YouGov Galaxy: 52-48 to federal Coalition in Queensland

Another better poll result for the government, this time from Queensland, which finds the swing to Labor at an almost-manageable 2%.

Today’s Courier-Mail has a YouGov Galaxy poll of federal voting intention in Queensland which gives the Coalition one of its best poll results in some time, crediting them with a 52-48 lead. This represents a two-party swing to Labor of only 2.1% since the 2016 election, although it’s only one point better than in the previous Queensland poll by Galaxy in August last year. The poll also provides further evidence that One Nation has gone off the boil, their primary vote of 9% being three points down on August. The Coalition is up four to 41% (compared with 43.2% at the election), Labor is steady on 32% (30.9% at the election), and the Greens are up three to 10% (8.8% at the election).

A perfectly even split of opinion is recorded on the Adani coal mine, with support and opposition both at 41%. This breaks down to 43-38 against in south-east Queensland, and 45-37 in favour in the rest of the state. The poll was conducted Wednesday and Thursday from a sample of 860.

Author: William Bowe

William Bowe is a Perth-based election analyst and occasional teacher of political science. His blog, The Poll Bludger, has existed in one form or another since 2004, and is one of the most heavily trafficked websites on Australian politics.

2,108 comments on “YouGov Galaxy: 52-48 to federal Coalition in Queensland”

Comments Page 39 of 43
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  1. The notion that Turnbull was the ONLY person in the New England electorate on election night who DID NOT KNOW that Joyce had jumped the traces defies belief.

    Turnbull is lying.

  6. zoomster,

    So if an MP had appointed a female staffer to CoS, and then very shortly after the CoS resigned it was announced the CoS and MP were in a relationship, that would be worthy of investigating further?

  10. https://medium.com/@JoshButler/the-absolute-utter-hypocrisy-of-barnaby-joyce-and-the-dreaded-what-are-we-question-91da358a8c65

    And this is what’s gonna get em. No one is going to buy this ‘not a partner’ crap. The hypocrisy, the blatant sophistry, the contrast to how they treat everyone else. It’s just too jarring.

    And stupid Trumble has let it go out under his own office’s letterhead. It’s his bullshit story now. He owns it. Even I am sometimes taken aback at what a dunce the fuckwit is. A smart man would have told Joyce ‘Here’s your story – it’s got bugger all chance of helping you, but do your best old son. Try and drop the PMO in it and we’ll cut you loose. Good luck (you’ll need it)’

    Howard stood by and waited for the heat to blow over for plenty of grubs. But I don’t recall him ever offering any of them a lifeline that might have come back and done him in.

  13. A week after he won the election, President Trump promised that his administration would round up millions of immigrant gang members and drug dealers. And after he took office, arrests by Immigration and Customs Enforcement officers surged 40 percent.

    Officials at the agency commonly known as ICE praise Trump for putting teeth back into immigration enforcement, and they say their agency continues to prioritize national security threats and violent criminals, much as the Obama administration did.

    But as ICE officers get wider latitude to determine whom they detain, the biggest jump in arrests has been of immigrants with no criminal convictions. The agency made 37,734 “noncriminal” arrests in the government’s 2017 fiscal year, more than twice the number in the previous year.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/trump-takes-shackles-off-ice-which-is-slapping-them-on-immigrants-who-thought-they-were-safe/2018/02/11/4bd5c164-083a-11e8-b48c-b07fea957bd5_story.html?hpid=hp_hp-top-table-main_icearrests-8pm-winner%3Ahomepage%2Fstory&utm_term=.e9c505e4ada3

    Gee who’d have thought that you give these Border Farce types greater powers and they wouldn’t over-reach with them?!

    But of course Trump’s base just lap this up as a job well done. He will never be held to account for deporting law-abiding people.

  15. Damian Drum told the ABC Campion was hired in his office on the understanding the affair was over.

    Oh Lord!

    Drum’s dumped old mate in the shit now. As Lord Elrond may have said “your list of allies grows thin”.

  18. So those allegations around the Rural Womens Awards in 2011 are finally being published in the MSM.

    See Fairfax websites.

