The second poll of the year from the now-fortnightly Essential Research series has Labor’s lead widening from 53-47 to 54-46 — the primary votes will be with us later today.
Among the poll’s other findings are that 73% believe the cost of living has increased over the past year, and 75% believe energy prices have done so. Fifty-one per cent believe the cost of living has increased more quickly than their income, 28% that it has stayed even, and only 14% that their income has increased more. Eighty-three per cent thought the government should do more to make health insurance affordable, and 60% believed health insurance wasn’t worth the premiums.
Thirty-two per cent of respondents thought the political and economic system needed to be fundamentally changed, 48% favoured refinement, and only 8% registered satisfaction with the status quo. Questions on which party was best to handle various issues evoked the usual responses, with the Liberals doing better on managing the economy and terrorism, and Labor doing better on climate change and industrial relations (and, less predictably, housing affordability).
The poll was conducted Thursday to Monday from a sample of 1028.
JoshButler: For those playing at home, this is two cabinet leaks in two days to the same ABC reporter, against two key conservatives – one damaging to Abbott (forever agitating against Turnbull) and one damaging to Morrison (endlessly touted as a possible Turnbull replacement) pic.twitter.com/Tq9tyIpNi5
http://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2018-01-30/scott-morrison-tried-to-delay-asylum-seekers-visas/9353350?pfmredir=sm
lizzie @ #49 Tuesday, January 30th, 2018 – 8:35 am
It’s a location thing. If you are a not so great plastic surgeon that just wants to run a production line, then you go practice in places like Florida. If you are good, you go to New York or LA and work on wealthy trophy wives like Melania Trump, or actresses and models.
Socrates
Yes the shift towards diesel engines is quite a worry.
One reason why I stay relatively quiet here on the CO2 greenhouse stuff is because this is one of the many trade offs made to reduce CO2. So may environmentally conscious consumers switched to diesel, but the trade off has been increased urban air pollution particularly particulate emissions.
The whole German fake testing data scandal was exactly for that reason. In order to get energy efficiency and reduce CO2, there were increases in the more traditional air pollutants that had been the concern of scientists in the 60s-90s. The manufacturers chose to fake data rather than deal with the problem
I can only assume that the reason they got away with it was the collaspe of government vehicle testing labs.
The fake data scandal was uncovered I think by some students more or less by chance.
guytaur @ #51 Tuesday, January 30th, 2018 – 8:37 am
I noted as much yesterday when the first one came out. Also, as it had a sledge at Cormann, my thinking was that it was Julie Bishop trying to keep the Cormannator at bay in WA as he tries it on against her there, and to shore up hers and Turnbull’s positions against the Conservatives.
You gotta laugh at the chutzpah of Morrison’s reply to the leak today. ‘I did it because National Security was always my first priority.’
Of course, no one ever bothers to ask exactly how that was the case.
MarkDiStef: An important scoop from my new desk buddy: @AlbertoNardelli has laid eyes on the elusive Brexit impact statement being passed around deep within the government. It shows the UK economy will be worse off in every single scenario that’s modelled. twitter.com/albertonardell…
https://www.buzzfeed.com/albertonardelli/the-governments-own-brexit-analysis-says-the-uk-will-be?utm_term=.ofZrZozRvA#.qeGMKxLnGA
Cat
Yep. You gotta laugh. Including at the lack of credibility of the media. Its no wonder trust is falling so fast.
janinegibson: Asked why Theresa May was not making the analysis public, a DExEU source told BuzzFeed News: “Because it’s embarrassing.” twitter.com/janinegibson/s…
Last night the 10pm radio news said blackouts had occurred in parts of Sydney. Are the usual suspects calling on Berejiklian to resign?
jboyded: Surprise #auspol twitter.com/JohnWren1950/s…
JohnWren1950: My sources tell me there is a #Libspill brewing. 3 contenders; Dutton, Morrison & Abbott. Yesterday Abbott was smeared re blocking dole for under 30s. Today Morrison got the treatment. It’s pretty obvious Dutton is leaking against his rivals. #auspol #dysfunctional
Lenore Taylor
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/jan/30/tackling-the-ever-growing-list-of-critical-environmental-challenges?CMP=share_btn_tw
Guytaur, ‘It’s pretty obvious Dutton is leaking against his rivals. #auspol #dysfunctional’
While reading it, my first thought was Trumble was behind it. On second thoughts, Dutton is more likely the villain as it is a little too sophisticated for Trumble to organise.
