastyari let Bill Shorten down badly at the end of last year.

    However, both are no longer in Canberra. Dastyari can therefore say what he likes.

    There is no need for labor to go hard. The MSM are smelling blood in the water. It wad obvious the MSM were not impressed when accused of covering up on Barnaby. Murphy and others tried to cover their arses but obviously it did not work. So now they are on the path to redemption. They therefore will not let this go.

    As well the MSM will be fighting each other to get the exclusive. Watch for two or more outlets start claiming ” exclusives ” on the same story and then you will know it is all over for Barnaby.

    Cheers.

  4. “It reeks of a conspiracy between the PM office and Barnaby and the Nats”

    Or Vic….it could be just the latest in an incredibly long line of screw ups. Libs reacting trying to get fingers in the multiplying holes in the dyke??

  5. Doyley

    the story of Barnaby’s misbehaviour at the function a couple of years ago is in both News and Fairfax papers.

    Fairfax are claiming an exclusive, not sure about News.

    Edit: just checked, so is the DT.

  6. Confessions says:
    Monday, February 12, 2018 at 11:37 pm
    briefly:

    You think this is an Abbott thing?!

    *blinks*

    Well…I’ve thought all along that Turnbull is in the frame. The partisans inside the LNP who have instigated this must have calculated that by targeting Joyce they could also strike Turnbull. Who among the Liberals most want to bring Turnbull down? Surely it’s Abbott and his pod. They detest Turnbull and all their other devices have come to nought.

    This is all about revenge, as far as I can see. Joyce has made some enemies among the Nationals, and Turnbull is hated among the Liberals. This has been timed to coincide with the resumption of Parliament. It has the active support of the anti-Turnbull Murdoch rags. It is a set-up. Pure and simple…and, premised on sexual shame, favouritism and concealment, is a sure fascinator among the public.

  7. Victoria says:
    Monday, February 12, 2018 at 11:37 pm
    briefly

    As they say. Karma is a b@@ch!

    Revenge, as they say, is a dish best served cold. This has been planned.

  8. briefly

    Well BJoyce’s conduct and the concealment that followed wasn’t planned by those seeking revenge. They merely have taken the opportunity to act on the banquet that BJoyce, Turnbull and others have provided them.
    And timed to occur well in advance of any election that may be planned to take place.

  9. Sam Dastyari is simply calling attention to the fact that Barnaby is benefiting from the gifts of a benefactor. One difference from the circumstances that led to the Coalition hounding him from office is that Barnaby’s benefactor is white. Any other differences?

  10. Victoria says:
    Monday, February 12, 2018 at 11:51 pm
    briefly

    Well BJoyce’s conduct and the concealment that followed wasn’t planned by those seeking revenge. They merely have taken the opportunity to act on the banquet that BJoyce, Turnbull and others have provided them.

    And timed to occur well in advance of any election that may be planned to take place.

    I mean the timing of the revelations, the details provided, the tenor of the stories, their first place of publication….these have the hallmarks of a well-planned assault. Nothing was done last year, in the run-in to the by-election. It’s also likely that the mis-cued deputy leadership election and the dumping of Chester have been factors. The showed that Joyce has only a tenuous hold on the NP numbers.

    From the outset of this episode a week ago, Turnbull’s name has been in the picture. This is not merely about Joyce’s intimate life…not at all. It is about the responses of his colleagues to his errors. They have all failed to check Joyce. Indeed, they have let him have his way. They have all failed in their primary political responsibilities, which is to guide and protect the Government. They are all in trouble.

  11. Maybe the impetus is coming from Joyce’s wife. She seemed to be well-prepared for the storm and she has every reason to want to level the score with him…

    This is all about betrayal, deceit, disloyalty, preferment and revenge. And soon it will be about dispossession and punishment. Who said politics is dull!

  12. Diogenes says:
    Tuesday, February 13, 2018 at 12:05 am
    briefly
    This has the whiff of a palace coup, although leadership of the Nats isn’t much of a crown.

    If you’re a Nat, it is the only crown to which you might aspire….and Joyce, bully as he is, basically seized it. He will have his foes.

  13. Doyley

    However, both are no longer in Canberra. Dastyari can therefore say what he likes.

    He can, but I hope he doesn’t without talking to Shorten about it because he’ll just be viewed as a surrogate for the ALP.

  14. On the subject of braces, I had braces on my lower teeth for just over a year in the early 90s, when I was aged 13-15, followed by a retainer for approximately 3 years after that. I didn’t particularly care to get braces; I only had one tooth growing behind the others, at the front. It wasn’t glaringly obvious. But my mother insisted…

    Anyway, as a result, I have some small areas of permanent scarring on the inside of my cheeks. Similar to when you bite the inside of your mouth and you get a raised lump there, but only they aren’t painful (though they sometimes were when I had the braces and wire was sticking out). Just irritating. I would hope things are better now. I was given dental wax to ease this, but you can’t wear it 24/7.

    In hindsight, for me, I don’t think the braces were worth it. Also, your teeth are much more prone to cavities when you have braces, because you can’t clean them properly. I have had 4 of my mandibular molars filled, and I put some of it down to the time I had braces.

  15. Hardly exclusive when at least two websites months ago had explicit details of Joyce ‘misbehaving’ at those functions.

    One of those websites has announced they will be publishing further details tomorrow that may bring down the Gov…. as well as Barnaby

  16. Kate says:
    Tuesday, February 13, 2018 at 12:16 am
    Hardly exclusive when at least two websites months ago had explicit details of Joyce ‘misbehaving’ at those functions.