  20. And when did the Beetrooting commence? A timeline of the most recent episode can be drawn from this Newscoprse latest.. some extra Murdoch titillation in this piece

    ‘THE man who was set to marry Barnaby Joyce’s lover just months before she fell pregnant with the Deputy Prime Minister’s child has spoken for the first time of their heartbreaking split.
    Journalist turned digital consultant John Bergin told news.com.au that he and former journalist Vikki Campion were due to marry on November 5, 2016.

    The wedding was set to take place before a celebrant at a venue in Bowral, in the NSW Southern Highlands, but sadly the pair broke up three months before they could exchange vows.
    “We split in August 2016 and we haven’t spoken to each other since,” Mr Bergin said.

    Ms Campion, 33, was hired by the Nationals in 2016 to assist the party at a federal level, working on the federal election campaign and quickly becoming Mr Joyce’s right-hand woman.’

    http://www.news.com.au/lifestyle/real-life/vikkis-cancelled-wedding-exfiance-of-barnaby-joyces-pregnant-lover-breaks-silence/news-story/ae4f7c21cbf82675cd95b771d50383aa#.rg4f4

  21. Confessions

    …Trump for putting teeth back into immigration enforcement, and they say their agency continues to prioritize national security threats and violent criminals,

    It all read like the news and comment from J Edgar Tuber and his dept.

  25. ‘THE man who was set to marry Barnaby Joyce’s lover just months before she fell pregnant with the Deputy Prime Minister’s child has spoken for the first time of their heartbreaking split.

    Journalist turned digital consultant John Bergin told news.com.au that he and former journalist Vikki Campion were due to marry on November 5, 2016.

    The wedding was set to take place before a celebrant at a venue in Bowral, in the NSW Southern Highlands, but sadly the pair broke up three months before they could exchange vows.
    “We split in August 2016 and we haven’t spoken to each other since,”

    They split in Aug 16 “just months before she fell pregnant” but she’s due in April 18. Was she pregnant with Barnaby’s child before this current pregnancy?

  26. Ides of March not.logged in @ #1918 Monday, February 12th, 2018 – 9:00 pm

    So those allegations around the Rural Womens Awards in 2011 are finally being published in the MSM.

    See Fairfax websites.

    Look’s as though karma is about to get Turnbull BIG TIME. I think that this will be bringing down a government! All those attempted/manufactured conspiracies from Turnbull and now he’s right in the middle! Brian Trumble – COME ON DOWN!!!

    Tom.

  27. poroti:

    I’ve been following some of the arrests and deportations on social media. Heartbreaking scenes. I can’t imagine how it feels being separated from your spouse, children and sent to live in a country you have no living memory of and no roots or connections to.

  28. And now, belatedly, the Guardian is getting in on the pile on. Think Bronwyn and her helicopter ride. Sam Dastayari and Chinese influence. This won’t stop for the Beetroot until he steps down, probably to the back bench

    And what are we to say about the hapless Damian Drum? He hoists himself with his own petard!

    ‘Former Nationals whip Damian Drum says he was aware of “rumours” of a relationship between Barnaby Joyce and Vikki Campion when he hired her as a political staffer last July, but he had been told the affair had ended.

    Drum told the ABC on Monday his then chief of staff had told him there was no longer “an ongoing affair” between Joyce, the Nationals leader and deputy prime minister, and Campion, his former staffer – and he had been more concerned “about the work that she was going to do for us” than her relationship status.

    “Certainly my understanding when [Campion] came across was, a) the relationship had finished, and b) to me it was irrelevant,” Drum said, while confirming that she was the highest paid media adviser in his office during her tenure, which began last July.

    Drum’s comments, which appear to confirm the relationship was the subject of open conversation within government ranks from at least the middle of 2017, came after Malcolm Turnbull told ’

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/feb/12/pms-office-says-campions-jobs-didnt-break-rules-because-she-wasnt-joyces-partner?CMP=share_btn_tw

  29. I liked Scoot Morrisons comment on 7:30 about Barnyard. Apparently you cant have 2 partners at the same time?

    Isn’t secret infidelity ala Barnyard actually an attempt to do that?? 🙂

    Stupid comment from ScoMo, which Sales let slide by.

  30. Zoom,

    Sorry it’s a bit cryptic… there is at least one MP who promoted a female staffer to CoS, then was officially in a relationship with the Ex-CoS shortly after she resigned as CoS. It seems fair to ask if the relationship motivated the resignation, and that opens up a can of worms….