PeeBee
The only problem I have with your post is using the word sophisticated in relation to Mr Dutton. 🙂
Labor increasing its poll lead, Liberal party leadership aspirants leaking against one another, government announcements made on the run.
Can mean only one thing – Bill Shorten is in trouble.
Ironic if it’s Dutton leaking, that he has built on Morrison’s cruelty. If it’s a minus for Morrison, surely it must be a minus for him, too. (Unless the RWNJs don’t believe M went far enough.)
Full Essential poll is now up, note that the last Essential was two weeks ago, so they are not doing the rolling average. These figures are for one week only.
TPP: ALP 54 (+1) L/NP 46 (-1)
Primary: L/NP 35(-2) ALP 36(-2) GR 10(+1) NXT 3(0) ON 8(+2) OTH 8(+1)
http://www.essentialvision.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/Essential-Report_300118.pdf
Lizzie
Maybe it is tit for tat.
First leak by Morrison against Abbott, second by Abbott against Morrison?
Morning bludgers
We copped a drenching yesterday evening and overnight, after days of hot and humid conditions. The heat was manageable,but the damn humidity, not so much. Not conditions that we in the south of the world are accustomed to!!
WeatheronPB#
SkyNewsAust: .@SenatorWong: Labor in opposition has set the policy agenda, with the housing affordability and education policies exemplifying this, and you will see the same approach from @billshortenmp today. bit.ly/2EkF8gI pic.twitter.com/reYJlQuI2c
https://twitter.com/skynewsaust/status/958094529046835200
Meanwhile the fiberals are doing distraction again. What is it they are trying to set up behind the scenes?
Everytime, we are distracted elsewhere, they manage to do something that is detrimental to the interests of the many, and beneficial to the very few
Re the poll
I am very hesitant to make comment of Shorten , because by an large his small target strategy is a wise one, however I think he fluffed the Australia day one, if only because it is pretty insignificant as an issue.
I think he COULD have come out with a well rounded statement that did not offend anyone, but instead lamely backed the current Australia day.
Had he been a bit wiser he could have talked about the need to look at it if some are offended yada, yada. He could of course also have won many friends if he had made one of his”dad” jokes about it being NSW day. This could have set the scene for a change without antagonising anyone.
Pity he fluffed it, but it is not a biggie because not many people actually care.
Victoria
Its election season. Survival is on the minds of backbenchers again.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/fbis-andrew-mccabe-leaving-deputy-director-job-will-retire-in-march/2018/01/29/35b1bbd4-051c-11e8-b48c-b07fea957bd5_story.html?hpid=hp_hp-top-table-main_mccabe-112pm%3Ahomepage%2Fstory&utm_term=.38a90e96e883
Some are speculating that once outside the tent he’ll be free to do the talk show circuit, write books about the Trump presidency etc. But I would doubt that. He seems much too professional for that kind of conduct.
Guytaur
Election season for SA and Tasmania. Not for the Feds.
So far the Liberals have achieved a great deal of their agenda over the past 4 years which includes for eg……
The car industry shuting down
Medibank sold off
The ABCC and ROC established
Carbon price scrapped
Privately contracted out part of Centrelink services
They are now looking forward to implementing tax cuts.
citizen
it’s a challenge ‘Rex’ should take up! 😀
Victoria
I agree. A lot of work for Labor and other parties to do in undoing the mess.
Glad Labor is starting with political donation reform and a Federal Style ICAC.
Tackling inequality and due to the FWC decision on strikes I expect Industrial Relations reform has leapt to top of the list too.
guytaur @ #63 Tuesday, January 30th, 2018 – 9:12 am
Rat cunning would just about cover it.
Guytaur
Unfortunately, as has been shown time and time again, Fair Work Australia is not really all that much better than the dreaded Workchoices. Can’t see things improving in that space in future.