    One of those websites has announced they will be publishing further details tomorrow that may bring down the Gov…. as well as Barnaby

    Cherchez la femme….as one of my wiser mentors was fond of saying…..

  17. briefly

    This is all about betrayal, deceit, disloyalty, preferment and revenge. And soon it will be about dispossession and punishment.

    I referred to it as a ‘jaunt’ earlier but maybe I should have said ‘Odyssey’.

  18. CTar1 says:
    Tuesday, February 13, 2018 at 12:23 am
    briefly

    This is all about betrayal, deceit, disloyalty, preferment and revenge. And soon it will be about dispossession and punishment.
    I referred to it as a ‘jaunt’ earlier but maybe I should have said ‘Odyssey’.

    I think Aphrodite, if she is watching, would be highly amused.

  19. Earlier today there were a few posts about The Koreas. This is up on Reuters tonight. WW3 is not about to commence in North Asia.

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-olympics-2018-northkorea/pence-raises-prospect-of-talks-with-north-korea-alongside-intensified-pressure-idUSKBN1FW07K

    SEOUL/WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Comments by U.S. Vice President Mike Pence suggest the United States may be looking more favorably at diplomatic engagement with North Korea as South Korea considers a rare summit with its neighbor and long-time foe.

    Pence said in a newspaper interview the United States and South Korea had agreed on terms for further diplomatic engagement with North Korea, first with Seoul and then possibly leading to direct talks with Washington.

    The prospect of talks comes after months of tension between Pyongyang, Seoul and Washington over North Korea’s nuclear and missile programs, with U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un trading insults and threats of destruction amid tightening sanctions from the United Nations.

    Speaking to the Washington Post aboard Air Force Two on his way home from the Games, Pence said Washington would keep up its “maximum pressure campaign” against Pyongyang but would be open to possible talks at the same time.

  20. Went to the Yacht Club in Canberra about 8 years ago. With the kids for Sunday lunch. It isn’t that sort of yacht club, just a pokies place by the lake. Barney was there, when he was just a Nat oddity.

    Sitting at the next table with a male. Somewhere between rabbiting and ranting. Drinking wine. Clearly, in my opinion, and I draw from great experience, quite pissed. About 12:30pm.

    Perhaps he was just still swept in the high of the morning sermons at church

  21. Still watching QANDA. Kenny comes across as more of an ignorant RW prat the more he speaks. Has his talking points and sticking to them regardless. He’s a joke surely??

  22. “Not a Twitter user then.”

    No, stopped and dumped it all a while ago. I feel harassed enough just with facebook on my phone 🙁

    And if it minimises my exposure to the likes of Kenny then good oh! 🙂

    I find Hewson is always worth listening to on something like QANDA though, even if dont agree with him on some things. Has his perspective but is a reasonable and smart person.

  23. Turnbull, the Coalition, Liberal and Nationals have had a rogue player displaying contemptible disregard for his electorate, the Australian people, his family and perhaps the unluckiest worst judge of character seen in Australia politics, Turnbull.
    Joyce, his behaviour, his deceit, his contempt once exposed, only ever had one scenario. Joyce will resign as DPM but hang about on the backbenches till an election. Turnbull loses whichever way this nonsense chooses to erode the confidence of the voters.
    Nothing short of a miracle will save the Coalition at the next election whenever Turnbull sees daylight. A mirage!
    National party DPMs have done very well post Parliament, Joyce counted his money too soon.
    This affair, together with the dual citizenship imbroglio and the now too many instances of self indulgence have given Australians an acrid distaste of all things political and a yearning for a whiff of honesty, integrity and believability.
    An election needs to be held if only to provide relief for what now has become a screeching, tormenting parody of democracy.

  24. Van Badham had my admiration for not letting herself be censored and silenced by Jones, tempered only by my annoyance at the level of her hectoring.

  25. Teri Butler showing up well…yet again. Certainly has Kenny’s measure. Van B to easily provoked.

    Interesting to see how far todays Libs have moved away from Hewson’s views.

  26. This is becoming a real ripper of a scandal. On its own the Maguire connection invites a few questions. I’m also not sure we have yet seen ‘the main game’ revealed that Windsor alluded to.

    I guess eventually we may find out what has prompted Murdoch to make it such a priority to take Joyce out like this. Something smells.

  27. I think the Joyce scandal is playing out even better now that he has been sworn back in as DPM following the citizenship debacle. This has strengthened the perception of Joyce being closely tied with Trumble, for maximum knock-on effect.

    Whoever is pulling the strings in this knows what they are doing. Had it happened before or during the campaign of the New England by-election, I’m not sure that it would have had as big an impact.

  28. Turnbull could act to prevent the lumbering fool from becoming the acting PM next week. Turnbull does not have a history of making wise decisions regarding those around him.
    If Turnbull treats Australians like fools they will repay him.

  29. A future royal commission into the patronage networks of the current DPM would be a real hoot. Even if nothing illegal found, the skulduggery and legal hair splitting would be immensely entertaining. One to do some homework on, in case handy to have available on a rainy day.

  30. In the finest tradition of the rum rebellion Australia continues to be governed by the political troops, the nominal leader carrying on oblivious to the escalating mayhem not far from his edifice by the harbour.
    Barnaby may borrow the now famous ‘such is life’ as departs later in the year as unlikely backbencher on paternity leave forever shackled to the game of trivial pursuit.

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