  31. Just on the Barnaby awards night stuff I do remember PB speculation from back in the day about alleged drunken sleazy behaviour at parliamentary functions by the then Sen Joyce. You could easily make the logical leap to accepting such behaviour occurred from his sozzled appearances on Senate committees and such – who can possibly forget the infamous Barnaby’s Button incident?

    But those allegations never went anywhere except to remain as gossipy scuttlebutt. Interesting that they are surfacing now when all those years and elections have passed in between.

  33. Sam Dastayari is starting a thread of what he knows. The first one:

    1.Everyone. And I mean EVERYONE in Federal Parliament knew about Vicki and Barnaby. Anyone who claims they didn’t know Is either bullshitting or so out of touch they shouldn’t be in Parliament.

  34. More Sam..

    2. The job relocation is a clear breach of the rules. We all assumed it would come out during the by-election. For fucks sale – how can you construe the pregnant woman Barnaby left his wife for as NOT his ‘partner’. Who was she then?????

  35. No worries, bakunin.

    If I understand you, I think that’s exactly what should happen – if there’s going to be a relationship, one of them has to quit.

  37. CTar1 says:
    Monday, February 12, 2018 at 7:06 pm
    Mari

    Definitely a cartoon I rather not have seen!

    Sorry have made a mental note if David has another like it will send a warning with it 😀

  38. Now Sam giving career advice to the Beetroot

    Hey @Barnaby_Joyce, I went for a LOT less. Quit while you are behind. Trust me – it only gets a LOT worse from here.

  39. Sprocket

    Laugh out loud at the phrase Drum “hired Ms Campion”

    Did he interview her, check her CV?

    More likely he was told she was coming to work in his office to fill a senior advisor role that he didn’t even know was vacant!

  40. Sam threatens a bazooka..

    And @JulieBishopMP with reference to “glass houses” – I’m totally out of Parliament so very happy to go “tit-for-tat” for every Conservative fucking around. BRING IT ON (seriously, I’m sooooo bored)

  41. Now is the time for some enterprising journalist to go back and dig out the truth about the circumstances surrounding the destruction of an expensive taxpayer-funded vehicle by Joyce.

    1. Had Joyce been drinking before the accident?
    2. Was Joyce breathalysed and drug tested? If not, why not?
    3. Did Joyce drive past a road-closed sign?
    4. Was Joyce Minister for Transport at the time?
    5. Was Joyce negligent in driving his vehicle into a swollen creek?
    6. Was there a passenger in the vehicle, and, if so whom?
    7. Has Joyce paid for the destruction of the vehicle, given that the Commonwealth is ‘self-insured’ – aka, the taxpayer paid for the vehicle?

  43. Let me indulge in a bit of roleplay from A Few Good Men :

    Me (Tom Cruise): So, Colonel Jessup (Damian Drum) if the affair was over between Barnaby Joyce and his staffer…why did she need to be moved to a new position?

    Similarly, Generalissimo Turnbull if she was not his partner as your office claims, why did she need to be moved?

    We want answers! We want the truth!

  45. So, who is trying to destroy Malcolm Turnbull’s best mate in the Nationals? Who is trying to destroy Malcolm Turnbull?…. Methink the same ones whom Malcolm Turnbull has recently told to forget their “stupid” Warringah Motion….

  47. Angry Old(ish) Man?

    Today the dentist told me to prepare for braces for both my children – at $7K each. For some reason I had an overwhelming urge to punch the little scumbag in the face.

    I am pretty sure it was only the presence of said children that stopped me doing it.

  49. BW about to have conniptions!

    “Essential is pleased to announce @samdastyari will be joining us as an Associate Director. Sam is one of the finest political campaigners of his generation and he will be a real asset to our team working in research, campaign design and execution. #auspol”.

  50. And @JulieBishopMP with reference to “glass houses” – I’m totally out of Parliament so very happy to go “tit-for-tat” for every Conservative fucking around. BRING IT ON (seriously, I’m sooooo bored)

    And with a one-night Trump style rage-tweeting episode, Dastyari single-handedly brings down Labor’s class and refrain on Barnaby and takes it to a whole new level of personal.

    Go away you idiot.

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