Fess
The institutions of the US are still holding up, despite Trump and Co.
Hopefully that will continue until this shit show is dealt with properly
Jake TapperVerified account@jaketapper
32s32 seconds ago
House intel committee could vote soon on Nunes memo http://cnn.it/2rSndLA @TheLeadCNN
Vic:
They are doing their level best to undermine those institutions.
guytaur @ #59 Tuesday, January 30th, 2018 – 9:02 am
Compare the pair:
and
Fess
Interesting to see what happens with the Nunes memo.
As I said previously, Nunes shenanigans are so transparent. It feels all part of a kabuki act.
Victoria @ #79 Tuesday, January 30th, 2018 – 9:38 am
Because the Coalition decided, if they couldn’t scrap it, they could undermine it from within.
Victoria @ #84 Tuesday, January 30th, 2018 – 9:43 am
I just hope that, if it does get released, the Democrats have already done their homework to disprove it with the truth and they release it at the same time to head it off at the pass.
Victoria @ #68 Tuesday, January 30th, 2018 – 9:19 am
Victoria, I recall in the very early days of describing the effects of climate change, one simplistic description of one aspect of it was that the para-equatorial zones would expand. That is, in the most general of concepts, Brisbane would become more like Darwin, Sydney less temperate and more tropical like Brisbane, and likewise Melbourne less what it was (bleak?, no wish to offend, much 😉 ) and more humid and hotter.
Well this is interesting. I thought he’d been planning to retire for some time. If he was pushed out prematurely then I reverse my opinion about whether or not he’d do talk shows and write books.
vic:
I can see why you think that, but I just don’t think Nunes is smart enough to play double agent.
He’s too arrogant for a start.
A guy is taking 1-2 months of accrued leave before his previously scheduled retirement date.
It’s barely news, much less the collapse of the USA’s major institutions.
Desert Qlder
“Can mean only one thing – Bill Shorten is in trouble.”
Labor is only 8 points ahead. Bill is a terrible leader – he has to go! Who’s with me? Rex??!!
Time for a vacation? Make Australia day a 2-day public holiday, we can all be much healthier then.
https://edition.cnn.com/travel/article/why-vacations-matter/index.html
https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2018/01/29/andrew-mccabe-is-retiring-early-heres-what-we-know/?hpid=hp_no-name_opinion-card-e%3Ahomepage%2Fstory&utm_term=.95e9b5135ca5
kakuru @ #91 Tuesday, January 30th, 2018 – 9:51 am
I think your crew will be bigger than that. There’ll be Rex, Nicholas, ESJ, Oakeshott Country, and Pegasus! 🙂
Itzadream
I have always generally liked Melbourne weather compared to those north of us. I like the crisp autumn and winter. Spring not so much, and summer even less. But it was never as humid as it has been of late. The oppressive humidity of the past week, has been absolutely crap. I am quite happy for it to find its way back north again!!!
ItzaDream @ #87 Tuesday, January 30th, 2018 – 9:45 am
Here’s a really great description of the whole imbroglio in Melbourne over the past little while, including about why the blackouts occurred, plus a great description of how solar is affecting when blackouts occur and why:
http://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/power-cuts-in-victoria-as-melbourne-sweats-through-summers-hottest-night/527429
#weatheronPB and politics 🙂
Preet BhararaVerified account@PreetBharara
17h17 hours ago
Rule of law matters. Former Republican Governor Christine Todd Whitman, @GovCTW, and I announce a new task force in wake of Trump abuses with @BrennanCenter @USATODAY
Trump abuses show we must turn traditions into laws: Bharara and Whitman https://usat.ly/2FrL5b7 via @USATODAY
Fess
Nunes is compromised as hell. He has been doing the bidding of the GOP from the get go. But his actions now are so transparent that it seems as if he is going through the motions and making it obvious at the same time.
it is very strange to say the least
I wonder how long it will be before one of the #contenders takes a leak all over Dutton? 🙂
Any Bludgers in Broome? The town has had just a tick over 400mm since 9am yesterday and it is still raining.
Give me hot and dry anytime .